The Most Important Games for the Chiefs are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Chiefs final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Chiefs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Chiefs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Chiefs (1‑1) vs Bears (0‑2) |
26 | Chiefs Wins | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 45% | ||
| Bears Wins | 5% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 50% | ||
| Broncos (0‑2) vs Dolphins (2‑0) |
2 | Broncos Wins | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 45% | ||
| Dolphins Wins | 8% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 45% | ||
| Titans (1‑1) vs Browns (1‑1) |
2 | Titans Wins | 9% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 45% | ||
| Browns Wins | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 45% | ||
| Commanders (2‑0) vs Bills (1‑1) |
2 | Commanders Wins | 9% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 45% | ||
| Bills Wins | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 46% | ||
| Vikings (0‑2) vs Chargers (0‑2) |
1 | Vikings Wins | 8% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 45% | ||
| Chargers Wins | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 45% | ||
| Texans (0‑2) vs Jaguars (1‑1) |
1 | Texans Wins | 9% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 45% | ||
| Jaguars Wins | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 45% | ||
| Rams (1‑1) vs Bengals (0‑2) |
0 | Rams Wins | 8% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 45% | ||
| Bengals Wins | 8% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 45% | ||
| Colts (1‑1) vs Ravens (2‑0) |
0 | Colts Wins | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 45% | ||
| Ravens Wins | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 45% | ||
| Jets (1‑1) vs Patriots (0‑2) |
0 | Jets Wins | 8% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 45% | ||
| Patriots Wins | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 46% | ||
| Raiders (1‑1) vs Steelers (1‑1) |
0 | Raiders Wins | 9% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 45% | ||
| Steelers Wins | 8% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 45% | ||