PlayoffStatus.com

Fri Sep 23 12:30 am

NFL - Week 3 of 18

Lions What If?

The Lions What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Lions play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Lions What If?

Next Game - Vikings (1‑1)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 2 1 0 4% 7% 11% 11% 4% 5% 6% 53%
Current Standings 1 1 0 3% 6% 9% 10% 4% 5% 6% 58%
Lose Next Game 1 2 0 1% 4% 8% 9% 4% 6% 6% 63%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario 4% 7% 11% 12% 3% 5% 6% 52%
Current Standings 3% 6% 9% 10% 4% 5% 6% 58%
Worst Case Scenario 1% 4% 7% 8% 4% 5% 6% 64%
Best Case Scenario
   Texans beats Bears
   Lions beats Vikings
   Commanders beats Eagles
Worst Case Scenario
   Bears beats Texans
   Vikings beats Lions
   Eagles beats Commanders
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
15 of 15 100% 16 1 0 77% 21% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
14 of 15 93% 15 2 0 51% 40% 8% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
13 of 15 87% 14 3 0 24% 46% 25% 3% 2% <1% <1% <1%
12 of 15 80% 13 4 0 7% 31% 42% 11% 7% 1% <1% <1%
11 of 15 73% 12 5 0 1% 11% 38% 26% 15% 8% 2% <1%
10 of 15 67% 11 6 0 <1% 2% 18% 32% 12% 21% 12% 3%
9 of 15 60% 10 7 0 <1% <1% 5% 26% 4% 16% 25% 24%
8 of 15 53% 9 8 0 <1% <1% 1% 15% 1% 4% 17% 62%
7 of 15 47% 8 9 0 <1% <1% <1% 6% <1% <1% 4% 89%
6 of 15 40% 7 10 0 <1% <1% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1% 98%
5 of 15 33% 6 11 0 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
4 of 15 27% 5 12 0 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
3 of 15 20% 4 13 0 X X X X X X X 100%
2 of 15 13% 3 14 0 X X X X X X X 100%
1 of 15 7% 2 15 0 X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 15 0% 1 16 0 X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs