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Cardinals What If?

The Cardinals What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Cardinals play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

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Cardinals What If?

Next Game - Forty-Niners (1-1)

  Resultant Record  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs
  W L T 1** 2** 3* 4* 5 6 7
Win Next Game 3 0 0 21% 13% 9% 7% 9% 8% 33%
Current Standings 2 0 0 20% 13% 9% 6% 9% 7% 38%
Lose Next Game 2 1 0 12% 11% 8% 6% 11% 9% 44%




Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs
  1** 2** 3* 4* 5 6 7
Best Case Scenario 23% 14% 10% 7% 8% 7% 32%
Current Standings 20% 13% 9% 6% 9% 7% 38%
Worst Case Scenario 12% 11% 8% 5% 11% 9% 44%
Best Case Scenario
   Cowboys beats Rams
   Cardinals beats Forty-Niners
Worst Case Scenario
   Rams beats Cowboys
   Forty-Niners beats Cardinals
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs
W L T 1** 2** 3* 4* 5 6 7
14 of 14 100% 16 0 0 99% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
13 of 14 93% 15 1 0 90% 10% < 1% ^ ^ ^ ^
12 of 14 86% 14 2 0 68% 29% 3% < 1% 1% ^ ^
11 of 14 79% 13 3 0 33% 45% 15% 1% 6% < 1% ^
10 of 14 71% 12 4 0 8% 31% 32% 9% 18% 3% < 1%
9 of 14 64% 11 5 0 1% 8% 26% 19% 27% 16% 3%
8 of 14 57% 10 6 0 < 1% 1% 9% 20% 15% 29% 25%
7 of 14 50% 9 7 0 < 1% < 1% 2% 12% 3% 17% 67%
6 of 14 43% 8 8 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% 4% < 1% 3% 93%
5 of 14 36% 7 9 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% 1% < 1% < 1% 99%
4 of 14 29% 6 10 0 X X < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
3 of 14 21% 5 11 0 X X < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
2 of 14 14% 4 12 0 X X X X X X 100%
1 of 14 7% 3 13 0 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 14 0% 2 14 0 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes home field advantage in the first round of the post season tournament
  • ** denotes a bye in the first round of the post season tournament