The Forty-Niners What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Forty-Niners play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
Win Next Game | 4 | 0 | 0 | 28% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 17% |
Current Standings | 3 | 0 | 0 | 27% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 20% |
Lose Next Game | 3 | 1 | 0 | 19% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 25% |
Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
Best Case Scenario | 30% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 16% |
Current Standings | 27% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 20% |
Worst Case Scenario | 18% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 25% |
Best Case Scenario Commanders beats Eagles Forty-Niners beats Cardinals |
Worst Case Scenario Eagles beats Commanders Cardinals beats Forty-Niners |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
14 of 14 | 100% | 17 | 0 | 0 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
13 of 14 | 93% | 16 | 1 | 0 | 97% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
12 of 14 | 86% | 15 | 2 | 0 | 76% | 21% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
11 of 14 | 79% | 14 | 3 | 0 | 45% | 40% | 12% | 1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
10 of 14 | 71% | 13 | 4 | 0 | 14% | 38% | 31% | 8% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
9 of 14 | 64% | 12 | 5 | 0 | 2% | 16% | 36% | 21% | 17% | 7% | 1% | <1% |
8 of 14 | 57% | 11 | 6 | 0 | <1% | 3% | 20% | 30% | 17% | 20% | 9% | 2% |
7 of 14 | 50% | 10 | 7 | 0 | <1% | <1% | 6% | 26% | 7% | 21% | 23% | 16% |
6 of 14 | 43% | 9 | 8 | 0 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 15% | 1% | 8% | 21% | 54% |
5 of 14 | 36% | 8 | 9 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 86% |
4 of 14 | 29% | 7 | 10 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 98% |
3 of 14 | 21% | 6 | 11 | 0 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
2 of 14 | 14% | 5 | 12 | 0 | X | X | <1% | <1% | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
1 of 14 | 7% | 4 | 13 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
0 of 14 | 0% | 3 | 14 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |