The Most Important Games for the Bills are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bills final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bills fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bills Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Bills (10‑3) vs Lions (12‑1) |
48 | Bills Wins | 19% | 72% | 9% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 72% | 20% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lions Wins | 3% | 72% | 24% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Browns (3‑10) vs Chiefs (12‑1) |
44 | Browns Wins | 22% | 61% | 16% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 72% | 20% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Chiefs Wins | 5% | 73% | 20% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Eagles (11‑2) vs Steelers (10‑3) |
9 | Eagles Wins | 8% | 73% | 18% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 72% | 20% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Steelers Wins | 6% | 70% | 23% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Giants (2‑11) vs Ravens (8‑5) |
1 | Giants Wins | 7% | 74% | 18% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 72% | 20% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Ravens Wins | 7% | 71% | 20% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Dolphins (6‑7) vs Texans (8‑5) |
1 | Dolphins Wins | 7% | 72% | 20% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 72% | 20% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Texans Wins | 7% | 71% | 20% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Colts (6‑7) vs Broncos (8‑5) |
1 | Colts Wins | 7% | 72% | 20% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 72% | 20% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Broncos Wins | 7% | 72% | 20% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Jaguars (3‑10) vs Jets (3‑10) |
0 | Jaguars Wins | 7% | 72% | 20% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 72% | 20% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Jets Wins | 7% | 72% | 20% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Titans (3‑10) vs Bengals (5‑8) |
0 | Titans Wins | 7% | 72% | 20% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 72% | 20% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bengals Wins | 7% | 72% | 20% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Cardinals (6‑7) vs Patriots (3‑10) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | 7% | 72% | 20% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 72% | 20% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Patriots Wins | 7% | 72% | 20% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Chargers (8‑5) vs Buccaneers (7‑6) |
0 | Chargers Wins | 7% | 72% | 20% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 72% | 20% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Buccaneers Wins | 7% | 72% | 20% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Raiders (2‑11) vs Falcons (6‑7) |
0 | Raiders Wins | 7% | 72% | 20% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 72% | 20% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Falcons Wins | 7% | 72% | 20% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||