PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Oct 22 8:15 pm

NFL - Week 7 of 17

Packers What If?

The Packers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Packers play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Packers What If?

Next Game - Lions (3‑3)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1* 2* 3** 4** 5 6 7
Win Next Game 5 3 0 2% 7% 11% 9% 9% 11% 50%
Current Standings 4 3 0 1% 6% 10% 8% 8% 10% 57%
Lose Next Game 4 4 0 <1% 2% 5% 6% 6% 9% 72%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1* 2* 3** 4** 5 6 7
Best Case Scenario 3% 7% 11% 10% 5% 8% 56%
Current Standings 1% 6% 10% 8% 8% 10% 57%
Worst Case Scenario 1% 6% 9% 8% 8% 10% 58%
Best Case Scenario
   Redskins beats Eagles
   Browns beats Vikings
Worst Case Scenario
   Eagles beats Redskins
   Vikings beats Browns
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1* 2* 3** 4** 5 6 7
9 of 9 100% 13 3 0 29% 51% 19% 1% ^ ^ ^
8 of 9 89% 12 4 0 7% 34% 37% 8% 13% 1% <1%
7 of 9 78% 11 5 0 1% 10% 30% 20% 25% 13% 2%
6 of 9 67% 10 6 0 <1% 1% 9% 21% 16% 30% 23%
5 of 9 56% 9 7 0 <1% <1% 1% 8% 3% 15% 74%
4 of 9 44% 8 8 0 <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 98%
3 of 9 33% 7 9 0 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
2 of 9 22% 6 10 0 X X X X X <1% >99%
1 of 9 11% 5 11 0 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 9 0% 4 12 0 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs