If it loses one of its remaining games, Penn St. will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 59% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it loses one of its remaining games, Penn St. makes the playoffs 59% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Penn St. making the playoffs.
(121)Penn St. opponents win (SOS related)
Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
1 | Penn St. (121) | Big 10Big 10 | 103 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
2 | W. Kentucky (1) | Conference USAConf. USA | 101 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
3 | Florida Intl. (34) | Conference USAConf. USA | 95 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
4 | Bowling Green (24) | MACMAC | 93 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
5 | Notre Dame (130) | NCAA IndependentsInd. | 89 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
6 | Illinois (99) | Big 10Big 10 | 88 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
7 | UNLV (56) | Mountain WestMntn West | 88 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
8 | Minnesota (109) | Big 10Big 10 | 84 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
9 | Auburn (128) | SECSEC | 82 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
10 | BYU (73) | Big 12Big 12 | 81 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
If it loses one of its remaining games, Penn St. misses the playoffs 41% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Penn St. missing the playoffs.
(121)Penn St. opponents lose (SOS related)
(121)Penn St. does not plays in the Big 10 Championship Game
(130)Notre Dame wins out
Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
1 | East Carolina (29) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 100 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
2 | Black Knights (86) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 95 | 10 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
3 | LSU (123) | SECSEC | 95 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
4 | Notre Dame (130) | NCAA IndependentsInd. | 95 | 10 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
5 | UL Lafayette (60) | SunbeltSunbelt | 94 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
6 | Virginia (78) | ACCACC | 93 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
7 | Troy (41) | SunbeltSunbelt | 91 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
8 | Miami OH (16) | MACMAC | 91 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
9 | Southern Miss (28) | SunbeltSunbelt | 90 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
10 | Arkansas (113) | SECSEC | 89 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |