The Patriots What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Patriots play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
Win Next Game | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 62% |
Current Standings | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 65% |
Lose Next Game | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 68% |
Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
Best Case Scenario | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 62% |
Current Standings | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 65% |
Worst Case Scenario | 1% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 68% |
Best Case Scenario Patriots beats Cowboys |
Worst Case Scenario Cowboys beats Patriots |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
14 of 14 | 100% | 15 | 2 | 0 | 91% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 6% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
13 of 14 | 93% | 14 | 3 | 0 | 60% | 19% | 2% | <1% | 19% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
12 of 14 | 86% | 13 | 4 | 0 | 23% | 30% | 10% | 1% | 35% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
11 of 14 | 79% | 12 | 5 | 0 | 4% | 16% | 16% | 5% | 45% | 14% | 1% | <1% |
10 of 14 | 71% | 11 | 6 | 0 | <1% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 32% | 32% | 12% | 2% |
9 of 14 | 64% | 10 | 7 | 0 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 30% | 31% | 17% |
8 of 14 | 57% | 9 | 8 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 1% | 11% | 27% | 57% |
7 of 14 | 50% | 8 | 9 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 90% |
6 of 14 | 43% | 7 | 10 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
5 of 14 | 36% | 6 | 11 | 0 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
4 of 14 | 29% | 5 | 12 | 0 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
3 of 14 | 21% | 4 | 13 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
2 of 14 | 14% | 3 | 14 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
1 of 14 | 7% | 2 | 15 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
0 of 14 | 0% | 1 | 16 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |