The Most Important Games for the Bills are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bills final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bills fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bills Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Bills (8‑4) vs Bengals (4‑8) |
36 | Bills Wins | 2% | 6% | 2% | <1% | 49% | 26% | 11% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 2% | <1% | 43% | 25% | 14% | 9% | ||
| Bengals Wins | <1% | 2% | 2% | <1% | 21% | 29% | 25% | 21% | ||
| Raiders (2‑10) vs Broncos (10‑2) |
6 | Raiders Wins | 3% | 4% | 1% | <1% | 45% | 24% | 14% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 2% | <1% | 43% | 25% | 14% | 9% | ||
| Broncos Wins | 1% | 6% | 2% | <1% | 43% | 26% | 14% | 9% | ||
| Eagles (8‑4) vs Chargers (8‑4) |
4 | Eagles Wins | 2% | 5% | 1% | <1% | 48% | 23% | 12% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 2% | <1% | 43% | 25% | 14% | 9% | ||
| Chargers Wins | 2% | 6% | 2% | <1% | 38% | 27% | 16% | 10% | ||
| Chiefs (6‑6) vs Texans (7‑5) |
3 | Chiefs Wins | 2% | 6% | 1% | <1% | 48% | 23% | 11% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 2% | <1% | 43% | 25% | 14% | 9% | ||
| Texans Wins | 2% | 5% | 2% | <1% | 39% | 27% | 16% | 9% | ||
| Browns (3‑9) vs Titans (1‑11) |
2 | Browns Wins | 2% | 6% | 2% | <1% | 43% | 26% | 14% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 2% | <1% | 43% | 25% | 14% | 9% | ||
| Titans Wins | 2% | 5% | 2% | <1% | 43% | 25% | 14% | 9% | ||
| Colts (8‑4) vs Jaguars (8‑4) |
0 | Colts Wins | 2% | 5% | 1% | <1% | 45% | 23% | 12% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 2% | <1% | 43% | 25% | 14% | 9% | ||
| Jaguars Wins | 2% | 5% | 1% | <1% | 42% | 27% | 14% | 9% | ||
| Ravens (6‑6) vs Steelers (6‑6) |
0 | Ravens Wins | 2% | 5% | 2% | <1% | 43% | 26% | 14% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 2% | <1% | 43% | 25% | 14% | 9% | ||
| Steelers Wins | 2% | 5% | 2% | <1% | 43% | 25% | 14% | 9% | ||
| Dolphins (5‑7) vs Jets (3‑9) |
0 | Dolphins Wins | 2% | 5% | 2% | <1% | 43% | 25% | 13% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 2% | <1% | 43% | 25% | 14% | 9% | ||
| Jets Wins | 2% | 5% | 2% | <1% | 43% | 26% | 14% | 9% | ||