Bills What If?

The Bills What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Bills play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

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Bills What If?

Next Game - Chiefs (1-9)

	Resultant Record			Divisional Winners				Wildcard		No Playoffs
	W	L	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7
Win Next Game	6	5	0	< 1%	1%	2%	1%	3%	7%	87%
Current Standings	5	5	0	< 1%	1%	2%	1%	3%	6%	88%
Lose Next Game	5	6	0	X	< 1%	1%	< 1%	1%	3%	96%

Best/Worst Case Scenarios - New (Under Development)

	Divisional Winners				Wildcard		No Playoffs
	1	2	3	4	5	6	7
Best Case Scenario	< 1%	1%	1%	< 1%	4%	9%	84%
Current Standings	< 1%	1%	2%	1%	3%	6%	88%
Worst Case Scenario	X	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	1%	2%	97%
Best Case Scenario Bengals beats Steelers Eagles beats Ravens Bills beats Chiefs				Worst Case Scenario Steelers beats Bengals Ravens beats Eagles Chiefs beats Bills

Notes
Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three

Remaining Games

Remaining Games Won	Winning Percentage of Remaining Games	Resultant Record			Divisional Winners				Wildcard		No Playoffs
Remaining Games Won	Winning Percentage of Remaining Games	W	L	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7
6 of 6	100%	11	5	0	< 1%	16%	37%	< 1%	29%	16%	2%
5 of 6	83%	10	6	0	< 1%	< 1%	4%	2%	13%	34%	46%
4 of 6	67%	9	7	0	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	1%	6%	93%
3 of 6	50%	8	8	0	X	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	> 99%
2 of 6	33%	7	9	0	X	X	X	X	< 1%	< 1%	> 99%
1 of 6	17%	6	10	0	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%
0 of 6	0%	5	11	0	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%

Notes
^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot

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NFL - Week 12 of 17

Bills What If?

Bills What If?

Next Game - Chiefs (1-9)

Best/Worst Case Scenarios - New (Under Development)

Remaining Games