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Fri Nov 6 12:00 am

NFL - Week 9 of 18

Forty-Niners Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Forty-Niners are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Forty-Niners final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Forty-Niners fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Forty-Niners Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Forty-Niners Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Forty-Niners49ers
(6‑1)

vs
Raiders
(4‑4)
48 Forty-Niners49ers Wins 41% 38% 8% 1% 2% 3% 3% 3%
Current Probabilities 39% 37% 9% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5%
Raiders Wins 29% 38% 12% 3% 2% 4% 5% 7%
Bills
(6‑1)

vs
Vikings
(6‑1)
12 Bills Wins 42% 33% 9% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5%
Current Probabilities 39% 37% 9% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5%
Vikings Wins 37% 38% 9% 2% 1% 3% 4% 5%
Buccaneers
(3‑5)

vs
Bears
(6‑2)
9 Buccaneers Wins 42% 34% 9% 2% 2% 4% 3% 4%
Current Probabilities 39% 37% 9% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5%
Bears Wins 39% 37% 9% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5%
Dolphins
(1‑6)

vs
Lions
(5‑2)
8 Dolphins Wins 42% 34% 9% 2% 2% 3% 4% 4%
Current Probabilities 39% 37% 9% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5%
Lions Wins 39% 38% 9% 2% 1% 3% 4% 4%
Cardinals
(3‑5)

vs
Seahawks
(4‑4)
6 Cardinals Wins 40% 38% 10% 2% 1% 2% 3% 4%
Current Probabilities 39% 37% 9% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5%
Seahawks Wins 39% 37% 9% 2% 2% 4% 4% 4%
Eagles
(2‑6)

vs
Giants
(4‑2‑1)
5 Eagles Wins 40% 39% 7% 1% 2% 3% 4% 4%
Current Probabilities 39% 37% 9% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5%
Giants Wins 39% 36% 10% 2% 2% 3% 4% 4%
Browns
(5‑3)

vs
Saints
(2‑5)
3 Browns Wins 40% 37% 9% 2% 2% 3% 3% 5%
Current Probabilities 39% 37% 9% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5%
Saints Wins 39% 37% 9% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5%
Patriots
(5‑3)

vs
Packers
(5‑3)
2 Patriots Wins 39% 37% 9% 2% 2% 4% 4% 4%
Current Probabilities 39% 37% 9% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5%
Packers Wins 39% 37% 9% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5%
Commanders
(2‑4‑1)

vs
Rams
(4‑4)
2 Commanders Wins 39% 37% 9% 2% 1% 3% 3% 4%
Current Probabilities 39% 37% 9% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5%
Rams Wins 40% 36% 9% 2% 2% 4% 4% 4%
Panthers
(3‑4)

vs
Broncos
(6‑2)
1 Panthers Wins 39% 36% 9% 2% 1% 4% 4% 5%
Current Probabilities 39% 37% 9% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5%
Broncos Wins 39% 37% 9% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5%
Colts
(2‑6)

vs
Cowboys
(3‑5)
1 Colts Wins 39% 37% 9% 2% 2% 3% 4% 4%
Current Probabilities 39% 37% 9% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5%
Cowboys Wins 39% 37% 9% 2% 1% 3% 4% 5%
Bengals
(5‑2)

vs
Falcons
(3‑5)
0 Bengals Wins 39% 37% 9% 2% 1% 3% 4% 5%
Current Probabilities 39% 37% 9% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5%
Falcons Wins 39% 37% 9% 2% 1% 3% 4% 5%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs