The Most Important Games for the Lions are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lions final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lions fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lions Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Lions (5‑2) vs Dolphins (1‑6) |
40 | Lions Wins | 14% | 12% | 1% | <1% | 24% | 18% | 12% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 11% | 1% | <1% | 23% | 16% | 12% | 23% | ||
| Dolphins Wins | 7% | 9% | 2% | <1% | 21% | 17% | 14% | 28% | ||
| Bills (6‑1) vs Vikings (6‑1) |
12 | Bills Wins | 14% | 13% | 2% | <1% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 11% | 1% | <1% | 23% | 16% | 12% | 23% | ||
| Vikings Wins | 12% | 10% | 1% | <1% | 24% | 17% | 13% | 23% | ||
| Raiders (4‑4) vs Forty-Niners49ers (6‑1) |
7 | Raiders Wins | 15% | 9% | 1% | <1% | 24% | 17% | 12% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 11% | 1% | <1% | 23% | 16% | 12% | 23% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers Wins | 12% | 12% | 1% | <1% | 23% | 16% | 13% | 23% | ||
| Patriots (5‑3) vs Packers (5‑3) |
5 | Patriots Wins | 13% | 11% | 2% | <1% | 24% | 17% | 12% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 11% | 1% | <1% | 23% | 16% | 12% | 23% | ||
| Packers Wins | 13% | 10% | 1% | <1% | 23% | 16% | 12% | 24% | ||
| Buccaneers (3‑5) vs Bears (5‑2) |
3 | Buccaneers Wins | 13% | 12% | 2% | <1% | 23% | 16% | 12% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 11% | 1% | <1% | 23% | 16% | 12% | 23% | ||
| Bears Wins | 13% | 11% | 1% | <1% | 23% | 17% | 13% | 22% | ||
| Bengals (5‑2) vs Falcons (3‑5) |
2 | Bengals Wins | 13% | 11% | 1% | <1% | 22% | 17% | 13% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 11% | 1% | <1% | 23% | 16% | 12% | 23% | ||
| Falcons Wins | 13% | 11% | 1% | <1% | 23% | 17% | 12% | 23% | ||
| Saints (2‑5) vs Browns (5‑3) |
2 | Saints Wins | 13% | 11% | 1% | <1% | 23% | 17% | 12% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 11% | 1% | <1% | 23% | 16% | 12% | 23% | ||
| Browns Wins | 12% | 11% | 1% | <1% | 23% | 17% | 12% | 23% | ||
| Cardinals (3‑5) vs Seahawks (4‑3) |
2 | Cardinals Wins | 13% | 10% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 17% | 12% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 11% | 1% | <1% | 23% | 16% | 12% | 23% | ||
| Seahawks Wins | 13% | 11% | 1% | <1% | 23% | 17% | 13% | 23% | ||
| Colts (2‑6) vs Cowboys (3‑5) |
1 | Colts Wins | 13% | 11% | 1% | <1% | 23% | 16% | 13% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 11% | 1% | <1% | 23% | 16% | 12% | 23% | ||
| Cowboys Wins | 13% | 11% | 2% | <1% | 23% | 17% | 13% | 23% | ||
| Eagles (2‑6) vs Giants (4‑2‑1) |
1 | Eagles Wins | 13% | 11% | 1% | <1% | 23% | 17% | 13% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 11% | 1% | <1% | 23% | 16% | 12% | 23% | ||
| Giants Wins | 13% | 11% | 2% | <1% | 23% | 17% | 12% | 22% | ||
| Broncos (6‑2) vs Panthers (3‑4) |
1 | Broncos Wins | 13% | 11% | 1% | <1% | 23% | 17% | 12% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 11% | 1% | <1% | 23% | 16% | 12% | 23% | ||
| Panthers Wins | 13% | 11% | 1% | <1% | 23% | 16% | 13% | 22% | ||
| Seahawks (4‑3) vs Bears (5‑2) |
0 | Seahawks Wins | 13% | 12% | 2% | <1% | 22% | 16% | 12% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 11% | 1% | <1% | 23% | 16% | 12% | 23% | ||
| Bears Wins | 13% | 10% | 1% | <1% | 24% | 17% | 12% | 22% | ||
| Rams (4‑4) vs Commanders (2‑4‑1) |
0 | Rams Wins | 13% | 11% | 1% | <1% | 22% | 17% | 13% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 11% | 1% | <1% | 23% | 16% | 12% | 23% | ||
| Commanders Wins | 13% | 11% | 2% | <1% | 24% | 17% | 12% | 22% | ||