The Most Important Games for the Bills are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bills final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bills fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bills Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Bills (6‑6) vs Chiefs (8‑4) |
17 | Bills Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 92% | ||
| Chiefs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Titans (4‑8) vs Dolphins (9‑3) |
5 | Titans Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 90% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 92% | ||
| Dolphins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 92% | ||
| Jets (4‑8) vs Texans (7‑5) |
3 | Jets Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 90% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 92% | ||
| Texans Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 93% | ||
| Jaguars (8‑4) vs Browns (7‑5) |
1 | Jaguars Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 92% | ||
| Browns Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 92% | ||
| Chargers (5‑7) vs Broncos (6‑6) |
1 | Chargers Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 92% | ||
| Broncos Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 92% | ||
| Vikings (6‑6) vs Raiders (5‑7) |
1 | Vikings Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 92% | ||
| Raiders Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 92% | ||
| Rams (6‑6) vs Ravens (9‑3) |
0 | Rams Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 92% | ||
| Ravens Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 92% | ||
| Bengals (6‑6) vs Colts (7‑5) |
0 | Bengals Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 92% | ||
| Colts Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 92% | ||