The Lions What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Lions play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Win Next Game | 10 | 3 | 0 | 9% | 28% | 59% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 9 | 3 | 0 | 7% | 25% | 60% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Lose Next Game | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2% | 15% | 69% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 4% | 2% |
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 23% | 33% | 40% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 7% | 25% | 60% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 9% | 76% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 3% | 2% |
|
Best Case Scenario Lions beats Bears Seahawks beats Forty-Niners Cowboys beats Eagles |
Worst Case Scenario Bears beats Lions Forty-Niners beats Seahawks Eagles beats Cowboys |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
| 5 of 5 | 100% | 14 | 3 | 0 | 38% | 49% | 13% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 5 | 80% | 13 | 4 | 0 | 7% | 41% | 51% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 5 | 60% | 12 | 5 | 0 | 1% | 15% | 84% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 5 | 40% | 11 | 6 | 0 | <1% | 2% | 85% | <1% | 5% | 8% | <1% | <1% |
| 1 of 5 | 20% | 10 | 7 | 0 | <1% | <1% | 38% | 3% | 3% | 35% | 18% | 3% |
| 0 of 5 | 0% | 9 | 8 | 0 | X | <1% | 1% | 1% | X | 13% | 36% | 48% |