The Chiefs What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Chiefs play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Win Next Game | 9 | 4 | 0 | 33% | 34% | 20% | 11% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Standings | 8 | 4 | 0 | 28% | 30% | 21% | 15% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Lose Next Game | 8 | 5 | 0 | 8% | 25% | 28% | 28% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 5% |
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 55% | 23% | 13% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Standings | 28% | 30% | 21% | 15% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 5% | 23% | 29% | 31% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 5% |
|
Best Case Scenario Rams beats Ravens Chiefs beats Bills Titans beats Dolphins |
Worst Case Scenario Ravens beats Rams Bills beats Chiefs Dolphins beats Titans |
|||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
| 5 of 5 | 100% | 13 | 4 | 0 | 75% | 25% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 5 | 80% | 12 | 5 | 0 | 24% | 56% | 20% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 5 | 60% | 11 | 6 | 0 | 1% | 19% | 51% | 27% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 2 of 5 | 40% | 10 | 7 | 0 | <1% | <1% | 14% | 66% | 5% | 10% | 4% | 1% |
| 1 of 5 | 20% | 9 | 8 | 0 | X | <1% | <1% | 35% | <1% | 4% | 17% | 44% |
| 0 of 5 | 0% | 8 | 9 | 0 | X | X | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |