PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Penn St. Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Lose 1

If it loses one of its remaining games, Penn St. will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 59% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it loses one of its remaining games, Penn St. makes the playoffs 59% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Penn St. making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (121)Penn St. opponents win (SOS related)
Penn St. Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Penn St. (121) Big 10Big 10 103 12 1 - - 100%
2 W. Kentucky (1) Conference USAConf. USA 101 12 1 - - 100%
3 Florida Intl. (34) Conference USAConf. USA 95 12 1 - - 100%
4 Bowling Green (24) MACMAC 93 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Notre Dame (130) NCAA IndependentsInd. 89 11 1 - - X
6 Illinois (99) Big 10Big 10 88 10 3 - - X
7 UNLV (56) Mountain WestMntn West 88 11 2 - - X
8 Minnesota (109) Big 10Big 10 84 10 2 - - X
9 Auburn (128) SECSEC 82 10 2 - - X
10 BYU (73) Big 12Big 12 81 10 2 - - X




If it loses one of its remaining games, Penn St. misses the playoffs 41% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Penn St. missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (121)Penn St. opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (121)Penn St. does not plays in the Big 10 Championship Game
  • (130)Notre Dame wins out
Penn St. Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 East Carolina (29) American AthleticAm. Athletic 100 12 1 - - 100%
2 Black Knights (86) American AthleticAm. Athletic 95 10 2 - - 100%
3 LSU (123) SECSEC 95 12 1 - - 100%
4 Notre Dame (130) NCAA IndependentsInd. 95 10 2 - - 100%
 
5 UL Lafayette (60) SunbeltSunbelt 94 11 1 - - X
6 Virginia (78) ACCACC 93 11 1 - - X
7 Troy (41) SunbeltSunbelt 91 11 1 - - X
8 Miami OH (16) MACMAC 91 10 2 - - X
9 Southern Miss (28) SunbeltSunbelt 90 11 2 - - X
10 Arkansas (113) SECSEC 89 10 2 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot