The Chiefs What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Chiefs play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Win Next Game | 13 | 1 | 0 | 91% | 7% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 12 | 1 | 0 | 88% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 12 | 2 | 0 | 67% | 22% | 10% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 97% | 1% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 88% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | 42% | 34% | 23% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario Chiefs beats Browns Eagles beats Steelers Lions beats Bills |
Worst Case Scenario Browns beats Chiefs Steelers beats Eagles Bills beats Lions |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
| 4 of 4 | 100% | 16 | 1 | 0 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 4 | 75% | 15 | 2 | 0 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 4 | 50% | 14 | 3 | 0 | 73% | 25% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 4 | 25% | 13 | 4 | 0 | 11% | 56% | 32% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 4 | 0% | 12 | 5 | 0 | <1% | 9% | 65% | 27% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |