The Most Important Games for the Chiefs are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Chiefs final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Chiefs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Chiefs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Chiefs (12‑1) vs Browns (3‑10) |
65 | Chiefs Wins | 90% | 8% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 88% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Browns Wins | 66% | 22% | 11% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lions (12‑1) vs Bills (10‑3) |
39 | Lions Wins | 92% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 88% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bills Wins | 77% | 18% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Eagles (11‑2) vs Steelers (10‑3) |
14 | Eagles Wins | 90% | 8% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 88% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Steelers Wins | 85% | 10% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Chargers (8‑5) vs Buccaneers (7‑6) |
1 | Chargers Wins | 88% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 88% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Buccaneers Wins | 88% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Texans (8‑5) vs Dolphins (6‑7) |
0 | Texans Wins | 88% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 88% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Dolphins Wins | 88% | 9% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Giants (2‑11) vs Ravens (8‑5) |
0 | Giants Wins | 88% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 88% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Ravens Wins | 88% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Colts (6‑7) vs Broncos (8‑5) |
0 | Colts Wins | 88% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 88% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Broncos Wins | 88% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Jaguars (3‑10) vs Jets (3‑10) |
0 | Jaguars Wins | 88% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 88% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Jets Wins | 88% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Titans (3‑10) vs Bengals (5‑8) |
0 | Titans Wins | 88% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 88% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bengals Wins | 88% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Cardinals (6‑7) vs Patriots (3‑10) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | 88% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 88% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Patriots Wins | 88% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Raiders (2‑11) vs Falcons (6‑7) |
0 | Raiders Wins | 88% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 88% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Falcons Wins | 88% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||