The Most Important Games for the Patriots are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Patriots final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Patriots fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Patriots Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Chargers (11‑5) vs Broncos (13‑3) |
213 | Chargers Wins | 84% | 1% | 14% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 59% | 15% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Broncos Wins | X | 85% | 15% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Patriots (13‑3) vs Dolphins (7‑9) |
118 | Patriots Wins | 31% | 69% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 59% | 15% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Dolphins Wins | X | 7% | 93% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Titans (3‑13) vs Jaguars (12‑4) |
7 | Titans Wins | 26% | 74% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 59% | 15% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Jaguars Wins | 26% | 58% | 16% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bengals (6‑10) vs Browns (4‑12) |
0 | Bengals Wins | 26% | 59% | 15% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 59% | 15% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Browns Wins | 26% | 59% | 15% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bills (11‑5) vs Jets (3‑13) |
0 | Bills Wins | 26% | 59% | 15% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 59% | 15% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Jets Wins | 26% | 59% | 15% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Raiders (2‑14) vs Chiefs (6‑10) |
0 | Raiders Wins | 26% | 59% | 15% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 59% | 15% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Chiefs Wins | 26% | 59% | 15% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Steelers (9‑7) vs Ravens (8‑8) |
0 | Steelers Wins | 26% | 59% | 15% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 59% | 15% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Ravens Wins | 26% | 59% | 15% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Texans (11‑5) vs Colts (8‑8) |
0 | Texans Wins | 26% | 59% | 15% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 59% | 15% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Colts Wins | 26% | 59% | 15% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||