Where are the Bills going in the playoff? The Bills playoff picture table presents the probabilities that the Bills will win each playoff spot. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | DivisionDiv | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | T | GPi Games Played 17 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| Broncos | West | 10i Broncos Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 02 @ Texans 18-15 Won Thu, Nov 06 vs Raiders 10-7 Won Sun, Nov 16 vs Chiefs 22-19 Won Sun, Nov 30 @ Commanders 27-26 Sun, Dec 07 @ Raiders Sun, Dec 14 vs Packers Sun, Dec 21 vs Jaguars Thu, Dec 25 @ Chiefs |
2 | 0 | 12 | 51% | 30% | 10% | <1% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Patriots | East | 10 Patriots Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 02 vs Falcons 24-23 Won Sun, Nov 09 @ Bucs 28-23 Won Thu, Nov 13 vs Jets 27-14 Won Sun, Nov 23 @ Bengals 26-20 Mon, Dec 01 vs Giants Sun, Dec 14 vs Bills Sun, Dec 21 @ Ravens Sun, Dec 28 @ Jets |
2 | 0 | 12 | 42% | 44% | 5% | <1% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Jaguars | South | 8 Jaguars Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 09 @ Texans 29-36 Won Sun, Nov 16 vs Chargers 35-6 Won Sun, Nov 23 @ Cards 27-24 Won Sun, Nov 30 @ Titans 25-3 Sun, Dec 07 vs Colts Sun, Dec 14 vs Jets Sun, Dec 21 @ Broncos Sun, Dec 28 @ Colts |
4 | 0 | 12 | 4% | 12% | 31% | 1% | 10% | 17% | 14% | 11% |
| Ravens | North | 6 Ravens Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 09 @ Vikings 27-19 Won Sun, Nov 16 @ Browns 23-16 Won Sun, Nov 23 vs Jets 23-10 Lost Thu, Nov 27 vs Bengals 14-32 Sun, Dec 07 vs Steelers Sun, Dec 14 @ Bengals Sun, Dec 21 vs Pats Sun, Dec 28 @ Packers |
6 | 0 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 38% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 62% |
| Chargers | West | 8 Chargers Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 02 @ Titans 27-20 Won Sun, Nov 09 vs Steelers 22-10 Lost Sun, Nov 16 @ Jaguars 6-35 Won Sun, Nov 30 vs Raiders 31-14 Mon, Dec 08 vs Eagles Sun, Dec 14 @ Chiefs Sun, Dec 21 @ Cowboys Sun, Dec 28 vs Texans |
4 | 0 | 12 | 1% | 3% | 4% | <1% | 19% | 17% | 19% | 37% |
| Colts | South | 8 Colts Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 02 @ Steelers 20-27 Won Sun, Nov 09 vs Falcons 31-25 Lost Sun, Nov 23 @ Chiefs 20-23 Lost Sun, Nov 30 vs Texans 16-20 Sun, Dec 07 @ Jaguars Sun, Dec 14 @ Seahawks Mon, Dec 22 vs 49ers Sun, Dec 28 vs Jaguars |
4 | 0 | 12 | 1% | 4% | 17% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 18% | 42% |
| Bills | East | 8 Bills Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 09 @ Dolphins 13-30 Won Sun, Nov 16 vs Bucs 44-32 Lost Thu, Nov 20 @ Texans 19-23 Won Sun, Nov 30 @ Steelers 26-7 Sun, Dec 07 vs Bengals Sun, Dec 14 @ Pats Sun, Dec 21 @ Browns Sun, Dec 28 vs Eagles |
4 | 0 | 12 | 2% | 6% | 2% | <1% | 42% | 26% | 14% | 9% |
| Texans | South | 7 Texans Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 09 vs Jaguars 36-29 Won Sun, Nov 16 @ Titans 16-13 Won Thu, Nov 20 vs Bills 23-19 Won Sun, Nov 30 @ Colts 20-16 Sun, Dec 07 @ Chiefs Sun, Dec 14 vs Cards Sun, Dec 21 vs Raiders Sun, Dec 28 @ Chargers |
5 | 0 | 12 | <1% | 2% | 27% | <1% | 11% | 15% | 17% | 27% |
| Steelers | North | 6 Steelers Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 09 @ Chargers 10-22 Won Sun, Nov 16 vs Bengals 34-12 Lost Sun, Nov 23 @ Bears 28-31 Lost Sun, Nov 30 vs Bills 7-26 Sun, Dec 07 @ Ravens Mon, Dec 15 vs Dolphins Sun, Dec 21 @ Lions Sun, Dec 28 @ Browns |
6 | 0 | 12 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 53% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 43% |
| Chiefs | West | 6 Chiefs Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 02 @ Bills 21-28 Lost Sun, Nov 16 @ Broncos 19-22 Won Sun, Nov 23 vs Colts 23-20 Lost Thu, Nov 27 @ Cowboys 28-31 Sun, Dec 07 vs Texans Sun, Dec 14 vs Chargers Sun, Dec 21 @ Titans Thu, Dec 25 vs Broncos |
6 | 0 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 14% | 76% |
| Dolphins | East | 5 Dolphins Recent Games Lost Thu, Oct 30 vs Ravens 6-28 Won Sun, Nov 09 vs Bills 30-13 Won Sun, Nov 16 vs Commanders 16-13 Won Sun, Nov 30 vs Saints 21-17 Sun, Dec 07 @ Jets Mon, Dec 15 @ Steelers Sun, Dec 21 vs Bengals Sun, Dec 28 vs Bucs |
7 | 0 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Bengals | North | 4 Bengals Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 02 vs Bears 42-47 Lost Sun, Nov 16 @ Steelers 12-34 Lost Sun, Nov 23 vs Pats 20-26 Won Thu, Nov 27 @ Ravens 32-14 Sun, Dec 07 @ Bills Sun, Dec 14 vs Ravens Sun, Dec 21 @ Dolphins Sun, Dec 28 vs Cards |
8 | 0 | 12 | X | X | <1% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 94% |
| Jets | East | 3 Jets Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 09 vs Browns 27-20 Lost Thu, Nov 13 @ Pats 14-27 Lost Sun, Nov 23 @ Ravens 10-23 Won Sun, Nov 30 vs Falcons 27-24 Sun, Dec 07 vs Dolphins Sun, Dec 14 @ Jaguars Sun, Dec 21 @ Saints Sun, Dec 28 vs Pats |
9 | 0 | 12 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Browns | North | 3 Browns Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 09 @ Jets 20-27 Lost Sun, Nov 16 vs Ravens 16-23 Won Sun, Nov 23 @ Raiders 24-10 Lost Sun, Nov 30 vs 49ers 8-26 Sun, Dec 07 vs Titans Sun, Dec 14 @ Bears Sun, Dec 21 vs Bills Sun, Dec 28 vs Steelers |
9 | 0 | 12 | X | X | X | <1% | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Raiders | West | 2 Raiders Recent Games Lost Thu, Nov 06 @ Broncos 7-10 Lost Mon, Nov 17 vs Cowboys 16-33 Lost Sun, Nov 23 vs Browns 10-24 Lost Sun, Nov 30 @ Chargers 14-31 Sun, Dec 07 vs Broncos Sun, Dec 14 @ Eagles Sun, Dec 21 @ Texans Sun, Dec 28 vs Giants |
10 | 0 | 12 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Titans | South | 1 Titans Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 02 vs Chargers 20-27 Lost Sun, Nov 16 vs Texans 13-16 Lost Sun, Nov 23 vs Seahawks 24-30 Lost Sun, Nov 30 vs Jaguars 3-25 Sun, Dec 07 @ Browns Sun, Dec 14 @ 49ers Sun, Dec 21 vs Chiefs Sun, Dec 28 vs Saints |
11 | 0 | 12 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Record | Total | Home (7%) |
Away (82%) |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | T | |||
| Bye | 2% | |||||
| (9)Steelers | 6 | 6 | 0 | 24% | <1% | 24% |
| (4)Ravens | 6 | 6 | 0 | 16% | <1% | 16% |
| (3)Jaguars | 8 | 4 | 0 | 12% | 1% | 11% |
| (8)Texans | 7 | 5 | 0 | 9% | 1% | 8% |
| (2)Patriots | 10 | 2 | 0 | 9% | 1% | 8% |
| (1)Broncos | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8% | <1% | 8% |
| (6)Colts | 8 | 4 | 0 | 6% | 1% | 5% |
| (5)Chargers | 8 | 4 | 0 | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| (12)Bengals | 4 | 8 | 0 | 2% | <1% | 2% |
| (10)Chiefs | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| (11)Dolphins | 5 | 7 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (14)Browns | 3 | 9 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (13)Jets | 3 | 9 | 0 | <1% | <1% | X |
| Elimination | 9% | |||||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ravens (6‑6) |
41‑40 | Home | Sun Sep 7, 8:20 pm |
| 2 | Jets (3‑9) |
30‑10 | Away | Sun Sep 14, 1:00 pm |
| 3 | Dolphins (5‑7) |
31‑21 | Home | Thu Sep 18, 8:15 pm |
| 4 | Saints (2‑10) |
31‑19 | Home | Sun Sep 28, 1:00 pm |
| 5 | Patriots (10‑2) |
20‑23 | Home | Sun Oct 5, 8:20 pm |
| 6 | Falcons (4‑8) |
14‑24 | Away | Mon Oct 13, 7:15 pm |
| 8 | Panthers (7‑6) |
40‑9 | Away | Sun Oct 26, 1:00 pm |
| 9 | Chiefs (6‑6) |
28‑21 | Home | Sun Nov 2, 4:25 pm |
| 10 | Dolphins (5‑7) |
13‑30 | Away | Sun Nov 9, 1:00 pm |
| 11 | Buccaneers (7‑5) |
44‑32 | Home | Sun Nov 16, 1:00 pm |
| 12 | Texans (7‑5) |
19‑23 | Away | Thu Nov 20, 8:15 pm |
| 13 | Steelers (6‑6) |
26‑7 | Away | Sun Nov 30, 4:25 pm |
| 14 | Bengals (4‑8) |
Home | Sun Dec 7, 4:25 pm | |
| 15 | Patriots (10‑2) |
Away | Sun Dec 14, 1:00 pm | |
| 16 | Browns (3‑9) |
Away | Sun Dec 21, 1:00 pm | |
| 17 | Eagles (8‑4) |
Home | Sun Dec 28, 4:25 pm | |
| 18 | Jets (3‑9) |
Home | Sun Jan 4, TBD |