Where are the Bills going in the playoff? The Bills playoff picture table presents the probabilities that the Bills will win each playoff spot. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs |
||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | DivisionDiv | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | T | GPi Games Played 17 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| Bills | East | 4i Bills Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 14 @ Jets 30-10 Won Thu, Sep 18 vs Dolphins 31-21 Won Sun, Sep 28 vs Saints 31-19 Lost Sun, Oct 05 vs Pats 20-23 Mon, Oct 13 @ Falcons Sun, Oct 26 @ Panthers Sun, Nov 02 vs Chiefs Sun, Nov 09 @ Dolphins |
1 | 0 | 5 | 13% | 13% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 27% |
| Jaguars | South | 4 Jaguars Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 14 @ Bengals 27-31 Won Sun, Sep 21 vs Texans 17-10 Won Sun, Sep 28 @ 49ers 26-21 Won Mon, Oct 06 vs Chiefs 31-28 Sun, Oct 12 vs Seahawks Sun, Oct 19 vs Rams Sun, Nov 02 @ Raiders Sun, Nov 09 @ Texans |
1 | 0 | 5 | 22% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 15% | 9% | 7% | 18% |
| Steelers | North | 3 Steelers Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 07 @ Jets 34-32 Lost Sun, Sep 14 vs Seahawks 17-31 Won Sun, Sep 21 @ Pats 21-14 Won Sun, Sep 28 vs Vikings 24-21 Sun, Oct 12 vs Browns Thu, Oct 16 @ Bengals Sun, Oct 26 vs Packers Sun, Nov 02 vs Colts |
1 | 0 | 4 | 22% | 16% | 14% | 13% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 22% |
| Chargers | West | 3 Chargers Recent Games Won Mon, Sep 15 @ Raiders 20-9 Won Sun, Sep 21 vs Broncos 23-20 Lost Sun, Sep 28 @ Giants 18-21 Lost Sun, Oct 05 vs Commanders 10-27 Sun, Oct 12 @ Dolphins Sun, Oct 19 vs Colts Thu, Oct 23 vs Vikings Sun, Nov 02 @ Titans |
2 | 0 | 5 | 6% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 44% |
| Colts | South | 4 Colts Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 14 vs Broncos 29-28 Won Sun, Sep 21 @ Titans 41-20 Lost Sun, Sep 28 @ Rams 20-27 Won Sun, Oct 05 vs Raiders 40-6 Sun, Oct 12 vs Cards Sun, Oct 19 @ Chargers Sun, Oct 26 vs Titans Sun, Nov 02 @ Steelers |
1 | 0 | 5 | 17% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 17% | 11% | 8% | 25% |
| Broncos | West | 3 Broncos Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 14 @ Colts 28-29 Lost Sun, Sep 21 @ Chargers 20-23 Won Mon, Sep 29 vs Bengals 28-3 Won Sun, Oct 05 @ Eagles 21-17 Sun, Oct 12 @ Jets Sun, Oct 19 vs Giants Sun, Oct 26 vs Cowboys Sun, Nov 02 @ Texans |
2 | 0 | 5 | 8% | 13% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 32% |
| Patriots | East | 3 Patriots Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 14 @ Dolphins 33-27 Lost Sun, Sep 21 vs Steelers 14-21 Won Sun, Sep 28 vs Panthers 42-13 Won Sun, Oct 05 @ Bills 23-20 Sun, Oct 12 @ Saints Sun, Oct 19 @ Titans Sun, Oct 26 vs Browns Sun, Nov 02 vs Falcons |
2 | 0 | 5 | 7% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 30% |
| Bengals | North | 2 Bengals Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 14 vs Jaguars 31-27 Lost Sun, Sep 21 @ Vikings 10-48 Lost Mon, Sep 29 @ Broncos 3-28 Lost Sun, Oct 05 vs Lions 24-37 Sun, Oct 12 @ Packers Thu, Oct 16 vs Steelers Sun, Oct 26 vs Jets Sun, Nov 02 vs Bears |
3 | 0 | 5 | 2% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 53% |
| Texans | South | 2 Texans Recent Games Lost Mon, Sep 15 vs Bucs 19-20 Lost Sun, Sep 21 @ Jaguars 10-17 Won Sun, Sep 28 vs Titans 26-0 Won Sun, Oct 05 @ Ravens 44-10 Mon, Oct 20 @ Seahawks Sun, Oct 26 vs 49ers Sun, Nov 02 vs Broncos Sun, Nov 09 vs Jaguars |
3 | 0 | 5 | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 65% |
| Chiefs | West | 2 Chiefs Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 14 vs Eagles 17-20 Won Sun, Sep 21 @ Giants 22-9 Won Sun, Sep 28 vs Ravens 37-20 Lost Mon, Oct 06 @ Jaguars 28-31 Sun, Oct 12 vs Lions Sun, Oct 19 vs Raiders Mon, Oct 27 vs Commanders Sun, Nov 02 @ Bills |
3 | 0 | 5 | 1% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 64% |
| Raiders | West | 1 Raiders Recent Games Lost Mon, Sep 15 vs Chargers 9-20 Lost Sun, Sep 21 @ Commanders 24-41 Lost Sun, Sep 28 vs Bears 24-25 Lost Sun, Oct 05 @ Colts 6-40 Sun, Oct 12 vs Titans Sun, Oct 19 @ Chiefs Sun, Nov 02 vs Jaguars Thu, Nov 06 @ Broncos |
4 | 0 | 5 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 81% |
| Ravens | North | 1 Ravens Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 14 vs Browns 41-17 Lost Mon, Sep 22 vs Lions 30-38 Lost Sun, Sep 28 @ Chiefs 20-37 Lost Sun, Oct 05 vs Texans 10-44 Sun, Oct 12 vs Rams Sun, Oct 26 vs Bears Thu, Oct 30 @ Dolphins Sun, Nov 09 @ Vikings |
4 | 0 | 5 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 86% |
| Browns | North | 1 Browns Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 14 @ Ravens 17-41 Won Sun, Sep 21 vs Packers 13-10 Lost Sun, Sep 28 @ Lions 10-34 Lost Sun, Oct 05 vs Vikings 17-21 Sun, Oct 12 @ Steelers Sun, Oct 19 vs Dolphins Sun, Oct 26 @ Pats Sun, Nov 09 @ Jets |
4 | 0 | 5 | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 85% |
| Dolphins | East | 1 Dolphins Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 14 vs Pats 27-33 Lost Thu, Sep 18 @ Bills 21-31 Won Mon, Sep 29 vs Jets 27-21 Lost Sun, Oct 05 @ Panthers 24-27 Sun, Oct 12 vs Chargers Sun, Oct 19 @ Browns Sun, Oct 26 @ Falcons Thu, Oct 30 vs Ravens |
4 | 0 | 5 | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 85% |
| Titans | South | 1 Titans Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 14 vs Rams 19-33 Lost Sun, Sep 21 vs Colts 20-41 Lost Sun, Sep 28 @ Texans 0-26 Won Sun, Oct 05 @ Cards 22-21 Sun, Oct 12 @ Raiders Sun, Oct 19 vs Pats Sun, Oct 26 @ Colts Sun, Nov 02 vs Chargers |
4 | 0 | 5 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 87% |
| Jets | East | 0 Jets Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 14 vs Bills 10-30 Lost Sun, Sep 21 @ Bucs 27-29 Lost Mon, Sep 29 @ Dolphins 21-27 Lost Sun, Oct 05 vs Cowboys 22-37 Sun, Oct 12 vs Broncos Sun, Oct 19 vs Panthers Sun, Oct 26 @ Bengals Sun, Nov 09 vs Browns |
5 | 0 | 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 97% |
| Record | Total | Home (35%) |
Away (25%) |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | T | |||
| Bye | 13% | |||||
| (7)Patriots | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9% | 4% | 5% |
| (2)Jaguars | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6% | 4% | 3% |
| (5)Colts | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| (6)Broncos | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6% | 3% | 3% |
| (3)Steelers | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6% | 2% | 4% |
| (4)Chargers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| (8)Bengals | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| (10)Chiefs | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| (9)Texans | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3% | 3% | 1% |
| (15)Titans | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2% | 2% | <1% |
| (11)Raiders | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| (12)Ravens | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| (14)Dolphins | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| (13)Browns | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| (16)Jets | 0 | 5 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Elimination | 27% | |||||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ravens (1‑4) |
41‑40 | Home | Sun Sep 7, 8:20 pm |
| 2 | Jets (0‑5) |
30‑10 | Away | Sun Sep 14, 1:00 pm |
| 3 | Dolphins (1‑4) |
31‑21 | Home | Thu Sep 18, 8:15 pm |
| 4 | Saints (1‑4) |
31‑19 | Home | Sun Sep 28, 1:00 pm |
| 5 | Patriots (3‑2) |
20‑23 | Home | Sun Oct 5, 8:20 pm |
| 6 | Falcons (2‑2) |
Away | Mon Oct 13, 7:15 pm | |
| 8 | Panthers (2‑3) |
Away | Sun Oct 26, 1:00 pm | |
| 9 | Chiefs (2‑3) |
Home | Sun Nov 2, 4:25 pm | |
| 10 | Dolphins (1‑4) |
Away | Sun Nov 9, 1:00 pm | |
| 11 | Buccaneers (4‑1) |
Home | Sun Nov 16, 1:00 pm | |
| 12 | Texans (2‑3) |
Away | Thu Nov 20, 8:15 pm | |
| 13 | Steelers (3‑1) |
Away | Sun Nov 30, 4:25 pm | |
| 14 | Bengals (2‑3) |
Home | Sun Dec 7, 4:25 pm | |
| 15 | Patriots (3‑2) |
Away | Sun Dec 14, 1:00 pm | |
| 16 | Browns (1‑4) |
Away | Sun Dec 21, 1:00 pm | |
| 17 | Eagles (4‑1) |
Home | Sun Dec 28, 4:25 pm | |
| 18 | Jets (0‑5) |
Home | Sun Jan 4, TBD |