The Most Important Games for the Bills are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bills final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bills fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bills Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Bengals (3‑7) vs Patriots (9‑2) |
5 | Bengals Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 2% | 23% | 22% | 18% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 25% | 23% | 18% | 25% | ||
| Patriots Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 26% | 24% | 18% | 25% | ||
| Cardinals (3‑7) vs Jaguars (6‑4) |
2 | Cardinals Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 27% | 23% | 17% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 25% | 23% | 18% | 25% | ||
| Jaguars Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 24% | 22% | 19% | 26% | ||
| Bears (7‑3) vs Steelers (6‑4) |
2 | Bears Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 25% | 23% | 18% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 25% | 23% | 18% | 25% | ||
| Steelers Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 25% | 22% | 18% | 26% | ||
| Jets (2‑8) vs Ravens (5‑5) |
2 | Jets Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 25% | 24% | 19% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 25% | 23% | 18% | 25% | ||
| Ravens Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 25% | 23% | 18% | 25% | ||
| Browns (2‑8) vs Raiders (2‑8) |
1 | Browns Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 25% | 23% | 18% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 25% | 23% | 18% | 25% | ||
| Raiders Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 25% | 23% | 18% | 25% | ||
| Colts (8‑2) vs Chiefs (5‑5) |
0 | Colts Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 24% | 24% | 19% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 25% | 23% | 18% | 25% | ||
| Chiefs Wins | 1% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 26% | 23% | 17% | 26% | ||
| Titans (1‑9) vs Seahawks (7‑3) |
0 | Titans Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 25% | 23% | 18% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 25% | 23% | 18% | 25% | ||
| Seahawks Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 25% | 23% | 19% | 25% | ||