Where are the Bills going in the playoff? The Bills playoff picture table presents the probabilities that the Bills will win each playoff spot. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | DivisionDiv | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | T | GPi Games Played 17 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| Chiefs | West | 12i Chiefs Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 17 @ Bills 21-30 Won Sun, Nov 24 @ Panthers 30-27 Won Fri, Nov 29 vs Raiders 19-17 Won Sun, Dec 08 vs Chargers 19-17 Sun, Dec 15 @ Browns Sat, Dec 21 vs Texans Wed, Dec 25 @ Steelers Sun, Jan 05 @ Broncos |
1 | 0 | 13 | 88% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Bills | East | 10 Bills Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 10 @ Colts 30-20 Won Sun, Nov 17 vs Chiefs 30-21 Won Sun, Dec 01 vs 49'ers 35-10 Lost Sun, Dec 08 @ Rams 42-44 Sun, Dec 15 @ Lions Sun, Dec 22 vs Pats Sun, Dec 29 vs Jets Sun, Jan 05 @ Pats |
3 | 0 | 13 | 7% | 72% | 20% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Steelers | North | 10 Steelers Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 17 vs Ravens 18-16 Lost Thu, Nov 21 @ Browns 19-24 Won Sun, Dec 01 @ Bengals 44-38 Won Sun, Dec 08 vs Browns 27-14 Sun, Dec 15 @ Eagles Sat, Dec 21 @ Ravens Wed, Dec 25 vs Chiefs Sun, Jan 05 vs Bengals |
3 | 0 | 13 | 5% | 16% | 51% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 1% | <1% |
| Texans | South | 8 Texans Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 10 vs Lions 23-26 Won Mon, Nov 18 @ Cowboys 34-10 Lost Sun, Nov 24 vs Titans 27-32 Won Sun, Dec 01 @ Jaguars 23-20 Sun, Dec 15 vs Dolphins Sat, Dec 21 @ Chiefs Wed, Dec 25 vs Ravens Sun, Jan 05 @ Titans |
5 | 0 | 13 | <1% | 1% | 13% | 79% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% |
| Ravens | North | 8 Ravens Recent Games Won Thu, Nov 07 vs Bengals 35-34 Lost Sun, Nov 17 @ Steelers 16-18 Won Mon, Nov 25 @ Chargers 30-23 Lost Sun, Dec 01 vs Eagles 19-24 Sun, Dec 15 @ Giants Sat, Dec 21 vs Steelers Wed, Dec 25 @ Texans Sun, Jan 05 vs Browns |
5 | 0 | 13 | <1% | 2% | 13% | 3% | 38% | 28% | 11% | 5% |
| Chargers | West | 8 Chargers Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 17 vs Bengals 34-27 Lost Mon, Nov 25 vs Ravens 23-30 Won Sun, Dec 01 @ Falcons 17-13 Lost Sun, Dec 08 @ Chiefs 17-19 Sun, Dec 15 vs Bucs Sun, Dec 22 vs Broncos Sun, Dec 29 @ Pats Sun, Jan 05 @ Raiders |
5 | 0 | 13 | X | X | X | X | 36% | 33% | 22% | 9% |
| Broncos | West | 8 Broncos Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 10 @ Chiefs 14-16 Won Sun, Nov 17 vs Falcons 38-6 Won Sun, Nov 24 @ Raiders 29-19 Won Mon, Dec 02 vs Browns 41-32 Sun, Dec 15 vs Colts Sun, Dec 22 @ Chargers Sun, Dec 29 @ Bengals Sun, Jan 05 vs Chiefs |
5 | 0 | 13 | X | X | X | X | 15% | 21% | 36% | 29% |
| Colts | South | 6 Colts Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 10 vs Bills 20-30 Won Sun, Nov 17 @ Jets 28-27 Lost Sun, Nov 24 vs Lions 6-24 Won Sun, Dec 01 @ Pats 25-24 Sun, Dec 15 @ Broncos Sun, Dec 22 vs Titans Sun, Dec 29 @ Giants Sun, Jan 05 vs Jaguars |
7 | 0 | 13 | X | <1% | <1% | 6% | 2% | 8% | 18% | 65% |
| Dolphins | East | 6 Dolphins Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 17 vs Raiders 34-19 Won Sun, Nov 24 vs Pats 34-15 Lost Thu, Nov 28 @ Packers 17-30 Won Sun, Dec 08 vs Jets 32-26 Sun, Dec 15 @ Texans Sun, Dec 22 vs 49'ers Sun, Dec 29 @ Browns Sun, Jan 05 @ Jets |
7 | 0 | 13 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 9% | 88% |
| Bengals | North | 5 Bengals Recent Games Lost Thu, Nov 07 @ Ravens 34-35 Lost Sun, Nov 17 @ Chargers 27-34 Lost Sun, Dec 01 vs Steelers 38-44 Won Mon, Dec 09 @ Cowboys 27-20 Sun, Dec 15 @ Titans Thu, Dec 19 vs Browns Sun, Dec 29 vs Broncos Sun, Jan 05 @ Steelers |
8 | 0 | 13 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Browns | North | 3 Browns Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 17 @ Saints 14-35 Won Thu, Nov 21 vs Steelers 24-19 Lost Mon, Dec 02 @ Broncos 32-41 Lost Sun, Dec 08 @ Steelers 14-27 Sun, Dec 15 vs Chiefs Thu, Dec 19 @ Bengals Sun, Dec 29 vs Dolphins Sun, Jan 05 @ Ravens |
10 | 0 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Jaguars | South | 3 Jaguars Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 10 vs Vikings 7-12 Lost Sun, Nov 17 @ Lions 6-52 Lost Sun, Dec 01 vs Texans 20-23 Won Sun, Dec 08 @ Titans 10-6 Sun, Dec 15 vs Jets Sun, Dec 22 @ Raiders Sun, Dec 29 vs Titans Sun, Jan 05 @ Colts |
10 | 0 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Jets | East | 3 Jets Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 10 @ Cards 6-31 Lost Sun, Nov 17 vs Colts 27-28 Lost Sun, Dec 01 vs Seahawks 21-26 Lost Sun, Dec 08 @ Dolphins 26-32 Sun, Dec 15 @ Jaguars Sun, Dec 22 vs Rams Sun, Dec 29 @ Bills Sun, Jan 05 vs Dolphins |
10 | 0 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Titans | South | 3 Titans Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 17 vs Vikings 13-23 Won Sun, Nov 24 @ Texans 32-27 Lost Sun, Dec 01 @ Commanders 19-42 Lost Sun, Dec 08 vs Jaguars 6-10 Sun, Dec 15 vs Bengals Sun, Dec 22 @ Colts Sun, Dec 29 @ Jaguars Sun, Jan 05 vs Texans |
10 | 0 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Patriots | East | 3 Patriots Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 10 @ Bears 19-3 Lost Sun, Nov 17 vs Rams 22-28 Lost Sun, Nov 24 @ Dolphins 15-34 Lost Sun, Dec 01 vs Colts 24-25 Sun, Dec 15 @ Cards Sun, Dec 22 @ Bills Sun, Dec 29 vs Chargers Sun, Jan 05 vs Bills |
10 | 0 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Raiders | West | 2 Raiders Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 17 @ Dolphins 19-34 Lost Sun, Nov 24 vs Broncos 19-29 Lost Fri, Nov 29 @ Chiefs 17-19 Lost Sun, Dec 08 @ Bucs 13-28 Mon, Dec 16 vs Falcons Sun, Dec 22 vs Jaguars Sun, Dec 29 @ Saints Sun, Jan 05 vs Chargers |
11 | 0 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Record | Total | Home (93%) |
Away (X) |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | T | |||
| Bye | 7% | |||||
| (7)Broncos | 8 | 5 | 0 | 30% | 30% | X |
| (6)Chargers | 8 | 5 | 0 | 22% | 22% | X |
| (8)Colts | 6 | 7 | 0 | 15% | 15% | X |
| (5)Ravens | 8 | 5 | 0 | 14% | 14% | X |
| (9)Dolphins | 6 | 7 | 0 | 7% | 7% | X |
| (3)Steelers | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2% | 2% | X |
| (4)Texans | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1% | 1% | X |
| (10)Bengals | 5 | 8 | 0 | 1% | 1% | X |
| (1)Chiefs | 12 | 1 | 0 | X | X | X |
| Elimination | X | |||||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cardinals (6‑7) |
34‑28 | Home | Sun Sep 8, 1:00 pm |
| 2 | Dolphins (6‑7) |
31‑10 | Away | Thu Sep 12, 8:15 pm |
| 3 | Jaguars (3‑10) |
47‑10 | Home | Mon Sep 23, 7:30 pm |
| 4 | Ravens (8‑5) |
10‑35 | Away | Sun Sep 29, 8:20 pm |
| 5 | Texans (8‑5) |
20‑23 | Away | Sun Oct 6, 1:00 pm |
| 6 | Jets (3‑10) |
23‑20 | Away | Mon Oct 14, 8:15 pm |
| 7 | Titans (3‑10) |
34‑10 | Home | Sun Oct 20, 1:00 pm |
| 8 | Seahawks (8‑5) |
31‑10 | Away | Sun Oct 27, 4:05 pm |
| 9 | Dolphins (6‑7) |
30‑27 | Home | Sun Nov 3, 1:00 pm |
| 10 | Colts (6‑7) |
30‑20 | Away | Sun Nov 10, 1:00 pm |
| 11 | Chiefs (12‑1) |
30‑21 | Home | Sun Nov 17, 4:25 pm |
| 13 | Forty-Niners49'ers (6‑8) |
35‑10 | Home | Sun Dec 1, 8:20 pm |
| 14 | Rams (8‑6) |
42‑44 | Away | Sun Dec 8, 4:25 pm |
| 15 | Lions (12‑1) |
Away | Sun Dec 15, 4:25 pm | |
| 16 | Patriots (3‑10) |
Home | Sun Dec 22, 1:00 pm | |
| 17 | Jets (3‑10) |
Home | Sun Dec 29, 1:00 pm | |
| 18 | Patriots (3‑10) |
Away | Sun Jan 5, TBD |