PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Dec 15 11:30 pm

NFL - Week 15 of 17

Bills What If?

The Bills What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Bills play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Bills What If?

Next Game - Patriots (11‑3)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1* 2* 3** 4** 5 6 7
Win Next Game 11 4 0 X 2% 3% X 95% ^ ^
Current Standings 10 4 0 X 1% 1% X 98% ^ ^
Lose Next Game 10 5 0 X X X X 100% ^ ^


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1* 2* 3** 4** 5 6 7
Best Case Scenario X 6% X X 94% ^ ^
Current Standings X 1% 1% X 98% ^ ^
Worst Case Scenario X X X X 100% ^ ^
Best Case Scenario
   Bills beats Patriots
   Bears beats Chiefs
Worst Case Scenario
   Patriots beats Bills
   Chiefs beats Bears
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1* 2* 3** 4** 5 6 7
2 of 2 100% 12 4 0 X 3% 4% X 93% ^ ^
1 of 2 50% 11 5 0 X X X X 100% ^ ^
0 of 2 0% 10 6 0 X X X X 100% ^ ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs