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Sun Oct 22 7:30 pm

NFL - Week 7 of 17

Forty-Niners What If?

The Forty-Niners What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Forty-Niners play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Forty-Niners What If?

Next Game - Eagles (5‑1)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1* 2* 3** 4** 5 6 7
Win Next Game 1 7 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Current Standings 0 7 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Lose Next Game 0 8 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1* 2* 3** 4** 5 6 7
Current Standings <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Best Case Scenario
None
Worst Case Scenario
None
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1* 2* 3** 4** 5 6 7
9 of 9 100% 9 7 0 <1% <1% 1% 14% 1% 9% 76%
8 of 9 89% 8 8 0 <1% <1% <1% 3% <1% <1% 96%
7 of 9 78% 7 9 0 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
6 of 9 67% 6 10 0 X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
5 of 9 56% 5 11 0 X X X X X X 100%
4 of 9 44% 4 12 0 X X X X X X 100%
3 of 9 33% 3 13 0 X X X X X X 100%
2 of 9 22% 2 14 0 X X X X X X 100%
1 of 9 11% 1 15 0 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 9 0% 0 16 0 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs