PlayoffStatus.com

Mon Oct 25 11:30 pm

NFL - Week 8 of 18

Bengals What If?

The Bengals What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Bengals play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Bengals What If?

Next Game - Jets (1‑5)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1* 2** 3** 4** 5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 6 2 0 22% 14% 8% 3% 16% 13% 9% 16%
Current Standings 5 2 0 20% 12% 8% 4% 15% 12% 9% 21%
Lose Next Game 5 3 0 12% 11% 9% 5% 14% 13% 10% 27%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1* 2** 3** 4** 5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario 26% 12% 7% 3% 16% 12% 8% 17%
Current Standings 20% 12% 8% 4% 15% 12% 9% 21%
Worst Case Scenario 11% 10% 9% 5% 14% 13% 10% 27%
Best Case Scenario
   Colts beats Titans
   Bengals beats Jets
   Patriots beats Chargers
Worst Case Scenario
   Titans beats Colts
   Jets beats Bengals
   Chargers beats Patriots
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1* 2** 3** 4** 5 6 7 8
10 of 10 100% 15 2 0 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
9 of 10 90% 14 3 0 89% 10% <1% <1% 1% ^ ^ ^
8 of 10 80% 13 4 0 50% 33% 8% 1% 9% <1% ^ ^
7 of 10 70% 12 5 0 13% 30% 22% 5% 27% 3% <1% <1%
6 of 10 60% 11 6 0 1% 9% 20% 11% 37% 20% 2% <1%
5 of 10 50% 10 7 0 <1% 1% 5% 8% 18% 38% 24% 6%
4 of 10 40% 9 8 0 <1% <1% <1% 2% 2% 14% 33% 48%
3 of 10 30% 8 9 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 93%
2 of 10 20% 7 10 0 X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
1 of 10 10% 6 11 0 X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
0 of 10 0% 5 12 0 X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs