The Most Important Games for the Patriots are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Patriots final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Patriots fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Patriots Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Patriots (9‑2) vs Bengals (3‑7) |
76 | Patriots Wins | 38% | 34% | 16% | 2% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 32% | 18% | 3% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Bengals Wins | 16% | 32% | 26% | 6% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Chiefs (5‑5) vs Colts (8‑2) |
20 | Chiefs Wins | 36% | 33% | 14% | 3% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 32% | 18% | 3% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Colts Wins | 29% | 32% | 21% | 4% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Texans (5‑5) vs Bills (7‑3) |
9 | Texans Wins | 33% | 33% | 20% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 32% | 18% | 3% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Bills Wins | 32% | 31% | 17% | 3% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Bears (7‑3) vs Steelers (6‑4) |
4 | Bears Wins | 32% | 33% | 19% | 2% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 32% | 18% | 3% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Steelers Wins | 32% | 31% | 17% | 5% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Cardinals (3‑7) vs Jaguars (6‑4) |
4 | Cardinals Wins | 32% | 33% | 18% | 3% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 32% | 18% | 3% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Jaguars Wins | 31% | 32% | 19% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Cowboys (3‑5‑1) vs Raiders (2‑7) |
2 | Cowboys Wins | 32% | 32% | 18% | 4% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 32% | 18% | 3% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Raiders Wins | 32% | 32% | 18% | 4% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Browns (2‑8) vs Raiders (2‑7) |
0 | Browns Wins | 32% | 32% | 18% | 3% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 32% | 18% | 3% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Raiders Wins | 32% | 32% | 18% | 3% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Jets (2‑8) vs Ravens (5‑5) |
0 | Jets Wins | 32% | 33% | 19% | 3% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 32% | 18% | 3% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Ravens Wins | 32% | 32% | 19% | 4% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Titans (1‑9) vs Seahawks (7‑3) |
0 | Titans Wins | 32% | 32% | 18% | 3% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 32% | 18% | 3% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Seahawks Wins | 32% | 32% | 18% | 3% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||