PlayoffStatus.com

Tue Sep 27 12:00 am

NFL - Week 4 of 17

Packers What If?

The Packers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Packers play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Packers What If?

Next Game - Giants (2‑1)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1* 2* 3** 4** 5 6 7
Win Next Game 3 1 0 9% 7% 5% 4% 16% 9% 49%
Current Standings 2 1 0 8% 6% 5% 3% 14% 10% 53%
Lose Next Game 2 2 0 4% 5% 6% 4% 12% 10% 60%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1* 2* 3** 4** 5 6 7
Best Case Scenario 10% 7% 7% 5% 12% 8% 51%
Current Standings 8% 6% 5% 3% 14% 10% 53%
Worst Case Scenario 8% 6% 5% 3% 16% 9% 53%
Best Case Scenario
   Bears beats Lions
   Cardinals beats Rams
   Giants beats Vikings
Worst Case Scenario
   Lions beats Bears
   Rams beats Cardinals
   Vikings beats Giants
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1* 2* 3** 4** 5 6 7
13 of 13 100% 15 1 0 97% 1% <1% <1% 3% ^ ^
12 of 13 92% 14 2 0 72% 11% 1% <1% 16% <1% ^
11 of 13 85% 13 3 0 34% 26% 6% <1% 33% <1% <1%
10 of 13 77% 12 4 0 8% 22% 16% 2% 47% 5% <1%
9 of 13 69% 11 5 0 1% 7% 17% 8% 42% 22% 4%
8 of 13 62% 10 6 0 <1% 1% 7% 10% 20% 35% 27%
7 of 13 54% 9 7 0 <1% <1% 1% 6% 4% 19% 70%
6 of 13 46% 8 8 0 <1% <1% <1% 2% <1% 3% 95%
5 of 13 38% 7 9 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
4 of 13 31% 6 10 0 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
3 of 13 23% 5 11 0 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
2 of 13 15% 4 12 0 X X X X X X 100%
1 of 13 8% 3 13 0 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 13 0% 2 14 0 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • New Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs