The Most Important Games for the Patriots are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Patriots final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Patriots fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Patriots Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Patriots (12‑3) vs Jets (3‑12) |
144 | Patriots Wins | 27% | 60% | 3% | X | 9% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 23% | 54% | 6% | X | 16% | 2% | 1% | ^ | ||
| Jets Wins | X | 15% | 19% | X | 54% | 9% | 3% | ^ | ||
| Eagles (10‑5) vs Bills (11‑4) |
22 | Eagles Wins | 23% | 61% | 14% | X | 1% | 1% | 1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 23% | 54% | 6% | X | 16% | 2% | 1% | ^ | ||
| Bills Wins | 23% | 51% | 1% | X | 23% | 2% | 1% | ^ | ||
| Colts (8‑7) vs Jaguars (11‑4) |
4 | Colts Wins | 23% | 58% | <1% | X | 16% | 2% | 1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 23% | 54% | 6% | X | 16% | 2% | 1% | ^ | ||
| Jaguars Wins | 23% | 50% | 9% | X | 15% | 2% | 1% | ^ | ||
| Bengals (5‑10) vs Cardinals (3‑12) |
0 | Bengals Wins | 23% | 54% | 6% | X | 16% | 2% | 1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 23% | 54% | 6% | X | 16% | 2% | 1% | ^ | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 23% | 54% | 6% | X | 16% | 2% | 1% | ^ | ||
| Browns (3‑12) vs Steelers (9‑6) |
0 | Browns Wins | 23% | 54% | 6% | X | 16% | 2% | 1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 23% | 54% | 6% | X | 16% | 2% | 1% | ^ | ||
| Steelers Wins | 23% | 54% | 6% | X | 16% | 2% | 1% | ^ | ||
| Dolphins (6‑9) vs Buccaneers (7‑8) |
0 | Dolphins Wins | 23% | 54% | 6% | X | 16% | 2% | 1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 23% | 54% | 6% | X | 16% | 2% | 1% | ^ | ||
| Buccaneers Wins | 23% | 54% | 6% | X | 16% | 2% | 1% | ^ | ||
| Titans (3‑12) vs Saints (5‑10) |
0 | Titans Wins | 23% | 54% | 6% | X | 16% | 2% | 1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 23% | 54% | 6% | X | 16% | 2% | 1% | ^ | ||
| Saints Wins | 23% | 54% | 6% | X | 16% | 2% | 1% | ^ | ||
| Raiders (2‑13) vs Giants (2‑13) |
0 | Raiders Wins | 23% | 54% | 6% | X | 16% | 2% | 1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 23% | 54% | 6% | X | 16% | 2% | 1% | ^ | ||
| Giants Wins | 23% | 54% | 6% | X | 16% | 2% | 1% | ^ | ||