Where are the Patriots going in the playoff? The Patriots playoff picture table presents the probabilities that the Patriots will win each playoff spot. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs |
||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | DivisionDiv | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | T | GPi Games Played 17 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| Bills | East | 2i Bills Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 08 vs Cards 34-28 Won Thu, Sep 12 @ Dolphins 31-10 Mon, Sep 23 vs Jaguars Sun, Sep 29 @ Ravens Sun, Oct 06 @ Texans Mon, Oct 14 @ Jets |
0 | 0 | 2 | 20% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 24% |
| Chargers | West | 2 Chargers Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 08 vs Raiders 22-10 Won Sun, Sep 15 @ Panthers 26-3 Sun, Sep 22 @ Steelers Sun, Sep 29 vs Chiefs Sun, Oct 13 @ Broncos Mon, Oct 21 @ Cards |
0 | 0 | 2 | 15% | 12% | 10% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 31% |
| Texans | South | 2 Texans Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 08 @ Colts 29-27 Won Sun, Sep 15 vs Bears 19-13 Sun, Sep 22 @ Vikings Sun, Sep 29 vs Jaguars Sun, Oct 06 vs Bills Sun, Oct 13 @ Pats |
0 | 0 | 2 | 17% | 16% | 16% | 20% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 23% |
| Steelers | North | 2 Steelers Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 08 @ Falcons 18-10 Won Sun, Sep 15 @ Broncos 13-6 Sun, Sep 22 vs Chargers Sun, Sep 29 @ Colts Sun, Oct 06 vs Cowboys Sun, Oct 13 @ Raiders |
0 | 0 | 2 | 20% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 24% |
| Chiefs | West | 2 Chiefs Recent Games Won Thu, Sep 05 vs Ravens 27-20 Won Sun, Sep 15 vs Bengals 26-25 Sun, Sep 22 @ Falcons Sun, Sep 29 @ Chargers Mon, Oct 07 vs Saints Sun, Oct 20 @ 49'ers |
0 | 0 | 2 | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 42% |
| Browns | North | 1 Browns Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 08 vs Cowboys 17-33 Won Sun, Sep 15 @ Jaguars 18-13 Sun, Sep 22 vs Giants Sun, Sep 29 @ Raiders Sun, Oct 06 @ Commanders Sun, Oct 13 @ Eagles |
1 | 0 | 2 | 3% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 57% |
| Jets | East | 1 Jets Recent Games Lost Mon, Sep 09 @ 49'ers 19-32 Won Sun, Sep 15 @ Titans 24-17 Thu, Sep 19 vs Pats Sun, Sep 29 vs Broncos Sun, Oct 06 @ Vikings Mon, Oct 14 vs Bills |
1 | 0 | 2 | 3% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 59% |
| Patriots | East | 1 Patriots Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 08 @ Bengals 16-10 Lost Sun, Sep 15 vs Seahawks 20-23 Thu, Sep 19 @ Jets Sun, Sep 29 @ 49'ers Sun, Oct 06 vs Dolphins Sun, Oct 13 vs Texans |
1 | 0 | 2 | 4% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 55% |
| Raiders | West | 1 Raiders Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 08 @ Chargers 10-22 Won Sun, Sep 15 @ Ravens 26-23 Sun, Sep 22 vs Panthers Sun, Sep 29 vs Browns Sun, Oct 06 @ Broncos Sun, Oct 13 vs Steelers |
1 | 0 | 2 | 3% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 54% |
| Dolphins | East | 1 Dolphins Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 08 vs Jaguars 20-17 Lost Thu, Sep 12 vs Bills 10-31 Sun, Sep 22 @ Seahawks Mon, Sep 30 vs Titans Sun, Oct 06 @ Pats Sun, Oct 20 @ Colts |
1 | 0 | 2 | 2% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 58% |
| Broncos | West | 0 Broncos Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 08 @ Seahawks 20-26 Lost Sun, Sep 15 vs Steelers 6-13 Sun, Sep 22 @ Bucs Sun, Sep 29 @ Jets Sun, Oct 06 vs Raiders Sun, Oct 13 vs Chargers |
2 | 0 | 2 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 78% |
| Jaguars | South | 0 Jaguars Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 08 @ Dolphins 17-20 Lost Sun, Sep 15 vs Browns 13-18 Mon, Sep 23 @ Bills Sun, Sep 29 @ Texans Sun, Oct 06 vs Colts Sun, Oct 13 @ Bears |
2 | 0 | 2 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 80% |
| Titans | South | 0 Titans Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 08 @ Bears 17-24 Lost Sun, Sep 15 vs Jets 17-24 Sun, Sep 22 vs Packers Mon, Sep 30 @ Dolphins Sun, Oct 13 vs Colts Sun, Oct 20 @ Bills |
2 | 0 | 2 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 80% |
| Colts | South | 0 Colts Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 08 vs Texans 27-29 Lost Sun, Sep 15 @ Packers 10-16 Sun, Sep 22 vs Bears Sun, Sep 29 vs Steelers Sun, Oct 06 @ Jaguars Sun, Oct 13 @ Titans |
2 | 0 | 2 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 76% |
| Bengals | North | 0 Bengals Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 08 vs Pats 10-16 Lost Sun, Sep 15 @ Chiefs 25-26 Mon, Sep 23 vs Commanders Sun, Sep 29 @ Panthers Sun, Oct 06 vs Ravens Sun, Oct 13 @ Giants |
2 | 0 | 2 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 77% |
| Ravens | North | 0 Ravens Recent Games Lost Thu, Sep 05 @ Chiefs 20-27 Lost Sun, Sep 15 vs Raiders 23-26 Sun, Sep 22 @ Cowboys Sun, Sep 29 vs Bills Sun, Oct 06 @ Bengals Sun, Oct 13 vs Commanders |
2 | 0 | 2 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 82% |
| Record | Total | Home (14%) |
Away (27%) |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | T | |||
| Bye | 4% | |||||
| (3)Texans | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6% | <1% | 5% |
| (1)Bills | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5% | 2% | 3% |
| (4)Steelers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4% | 1% | 4% |
| (2)Chargers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4% | 1% | 3% |
| (5)Chiefs | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3% | 1% | 2% |
| (6)Browns | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3% | 1% | 2% |
| (9)Raiders | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| (7)Jets | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| (10)Dolphins | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| (14)Colts | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| (15)Bengals | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| (11)Broncos | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| (16)Ravens | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| (12)Jaguars | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1% | <1% | 1% |
| (13)Titans | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1% | <1% | 1% |
| Elimination | 55% | |||||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bengals (0‑2) |
16‑10 | Away | Sun Sep 8, 1:00 pm |
| 2 | Seahawks (2‑0) |
20‑23 (OT) | Home | Sun Sep 15, 1:00 pm |
| 3 | Jets (1‑1) |
Away | Thu Sep 19, 8:15 pm | |
| 4 | Forty-Niners49'ers (1‑1) |
Away | Sun Sep 29, 4:05 pm | |
| 5 | Dolphins (1‑1) |
Home | Sun Oct 6, 1:00 pm | |
| 6 | Texans (2‑0) |
Home | Sun Oct 13, 1:00 pm | |
| 7 | Jaguars (0‑2) |
Away | Sun Oct 20, 9:30 am | |
| 8 | Jets (1‑1) |
Home | Sun Oct 27, 1:00 pm | |
| 9 | Titans (0‑2) |
Away | Sun Nov 3, 1:00 pm | |
| 10 | Bears (1‑1) |
Away | Sun Nov 10, 1:00 pm | |
| 11 | Rams (0‑2) |
Home | Sun Nov 17, 1:00 pm | |
| 12 | Dolphins (1‑1) |
Away | Sun Nov 24, 1:00 pm | |
| 13 | Colts (0‑2) |
Home | Sun Dec 1, 1:00 pm | |
| 15 | Cardinals (1‑1) |
Away | Sun Dec 15, 4:25 pm | |
| 16 | Bills (2‑0) |
Away | Sun Dec 22, 1:00 pm | |
| 17 | Chargers (2‑0) |
Home | Sun Dec 29, TBD | |
| 18 | Bills (2‑0) |
Home | Sun Jan 5, TBD |