The Most Important Games for the Patriots are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Patriots final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Patriots fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Patriots Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Patriots (1‑1) vs Steelers (1‑1) |
24 | Patriots Wins | 4% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 50% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 54% | ||
| Steelers Wins | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 60% | ||
| Dolphins (0‑2) vs Bills (2‑0) |
5 | Dolphins Wins | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 54% | ||
| Bills Wins | 3% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 54% | ||
| Lions (1‑1) vs Ravens (1‑1) |
3 | Lions Wins | 3% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 54% | ||
| Ravens Wins | 3% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Broncos (1‑1) vs Chargers (2‑0) |
2 | Broncos Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 54% | ||
| Chargers Wins | 3% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Buccaneers (2‑0) vs Jets (0‑2) |
1 | Buccaneers Wins | 3% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 54% | ||
| Jets Wins | 3% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Commanders (1‑1) vs Raiders (1‑1) |
1 | Commanders Wins | 3% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 54% | ||
| Raiders Wins | 3% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Titans (0‑2) vs Colts (2‑0) |
1 | Titans Wins | 4% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 54% | ||
| Colts Wins | 3% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 54% | ||
| Chiefs (0‑2) vs Giants (0‑2) |
1 | Chiefs Wins | 3% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 54% | ||
| Giants Wins | 3% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 54% | ||
| Vikings (1‑1) vs Bengals (2‑0) |
1 | Vikings Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 54% | ||
| Bengals Wins | 3% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 54% | ||
| Jaguars (1‑1) vs Texans (0‑2) |
0 | Jaguars Wins | 3% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 54% | ||
| Texans Wins | 3% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 54% | ||
| Browns (0‑2) vs Packers (2‑0) |
0 | Browns Wins | 3% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 54% | ||
| Packers Wins | 3% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||