Where are the Bills going in the playoff? The Bills playoff picture table presents the probabilities that the Bills will win each playoff spot. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs |
||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | DivisionDiv | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | T | GPi Games Played 17 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| Colts | South | 6i Colts Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 28 @ Rams 20-27 Won Sun, Oct 05 vs Raiders 40-6 Won Sun, Oct 12 vs Cards 31-27 Won Sun, Oct 19 @ Chargers 38-24 Sun, Oct 26 vs Titans Sun, Nov 02 @ Steelers Sun, Nov 09 vs Falcons Sun, Nov 23 @ Chiefs |
1 | 0 | 7 | 39% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 5% |
| Broncos | West | 5 Broncos Recent Games Won Mon, Sep 29 vs Bengals 28-3 Won Sun, Oct 05 @ Eagles 21-17 Won Sun, Oct 12 @ Jets 13-11 Won Sun, Oct 19 vs Giants 33-32 Sun, Oct 26 vs Cowboys Sun, Nov 02 @ Texans Thu, Nov 06 vs Raiders Sun, Nov 16 vs Chiefs |
2 | 0 | 7 | 13% | 17% | 15% | 8% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 19% |
| Patriots | East | 5 Patriots Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 28 vs Panthers 42-13 Won Sun, Oct 05 @ Bills 23-20 Won Sun, Oct 12 @ Saints 25-19 Won Sun, Oct 19 @ Titans 31-13 Sun, Oct 26 vs Browns Sun, Nov 02 vs Falcons Sun, Nov 09 @ Bucs Thu, Nov 13 vs Jets |
2 | 0 | 7 | 15% | 21% | 19% | 18% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 9% |
| Steelers | North | 4 Steelers Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 21 @ Pats 21-14 Won Sun, Sep 28 vs Vikings 24-21 Won Sun, Oct 12 vs Browns 23-9 Lost Thu, Oct 16 @ Bengals 31-33 Sun, Oct 26 vs Packers Sun, Nov 02 vs Colts Sun, Nov 09 @ Chargers Sun, Nov 16 vs Bengals |
2 | 0 | 6 | 13% | 13% | 15% | 20% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 22% |
| Bills | East | 4 Bills Recent Games Won Thu, Sep 18 vs Dolphins 31-21 Won Sun, Sep 28 vs Saints 31-19 Lost Sun, Oct 05 vs Pats 20-23 Lost Mon, Oct 13 @ Falcons 14-24 Sun, Oct 26 @ Panthers Sun, Nov 02 vs Chiefs Sun, Nov 09 @ Dolphins Sun, Nov 16 vs Bucs |
2 | 0 | 6 | 5% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 39% |
| Chargers | West | 4 Chargers Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 28 @ Giants 18-21 Lost Sun, Oct 05 vs Commanders 10-27 Won Sun, Oct 12 @ Dolphins 29-27 Lost Sun, Oct 19 vs Colts 24-38 Thu, Oct 23 vs Vikings Sun, Nov 02 @ Titans Sun, Nov 09 vs Steelers Sun, Nov 16 @ Jaguars |
3 | 0 | 7 | 3% | 6% | 8% | 5% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 41% |
| Jaguars | South | 4 Jaguars Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 28 @ 49ers 26-21 Won Mon, Oct 06 vs Chiefs 31-28 Lost Sun, Oct 12 vs Seahawks 12-20 Lost Sun, Oct 19 vs Rams 7-35 Sun, Nov 02 @ Raiders Sun, Nov 09 @ Texans Sun, Nov 16 vs Chargers Sun, Nov 23 @ Cards |
3 | 0 | 7 | 6% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 35% |
| Chiefs | West | 4 Chiefs Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 28 vs Ravens 37-20 Lost Mon, Oct 06 @ Jaguars 28-31 Won Sun, Oct 12 vs Lions 30-17 Won Sun, Oct 19 vs Raiders 31-0 Mon, Oct 27 vs Commanders Sun, Nov 02 @ Bills Sun, Nov 16 @ Broncos Sun, Nov 23 vs Colts |
3 | 0 | 7 | 4% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 46% |
| Bengals | North | 3 Bengals Recent Games Lost Mon, Sep 29 @ Broncos 3-28 Lost Sun, Oct 05 vs Lions 24-37 Lost Sun, Oct 12 @ Packers 18-27 Won Thu, Oct 16 vs Steelers 33-31 Sun, Oct 26 vs Jets Sun, Nov 02 vs Bears Sun, Nov 16 @ Steelers Sun, Nov 23 vs Pats |
4 | 0 | 7 | 2% | 5% | 8% | 17% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 42% |
| Texans | South | 2 Texans Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 21 @ Jaguars 10-17 Won Sun, Sep 28 vs Titans 26-0 Won Sun, Oct 05 @ Ravens 44-10 Lost Mon, Oct 20 @ Seahawks 19-27 Sun, Oct 26 vs 49ers Sun, Nov 02 vs Broncos Sun, Nov 09 vs Jaguars Sun, Nov 16 @ Titans |
4 | 0 | 6 | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 78% |
| Raiders | West | 2 Raiders Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 28 vs Bears 24-25 Lost Sun, Oct 05 @ Colts 6-40 Won Sun, Oct 12 vs Titans 20-10 Lost Sun, Oct 19 @ Chiefs 0-31 Sun, Nov 02 vs Jaguars Thu, Nov 06 @ Broncos Mon, Nov 17 vs Cowboys Sun, Nov 23 vs Browns |
5 | 0 | 7 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 86% |
| Browns | North | 2 Browns Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 28 @ Lions 10-34 Lost Sun, Oct 05 vs Vikings 17-21 Lost Sun, Oct 12 @ Steelers 9-23 Won Sun, Oct 19 vs Dolphins 31-6 Sun, Oct 26 @ Pats Sun, Nov 09 @ Jets Sun, Nov 16 vs Ravens Sun, Nov 23 @ Raiders |
5 | 0 | 7 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 88% |
| Ravens | North | 1 Ravens Recent Games Lost Mon, Sep 22 vs Lions 30-38 Lost Sun, Sep 28 @ Chiefs 20-37 Lost Sun, Oct 05 vs Texans 10-44 Lost Sun, Oct 12 vs Rams 3-17 Sun, Oct 26 vs Bears Thu, Oct 30 @ Dolphins Sun, Nov 09 @ Vikings Sun, Nov 16 @ Browns |
5 | 0 | 6 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 95% |
| Dolphins | East | 1 Dolphins Recent Games Won Mon, Sep 29 vs Jets 27-21 Lost Sun, Oct 05 @ Panthers 24-27 Lost Sun, Oct 12 vs Chargers 27-29 Lost Sun, Oct 19 @ Browns 6-31 Sun, Oct 26 @ Falcons Thu, Oct 30 vs Ravens Sun, Nov 09 vs Bills Sun, Nov 16 vs Commanders |
6 | 0 | 7 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
| Titans | South | 1 Titans Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 28 @ Texans 0-26 Won Sun, Oct 05 @ Cards 22-21 Lost Sun, Oct 12 @ Raiders 10-20 Lost Sun, Oct 19 vs Pats 13-31 Sun, Oct 26 @ Colts Sun, Nov 02 vs Chargers Sun, Nov 16 vs Texans Sun, Nov 23 vs Seahawks |
6 | 0 | 7 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
| Jets | East | 0 Jets Recent Games Lost Mon, Sep 29 @ Dolphins 21-27 Lost Sun, Oct 05 vs Cowboys 22-37 Lost Sun, Oct 12 vs Broncos 11-13 Lost Sun, Oct 19 vs Panthers 6-13 Sun, Oct 26 @ Bengals Sun, Nov 09 vs Browns Thu, Nov 13 @ Pats Sun, Nov 23 @ Ravens |
7 | 0 | 7 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Record | Total | Home (20%) |
Away (36%) |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | T | |||
| Bye | 5% | |||||
| (3)Patriots | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11% | 3% | 8% |
| (4)Steelers | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8% | 1% | 7% |
| (2)Broncos | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7% | 2% | 5% |
| (9)Bengals | 3 | 4 | 0 | 6% | 2% | 4% |
| (6)Chargers | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5% | 3% | 3% |
| (7)Jaguars | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| (1)Colts | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5% | 1% | 4% |
| (8)Chiefs | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| (10)Texans | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| (11)Raiders | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| (12)Browns | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| (13)Ravens | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1% | <1% | 1% |
| (14)Dolphins | 1 | 6 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (15)Titans | 1 | 6 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (16)Jets | 0 | 7 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Elimination | 39% | |||||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ravens (1‑5) |
41‑40 | Home | Sun Sep 7, 8:20 pm |
| 2 | Jets (0‑7) |
30‑10 | Away | Sun Sep 14, 1:00 pm |
| 3 | Dolphins (1‑6) |
31‑21 | Home | Thu Sep 18, 8:15 pm |
| 4 | Saints (1‑6) |
31‑19 | Home | Sun Sep 28, 1:00 pm |
| 5 | Patriots (5‑2) |
20‑23 | Home | Sun Oct 5, 8:20 pm |
| 6 | Falcons (3‑3) |
14‑24 | Away | Mon Oct 13, 7:15 pm |
| 8 | Panthers (4‑3) |
Away | Sun Oct 26, 1:00 pm | |
| 9 | Chiefs (4‑3) |
Home | Sun Nov 2, 4:25 pm | |
| 10 | Dolphins (1‑6) |
Away | Sun Nov 9, 1:00 pm | |
| 11 | Buccaneers (5‑2) |
Home | Sun Nov 16, 1:00 pm | |
| 12 | Texans (2‑4) |
Away | Thu Nov 20, 8:15 pm | |
| 13 | Steelers (4‑2) |
Away | Sun Nov 30, 4:25 pm | |
| 14 | Bengals (3‑4) |
Home | Sun Dec 7, 4:25 pm | |
| 15 | Patriots (5‑2) |
Away | Sun Dec 14, 1:00 pm | |
| 16 | Browns (2‑5) |
Away | Sun Dec 21, 1:00 pm | |
| 17 | Eagles (5‑2) |
Home | Sun Dec 28, 4:25 pm | |
| 18 | Jets (0‑7) |
Home | Sun Jan 4, TBD |