The Most Important Games for the Broncos are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Broncos final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Broncos fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Broncos Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Broncos (8‑2) vs Chiefs (5‑4) |
87 | Broncos Wins | 34% | 25% | 15% | 2% | 14% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 22% | 14% | 2% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Chiefs Wins | 13% | 20% | 16% | 3% | 19% | 14% | 9% | 6% | ||
| Jaguars (5‑4) vs Chargers (7‑3) |
12 | Jaguars Wins | 30% | 23% | 17% | 3% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 22% | 14% | 2% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Chargers Wins | 29% | 20% | 11% | 2% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Buccaneers (6‑3) vs Bills (6‑3) |
3 | Buccaneers Wins | 30% | 22% | 13% | 2% | 16% | 8% | 5% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 22% | 14% | 2% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Bills Wins | 29% | 22% | 14% | 3% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Dolphins (3‑7) vs Commanders (3‑7) |
1 | Dolphins Wins | 30% | 21% | 14% | 2% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 22% | 14% | 2% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Commanders Wins | 30% | 22% | 14% | 2% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Browns (2‑7) vs Ravens (4‑5) |
1 | Browns Wins | 29% | 22% | 14% | 2% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 22% | 14% | 2% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Ravens Wins | 29% | 21% | 15% | 2% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Titans (1‑8) vs Texans (4‑5) |
0 | Titans Wins | 30% | 22% | 14% | 2% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 22% | 14% | 2% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Texans Wins | 30% | 22% | 14% | 2% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Cowboys (3‑5‑1) vs Raiders (2‑7) |
0 | Cowboys Wins | 30% | 22% | 14% | 2% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 22% | 14% | 2% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Raiders Wins | 30% | 21% | 14% | 2% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Steelers (5‑4) vs Bengals (3‑6) |
0 | Steelers Wins | 30% | 21% | 14% | 3% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 22% | 14% | 2% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Bengals Wins | 30% | 22% | 15% | 1% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 4% | ||