The Most Important Games for the Forty-Niners are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Forty-Niners final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Forty-Niners fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Forty-Niners Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Forty-Niners49ers (5‑2) vs Texans (2‑3) |
45 | Forty-Niners49ers Wins | 14% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 16% | 10% | 8% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 15% | 12% | 7% | 15% | 10% | 8% | 21% | ||
| Texans Wins | 7% | 12% | 12% | 8% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 26% | ||
| Saints (1‑6) vs Buccaneers (5‑1) |
10 | Saints Wins | 15% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 15% | 10% | 8% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 15% | 12% | 7% | 15% | 10% | 8% | 21% | ||
| Buccaneers Wins | 11% | 15% | 13% | 7% | 15% | 10% | 8% | 21% | ||
| Lions (4‑2) vs Buccaneers (5‑1) |
9 | Lions Wins | 14% | 14% | 11% | 6% | 15% | 10% | 8% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 15% | 12% | 7% | 15% | 10% | 8% | 21% | ||
| Buccaneers Wins | 10% | 15% | 13% | 7% | 16% | 10% | 8% | 20% | ||
| Steelers (4‑2) vs Packers (4‑1‑1) |
6 | Steelers Wins | 13% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 16% | 10% | 8% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 15% | 12% | 7% | 15% | 10% | 8% | 21% | ||
| Packers Wins | 11% | 14% | 13% | 7% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 21% | ||
| Texans (2‑3) vs Seahawks (4‑2) |
6 | Texans Wins | 12% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 15% | 12% | 7% | 15% | 10% | 8% | 21% | ||
| Seahawks Wins | 12% | 15% | 12% | 7% | 15% | 10% | 8% | 21% | ||
| Giants (2‑5) vs Eagles (5‑2) |
4 | Giants Wins | 13% | 16% | 11% | 5% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 15% | 12% | 7% | 15% | 10% | 8% | 21% | ||
| Eagles Wins | 12% | 15% | 12% | 7% | 15% | 10% | 8% | 21% | ||
| Bills (4‑2) vs Panthers (4‑3) |
4 | Bills Wins | 13% | 15% | 12% | 7% | 15% | 10% | 8% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 15% | 12% | 7% | 15% | 10% | 8% | 21% | ||
| Panthers Wins | 12% | 15% | 12% | 7% | 15% | 10% | 8% | 21% | ||
| Broncos (5‑2) vs Cowboys (3‑3‑1) |
3 | Broncos Wins | 12% | 15% | 12% | 7% | 15% | 10% | 8% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 15% | 12% | 7% | 15% | 10% | 8% | 21% | ||
| Cowboys Wins | 12% | 15% | 12% | 7% | 15% | 10% | 8% | 22% | ||
| Chiefs (4‑3) vs Commanders (3‑4) |
2 | Chiefs Wins | 12% | 15% | 12% | 7% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 15% | 12% | 7% | 15% | 10% | 8% | 21% | ||
| Commanders Wins | 11% | 15% | 12% | 7% | 15% | 10% | 8% | 21% | ||
| Ravens (1‑5) vs Bears (4‑2) |
1 | Ravens Wins | 12% | 15% | 12% | 7% | 16% | 10% | 8% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 15% | 12% | 7% | 15% | 10% | 8% | 21% | ||
| Bears Wins | 12% | 15% | 12% | 7% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 21% | ||
| Chargers (4‑3) vs Vikings (3‑3) |
1 | Chargers Wins | 12% | 15% | 12% | 7% | 15% | 10% | 8% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 15% | 12% | 7% | 15% | 10% | 8% | 21% | ||
| Vikings Wins | 12% | 15% | 12% | 7% | 15% | 10% | 8% | 21% | ||
| Falcons (3‑3) vs Dolphins (1‑6) |
1 | Falcons Wins | 12% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 15% | 10% | 8% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 15% | 12% | 7% | 15% | 10% | 8% | 21% | ||
| Dolphins Wins | 12% | 15% | 12% | 7% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 20% | ||