PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Oct 22 8:15 pm

NFL - Week 7 of 17

Chiefs What If?

The Chiefs What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Chiefs play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Chiefs What If?

Next Game - Broncos (3‑3)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1* 2* 3** 4** 5 6 7
Win Next Game 6 2 0 29% 22% 18% 15% 3% 3% 10%
Current Standings 5 2 0 25% 19% 17% 14% 4% 4% 16%
Lose Next Game 5 3 0 13% 17% 19% 17% 6% 6% 23%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1* 2* 3** 4** 5 6 7
Best Case Scenario 32% 20% 18% 14% 3% 3% 10%
Current Standings 25% 19% 17% 14% 4% 4% 16%
Worst Case Scenario 11% 18% 18% 18% 6% 5% 24%
Best Case Scenario
   Lions beats Steelers
   Chiefs beats Broncos
Worst Case Scenario
   Steelers beats Lions
   Broncos beats Chiefs
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1* 2* 3** 4** 5 6 7
9 of 9 100% 14 2 0 93% 7% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
8 of 9 89% 13 3 0 69% 28% 4% <1% ^ ^ ^
7 of 9 78% 12 4 0 29% 45% 22% 3% <1% <1% ^
6 of 9 67% 11 5 0 5% 27% 43% 19% 6% 1% <1%
5 of 9 56% 10 6 0 <1% 4% 27% 43% 11% 11% 5%
4 of 9 44% 9 7 0 <1% <1% 5% 36% 3% 14% 41%
3 of 9 33% 8 8 0 <1% <1% <1% 13% <1% 1% 85%
2 of 9 22% 7 9 0 X <1% <1% 2% <1% <1% 98%
1 of 9 11% 6 10 0 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 9 0% 5 11 0 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs