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NFL - Week 8 of 17

Panthers What If?

The Panthers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Panthers play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

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Panthers What If?

Next Game - Seahawks (3-3)

  Resultant Record  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs
  W L T 1** 2** 3* 4* 5 6 7
Win Next Game 4 3 1 1% 6% 17% 50% < 1% 1% 24%
Current Standings 3 3 1 1% 5% 14% 50% < 1% 1% 30%
Lose Next Game 3 4 1 < 1% 1% 8% 55% < 1% < 1% 35%




Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs
  1** 2** 3* 4* 5 6 7
Best Case Scenario 1% 6% 17% 55% < 1% < 1% 21%
Current Standings 1% 5% 14% 50% < 1% 1% 30%
Worst Case Scenario < 1% 2% 10% 50% < 1% < 1% 38%
Best Case Scenario
   Panthers beats Seahawks
   Packers beats Saints
Worst Case Scenario
   Seahawks beats Panthers
   Saints beats Packers
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs
W L T 1** 2** 3* 4* 5 6 7
9 of 9 100% 12 3 1 17% 48% 30% 5% ^ ^ ^
8 of 9 89% 11 4 1 2% 22% 49% 28% ^ ^ ^
7 of 9 78% 10 5 1 < 1% 4% 31% 65% < 1% < 1% < 1%
6 of 9 67% 9 6 1 < 1% < 1% 8% 86% < 1% 2% 3%
5 of 9 56% 8 7 1 < 1% < 1% 1% 79% < 1% 1% 19%
4 of 9 44% 7 8 1 X < 1% < 1% 51% < 1% < 1% 49%
3 of 9 33% 6 9 1 X X < 1% 21% < 1% < 1% 79%
2 of 9 22% 5 10 1 X X X 3% < 1% < 1% 97%
1 of 9 11% 4 11 1 X X X < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
0 of 9 0% 3 12 1 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes home field advantage in the first round of the post season tournament
  • ** denotes a bye in the first round of the post season tournament