The Most Important Games for the Bills are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bills final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bills fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bills Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Dolphins (7‑9) vs Patriots (13‑3) |
60 | Dolphins Wins | 1% | 21% | 40% | X | 7% | 20% | 11% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 6% | X | 59% | 21% | 11% | ^ | ||
| Patriots Wins | X | X | X | X | 68% | 21% | 11% | ^ | ||
| Bills (11‑4) vs Eagles (10‑5) |
25 | Bills Wins | <1% | 5% | 10% | X | 79% | 4% | 2% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 6% | X | 59% | 21% | 11% | ^ | ||
| Eagles Wins | X | X | X | X | 18% | 54% | 28% | ^ | ||
| Bills (11‑4) vs Jets (3‑13) |
21 | Bills Wins | <1% | 4% | 7% | X | 62% | 20% | 8% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 6% | X | 59% | 21% | 11% | ^ | ||
| Jets Wins | X | X | X | X | 11% | 40% | 50% | ^ | ||
| Titans (3‑13) vs Jaguars (12‑4) |
12 | Titans Wins | 3% | 7% | X | X | 74% | 12% | 5% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 6% | X | 59% | 21% | 11% | ^ | ||
| Jaguars Wins | X | 3% | 7% | X | 58% | 21% | 11% | ^ | ||
| Colts (8‑8) vs Texans (11‑5) |
3 | Colts Wins | <1% | 3% | 6% | X | 77% | 11% | 3% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 6% | X | 59% | 21% | 11% | ^ | ||
| Texans Wins | <1% | 3% | 6% | X | 54% | 23% | 13% | ^ | ||
| Chargers (11‑5) vs Broncos (13‑3) |
2 | Chargers Wins | 1% | 9% | X | X | 52% | 10% | 29% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 6% | X | 59% | 21% | 11% | ^ | ||
| Broncos Wins | X | 1% | 9% | X | 62% | 26% | 3% | ^ | ||
| Raiders (2‑13) vs Giants (2‑13) |
0 | Raiders Wins | <1% | 3% | 6% | X | 59% | 21% | 11% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 6% | X | 59% | 21% | 11% | ^ | ||
| Giants Wins | <1% | 3% | 6% | X | 59% | 21% | 11% | ^ | ||
| Bengals (6‑10) vs Browns (4‑12) |
0 | Bengals Wins | <1% | 3% | 6% | X | 59% | 21% | 11% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 6% | X | 59% | 21% | 11% | ^ | ||
| Browns Wins | <1% | 3% | 6% | X | 59% | 21% | 11% | ^ | ||
| Raiders (2‑13) vs Chiefs (6‑10) |
0 | Raiders Wins | <1% | 3% | 6% | X | 59% | 21% | 11% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 6% | X | 59% | 21% | 11% | ^ | ||
| Chiefs Wins | <1% | 3% | 6% | X | 59% | 21% | 11% | ^ | ||
| Steelers (9‑7) vs Ravens (8‑8) |
0 | Steelers Wins | <1% | 3% | 6% | X | 59% | 21% | 11% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 6% | X | 59% | 21% | 11% | ^ | ||
| Ravens Wins | <1% | 3% | 6% | X | 59% | 21% | 11% | ^ | ||