The Bills What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Bills play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Win Next Game | 10 | 4 | 0 | 3% | 13% | 4% | <1% | 59% | 16% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2% | 6% | 2% | <1% | 44% | 31% | 13% | 3% |
| Lose Next Game | 9 | 5 | 0 | X | X | X | X | 37% | 41% | 17% | 4% |
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 7% | 12% | 2% | <1% | 64% | 13% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 2% | 6% | 2% | <1% | 44% | 31% | 13% | 3% |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | X | X | X | 36% | 41% | 19% | 5% |
|
Best Case Scenario Jets beats Jaguars Bills beats Patriots Packers beats Broncos |
Worst Case Scenario Jaguars beats Jets Patriots beats Bills Broncos beats Packers |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
| 4 of 4 | 100% | 13 | 4 | 0 | 7% | 24% | 3% | X | 65% | 1% | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 4 | 75% | 12 | 5 | 0 | <1% | 4% | 5% | X | 65% | 25% | 1% | ^ |
| 2 of 4 | 50% | 11 | 6 | 0 | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 20% | 55% | 24% | 1% |
| 1 of 4 | 25% | 10 | 7 | 0 | X | X | X | X | 1% | 25% | 53% | 21% |
| 0 of 4 | 0% | 9 | 8 | 0 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 26% | 71% |