The Forty-Niners What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Forty-Niners play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Win Next Game | 9 | 4 | 0 | 4% | 5% | 2% | <1% | 44% | 26% | 13% | 7% |
| Current Standings | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4% | 4% | 1% | <1% | 40% | 25% | 14% | 11% |
| Lose Next Game | 8 | 5 | 0 | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 29% | 26% | 21% | 21% |
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 11% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 38% | 24% | 13% | 7% |
| Current Standings | 4% | 4% | 1% | <1% | 40% | 25% | 14% | 11% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 31% | 28% | 21% | 20% |
|
Best Case Scenario Bears beats Eagles Forty-Niners beats Browns Panthers beats Rams |
Worst Case Scenario Eagles beats Bears Browns beats Forty-Niners Rams beats Panthers |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
| 5 of 5 | 100% | 13 | 4 | 0 | 22% | 16% | 1% | X | 61% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 5 | 80% | 12 | 5 | 0 | 2% | 6% | 4% | <1% | 73% | 15% | <1% | ^ |
| 3 of 5 | 60% | 11 | 6 | 0 | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 35% | 49% | 14% | 1% |
| 2 of 5 | 40% | 10 | 7 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 25% | 46% | 25% |
| 1 of 5 | 20% | 9 | 8 | 0 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 20% | 79% |
| 0 of 5 | 0% | 8 | 9 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 99% |