PlayoffStatus.com

Tue Dec 6 7:45 pm

NFL - Week 14 of 17

Chiefs What If?

The Chiefs What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Chiefs play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Chiefs What If?

Next Game - Raiders (10‑2)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1* 2* 3** 4** 5 6 7
Win Next Game 10 3 0 16% 51% 1% <1% 26% 4% 1%
Current Standings 9 3 0 10% 31% 1% <1% 44% 10% 5%
Lose Next Game 9 4 0 1% 8% <1% X 69% 15% 7%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1* 2* 3** 4** 5 6 7
Best Case Scenario 33% 34% 2% <1% 28% 3% 1%
Current Standings 10% 31% 1% <1% 44% 10% 5%
Worst Case Scenario <1% 8% <1% X 67% 17% 8%
Best Case Scenario
   Chiefs beats Raiders
   Titans beats Broncos
   Ravens beats Patriots
Worst Case Scenario
   Raiders beats Chiefs
   Broncos beats Titans
   Patriots beats Ravens
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1* 2* 3** 4** 5 6 7
4 of 4 100% 13 3 0 36% 64% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
3 of 4 75% 12 4 0 6% 48% <1% <1% 46% ^ ^
2 of 4 50% 11 5 0 <1% 7% 3% <1% 78% 12% <1%
1 of 4 25% 10 6 0 X <1% <1% <1% 33% 46% 20%
0 of 4 0% 9 7 0 X X X X 1% 13% 85%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • New Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs