The Most Important Games for the Patriots are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Patriots final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Patriots fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Patriots Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Patriots (11‑3) vs Ravens (7‑7) |
60 | Patriots Wins | 16% | 60% | 3% | X | 16% | 5% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 56% | 7% | <1% | 13% | 11% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Ravens Wins | 1% | 52% | 14% | <1% | 10% | 18% | 5% | <1% | ||
| Jaguars (10‑4) vs Broncos (12‑2) |
35 | Jaguars Wins | 21% | 36% | 17% | <1% | 12% | 11% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 56% | 7% | <1% | 13% | 11% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Broncos Wins | 5% | 68% | 2% | <1% | 13% | 10% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Browns (3‑11) vs Bills (10‑4) |
18 | Browns Wins | 11% | 64% | 13% | <1% | 4% | 7% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 56% | 7% | <1% | 13% | 11% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Bills Wins | 10% | 54% | 7% | X | 15% | 12% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Cowboys (6‑7‑1) vs Chargers (10‑4) |
1 | Cowboys Wins | 11% | 56% | 7% | <1% | 18% | 7% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 56% | 7% | <1% | 13% | 11% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Chargers Wins | 11% | 55% | 8% | <1% | 10% | 13% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Raiders (2‑12) vs Texans (9‑5) |
1 | Raiders Wins | 11% | 56% | 7% | <1% | 16% | 10% | 1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 56% | 7% | <1% | 13% | 11% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Texans Wins | 10% | 56% | 7% | <1% | 13% | 11% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Colts (8‑6) vs Forty-Niners49ers (10‑4) |
1 | Colts Wins | 11% | 56% | 7% | <1% | 13% | 10% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 56% | 7% | <1% | 13% | 11% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers Wins | 11% | 55% | 7% | <1% | 13% | 11% | 2% | ^ | ||
| Steelers (7‑6) vs Dolphins (6‑7) |
0 | Steelers Wins | 11% | 55% | 7% | <1% | 13% | 11% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 56% | 7% | <1% | 13% | 11% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Dolphins Wins | 11% | 56% | 7% | X | 13% | 11% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Lions (8‑6) vs Steelers (7‑6) |
0 | Lions Wins | 11% | 56% | 7% | X | 13% | 10% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 56% | 7% | <1% | 13% | 11% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Steelers Wins | 11% | 56% | 7% | <1% | 13% | 10% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Saints (4‑10) vs Jets (3‑11) |
0 | Saints Wins | 11% | 56% | 7% | <1% | 13% | 11% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 56% | 7% | <1% | 13% | 11% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Jets Wins | 11% | 56% | 7% | <1% | 13% | 11% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Titans (2‑12) vs Chiefs (6‑8) |
0 | Titans Wins | 11% | 56% | 7% | <1% | 13% | 11% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 56% | 7% | <1% | 13% | 11% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Chiefs Wins | 11% | 56% | 7% | <1% | 13% | 11% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Dolphins (6‑7) vs Bengals (4‑10) |
0 | Dolphins Wins | 11% | 56% | 7% | <1% | 13% | 11% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 56% | 7% | <1% | 13% | 11% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Bengals Wins | 11% | 56% | 7% | <1% | 13% | 11% | 2% | <1% | ||