PlayoffStatus.com

Wed Jun 22 1:00 pm

NFL - Week 1 of 18

Cowboys What If?

The Cowboys What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Cowboys play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Cowboys What If?

Next Game - Buccaneers (0‑0)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1* 2** 3** 4** 5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 1 0 0 7% 7% 6% 6% 7% 6% 7% 53%
Current Standings 0 0 0 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 56%
Lose Next Game 0 1 0 3% 5% 6% 8% 5% 6% 6% 61%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1* 2** 3** 4** 5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 7% 52%
Current Standings 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 56%
Worst Case Scenario 3% 5% 6% 7% 5% 6% 7% 61%
Best Case Scenario
   Lions beats Eagles
   Jaguars beats Commanders
   Cowboys beats Buccaneers
Worst Case Scenario
   Eagles beats Lions
   Commanders beats Jaguars
   Buccaneers beats Cowboys
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1* 2** 3** 4** 5 6 7 8
17 of 17 100% 17 0 0 99% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
16 of 17 94% 16 1 0 92% 8% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
15 of 17 88% 15 2 0 69% 28% 2% <1% 1% <1% ^ ^
14 of 17 82% 14 3 0 34% 43% 14% 2% 7% <1% <1% <1%
13 of 17 76% 13 4 0 8% 32% 29% 8% 18% 4% <1% <1%
12 of 17 71% 12 5 0 1% 11% 27% 19% 24% 16% 3% <1%
11 of 17 65% 11 6 0 <1% 2% 13% 22% 15% 27% 17% 5%
10 of 17 59% 10 7 0 <1% <1% 4% 17% 4% 19% 28% 28%
9 of 17 53% 9 8 0 <1% <1% 1% 10% 1% 6% 19% 63%
8 of 17 47% 8 9 0 <1% <1% <1% 4% <1% 1% 6% 88%
7 of 17 41% 7 10 0 <1% <1% <1% 2% <1% <1% 1% 98%
6 of 17 35% 6 11 0 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
5 of 17 29% 5 12 0 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
4 of 17 24% 4 13 0 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
3 of 17 18% 3 14 0 X X X X X X X 100%
2 of 17 12% 2 15 0 X X X X X X X 100%
1 of 17 6% 1 16 0 X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 17 0% 0 17 0 X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs