Where are the Chiefs going in the playoff? The Chiefs playoff picture table presents the probabilities that the Chiefs will win each playoff spot. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | DivisionDiv | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | T | GPi Games Played 17 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| Dolphins | East | 3i Dolphins Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 11 vs Pats 20-7 Won Sun, Sep 18 @ Ravens 42-38 Won Sun, Sep 25 vs Bills 21-19 Lost Thu, Sep 29 @ Bengals 15-27 Sun, Oct 09 @ Jets Sun, Oct 16 vs Vikings Sun, Oct 23 vs Steelers Sun, Oct 30 @ Lions |
1 | 0 | 4 | 17% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 15% | 9% | 8% | 29% |
| Chiefs | West | 3 Chiefs Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 11 @ Cards 44-21 Won Thu, Sep 15 vs Chargers 27-24 Lost Sun, Sep 25 @ Colts 17-20 Won Sun, Oct 02 @ Bucs 41-31 Mon, Oct 10 vs Raiders Sun, Oct 16 vs Bills Sun, Oct 23 @ 49'ers Sun, Nov 06 vs Titans |
1 | 0 | 4 | 22% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 27% |
| Titans | South | 2 Titans Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 11 vs Giants 20-21 Lost Mon, Sep 19 @ Bills 7-41 Won Sun, Sep 25 vs Raiders 24-22 Won Sun, Oct 02 @ Colts 24-17 Sun, Oct 09 @ Commanders Sun, Oct 23 vs Colts Sun, Oct 30 @ Texans Sun, Nov 06 @ Chiefs |
2 | 0 | 4 | 4% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 50% |
| Browns | North | 2 Browns Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 11 @ Panthers 26-24 Lost Sun, Sep 18 vs Jets 30-31 Won Thu, Sep 22 vs Steelers 29-17 Lost Sun, Oct 02 @ Falcons 20-23 Sun, Oct 09 vs Chargers Sun, Oct 16 vs Pats Sun, Oct 23 @ Ravens Mon, Oct 31 vs Bengals |
2 | 0 | 4 | 4% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 56% |
| Bills | East | 3 Bills Recent Games Won Thu, Sep 08 @ Rams 31-10 Won Mon, Sep 19 vs Titans 41-7 Lost Sun, Sep 25 @ Dolphins 19-21 Won Sun, Oct 02 @ Ravens 23-20 Sun, Oct 09 vs Steelers Sun, Oct 16 @ Chiefs Sun, Oct 30 vs Packers Sun, Nov 06 @ Jets |
1 | 0 | 4 | 21% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 28% |
| Jaguars | South | 2 Jaguars Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 11 @ Commanders 22-28 Won Sun, Sep 18 vs Colts 24-0 Won Sun, Sep 25 @ Chargers 38-10 Lost Sun, Oct 02 @ Eagles 21-29 Sun, Oct 09 vs Texans Sun, Oct 16 @ Colts Sun, Oct 23 vs Giants Sun, Oct 30 vs Broncos |
2 | 0 | 4 | 8% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 45% |
| Jets | East | 2 Jets Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 11 vs Ravens 9-24 Won Sun, Sep 18 @ Browns 31-30 Lost Sun, Sep 25 vs Bengals 12-27 Won Sun, Oct 02 @ Steelers 24-20 Sun, Oct 09 vs Dolphins Sun, Oct 16 @ Packers Sun, Oct 23 @ Broncos Sun, Oct 30 vs Pats |
2 | 0 | 4 | 3% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 62% |
| Ravens | North | 2 Ravens Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 11 @ Jets 24-9 Lost Sun, Sep 18 vs Dolphins 38-42 Won Sun, Sep 25 @ Pats 37-26 Lost Sun, Oct 02 vs Bills 20-23 Sun, Oct 09 vs Bengals Sun, Oct 16 @ Giants Sun, Oct 23 vs Browns Thu, Oct 27 @ Bucs |
2 | 0 | 4 | 4% | 9% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 48% |
| Bengals | North | 2 Bengals Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 11 vs Steelers 20-23 Lost Sun, Sep 18 @ Cowboys 17-20 Won Sun, Sep 25 @ Jets 27-12 Won Thu, Sep 29 vs Dolphins 27-15 Sun, Oct 09 @ Ravens Sun, Oct 16 @ Saints Sun, Oct 23 vs Falcons Mon, Oct 31 @ Browns |
2 | 0 | 4 | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 51% |
| Chargers | West | 2 Chargers Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 11 vs Raiders 24-19 Lost Thu, Sep 15 @ Chiefs 24-27 Lost Sun, Sep 25 vs Jaguars 10-38 Won Sun, Oct 02 @ Texans 34-24 Sun, Oct 09 @ Browns Mon, Oct 17 vs Broncos Sun, Oct 23 vs Seahawks Sun, Nov 06 @ Falcons |
2 | 0 | 4 | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 57% |
| Broncos | West | 2 Broncos Recent Games Lost Mon, Sep 12 @ Seahawks 16-17 Won Sun, Sep 18 vs Texans 16-9 Won Sun, Sep 25 vs 49'ers 11-10 Lost Sun, Oct 02 @ Raiders 23-32 Thu, Oct 06 vs Colts Mon, Oct 17 @ Chargers Sun, Oct 23 vs Jets Sun, Oct 30 @ Jaguars |
2 | 0 | 4 | 4% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 59% |
| Colts | South | 1 Colts Recent Games Tie Sun, Sep 11 @ Texans 20-20 Lost Sun, Sep 18 @ Jaguars 0-24 Won Sun, Sep 25 vs Chiefs 20-17 Lost Sun, Oct 02 vs Titans 17-24 Thu, Oct 06 @ Broncos Sun, Oct 16 vs Jaguars Sun, Oct 23 @ Titans Sun, Oct 30 vs Commanders |
2 | 1 | 4 | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 66% |
| Raiders | West | 1 Raiders Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 11 @ Chargers 19-24 Lost Sun, Sep 18 vs Cards 23-29 Lost Sun, Sep 25 @ Titans 22-24 Won Sun, Oct 02 vs Broncos 32-23 Mon, Oct 10 @ Chiefs Sun, Oct 23 vs Texans Sun, Oct 30 @ Saints Sun, Nov 06 @ Jaguars |
3 | 0 | 4 | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 76% |
| Patriots | East | 1 Patriots Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 11 @ Dolphins 7-20 Won Sun, Sep 18 @ Steelers 17-14 Lost Sun, Sep 25 vs Ravens 26-37 Lost Sun, Oct 02 @ Packers 24-27 Sun, Oct 09 vs Lions Sun, Oct 16 @ Browns Mon, Oct 24 vs Bears Sun, Oct 30 @ Jets |
3 | 0 | 4 | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 77% |
| Steelers | North | 1 Steelers Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 11 @ Bengals 23-20 Lost Sun, Sep 18 vs Pats 14-17 Lost Thu, Sep 22 @ Browns 17-29 Lost Sun, Oct 02 vs Jets 20-24 Sun, Oct 09 @ Bills Sun, Oct 16 vs Bucs Sun, Oct 23 @ Dolphins Sun, Oct 30 @ Eagles |
3 | 0 | 4 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 81% |
| Texans | South | 0 Texans Recent Games Tie Sun, Sep 11 vs Colts 20-20 Lost Sun, Sep 18 @ Broncos 9-16 Lost Sun, Sep 25 @ Bears 20-23 Lost Sun, Oct 02 vs Chargers 24-34 Sun, Oct 09 @ Jaguars Sun, Oct 23 @ Raiders Sun, Oct 30 vs Titans Thu, Nov 03 vs Eagles |
3 | 1 | 4 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 90% |
| Record | Total | Home (32%) |
Away (19%) |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | T | |||
| Bye | 22% | |||||
| (10)Chargers | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| (5)Bills | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4% | 3% | 1% |
| (1)Dolphins | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4% | 3% | 1% |
| (6)Jaguars | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| (11)Broncos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4% | 3% | 2% |
| (3)Titans | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| (8)Ravens | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| (9)Bengals | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| (7)Jets | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3% | 3% | 1% |
| (4)Browns | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| (12)Colts | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| (13)Raiders | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| (14)Patriots | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2% | 2% | <1% |
| (15)Steelers | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| (16)Texans | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Elimination | 27% | |||||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cardinals (2‑2) |
44‑21 | Away | Sun Sep 11, 4:25 pm |
| 2 | Chargers (2‑2) |
27‑24 | Home | Thu Sep 15, 8:15 pm |
| 3 | Colts (1‑2‑1) |
17‑20 | Away | Sun Sep 25, 1:00 pm |
| 4 | Buccaneers (2‑2) |
41‑31 | Away | Sun Oct 2, 8:20 pm |
| 5 | Raiders (1‑3) |
Home | Mon Oct 10, 8:15 pm | |
| 6 | Bills (3‑1) |
Home | Sun Oct 16, 4:25 pm | |
| 7 | Forty-Niners49'ers (2‑2) |
Away | Sun Oct 23, 4:25 pm | |
| 9 | Titans (2‑2) |
Home | Sun Nov 6, 8:20 pm | |
| 10 | Jaguars (2‑2) |
Home | Sun Nov 13, 1:00 pm | |
| 11 | Chargers (2‑2) |
Away | Sun Nov 20, 4:25 pm | |
| 12 | Rams (2‑2) |
Home | Sun Nov 27, 4:25 pm | |
| 13 | Bengals (2‑2) |
Away | Sun Dec 4, 4:25 pm | |
| 14 | Broncos (2‑2) |
Away | Sun Dec 11, 8:20 pm | |
| 15 | Texans (0‑3‑1) |
Away | Sun Dec 18, 1:00 pm | |
| 16 | Seahawks (2‑2) |
Home | Sat Dec 24, 1:00 pm | |
| 17 | Broncos (2‑2) |
Home | Sun Jan 1, 1:00 pm | |
| 18 | Raiders (1‑3) |
Away | Sun Jan 8, TBD |