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Tue Oct 21 1:45 am

NFL - Week 8 of 18

Broncos What If?

The Broncos What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Broncos play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Broncos What If?

Next Game - Cowboys (3‑3‑1)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1*
First Round Bye
 2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 6 2 0 14% 18% 15% 8% 11% 10% 8% 16%
Current Standings 5 2 0 13% 17% 15% 8% 11% 10% 9% 19%
Lose Next Game 5 3 0 6% 14% 15% 10% 11% 10% 10% 24%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye
 2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario 20% 17% 12% 6% 12% 9% 7% 15%
Current Standings 13% 17% 15% 8% 11% 10% 9% 19%
Worst Case Scenario 6% 14% 15% 10% 11% 10% 10% 25%
Best Case Scenario
   Browns beats Patriots
   Broncos beats Cowboys
   Titans beats Colts
 Worst Case Scenario
   Patriots beats Browns
   Cowboys beats Broncos
   Colts beats Titans
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1*
First Round Bye
 2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8
10 of 10 100% 15 2 0 80% 20% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
9 of 10 90% 14 3 0 49% 42% 8% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
8 of 10 80% 13 4 0 20% 45% 27% 3% 5% <1% <1% ^
7 of 10 70% 12 5 0 4% 24% 38% 13% 18% 3% <1% <1%
6 of 10 60% 11 6 0 <1% 5% 24% 22% 26% 18% 4% <1%
5 of 10 50% 10 7 0 <1% <1% 7% 18% 13% 30% 24% 8%
4 of 10 40% 9 8 0 <1% <1% 1% 6% 2% 13% 31% 47%
3 of 10 30% 8 9 0 <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 8% 90%
2 of 10 20% 7 10 0 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
1 of 10 10% 6 11 0 X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 10 0% 5 12 0 X X X X X X <1% >99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs