The Most Important Games for the Bills are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bills final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bills fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bills Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Colts (8‑8) vs Texans (11‑5) |
9 | Colts Wins | X | X | X | X | 63% | 29% | 8% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 18% | 53% | 29% | ^ | ||
| Texans Wins | X | X | X | X | 4% | 61% | 35% | ^ | ||
| Broncos (13‑3) vs Chargers (11‑5) |
8 | Broncos Wins | X | X | X | X | 26% | 66% | 8% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 18% | 53% | 29% | ^ | ||
| Chargers Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 24% | 76% | ^ | ||
| Bills (11‑5) vs Jets (3‑13) |
8 | Bills Wins | X | X | X | X | 20% | 57% | 23% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 18% | 53% | 29% | ^ | ||
| Jets Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ^ | ||
| Titans (3‑13) vs Jaguars (12‑4) |
7 | Titans Wins | X | X | X | X | 63% | 20% | 17% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 18% | 53% | 29% | ^ | ||
| Jaguars Wins | X | X | X | X | 15% | 56% | 29% | ^ | ||
| Bengals (6‑10) vs Browns (4‑12) |
0 | Bengals Wins | X | X | X | X | 18% | 53% | 29% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 18% | 53% | 29% | ^ | ||
| Browns Wins | X | X | X | X | 18% | 53% | 29% | ^ | ||
| Patriots (13‑3) vs Dolphins (7‑9) |
0 | Patriots Wins | X | X | X | X | 18% | 53% | 29% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 18% | 53% | 29% | ^ | ||
| Dolphins Wins | X | X | X | X | 18% | 53% | 29% | ^ | ||
| Raiders (2‑14) vs Chiefs (6‑10) |
0 | Raiders Wins | X | X | X | X | 18% | 53% | 29% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 18% | 53% | 29% | ^ | ||
| Chiefs Wins | X | X | X | X | 18% | 53% | 29% | ^ | ||
| Steelers (9‑7) vs Ravens (8‑8) |
0 | Steelers Wins | X | X | X | X | 18% | 53% | 29% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 18% | 53% | 29% | ^ | ||
| Ravens Wins | X | X | X | X | 18% | 53% | 29% | ^ | ||