PlayoffStatus.com

Mon Oct 25 11:30 pm

NFL - Week 8 of 18

Patriots What If?

The Patriots What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Patriots play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Patriots What If?

Next Game - Chargers (4‑2)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1* 2** 3** 4** 5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 4 4 0 1% 4% 6% 11% 3% 7% 8% 60%
Current Standings 3 4 0 1% 2% 5% 10% 2% 4% 6% 70%
Lose Next Game 3 5 0 <1% 1% 4% 10% 1% 4% 6% 74%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1* 2** 3** 4** 5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario 1% 4% 8% 15% 2% 5% 6% 59%
Current Standings 1% 2% 5% 10% 2% 4% 6% 70%
Worst Case Scenario <1% 1% 4% 9% 1% 4% 6% 75%
Best Case Scenario
   Dolphins beats Bills
   Patriots beats Chargers
Worst Case Scenario
   Bills beats Dolphins
   Chargers beats Patriots
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1* 2** 3** 4** 5 6 7 8
10 of 10 100% 13 4 0 56% 38% 6% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
9 of 10 90% 12 5 0 15% 42% 27% 5% 9% 1% <1% <1%
8 of 10 80% 11 6 0 1% 16% 34% 20% 17% 11% 1% <1%
7 of 10 70% 10 7 0 <1% 2% 15% 31% 10% 24% 15% 3%
6 of 10 60% 9 8 0 <1% <1% 3% 23% 1% 13% 28% 32%
5 of 10 50% 8 9 0 <1% <1% <1% 10% <1% 1% 9% 80%
4 of 10 40% 7 10 0 X <1% <1% 2% <1% <1% 1% 97%
3 of 10 30% 6 11 0 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
2 of 10 20% 5 12 0 X X X X X X <1% >99%
1 of 10 10% 4 13 0 X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 10 0% 3 14 0 X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs