PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Oct 22 7:30 pm

NFL - Week 7 of 17

Lions What If?

The Lions What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Lions play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Lions What If?

Next Game - Steelers (4‑2)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1* 2* 3** 4** 5 6 7
Win Next Game 4 3 0 1% 5% 9% 9% 5% 8% 63%
Current Standings 3 3 0 1% 4% 9% 9% 5% 7% 66%
Lose Next Game 3 4 0 <1% 2% 6% 8% 4% 6% 73%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1* 2* 3** 4** 5 6 7
Best Case Scenario 1% 5% 11% 11% 4% 7% 60%
Current Standings 1% 4% 9% 9% 5% 7% 66%
Worst Case Scenario <1% 2% 6% 7% 4% 6% 75%
Best Case Scenario
   Browns beats Vikings
   Cowboys beats Redskins
   Lions beats Steelers
Worst Case Scenario
   Vikings beats Browns
   Redskins beats Cowboys
   Steelers beats Lions
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1* 2* 3** 4** 5 6 7
10 of 10 100% 13 3 0 26% 52% 21% 2% ^ ^ ^
9 of 10 90% 12 4 0 6% 33% 43% 11% 7% 1% <1%
8 of 10 80% 11 5 0 <1% 9% 35% 27% 18% 9% 2%
7 of 10 70% 10 6 0 <1% 1% 12% 28% 13% 26% 21%
6 of 10 60% 9 7 0 <1% <1% 2% 12% 3% 15% 69%
5 of 10 50% 8 8 0 <1% <1% <1% 2% <1% 2% 96%
4 of 10 40% 7 9 0 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
3 of 10 30% 6 10 0 X X X X X <1% >99%
2 of 10 20% 5 11 0 X X X X X X 100%
1 of 10 10% 4 12 0 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 10 0% 3 13 0 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs