The Forty-Niners What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Forty-Niners play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Win Next Game | 9 | 4 | 0 | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 42% | 26% | 15% | 7% |
| Current Standings | 8 | 4 | 0 | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 38% | 25% | 17% | 12% |
| Lose Next Game | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 27% | 25% | 23% | 22% |
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 11% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 42% | 21% | 12% | 6% |
| Current Standings | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 38% | 25% | 17% | 12% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 26% | 25% | 24% | 23% |
|
Best Case Scenario Forty-Niners beats Browns Panthers beats Rams Vikings beats Seahawks |
Worst Case Scenario Browns beats Forty-Niners Rams beats Panthers Seahawks beats Vikings |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
| 5 of 5 | 100% | 13 | 4 | 0 | 37% | 3% | X | X | 60% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 5 | 80% | 12 | 5 | 0 | 4% | 5% | 2% | <1% | 71% | 16% | <1% | ^ |
| 3 of 5 | 60% | 11 | 6 | 0 | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 31% | 48% | 18% | 1% |
| 2 of 5 | 40% | 10 | 7 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 22% | 48% | 28% |
| 1 of 5 | 20% | 9 | 8 | 0 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 20% | 78% |
| 0 of 5 | 0% | 8 | 9 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 99% |