The Most Important Games for the Bills are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bills final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bills fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bills Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Bills (2‑0) vs Dolphins (0‑2) |
51 | Bills Wins | 22% | 16% | 13% | 13% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 24% | ||
| Dolphins Wins | 12% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 30% | ||
| Vikings (1‑1) vs Bengals (2‑0) |
7 | Vikings Wins | 22% | 16% | 12% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 24% | ||
| Bengals Wins | 20% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 24% | ||
| Titans (0‑2) vs Colts (2‑0) |
5 | Titans Wins | 22% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 24% | ||
| Colts Wins | 21% | 16% | 12% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 24% | ||
| Lions (1‑1) vs Ravens (1‑1) |
4 | Lions Wins | 22% | 16% | 12% | 11% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 24% | ||
| Ravens Wins | 21% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 24% | ||
| Commanders (1‑1) vs Raiders (1‑1) |
3 | Commanders Wins | 22% | 16% | 12% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 24% | ||
| Raiders Wins | 21% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 24% | ||
| Buccaneers (2‑0) vs Jets (0‑2) |
3 | Buccaneers Wins | 21% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 24% | ||
| Jets Wins | 21% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 24% | ||
| Broncos (1‑1) vs Chargers (2‑0) |
3 | Broncos Wins | 23% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 24% | ||
| Chargers Wins | 21% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 23% | ||
| Packers (2‑0) vs Browns (0‑2) |
3 | Packers Wins | 21% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 24% | ||
| Browns Wins | 21% | 16% | 12% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 24% | ||
| Steelers (1‑1) vs Patriots (1‑1) |
2 | Steelers Wins | 21% | 16% | 14% | 13% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 24% | ||
| Patriots Wins | 21% | 16% | 12% | 11% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 24% | ||
| Texans (0‑2) vs Jaguars (1‑1) |
1 | Texans Wins | 21% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 24% | ||
| Jaguars Wins | 21% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 23% | ||
| Giants (0‑2) vs Chiefs (0‑2) |
0 | Giants Wins | 21% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 24% | ||
| Chiefs Wins | 21% | 16% | 12% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 24% | ||