The Most Important Games for the Forty-Niners are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Forty-Niners final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Forty-Niners fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Forty-Niners Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Forty-Niners49'ers (6‑7) vs Rams (7‑6) |
10 | Forty-Niners49'ers Wins | X | X | 1% | 1% | X | <1% | 4% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 1% | 1% | X | <1% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Rams Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | X | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Saints (5‑8) vs Commanders (8‑5) |
2 | Saints Wins | X | X | 1% | 1% | X | <1% | 4% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 1% | 1% | X | <1% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Commanders Wins | X | X | 1% | 1% | X | <1% | 1% | 97% | ||
| Packers (9‑4) vs Seahawks (8‑5) |
2 | Packers Wins | X | X | 1% | 1% | X | <1% | 3% | 95% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 1% | 1% | X | <1% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Seahawks Wins | X | X | 1% | 1% | X | <1% | 3% | 96% | ||
| Raiders (2‑11) vs Falcons (6‑7) |
1 | Raiders Wins | X | X | 1% | 1% | X | <1% | 3% | 95% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 1% | 1% | X | <1% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Falcons Wins | X | X | 1% | 1% | X | <1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Chargers (8‑5) vs Buccaneers (7‑6) |
1 | Chargers Wins | X | X | 1% | 1% | X | <1% | 3% | 95% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 1% | 1% | X | <1% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Buccaneers Wins | X | X | 1% | 1% | X | <1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Giants (2‑11) vs Ravens (8‑5) |
0 | Giants Wins | X | X | 1% | 1% | X | <1% | 3% | 95% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 1% | 1% | X | <1% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Ravens Wins | X | X | 1% | 1% | X | <1% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Panthers (3‑10) vs Cowboys (5‑8) |
0 | Panthers Wins | X | X | 1% | 1% | X | <1% | 3% | 95% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 1% | 1% | X | <1% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Cowboys Wins | X | X | 1% | 1% | X | <1% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Vikings (11‑2) vs Bears (4‑9) |
0 | Vikings Wins | X | X | 1% | 1% | X | <1% | 3% | 95% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 1% | 1% | X | <1% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Bears Wins | X | X | 1% | 1% | X | <1% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Patriots (3‑10) vs Cardinals (6‑7) |
0 | Patriots Wins | X | X | 1% | 1% | X | <1% | 3% | 95% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 1% | 1% | X | <1% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | X | X | 1% | 1% | X | <1% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Eagles (11‑2) vs Steelers (10‑3) |
0 | Eagles Wins | X | X | 1% | 1% | X | <1% | 3% | 95% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 1% | 1% | X | <1% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Steelers Wins | X | X | 1% | 1% | X | <1% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Lions (12‑1) vs Bills (10‑3) |
0 | Lions Wins | X | X | 1% | 1% | X | <1% | 3% | 95% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 1% | 1% | X | <1% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Bills Wins | X | X | 1% | 1% | X | <1% | 3% | 95% | ||