Chiefs What If?

The Chiefs What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Chiefs play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

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Chiefs What If?

Next Game - Steelers (6-3)

	Resultant Record			Divisional Winners				Wildcard		No Playoffs
	W	L	T	1**	2**	3*	4*	5	6	7
Win Next Game	3	7	0	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	> 99%
Current Standings	2	7	0	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	> 99%
Lose Next Game	2	8	0	X	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	> 99%

Best/Worst Case Scenarios

	Divisional Winners				Wildcard		No Playoffs
	1**	2**	3*	4*	5	6	7
Best Case Scenario	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	> 99%
Current Standings	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	> 99%
Worst Case Scenario	X	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	> 99%
Best Case Scenario Chiefs beats Steelers				Worst Case Scenario Steelers beats Chiefs

Notes
Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three

Remaining Games

Remaining Games Won	Winning Percentage of Remaining Games	Resultant Record			Divisional Winners				Wildcard		No Playoffs
Remaining Games Won	Winning Percentage of Remaining Games	W	L	T	1**	2**	3*	4*	5	6	7
7 of 7	100%	9	7	0	< 1%	< 1%	8%	22%	3%	15%	52%
6 of 7	86%	8	8	0	X	< 1%	< 1%	3%	< 1%	1%	95%
5 of 7	71%	7	9	0	X	X	X	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	> 99%
4 of 7	57%	6	10	0	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%
3 of 7	43%	5	11	0	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%
2 of 7	29%	4	12	0	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%
1 of 7	14%	3	13	0	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%
0 of 7	0%	2	14	0	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%

Notes
^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
X means the team cannot win this playoff spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
* denotes home field advantage in the first round of the post season tournament
** denotes a bye in the first round of the post season tournament

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NFL - Week 11 of 17

Chiefs What If?

Chiefs What If?

Next Game - Steelers (6-3)

Best/Worst Case Scenarios

Remaining Games