Where are the Bills going in the playoff? The Bills playoff picture table presents the probabilities that the Bills will win each playoff spot. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | DivisionDiv | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | T | GPi Games Played 17 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| Bills | East | 4i Bills Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 07 vs Ravens 41-40 Won Sun, Sep 14 @ Jets 30-10 Won Thu, Sep 18 vs Dolphins 31-21 Won Sun, Sep 28 vs Saints 31-19 Sun, Oct 05 vs Pats Mon, Oct 13 @ Falcons Sun, Oct 26 @ Panthers Sun, Nov 02 vs Chiefs |
0 | 0 | 4 | 27% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 17% |
| Chargers | West | 3 Chargers Recent Games Won Fri, Sep 05 vs Chiefs 27-21 Won Mon, Sep 15 @ Raiders 20-9 Won Sun, Sep 21 vs Broncos 23-20 Lost Sun, Sep 28 @ Giants 18-21 Sun, Oct 05 vs Commanders Sun, Oct 12 @ Dolphins Sun, Oct 19 vs Colts Thu, Oct 23 vs Vikings |
1 | 0 | 4 | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 31% |
| Steelers | North | 3 Steelers Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 07 @ Jets 34-32 Lost Sun, Sep 14 vs Seahawks 17-31 Won Sun, Sep 21 @ Pats 21-14 Won Sun, Sep 28 vs Vikings 24-21 Sun, Oct 12 vs Browns Thu, Oct 16 @ Bengals Sun, Oct 26 vs Packers Sun, Nov 02 vs Colts |
1 | 0 | 4 | 16% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 30% |
| Jaguars | South | 3 Jaguars Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 07 vs Panthers 26-10 Lost Sun, Sep 14 @ Bengals 27-31 Won Sun, Sep 21 vs Texans 17-10 Won Sun, Sep 28 @ 49ers 26-21 Mon, Oct 06 vs Chiefs Sun, Oct 12 vs Seahawks Sun, Oct 19 vs Rams Sun, Nov 02 @ Raiders |
1 | 0 | 4 | 14% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 29% |
| Colts | South | 3 Colts Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 07 vs Dolphins 33-8 Won Sun, Sep 14 vs Broncos 29-28 Won Sun, Sep 21 @ Titans 41-20 Lost Sun, Sep 28 @ Rams 20-27 Sun, Oct 05 vs Raiders Sun, Oct 12 vs Cards Sun, Oct 19 @ Chargers Sun, Oct 26 vs Titans |
1 | 0 | 4 | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 12% | 8% | 7% | 31% |
| Bengals | North | 2 Bengals Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 07 @ Browns 17-16 Won Sun, Sep 14 vs Jaguars 31-27 Lost Sun, Sep 21 @ Vikings 10-48 Lost Mon, Sep 29 @ Broncos 3-28 Sun, Oct 05 vs Lions Sun, Oct 12 @ Packers Thu, Oct 16 vs Steelers Sun, Oct 26 vs Jets |
2 | 0 | 4 | 4% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 49% |
| Broncos | West | 2 Broncos Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 07 vs Titans 20-12 Lost Sun, Sep 14 @ Colts 28-29 Lost Sun, Sep 21 @ Chargers 20-23 Won Mon, Sep 29 vs Bengals 28-3 Sun, Oct 05 @ Eagles Sun, Oct 12 @ Jets Sun, Oct 19 vs Giants Sun, Oct 26 vs Cowboys |
2 | 0 | 4 | 3% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 52% |
| Chiefs | West | 2 Chiefs Recent Games Lost Fri, Sep 05 @ Chargers 21-27 Lost Sun, Sep 14 vs Eagles 17-20 Won Sun, Sep 21 @ Giants 22-9 Won Sun, Sep 28 vs Ravens 37-20 Mon, Oct 06 @ Jaguars Sun, Oct 12 vs Lions Sun, Oct 19 vs Raiders Mon, Oct 27 vs Commanders |
2 | 0 | 4 | 4% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 51% |
| Patriots | East | 2 Patriots Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 07 vs Raiders 13-20 Won Sun, Sep 14 @ Dolphins 33-27 Lost Sun, Sep 21 vs Steelers 14-21 Won Sun, Sep 28 vs Panthers 42-13 Sun, Oct 05 @ Bills Sun, Oct 12 @ Saints Sun, Oct 19 @ Titans Sun, Oct 26 vs Browns |
2 | 0 | 4 | 2% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 54% |
| Texans | South | 1 Texans Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 07 @ Rams 9-14 Lost Mon, Sep 15 vs Bucs 19-20 Lost Sun, Sep 21 @ Jaguars 10-17 Won Sun, Sep 28 vs Titans 26-0 Sun, Oct 05 @ Ravens Mon, Oct 20 @ Seahawks Sun, Oct 26 vs 49ers Sun, Nov 02 vs Broncos |
3 | 0 | 4 | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 76% |
| Raiders | West | 1 Raiders Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 07 @ Pats 20-13 Lost Mon, Sep 15 vs Chargers 9-20 Lost Sun, Sep 21 @ Commanders 24-41 Lost Sun, Sep 28 vs Bears 24-25 Sun, Oct 05 @ Colts Sun, Oct 12 vs Titans Sun, Oct 19 @ Chiefs Sun, Nov 02 vs Jaguars |
3 | 0 | 4 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 74% |
| Ravens | North | 1 Ravens Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 07 @ Bills 40-41 Won Sun, Sep 14 vs Browns 41-17 Lost Mon, Sep 22 vs Lions 30-38 Lost Sun, Sep 28 @ Chiefs 20-37 Sun, Oct 05 vs Texans Sun, Oct 12 vs Rams Sun, Oct 26 vs Bears Thu, Oct 30 @ Dolphins |
3 | 0 | 4 | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 72% |
| Dolphins | East | 1 Dolphins Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 07 @ Colts 8-33 Lost Sun, Sep 14 vs Pats 27-33 Lost Thu, Sep 18 @ Bills 21-31 Won Mon, Sep 29 vs Jets 27-21 Sun, Oct 05 @ Panthers Sun, Oct 12 vs Chargers Sun, Oct 19 @ Browns Sun, Oct 26 @ Falcons |
3 | 0 | 4 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 75% |
| Browns | North | 1 Browns Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 07 vs Bengals 16-17 Lost Sun, Sep 14 @ Ravens 17-41 Won Sun, Sep 21 vs Packers 13-10 Lost Sun, Sep 28 @ Lions 10-34 Sun, Oct 05 vs Vikings Sun, Oct 12 @ Steelers Sun, Oct 19 vs Dolphins Sun, Oct 26 @ Pats |
3 | 0 | 4 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 76% |
| Jets | East | 0 Jets Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 07 vs Steelers 32-34 Lost Sun, Sep 14 vs Bills 10-30 Lost Sun, Sep 21 @ Bucs 27-29 Lost Mon, Sep 29 @ Dolphins 21-27 Sun, Oct 05 vs Cowboys Sun, Oct 12 vs Broncos Sun, Oct 19 vs Panthers Sun, Oct 26 @ Bengals |
4 | 0 | 4 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 90% |
| Titans | South | 0 Titans Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 07 @ Broncos 12-20 Lost Sun, Sep 14 vs Rams 19-33 Lost Sun, Sep 21 vs Colts 20-41 Lost Sun, Sep 28 @ Texans 0-26 Sun, Oct 05 @ Cards Sun, Oct 12 @ Raiders Sun, Oct 19 vs Pats Sun, Oct 26 @ Colts |
4 | 0 | 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 94% |
| Record | Total | Home (41%) |
Away (15%) |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | T | |||
| Bye | 27% | |||||
| (9)Patriots | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6% | 3% | 3% |
| (6)Bengals | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5% | 4% | 1% |
| (8)Chiefs | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5% | 4% | 1% |
| (7)Broncos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5% | 4% | 1% |
| (3)Steelers | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| (5)Colts | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5% | 3% | 1% |
| (2)Chargers | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5% | 3% | 1% |
| (4)Jaguars | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5% | 3% | 1% |
| (13)Dolphins | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3% | 3% | 1% |
| (12)Ravens | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| (14)Browns | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3% | 2% | <1% |
| (11)Raiders | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3% | 2% | <1% |
| (10)Texans | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3% | 2% | <1% |
| (15)Jets | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| (16)Titans | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Elimination | 17% | |||||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ravens (1‑3) |
41‑40 | Home | Sun Sep 7, 8:20 pm |
| 2 | Jets (0‑4) |
30‑10 | Away | Sun Sep 14, 1:00 pm |
| 3 | Dolphins (1‑3) |
31‑21 | Home | Thu Sep 18, 8:15 pm |
| 4 | Saints (0‑4) |
31‑19 | Home | Sun Sep 28, 1:00 pm |
| 5 | Patriots (2‑2) |
Home | Sun Oct 5, 8:20 pm | |
| 6 | Falcons (2‑2) |
Away | Mon Oct 13, 7:15 pm | |
| 8 | Panthers (1‑3) |
Away | Sun Oct 26, 1:00 pm | |
| 9 | Chiefs (2‑2) |
Home | Sun Nov 2, 4:25 pm | |
| 10 | Dolphins (1‑3) |
Away | Sun Nov 9, 1:00 pm | |
| 11 | Buccaneers (3‑1) |
Home | Sun Nov 16, 1:00 pm | |
| 12 | Texans (1‑3) |
Away | Thu Nov 20, 8:15 pm | |
| 13 | Steelers (3‑1) |
Away | Sun Nov 30, 4:25 pm | |
| 14 | Bengals (2‑2) |
Home | Sun Dec 7, 4:25 pm | |
| 15 | Patriots (2‑2) |
Away | Sun Dec 14, 1:00 pm | |
| 16 | Browns (1‑3) |
Away | Sun Dec 21, 1:00 pm | |
| 17 | Eagles (4‑0) |
Home | Sun Dec 28, 4:25 pm | |
| 18 | Jets (0‑4) |
Home | Sun Jan 4, TBD |