PlayoffStatus.com

Thu Sep 29 11:45 pm

NFL - Week 4 of 17

Forty-Niners What If?

The Forty-Niners What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Forty-Niners play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Forty-Niners What If?

Next Game - Cowboys (2‑1)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1* 2* 3** 4** 5 6 7
Win Next Game 2 2 0 1% 4% 5% 5% 7% 8% 69%
Current Standings 1 2 0 1% 3% 5% 6% 5% 7% 72%
Lose Next Game 1 3 0 <1% 2% 4% 6% 3% 6% 79%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1* 2* 3** 4** 5 6 7
Best Case Scenario 1% 5% 6% 6% 6% 8% 67%
Current Standings 1% 3% 5% 6% 5% 7% 72%
Worst Case Scenario <1% 2% 4% 5% 3% 6% 80%
Best Case Scenario
   Jets beats Seahawks
   Falcons beats Panthers
   Forty-Niners beats Cowboys
Worst Case Scenario
   Seahawks beats Jets
   Panthers beats Falcons
   Cowboys beats Forty-Niners
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1* 2* 3** 4** 5 6 7
13 of 13 100% 14 2 0 48% 45% 6% <1% ^ ^ ^
12 of 13 92% 13 3 0 21% 51% 19% 1% 7% <1% <1%
11 of 13 85% 12 4 0 5% 30% 32% 7% 21% 5% <1%
10 of 13 77% 11 5 0 <1% 9% 25% 16% 25% 20% 5%
9 of 13 69% 10 6 0 <1% 1% 10% 19% 13% 30% 28%
8 of 13 62% 9 7 0 <1% <1% 2% 12% 3% 16% 67%
7 of 13 54% 8 8 0 <1% <1% <1% 5% <1% 3% 92%
6 of 13 46% 7 9 0 <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% 99%
5 of 13 38% 6 10 0 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
4 of 13 31% 5 11 0 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
3 of 13 23% 4 12 0 X X X X X X 100%
2 of 13 15% 3 13 0 X X X X X X 100%
1 of 13 8% 2 14 0 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 13 0% 1 15 0 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • New Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs