PlayoffStatus.com

Mon Nov 4 12:45 am

NFL - Week 9 of 18

Buccaneers What If?

The Buccaneers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Buccaneers play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Buccaneers What If?

Next Game - Chiefs (7‑0)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 5 4 0 2% 7% 15% 8% 9% 12% 12% 35%
Current Standings 4 4 0 1% 3% 10% 7% 6% 10% 13% 50%
Lose Next Game 4 5 0 <1% 2% 9% 8% 5% 10% 14% 53%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario 3% 10% 24% 11% 7% 10% 12% 24%
Current Standings 1% 3% 10% 7% 6% 10% 13% 50%
Worst Case Scenario <1% <1% 2% 4% 2% 7% 13% 72%
Best Case Scenario
   Buccaneers beats Chiefs
   Buccaneers beats Forty-Niners
   Saints beats Falcons
Worst Case Scenario
   Chiefs beats Buccaneers
   Forty-Niners beats Buccaneers
   Falcons beats Saints
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
9 of 9 100% 13 4 0 16% 43% 22% X 17% 1% <1% <1%
8 of 9 89% 12 5 0 2% 18% 39% 3% 24% 13% 1% <1%
7 of 9 78% 11 6 0 <1% 2% 25% 13% 13% 29% 15% 3%
6 of 9 67% 10 7 0 <1% <1% 7% 14% 3% 17% 33% 26%
5 of 9 56% 9 8 0 <1% <1% 1% 8% <1% 2% 15% 75%
4 of 9 44% 8 9 0 <1% <1% <1% 2% <1% <1% 1% 97%
3 of 9 33% 7 10 0 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
2 of 9 22% 6 11 0 X X X X X X <1% >99%
1 of 9 11% 5 12 0 X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 9 0% 4 13 0 X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs