Where are the Chiefs going in the playoff? The Chiefs playoff picture table presents the probabilities that the Chiefs will win each playoff spot. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | DivisionDiv | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | T | GPi Games Played 17 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| Dolphins | East | 9i Dolphins Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 05 @ Chiefs 14-21 Won Sun, Nov 19 vs Raiders 20-13 Won Fri, Nov 24 @ Jets 34-13 Won Sun, Dec 03 @ Commanders 45-15 Mon, Dec 11 vs Titans Sun, Dec 17 vs Jets Sun, Dec 24 vs Cowboys Sun, Dec 31 @ Ravens |
3 | 0 | 12 | 32% | 25% | 23% | 17% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Ravens | North | 9 Ravens Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 05 vs Seahawks 37-3 Lost Sun, Nov 12 vs Browns 31-33 Won Thu, Nov 16 vs Bengals 34-20 Won Sun, Nov 26 @ Chargers 20-10 Sun, Dec 10 vs Rams Sun, Dec 17 @ Jaguars Mon, Dec 25 @ 49'ers Sun, Dec 31 vs Dolphins |
3 | 0 | 12 | 28% | 20% | 17% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| Chiefs | West | 8 Chiefs Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 05 vs Dolphins 21-14 Lost Mon, Nov 20 vs Eagles 17-21 Won Sun, Nov 26 @ Raiders 31-17 Lost Sun, Dec 03 @ Packers 19-27 Sun, Dec 10 vs Bills Sun, Dec 17 @ Pats Mon, Dec 25 vs Raiders Sun, Dec 31 vs Bengals |
4 | 0 | 12 | 28% | 30% | 21% | 15% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Jaguars | South | 8 Jaguars Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 12 vs 49'ers 3-34 Won Sun, Nov 19 vs Titans 34-14 Won Sun, Nov 26 @ Texans 24-21 Lost Mon, Dec 04 vs Bengals 31-34 Sun, Dec 10 @ Browns Sun, Dec 17 vs Ravens Sun, Dec 24 @ Bucs Sun, Dec 31 vs Panthers |
4 | 0 | 12 | 10% | 17% | 23% | 28% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 4% |
| Browns | North | 7 Browns Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 12 @ Ravens 33-31 Won Sun, Nov 19 vs Steelers 13-10 Lost Sun, Nov 26 @ Broncos 12-29 Lost Sun, Dec 03 @ Rams 19-36 Sun, Dec 10 vs Jaguars Sun, Dec 17 vs Bears Sun, Dec 24 @ Texans Thu, Dec 28 vs Jets |
5 | 0 | 12 | 1% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 29% | 16% | 13% | 28% |
| Colts | South | 7 Colts Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 05 @ Panthers 27-13 Won Sun, Nov 12 @ Pats 10-6 Won Sun, Nov 26 vs Bucs 27-20 Won Sun, Dec 03 @ Titans 31-28 Sun, Dec 10 @ Bengals Sat, Dec 16 vs Steelers Sun, Dec 24 @ Falcons Sun, Dec 31 vs Raiders |
5 | 0 | 12 | <1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 35% |
| Texans | South | 7 Texans Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 12 @ Bengals 30-27 Won Sun, Nov 19 vs Cards 21-16 Lost Sun, Nov 26 vs Jaguars 21-24 Won Sun, Dec 03 vs Broncos 22-17 Sun, Dec 10 @ Jets Sun, Dec 17 @ Titans Sun, Dec 24 vs Browns Sun, Dec 31 vs Titans |
5 | 0 | 12 | <1% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 22% | 19% | 16% | 32% |
| Steelers | North | 7 Steelers Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 19 @ Browns 10-13 Won Sun, Nov 26 @ Bengals 16-10 Lost Sun, Dec 03 vs Cards 10-24 Lost Thu, Dec 07 vs Pats 18-21 Sat, Dec 16 @ Colts Sat, Dec 23 vs Bengals Sun, Dec 31 @ Seahawks Sun, Jan 07 @ Ravens |
6 | 0 | 13 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 10% | 14% | 68% |
| Broncos | West | 6 Broncos Recent Games Won Mon, Nov 13 @ Bills 24-22 Won Sun, Nov 19 vs Vikings 21-20 Won Sun, Nov 26 vs Browns 29-12 Lost Sun, Dec 03 @ Texans 17-22 Sun, Dec 10 @ Chargers Sat, Dec 16 @ Lions Sun, Dec 24 vs Pats Sun, Dec 31 vs Chargers |
6 | 0 | 12 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 9% | 13% | 73% |
| Bengals | North | 6 Bengals Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 12 vs Texans 27-30 Lost Thu, Nov 16 @ Ravens 20-34 Lost Sun, Nov 26 vs Steelers 10-16 Won Mon, Dec 04 @ Jaguars 34-31 Sun, Dec 10 vs Colts Sat, Dec 16 vs Vikings Sat, Dec 23 @ Steelers Sun, Dec 31 @ Chiefs |
6 | 0 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 8% | 79% |
| Bills | East | 6 Bills Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 05 @ Bengals 18-24 Lost Mon, Nov 13 vs Broncos 22-24 Won Sun, Nov 19 vs Jets 32-6 Lost Sun, Nov 26 @ Eagles 34-37 Sun, Dec 10 @ Chiefs Sun, Dec 17 vs Cowboys Sat, Dec 23 @ Chargers Sun, Dec 31 vs Pats |
6 | 0 | 12 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 92% |
| Chargers | West | 5 Chargers Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 12 vs Lions 38-41 Lost Sun, Nov 19 @ Packers 20-23 Lost Sun, Nov 26 vs Ravens 10-20 Won Sun, Dec 03 @ Pats 6-0 Sun, Dec 10 vs Broncos Thu, Dec 14 @ Raiders Sat, Dec 23 vs Bills Sun, Dec 31 @ Broncos |
7 | 0 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 90% |
| Raiders | West | 5 Raiders Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 05 vs Giants 30-6 Won Sun, Nov 12 vs Jets 16-12 Lost Sun, Nov 19 @ Dolphins 13-20 Lost Sun, Nov 26 vs Chiefs 17-31 Sun, Dec 10 vs Vikings Thu, Dec 14 vs Chargers Mon, Dec 25 @ Chiefs Sun, Dec 31 @ Colts |
7 | 0 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 95% |
| Titans | South | 4 Titans Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 12 @ Bucs 6-20 Lost Sun, Nov 19 @ Jaguars 14-34 Won Sun, Nov 26 vs Panthers 17-10 Lost Sun, Dec 03 vs Colts 28-31 Mon, Dec 11 @ Dolphins Sun, Dec 17 vs Texans Sun, Dec 24 vs Seahawks Sun, Dec 31 @ Texans |
8 | 0 | 12 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Jets | East | 4 Jets Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 12 @ Raiders 12-16 Lost Sun, Nov 19 @ Bills 6-32 Lost Fri, Nov 24 vs Dolphins 13-34 Lost Sun, Dec 03 vs Falcons 8-13 Sun, Dec 10 vs Texans Sun, Dec 17 @ Dolphins Sun, Dec 24 vs Commanders Thu, Dec 28 @ Browns |
8 | 0 | 12 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Patriots | East | 3 Patriots Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 12 vs Colts 6-10 Lost Sun, Nov 26 @ Giants 7-10 Lost Sun, Dec 03 vs Chargers 0-6 Won Thu, Dec 07 @ Steelers 21-18 Sun, Dec 17 vs Chiefs Sun, Dec 24 @ Broncos Sun, Dec 31 @ Bills Sun, Jan 07 vs Jets |
10 | 0 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
| Record | Total | Home (67%) |
Away (3%) |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | T | |||
| Bye | 28% | |||||
| (7)Texans | 7 | 5 | 0 | 13% | 13% | <1% |
| (6)Colts | 7 | 5 | 0 | 12% | 12% | <1% |
| (5)Browns | 7 | 5 | 0 | 11% | 11% | <1% |
| (8)Steelers | 7 | 6 | 0 | 7% | 7% | <1% |
| (9)Broncos | 6 | 6 | 0 | 7% | 6% | 1% |
| (10)Bengals | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6% | 6% | <1% |
| (4)Jaguars | 8 | 4 | 0 | 5% | 4% | 1% |
| (2)Ravens | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3% | 3% | <1% |
| (12)Chargers | 5 | 7 | 0 | 3% | 2% | <1% |
| (11)Bills | 6 | 6 | 0 | 2% | 2% | <1% |
| (13)Raiders | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| (1)Dolphins | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1% | <1% | 1% |
| (14)Titans | 4 | 8 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (15)Jets | 4 | 8 | 0 | <1% | <1% | X |
| (16)Patriots | 3 | 10 | 0 | <1% | <1% | X |
| Elimination | 2% | |||||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lions (9‑3) |
20‑21 | Home | Thu Sep 7, 8:20 pm |
| 2 | Jaguars (8‑4) |
17‑9 | Away | Sun Sep 17, 1:00 pm |
| 3 | Bears (4‑8) |
41‑10 | Home | Sun Sep 24, 4:25 pm |
| 4 | Jets (4‑8) |
23‑20 | Away | Sun Oct 1, 8:20 pm |
| 5 | Vikings (6‑6) |
27‑20 | Away | Sun Oct 8, 4:25 pm |
| 6 | Broncos (6‑6) |
19‑8 | Home | Thu Oct 12, 8:15 pm |
| 7 | Chargers (5‑7) |
31‑17 | Home | Sun Oct 22, 4:25 pm |
| 8 | Broncos (6‑6) |
9‑24 | Away | Sun Oct 29, 4:25 pm |
| 9 | Dolphins (9‑3) |
21‑14 | Home | Sun Nov 5, 9:30 am |
| 11 | Eagles (10‑2) |
17‑21 | Home | Mon Nov 20, 8:15 pm |
| 12 | Raiders (5‑7) |
31‑17 | Away | Sun Nov 26, 4:25 pm |
| 13 | Packers (6‑6) |
19‑27 | Away | Sun Dec 3, 8:20 pm |
| 14 | Bills (6‑6) |
Home | Sun Dec 10, 4:25 pm | |
| 15 | Patriots (3‑10) |
Away | Sun Dec 17, 1:00 pm | |
| 16 | Raiders (5‑7) |
Home | Mon Dec 25, 1:00 pm | |
| 17 | Bengals (6‑6) |
Home | Sun Dec 31, 4:25 pm | |
| 18 | Chargers (5‑7) |
Away | Sun Jan 7, TBD |