The Bills What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Bills play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Win Next Game | 11 | 3 | 0 | 19% | 73% | 8% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7% | 72% | 20% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 10 | 4 | 0 | 3% | 72% | 24% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 53% | 43% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 7% | 72% | 20% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | 2% | 71% | 26% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario Browns beats Chiefs Eagles beats Steelers Bills beats Lions |
Worst Case Scenario Chiefs beats Browns Steelers beats Eagles Lions beats Bills |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
| 4 of 4 | 100% | 14 | 3 | 0 | 24% | 73% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 4 | 75% | 13 | 4 | 0 | 4% | 79% | 17% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 4 | 50% | 12 | 5 | 0 | <1% | 36% | 60% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 4 | 25% | 11 | 6 | 0 | X | 6% | 64% | 31% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 4 | 0% | 10 | 7 | 0 | X | <1% | 27% | 73% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |