The Most Important Games for the Broncos are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Broncos final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Broncos fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Broncos Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Broncos (9‑2) vs Commanders (3‑8) |
82 | Broncos Wins | 47% | 29% | 14% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 42% | 29% | 15% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Commanders Wins | 22% | 34% | 22% | 3% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Giants (2‑10) vs Patriots (10‑2) |
20 | Giants Wins | 49% | 25% | 13% | 2% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 42% | 29% | 15% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Patriots Wins | 41% | 30% | 16% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Texans (6‑5) vs Colts (8‑3) |
9 | Texans Wins | 44% | 32% | 11% | 2% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 42% | 29% | 15% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Colts Wins | 42% | 28% | 17% | 2% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Titans (1‑10) vs Jaguars (7‑4) |
7 | Titans Wins | 44% | 31% | 12% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 42% | 29% | 15% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Jaguars Wins | 42% | 29% | 17% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Raiders (2‑9) vs Chargers (7‑4) |
6 | Raiders Wins | 42% | 31% | 18% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 42% | 29% | 15% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Chargers Wins | 42% | 29% | 15% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers (8‑4) vs Browns (3‑8) |
3 | Forty-Niners49ers Wins | 42% | 29% | 15% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 42% | 29% | 15% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Browns Wins | 41% | 29% | 16% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Steelers (6‑5) vs Bills (7‑4) |
1 | Steelers Wins | 43% | 29% | 15% | 2% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 42% | 29% | 15% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Bills Wins | 42% | 30% | 16% | <1% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Saints (2‑9) vs Dolphins (4‑7) |
0 | Saints Wins | 42% | 29% | 16% | 2% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 42% | 29% | 15% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Dolphins Wins | 42% | 29% | 16% | 2% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Jets (2‑9) vs Falcons (4‑7) |
0 | Jets Wins | 42% | 29% | 15% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 42% | 29% | 15% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Falcons Wins | 42% | 29% | 15% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||