Where are the Bills going in the playoff? The Bills playoff picture table presents the probabilities that the Bills will win each playoff spot. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | DivisionDiv | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | T | GPi Games Played 17 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| Colts | South | 8i Colts Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 19 @ Chargers 38-24 Won Sun, Oct 26 vs Titans 38-14 Lost Sun, Nov 02 @ Steelers 20-27 Won Sun, Nov 09 vs Falcons 31-25 Sun, Nov 23 @ Chiefs Sun, Nov 30 vs Texans Sun, Dec 07 @ Jaguars Sun, Dec 14 @ Seahawks |
2 | 0 | 10 | 24% | 21% | 22% | 11% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% |
| Broncos | West | 8 Broncos Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 19 vs Giants 33-32 Won Sun, Oct 26 vs Cowboys 44-24 Won Sun, Nov 02 @ Texans 18-15 Won Thu, Nov 06 vs Raiders 10-7 Sun, Nov 16 vs Chiefs Sun, Nov 30 @ Commanders Sun, Dec 07 @ Raiders Sun, Dec 14 vs Packers |
2 | 0 | 10 | 29% | 22% | 15% | 6% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 3% |
| Patriots | East | 8 Patriots Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 19 @ Titans 31-13 Won Sun, Oct 26 vs Browns 32-13 Won Sun, Nov 02 vs Falcons 24-23 Won Sun, Nov 09 @ Bucs 28-23 Thu, Nov 13 vs Jets Sun, Nov 23 @ Bengals Mon, Dec 01 vs Giants Sun, Dec 14 vs Bills |
2 | 0 | 10 | 33% | 29% | 19% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Steelers | North | 5 Steelers Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 12 vs Browns 23-9 Lost Thu, Oct 16 @ Bengals 31-33 Lost Sun, Oct 26 vs Packers 25-35 Won Sun, Nov 02 vs Colts 27-20 Sun, Nov 09 @ Chargers Sun, Nov 16 vs Bengals Sun, Nov 23 @ Bears Sun, Nov 30 vs Bills |
3 | 0 | 8 | 5% | 10% | 17% | 37% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 21% |
| Chargers | West | 6 Chargers Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 12 @ Dolphins 29-27 Lost Sun, Oct 19 vs Colts 24-38 Won Thu, Oct 23 vs Vikings 37-10 Won Sun, Nov 02 @ Titans 27-20 Sun, Nov 09 vs Steelers Sun, Nov 16 @ Jaguars Sun, Nov 30 vs Raiders Mon, Dec 08 vs Eagles |
3 | 0 | 9 | 4% | 6% | 7% | 2% | 23% | 17% | 14% | 27% |
| Bills | East | 6 Bills Recent Games Lost Mon, Oct 13 @ Falcons 14-24 Won Sun, Oct 26 @ Panthers 40-9 Won Sun, Nov 02 vs Chiefs 28-21 Lost Sun, Nov 09 @ Dolphins 13-30 Sun, Nov 16 vs Bucs Thu, Nov 20 @ Texans Sun, Nov 30 @ Steelers Sun, Dec 07 vs Bengals |
3 | 0 | 9 | 3% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 28% | 22% | 14% | 24% |
| Jaguars | South | 5 Jaguars Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 12 vs Seahawks 12-20 Lost Sun, Oct 19 vs Rams 7-35 Won Sun, Nov 02 @ Raiders 30-29 Lost Sun, Nov 09 @ Texans 29-36 Sun, Nov 16 vs Chargers Sun, Nov 23 @ Cards Sun, Nov 30 @ Titans Sun, Dec 07 vs Colts |
4 | 0 | 9 | 1% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 10% | 15% | 17% | 42% |
| Chiefs | West | 5 Chiefs Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 12 vs Lions 30-17 Won Sun, Oct 19 vs Raiders 31-0 Won Mon, Oct 27 vs Commanders 28-7 Lost Sun, Nov 02 @ Bills 21-28 Sun, Nov 16 @ Broncos Sun, Nov 23 vs Colts Thu, Nov 27 @ Cowboys Sun, Dec 07 vs Texans |
4 | 0 | 9 | 1% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 8% | 13% | 16% | 54% |
| Texans | South | 4 Texans Recent Games Lost Mon, Oct 20 @ Seahawks 19-27 Won Sun, Oct 26 vs 49ers 26-15 Lost Sun, Nov 02 vs Broncos 15-18 Won Sun, Nov 09 vs Jaguars 36-29 Sun, Nov 16 @ Titans Thu, Nov 20 vs Bills Sun, Nov 30 @ Colts Sun, Dec 07 @ Chiefs |
5 | 0 | 9 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 70% |
| Ravens | North | 4 Ravens Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 12 vs Rams 3-17 Won Sun, Oct 26 vs Bears 30-16 Won Thu, Oct 30 @ Dolphins 28-6 Won Sun, Nov 09 @ Vikings 27-19 Sun, Nov 16 @ Browns Sun, Nov 23 vs Jets Thu, Nov 27 vs Bengals Sun, Dec 07 vs Steelers |
5 | 0 | 9 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 21% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 70% |
| Bengals | North | 3 Bengals Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 12 @ Packers 18-27 Won Thu, Oct 16 vs Steelers 33-31 Lost Sun, Oct 26 vs Jets 38-39 Lost Sun, Nov 02 vs Bears 42-47 Sun, Nov 16 @ Steelers Sun, Nov 23 vs Pats Thu, Nov 27 @ Ravens Sun, Dec 07 @ Bills |
6 | 0 | 9 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 87% |
| Dolphins | East | 3 Dolphins Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 19 @ Browns 6-31 Won Sun, Oct 26 @ Falcons 34-10 Lost Thu, Oct 30 vs Ravens 6-28 Won Sun, Nov 09 vs Bills 30-13 Sun, Nov 16 vs Commanders Sun, Nov 30 vs Saints Sun, Dec 07 @ Jets Mon, Dec 15 @ Steelers |
7 | 0 | 10 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Jets | East | 2 Jets Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 12 vs Broncos 11-13 Lost Sun, Oct 19 vs Panthers 6-13 Won Sun, Oct 26 @ Bengals 39-38 Won Sun, Nov 09 vs Browns 27-20 Thu, Nov 13 @ Pats Sun, Nov 23 @ Ravens Sun, Nov 30 vs Falcons Sun, Dec 07 vs Dolphins |
7 | 0 | 9 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Raiders | West | 2 Raiders Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 12 vs Titans 20-10 Lost Sun, Oct 19 @ Chiefs 0-31 Lost Sun, Nov 02 vs Jaguars 29-30 Lost Thu, Nov 06 @ Broncos 7-10 Mon, Nov 17 vs Cowboys Sun, Nov 23 vs Browns Sun, Nov 30 @ Chargers Sun, Dec 07 vs Broncos |
7 | 0 | 9 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Browns | North | 2 Browns Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 12 @ Steelers 9-23 Won Sun, Oct 19 vs Dolphins 31-6 Lost Sun, Oct 26 @ Pats 13-32 Lost Sun, Nov 09 @ Jets 20-27 Sun, Nov 16 vs Ravens Sun, Nov 23 @ Raiders Sun, Nov 30 vs 49ers Sun, Dec 07 vs Titans |
7 | 0 | 9 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Titans | South | 1 Titans Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 12 @ Raiders 10-20 Lost Sun, Oct 19 vs Pats 13-31 Lost Sun, Oct 26 @ Colts 14-38 Lost Sun, Nov 02 vs Chargers 20-27 Sun, Nov 16 vs Texans Sun, Nov 23 vs Seahawks Sun, Nov 30 vs Jaguars Sun, Dec 07 @ Browns |
8 | 0 | 9 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Record | Total | Home (9%) |
Away (64%) |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | T | |||
| Bye | 3% | |||||
| (4)Steelers | 5 | 3 | 0 | 17% | <1% | 16% |
| (3)Patriots | 8 | 2 | 0 | 14% | 2% | 12% |
| (1)Colts | 8 | 2 | 0 | 12% | <1% | 11% |
| (2)Broncos | 8 | 2 | 0 | 9% | 1% | 8% |
| (10)Ravens | 4 | 5 | 0 | 7% | <1% | 7% |
| (5)Chargers | 6 | 3 | 0 | 5% | 2% | 3% |
| (7)Jaguars | 5 | 4 | 0 | 4% | 1% | 3% |
| (8)Chiefs | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3% | 1% | 2% |
| (9)Texans | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| (11)Bengals | 3 | 6 | 0 | 2% | <1% | 2% |
| (15)Browns | 2 | 7 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (12)Dolphins | 3 | 7 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (14)Raiders | 2 | 7 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (13)Jets | 2 | 7 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (16)Titans | 1 | 8 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Elimination | 24% | |||||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ravens (4‑5) |
41‑40 | Home | Sun Sep 7, 8:20 pm |
| 2 | Jets (2‑7) |
30‑10 | Away | Sun Sep 14, 1:00 pm |
| 3 | Dolphins (3‑7) |
31‑21 | Home | Thu Sep 18, 8:15 pm |
| 4 | Saints (2‑8) |
31‑19 | Home | Sun Sep 28, 1:00 pm |
| 5 | Patriots (8‑2) |
20‑23 | Home | Sun Oct 5, 8:20 pm |
| 6 | Falcons (3‑6) |
14‑24 | Away | Mon Oct 13, 7:15 pm |
| 8 | Panthers (5‑5) |
40‑9 | Away | Sun Oct 26, 1:00 pm |
| 9 | Chiefs (5‑4) |
28‑21 | Home | Sun Nov 2, 4:25 pm |
| 10 | Dolphins (3‑7) |
13‑30 | Away | Sun Nov 9, 1:00 pm |
| 11 | Buccaneers (6‑3) |
Home | Sun Nov 16, 1:00 pm | |
| 12 | Texans (4‑5) |
Away | Thu Nov 20, 8:15 pm | |
| 13 | Steelers (5‑3) |
Away | Sun Nov 30, 4:25 pm | |
| 14 | Bengals (3‑6) |
Home | Sun Dec 7, 4:25 pm | |
| 15 | Patriots (8‑2) |
Away | Sun Dec 14, 1:00 pm | |
| 16 | Browns (2‑7) |
Away | Sun Dec 21, 1:00 pm | |
| 17 | Eagles (6‑2) |
Home | Sun Dec 28, 4:25 pm | |
| 18 | Jets (2‑7) |
Home | Sun Jan 4, TBD |