The Most Important Games for the Bills are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bills final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bills fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bills Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Bills (10‑4) vs Browns (3‑11) |
34 | Bills Wins | 2% | 20% | 5% | <1% | 51% | 19% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 17% | 6% | <1% | 46% | 23% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Browns Wins | <1% | 3% | 9% | <1% | 20% | 46% | 21% | 1% | ||
| Ravens (7‑7) vs Patriots (11‑3) |
13 | Ravens Wins | 2% | 21% | 9% | <1% | 43% | 20% | 5% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 17% | 6% | <1% | 46% | 23% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Patriots Wins | 2% | 15% | 3% | X | 48% | 26% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Cowboys (6‑7‑1) vs Chargers (10‑4) |
7 | Cowboys Wins | 3% | 17% | 5% | <1% | 57% | 14% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 17% | 6% | <1% | 46% | 23% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Chargers Wins | 2% | 17% | 6% | <1% | 39% | 28% | 7% | <1% | ||
| Jaguars (10‑4) vs Broncos (12‑2) |
2 | Jaguars Wins | 4% | 11% | 10% | <1% | 46% | 20% | 8% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 17% | 6% | <1% | 46% | 23% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Broncos Wins | 1% | 21% | 3% | <1% | 45% | 24% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Raiders (2‑12) vs Texans (9‑5) |
2 | Raiders Wins | 2% | 19% | 4% | <1% | 49% | 23% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 17% | 6% | <1% | 46% | 23% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Texans Wins | 2% | 18% | 6% | <1% | 46% | 23% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Lions (8‑6) vs Steelers (8‑6) |
0 | Lions Wins | 2% | 17% | 6% | X | 46% | 22% | 6% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 17% | 6% | <1% | 46% | 23% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Steelers Wins | 2% | 18% | 6% | <1% | 46% | 22% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Colts (8‑6) vs Forty-Niners49ers (10‑4) |
0 | Colts Wins | 2% | 18% | 6% | <1% | 46% | 23% | 6% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 17% | 6% | <1% | 46% | 23% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers Wins | 2% | 17% | 6% | <1% | 46% | 23% | 5% | <1% | ||
| Dolphins (6‑8) vs Bengals (4‑10) |
0 | Dolphins Wins | 2% | 17% | 6% | <1% | 46% | 23% | 6% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 17% | 6% | <1% | 46% | 23% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Bengals Wins | 2% | 17% | 6% | <1% | 46% | 23% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Saints (4‑10) vs Jets (3‑11) |
0 | Saints Wins | 2% | 17% | 6% | <1% | 46% | 23% | 6% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 17% | 6% | <1% | 46% | 23% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Jets Wins | 2% | 17% | 6% | <1% | 46% | 23% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Titans (2‑12) vs Chiefs (6‑8) |
0 | Titans Wins | 2% | 17% | 6% | <1% | 46% | 23% | 6% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 17% | 6% | <1% | 46% | 23% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Chiefs Wins | 2% | 17% | 6% | <1% | 46% | 23% | 6% | <1% | ||