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Sat Sep 7 12:00 am

NFL - Week 1 of 18

Panthers What If?

The Panthers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Panthers play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Panthers What If?

Next Game - Saints (0‑0)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1*
First Round Bye
 2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 1 0 0 8% 7% 7% 8% 6% 6% 6% 51%
Current Standings 0 0 0 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 57%
Lose Next Game 0 1 0 4% 5% 5% 6% 7% 7% 6% 61%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye
 2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario 8% 8% 8% 9% 6% 6% 6% 51%
Current Standings 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 57%
Worst Case Scenario 4% 5% 5% 6% 6% 7% 6% 61%
Best Case Scenario
   Panthers beats Saints
   Commanders beats Buccaneers
 Worst Case Scenario
   Saints beats Panthers
   Buccaneers beats Commanders
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1*
First Round Bye
 2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8
17 of 17 100% 17 0 0 99% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
16 of 17 94% 16 1 0 93% 7% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
15 of 17 88% 15 2 0 70% 26% 2% <1% 2% <1% ^ ^
14 of 17 82% 14 3 0 36% 42% 13% 1% 7% <1% <1% <1%
13 of 17 76% 13 4 0 9% 31% 29% 8% 19% 3% <1% <1%
12 of 17 71% 12 5 0 1% 10% 27% 19% 24% 15% 3% <1%
11 of 17 65% 11 6 0 <1% 2% 13% 22% 16% 26% 16% 5%
10 of 17 59% 10 7 0 <1% <1% 4% 18% 4% 19% 29% 26%
9 of 17 53% 9 8 0 <1% <1% 1% 10% 1% 7% 19% 63%
8 of 17 47% 8 9 0 <1% <1% <1% 5% <1% 1% 6% 88%
7 of 17 41% 7 10 0 <1% <1% <1% 2% <1% <1% 1% 97%
6 of 17 35% 6 11 0 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
5 of 17 29% 5 12 0 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
4 of 17 24% 4 13 0 X X <1% <1% X X <1% >99%
3 of 17 18% 3 14 0 X X X X X X X 100%
2 of 17 12% 2 15 0 X X X X X X X 100%
1 of 17 6% 1 16 0 X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 17 0% 0 17 0 X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs