PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Oct 2 11:45 pm

NFL - Week 4 of 18

Buccaneers What If?

The Buccaneers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Buccaneers play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Buccaneers What If?

Next Game - Falcons (2‑2)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 3 2 0 5% 10% 14% 19% 2% 4% 5% 41%
Current Standings 2 2 0 4% 10% 12% 17% 2% 4% 5% 46%
Lose Next Game 2 3 0 1% 6% 10% 14% 3% 5% 6% 55%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario 6% 12% 14% 18% 2% 4% 5% 40%
Current Standings 4% 10% 12% 17% 2% 4% 5% 46%
Worst Case Scenario 1% 6% 9% 15% 3% 5% 6% 54%
Best Case Scenario
   Bears beats Vikings
   Buccaneers beats Falcons
   Cowboys beats Rams
Worst Case Scenario
   Vikings beats Bears
   Falcons beats Buccaneers
   Rams beats Cowboys
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
13 of 13 100% 15 2 0 65% 33% 2% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
12 of 13 92% 14 3 0 34% 53% 13% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^
11 of 13 85% 13 4 0 10% 46% 36% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1%
10 of 13 77% 12 5 0 2% 21% 46% 23% 5% 4% 1% <1%
9 of 13 69% 11 6 0 <1% 4% 28% 42% 6% 12% 6% 1%
8 of 13 62% 10 7 0 <1% <1% 9% 42% 3% 14% 19% 14%
7 of 13 54% 9 8 0 <1% <1% 2% 27% <1% 4% 16% 51%
6 of 13 46% 8 9 0 <1% <1% <1% 12% <1% <1% 3% 84%
5 of 13 38% 7 10 0 <1% <1% <1% 4% <1% <1% <1% 96%
4 of 13 31% 6 11 0 X <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
3 of 13 23% 5 12 0 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
2 of 13 15% 4 13 0 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
1 of 13 8% 3 14 0 X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 13 0% 2 15 0 X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs