The Most Important Games for the Patriots are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Patriots final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Patriots fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Patriots Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Raiders (2‑10) vs Broncos (10‑2) |
60 | Raiders Wins | 62% | 24% | 4% | <1% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 42% | 44% | 5% | <1% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Broncos Wins | 38% | 46% | 6% | <1% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Patriots (10‑2) vs Giants (2‑10) |
44 | Patriots Wins | 43% | 44% | 4% | <1% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 42% | 44% | 5% | <1% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Giants Wins | 30% | 41% | 14% | <1% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Bengals (4‑8) vs Bills (8‑4) |
6 | Bengals Wins | 41% | 47% | 8% | <1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 42% | 44% | 5% | <1% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Bills Wins | 42% | 43% | 5% | <1% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Colts (8‑4) vs Jaguars (8‑4) |
5 | Colts Wins | 43% | 45% | 4% | <1% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 42% | 44% | 5% | <1% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Jaguars Wins | 41% | 44% | 5% | <1% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Ravens (6‑6) vs Steelers (6‑6) |
0 | Ravens Wins | 42% | 43% | 5% | <1% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 42% | 44% | 5% | <1% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Steelers Wins | 42% | 44% | 5% | <1% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Eagles (8‑4) vs Chargers (8‑4) |
0 | Eagles Wins | 41% | 44% | 5% | <1% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 42% | 44% | 5% | <1% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Chargers Wins | 42% | 43% | 5% | <1% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Dolphins (5‑7) vs Jets (3‑9) |
0 | Dolphins Wins | 42% | 43% | 5% | <1% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 42% | 44% | 5% | <1% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Jets Wins | 42% | 43% | 6% | <1% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Chiefs (6‑6) vs Texans (7‑5) |
0 | Chiefs Wins | 41% | 45% | 5% | <1% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 42% | 44% | 5% | <1% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Texans Wins | 41% | 44% | 6% | <1% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Browns (3‑9) vs Titans (1‑11) |
0 | Browns Wins | 42% | 44% | 5% | <1% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 42% | 44% | 5% | <1% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Titans Wins | 42% | 44% | 5% | <1% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||