The Most Important Games for the Forty-Niners are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Forty-Niners final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Forty-Niners fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Forty-Niners Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Forty-Niners49ers (6‑1) vs Raiders (4‑4) |
48 | Forty-Niners49ers Wins | 41% | 38% | 8% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 39% | 37% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Raiders Wins | 29% | 38% | 12% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | ||
| Bills (6‑1) vs Vikings (6‑1) |
12 | Bills Wins | 42% | 33% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 39% | 37% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Vikings Wins | 37% | 38% | 9% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Buccaneers (3‑5) vs Bears (6‑2) |
9 | Buccaneers Wins | 42% | 34% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 39% | 37% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Bears Wins | 39% | 37% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Dolphins (1‑6) vs Lions (5‑2) |
8 | Dolphins Wins | 42% | 34% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 39% | 37% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Lions Wins | 39% | 38% | 9% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Cardinals (3‑5) vs Seahawks (4‑4) |
6 | Cardinals Wins | 40% | 38% | 10% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 39% | 37% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Seahawks Wins | 39% | 37% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Eagles (2‑6) vs Giants (4‑2‑1) |
5 | Eagles Wins | 40% | 39% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 39% | 37% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Giants Wins | 39% | 36% | 10% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Browns (5‑3) vs Saints (2‑5) |
3 | Browns Wins | 40% | 37% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 39% | 37% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Saints Wins | 39% | 37% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Patriots (5‑3) vs Packers (5‑3) |
2 | Patriots Wins | 39% | 37% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 39% | 37% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Packers Wins | 39% | 37% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Commanders (2‑4‑1) vs Rams (4‑4) |
2 | Commanders Wins | 39% | 37% | 9% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 39% | 37% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Rams Wins | 40% | 36% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Panthers (3‑4) vs Broncos (6‑2) |
1 | Panthers Wins | 39% | 36% | 9% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 39% | 37% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Broncos Wins | 39% | 37% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Colts (2‑6) vs Cowboys (3‑5) |
1 | Colts Wins | 39% | 37% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 39% | 37% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Cowboys Wins | 39% | 37% | 9% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Bengals (5‑2) vs Falcons (3‑5) |
0 | Bengals Wins | 39% | 37% | 9% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 39% | 37% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Falcons Wins | 39% | 37% | 9% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | ||