The Most Important Games for the Patriots are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Patriots final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Patriots fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Patriots Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Patriots (11‑2) vs Bills (9‑4) |
105 | Patriots Wins | 52% | 44% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 42% | 45% | 4% | <1% | 6% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bills Wins | 21% | 52% | 6% | <1% | 14% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Packers (9‑3‑1) vs Broncos (11‑2) |
68 | Packers Wins | 60% | 27% | 3% | <1% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 42% | 45% | 4% | <1% | 6% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Broncos Wins | 33% | 53% | 5% | <1% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Chiefs (6‑7) vs Chargers (9‑4) |
4 | Chiefs Wins | 42% | 45% | 4% | <1% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 42% | 45% | 4% | <1% | 6% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Chargers Wins | 41% | 45% | 4% | <1% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Jets (3‑10) vs Jaguars (9‑4) |
3 | Jets Wins | 43% | 46% | 1% | <1% | 7% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 42% | 45% | 4% | <1% | 6% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Jaguars Wins | 42% | 44% | 4% | <1% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Steelers (7‑6) vs Dolphins (6‑7) |
2 | Steelers Wins | 41% | 45% | 4% | <1% | 6% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 42% | 45% | 4% | <1% | 6% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Dolphins Wins | 41% | 45% | 4% | X | 6% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Texans (8‑5) vs Cardinals (3‑10) |
0 | Texans Wins | 42% | 44% | 4% | <1% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 42% | 45% | 4% | <1% | 6% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 42% | 45% | 4% | <1% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Seahawks (10‑3) vs Colts (8‑5) |
0 | Seahawks Wins | 42% | 44% | 4% | <1% | 6% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 42% | 45% | 4% | <1% | 6% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Colts Wins | 42% | 45% | 4% | <1% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Bears (9‑4) vs Browns (3‑10) |
0 | Bears Wins | 42% | 45% | 4% | <1% | 6% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 42% | 45% | 4% | <1% | 6% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Browns Wins | 42% | 45% | 4% | <1% | 6% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bengals (4‑9) vs Ravens (6‑7) |
0 | Bengals Wins | 42% | 45% | 4% | <1% | 6% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 42% | 45% | 4% | <1% | 6% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Ravens Wins | 42% | 45% | 4% | <1% | 6% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Eagles (8‑5) vs Raiders (2‑11) |
0 | Eagles Wins | 42% | 45% | 4% | <1% | 6% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 42% | 45% | 4% | <1% | 6% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Raiders Wins | 42% | 45% | 4% | <1% | 6% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers (9‑4) vs Titans (2‑11) |
0 | Forty-Niners49ers Wins | 42% | 45% | 4% | <1% | 6% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 42% | 45% | 4% | <1% | 6% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Titans Wins | 42% | 45% | 4% | <1% | 6% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||