The Most Important Games for the Forty-Niners are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Forty-Niners final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Forty-Niners fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Forty-Niners Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Lions (1‑1) vs Falcons (2‑0) |
5 | Lions Wins | 20% | 14% | 14% | 11% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 15% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 27% | ||
| Falcons Wins | 18% | 15% | 15% | 10% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 27% | ||
| Bengals (0‑2) vs Rams (1‑1) |
4 | Bengals Wins | 18% | 15% | 15% | 12% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 15% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 27% | ||
| Rams Wins | 18% | 14% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 27% | ||
| Cardinals (0‑2) vs Cowboys (2‑0) |
3 | Cardinals Wins | 19% | 14% | 14% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 15% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 27% | ||
| Cowboys Wins | 17% | 15% | 15% | 11% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 26% | ||
| Bills (1‑1) vs Commanders (2‑0) |
3 | Bills Wins | 18% | 15% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 15% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 27% | ||
| Commanders Wins | 18% | 15% | 15% | 10% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 27% | ||
| Packers (1‑1) vs Saints (2‑0) |
2 | Packers Wins | 19% | 14% | 14% | 11% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 15% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 27% | ||
| Saints Wins | 18% | 15% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 26% | ||
| Chiefs (1‑1) vs Bears (0‑2) |
2 | Chiefs Wins | 18% | 15% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 15% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 27% | ||
| Bears Wins | 18% | 14% | 15% | 11% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 26% | ||
| Chargers (0‑2) vs Vikings (0‑2) |
2 | Chargers Wins | 18% | 15% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 15% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 27% | ||
| Vikings Wins | 18% | 15% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 26% | ||
| Panthers (0‑2) vs Seahawks (1‑1) |
2 | Panthers Wins | 18% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 15% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 27% | ||
| Seahawks Wins | 18% | 15% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 26% | ||
| Eagles (2‑0) vs Buccaneers (2‑0) |
1 | Eagles Wins | 18% | 15% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 15% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 27% | ||
| Buccaneers Wins | 18% | 15% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 27% | ||