PlayoffStatus.com

Thu Sep 22 11:45 pm

NFL - Week 3 of 17

Chiefs What If?

The Chiefs What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Chiefs play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Chiefs What If?

Next Game - Jets (1‑1)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1* 2* 3** 4** 5 6 7
Win Next Game 2 1 0 4% 6% 6% 5% 9% 9% 60%
Current Standings 1 1 0 4% 6% 6% 5% 8% 8% 63%
Lose Next Game 1 2 0 1% 4% 5% 7% 6% 8% 70%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1* 2* 3** 4** 5 6 7
Best Case Scenario 5% 7% 6% 5% 10% 10% 58%
Current Standings 4% 6% 6% 5% 8% 8% 63%
Worst Case Scenario 1% 4% 5% 6% 5% 8% 70%
Best Case Scenario
   Jaguars beats Ravens
   Dolphins beats Browns
   Chiefs beats Jets
Worst Case Scenario
   Ravens beats Jaguars
   Browns beats Dolphins
   Jets beats Chiefs
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1* 2* 3** 4** 5 6 7
14 of 14 100% 15 1 0 85% 15% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
13 of 14 93% 14 2 0 58% 35% 5% <1% 2% <1% ^
12 of 14 86% 13 3 0 25% 42% 19% 3% 11% <1% <1%
11 of 14 79% 12 4 0 5% 26% 29% 10% 25% 5% <1%
10 of 14 71% 11 5 0 1% 7% 21% 18% 30% 20% 4%
9 of 14 64% 10 6 0 <1% 1% 7% 18% 16% 32% 27%
8 of 14 57% 9 7 0 <1% <1% 1% 9% 3% 18% 68%
7 of 14 50% 8 8 0 <1% <1% <1% 3% <1% 3% 93%
6 of 14 43% 7 9 0 <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% 99%
5 of 14 36% 6 10 0 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
4 of 14 29% 5 11 0 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
3 of 14 21% 4 12 0 X X X X X X 100%
2 of 14 14% 3 13 0 X X X X X X 100%
1 of 14 7% 2 14 0 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 14 0% 1 15 0 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • New Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs