The Most Important Games for the Bills are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bills final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bills fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bills Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Jets (3‑12) vs Patriots (12‑3) |
79 | Jets Wins | 10% | 31% | 25% | X | 8% | 22% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 9% | 7% | X | 53% | 25% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Patriots Wins | 1% | 5% | 3% | X | 61% | 25% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Bills (11‑4) vs Eagles (10‑5) |
43 | Bills Wins | 4% | 13% | 10% | X | 67% | 6% | 1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 9% | 7% | X | 53% | 25% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Eagles Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | X | 25% | 62% | 10% | <1% | ||
| Colts (8‑6) vs Jaguars (11‑4) |
18 | Colts Wins | 6% | 12% | 1% | X | 57% | 22% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 9% | 7% | X | 53% | 25% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Jaguars Wins | <1% | 6% | 12% | X | 49% | 27% | 5% | ^ | ||
| Chiefs (6‑9) vs Broncos (12‑3) |
17 | Chiefs Wins | 6% | 9% | 3% | X | 60% | 19% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 9% | 7% | X | 53% | 25% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Broncos Wins | 1% | 9% | 8% | X | 49% | 28% | 5% | <1% | ||
| Texans (10‑5) vs Chargers (11‑4) |
9 | Texans Wins | 4% | 9% | 5% | X | 59% | 16% | 6% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 9% | 7% | X | 53% | 25% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Chargers Wins | 2% | 9% | 8% | X | 48% | 32% | 2% | ^ | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers (10‑4) vs Colts (8‑6) |
1 | Forty-Niners49ers Wins | 3% | 9% | 7% | X | 53% | 25% | 4% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 9% | 7% | X | 53% | 25% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Colts Wins | 3% | 9% | 7% | X | 52% | 25% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Steelers (9‑6) vs Browns (3‑12) |
1 | Steelers Wins | 3% | 9% | 7% | X | 53% | 25% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 9% | 7% | X | 53% | 25% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Browns Wins | 3% | 8% | 7% | X | 52% | 26% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Packers (9‑5‑1) vs Ravens (7‑8) |
0 | Packers Wins | 3% | 9% | 7% | X | 53% | 25% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 9% | 7% | X | 53% | 25% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Ravens Wins | 3% | 9% | 7% | X | 53% | 25% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Bengals (5‑10) vs Cardinals (3‑12) |
0 | Bengals Wins | 3% | 9% | 7% | X | 53% | 25% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 9% | 7% | X | 53% | 25% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 3% | 9% | 7% | X | 53% | 25% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Dolphins (6‑9) vs Buccaneers (7‑8) |
0 | Dolphins Wins | 3% | 9% | 7% | X | 53% | 25% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 9% | 7% | X | 53% | 25% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Buccaneers Wins | 3% | 9% | 7% | X | 53% | 25% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Titans (3‑12) vs Saints (5‑10) |
0 | Titans Wins | 3% | 9% | 7% | X | 53% | 25% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 9% | 7% | X | 53% | 25% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Saints Wins | 3% | 9% | 7% | X | 53% | 25% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Raiders (2‑13) vs Giants (2‑13) |
0 | Raiders Wins | 3% | 9% | 7% | X | 53% | 25% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 9% | 7% | X | 53% | 25% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Giants Wins | 3% | 9% | 7% | X | 53% | 25% | 4% | <1% | ||