PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Oct 2 11:45 pm

NFL - Week 4 of 18

Rams What If?

The Rams What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Rams play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Rams What If?

Next Game - Forty-Niners (1‑2)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 3 1 0 13% 14% 12% 11% 4% 6% 6% 34%
Current Standings 2 1 0 11% 13% 11% 10% 4% 6% 6% 39%
Lose Next Game 2 2 0 5% 11% 11% 10% 5% 6% 7% 45%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario 16% 15% 11% 11% 6% 7% 7% 27%
Current Standings 11% 13% 11% 10% 4% 6% 6% 39%
Worst Case Scenario 2% 9% 11% 11% 3% 6% 7% 51%
Best Case Scenario
   Rams beats Forty-Niners
   Packers beats Giants
   Rams beats Cowboys
Worst Case Scenario
   Forty-Niners beats Rams
   Giants beats Packers
   Cowboys beats Rams
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
14 of 14 100% 16 1 0 93% 7% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
13 of 14 93% 15 2 0 75% 24% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
12 of 14 86% 14 3 0 44% 47% 8% <1% 1% <1% <1% ^
11 of 14 79% 13 4 0 15% 49% 27% 3% 5% 1% <1% <1%
10 of 14 71% 12 5 0 2% 25% 38% 15% 13% 6% 1% <1%
9 of 14 64% 11 6 0 <1% 5% 25% 26% 13% 21% 8% 2%
8 of 14 57% 10 7 0 <1% <1% 7% 24% 5% 20% 25% 18%
7 of 14 50% 9 8 0 <1% <1% 1% 14% <1% 6% 20% 59%
6 of 14 43% 8 9 0 <1% <1% <1% 5% <1% 1% 4% 90%
5 of 14 36% 7 10 0 <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 98%
4 of 14 29% 6 11 0 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
3 of 14 21% 5 12 0 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
2 of 14 14% 4 13 0 X X X X X X X 100%
1 of 14 7% 3 14 0 X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 14 0% 2 15 0 X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs