The Most Important Games for the Bills are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bills final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bills fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bills Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Bills (7‑4) vs Steelers (6‑5) |
35 | Bills Wins | 1% | 4% | 2% | <1% | 40% | 26% | 16% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | <1% | 28% | 23% | 19% | 25% | ||
| Steelers Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 18% | 24% | 24% | 32% | ||
| Raiders (2‑9) vs Chargers (7‑4) |
7 | Raiders Wins | 1% | 3% | 2% | <1% | 33% | 23% | 17% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | <1% | 28% | 23% | 19% | 25% | ||
| Chargers Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | <1% | 27% | 23% | 19% | 26% | ||
| Titans (1‑10) vs Jaguars (7‑4) |
4 | Titans Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | <1% | 33% | 24% | 16% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | <1% | 28% | 23% | 19% | 25% | ||
| Jaguars Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | <1% | 27% | 23% | 20% | 25% | ||
| Giants (2‑10) vs Patriots (10‑2) |
4 | Giants Wins | 1% | 3% | 3% | <1% | 26% | 23% | 19% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | <1% | 28% | 23% | 19% | 25% | ||
| Patriots Wins | 1% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 28% | 24% | 19% | 25% | ||
| Colts (8‑3) vs Texans (6‑5) |
2 | Colts Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | <1% | 29% | 23% | 19% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | <1% | 28% | 23% | 19% | 25% | ||
| Texans Wins | 1% | 3% | 1% | <1% | 28% | 23% | 18% | 26% | ||
| Commanders (3‑8) vs Broncos (9‑2) |
1 | Commanders Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | <1% | 28% | 23% | 19% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | <1% | 28% | 23% | 19% | 25% | ||
| Broncos Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | <1% | 27% | 23% | 19% | 25% | ||
| Dolphins (4‑7) vs Saints (2‑9) |
0 | Dolphins Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | <1% | 28% | 23% | 19% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | <1% | 28% | 23% | 19% | 25% | ||
| Saints Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | <1% | 28% | 24% | 19% | 25% | ||
| Falcons (4‑7) vs Jets (2‑9) |
0 | Falcons Wins | 1% | 3% | 2% | <1% | 28% | 24% | 19% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | <1% | 28% | 23% | 19% | 25% | ||
| Jets Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | <1% | 28% | 23% | 19% | 25% | ||
| Browns (3‑8) vs Forty-Niners49ers (8‑4) |
0 | Browns Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | <1% | 29% | 23% | 19% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | <1% | 28% | 23% | 19% | 25% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | <1% | 28% | 23% | 19% | 25% | ||