PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Penn St. Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Winout

If it wins its remaining games, Penn St. makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 94% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it wins its remaining games, Penn St. makes the playoffs 94% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Penn St. making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • None Found
Penn St. Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Miami (81) ACCACC 102 11 1 - - 100%
2 New Mexico (40) Mountain WestMntn West 98 11 2 - - 100%
3 Penn St. (121) Big 10Big 10 97 13 0 - - 100%
4 Boston College (89) ACCACC 95 11 2 - - 100%
 
5 UTSA (25) American AthleticAm. Athletic 90 11 1 - - X
6 Boise State (62) Mountain WestMntn West 90 11 2 - - X
7 Oklahoma St. (39) Big 12Big 12 88 12 1 - - X
8 Toledo (26) MACMAC 88 12 1 - - X
9 East Carolina (29) American AthleticAm. Athletic 88 11 1 - - X
10 Virginia Tech (98) ACCACC 88 10 3 - - X




If it wins its remaining games, Penn St. misses the playoffs 6% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Penn St. missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (121)Penn St. opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (121)Penn St. does not plays in the Big 10 Championship Game
Penn St. Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Temple (71) American AthleticAm. Athletic 115 13 0 - - 100%
2 Duke (64) ACCACC 114 12 1 - - 100%
3 Georgia Tech (91) ACCACC 102 11 2 - - 100%
4 Boston College (89) ACCACC 100 11 1 - - 100%
 
5 Penn St. (121) Big 10Big 10 97 13 0 - - X
6 Florida Intl. (34) Conference USAConf. USA 95 12 1 - - X
7 Oklahoma (132) SECSEC 92 11 2 - - X
8 Ole Miss (110) SECSEC 92 11 2 - - X
9 North Texas (54) American AthleticAm. Athletic 89 10 2 - - X
10 Virginia Tech (98) ACCACC 89 9 3 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot