The Forty-Niners What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Forty-Niners play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Win Next Game | 7 | 1 | 0 | 41% | 38% | 8% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
| Current Standings | 6 | 1 | 0 | 39% | 37% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% |
| Lose Next Game | 6 | 2 | 0 | 29% | 38% | 12% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% |
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 49% | 30% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% |
| Current Standings | 39% | 37% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 27% | 41% | 12% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 8% |
|
Best Case Scenario Forty-Niners beats Raiders Buccaneers beats Bears Bills beats Vikings |
Worst Case Scenario Raiders beats Forty-Niners Bears beats Buccaneers Vikings beats Bills |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
| 10 of 10 | 100% | 16 | 1 | 0 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 9 of 10 | 90% | 15 | 2 | 0 | 93% | 7% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 8 of 10 | 80% | 14 | 3 | 0 | 68% | 32% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 7 of 10 | 70% | 13 | 4 | 0 | 30% | 66% | 3% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 6 of 10 | 60% | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7% | 70% | 16% | 1% | 3% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| 5 of 10 | 50% | 11 | 6 | 0 | <1% | 39% | 30% | 5% | 5% | 12% | 8% | 1% |
| 4 of 10 | 40% | 10 | 7 | 0 | <1% | 8% | 22% | 12% | 2% | 15% | 27% | 15% |
| 3 of 10 | 30% | 9 | 8 | 0 | <1% | <1% | 4% | 10% | <1% | 3% | 20% | 62% |
| 2 of 10 | 20% | 8 | 9 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 96% |
| 1 of 10 | 10% | 7 | 10 | 0 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 0 of 10 | 0% | 6 | 11 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |