PlayoffStatus.com

Fri Sep 23 12:30 am

NFL - Week 3 of 18

Chiefs What If?

The Chiefs What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Chiefs play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Chiefs What If?

Next Game - Colts (0‑1‑1)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 3 0 0 27% 18% 9% 5% 8% 8% 6% 19%
Current Standings 2 0 0 25% 16% 9% 6% 8% 7% 6% 23%
Lose Next Game 2 1 0 17% 17% 10% 7% 8% 7% 7% 27%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario 29% 15% 9% 5% 8% 8% 6% 19%
Current Standings 25% 16% 9% 6% 8% 7% 6% 23%
Worst Case Scenario 17% 18% 9% 7% 8% 7% 6% 28%
Best Case Scenario
   Chiefs beats Colts
   Bills beats Dolphins
Worst Case Scenario
   Colts beats Chiefs
   Dolphins beats Bills
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
15 of 15 100% 17 0 0 99% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
14 of 15 93% 16 1 0 91% 9% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
13 of 15 87% 15 2 0 72% 26% 1% <1% 1% <1% ^ ^
12 of 15 80% 14 3 0 40% 48% 7% <1% 4% <1% <1% ^
11 of 15 73% 13 4 0 13% 47% 24% 2% 12% 2% <1% <1%
10 of 15 67% 12 5 0 2% 24% 32% 10% 19% 11% 2% <1%
9 of 15 60% 11 6 0 <1% 6% 22% 20% 15% 24% 11% 2%
8 of 15 53% 10 7 0 <1% 1% 9% 21% 6% 22% 26% 16%
7 of 15 47% 9 8 0 <1% <1% 2% 15% 1% 9% 24% 50%
6 of 15 40% 8 9 0 <1% <1% <1% 7% <1% 1% 8% 84%
5 of 15 33% 7 10 0 <1% <1% <1% 2% <1% <1% 1% 97%
4 of 15 27% 6 11 0 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
3 of 15 20% 5 12 0 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
2 of 15 13% 4 13 0 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
1 of 15 7% 3 14 0 X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 15 0% 2 15 0 X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs