PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Sep 25 11:45 pm

NFL - Week 3 of 17

Saints What If?

The Saints What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Saints play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Saints What If?

Next Game - Falcons (1‑1)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1* 2* 3** 4** 5 6 7
Win Next Game 1 2 0 <1% 2% 4% 8% 2% 3% 82%
Current Standings 0 2 0 <1% 1% 3% 7% 1% 3% 84%
Lose Next Game 0 3 0 <1% 1% 2% 6% 1% 2% 88%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1* 2* 3** 4** 5 6 7
Best Case Scenario <1% 2% 5% 10% 2% 4% 78%
Current Standings <1% 1% 3% 7% 1% 3% 84%
Worst Case Scenario <1% <1% 1% 4% 1% 2% 92%
Best Case Scenario
   Saints beats Falcons
   Saints beats Chargers
Worst Case Scenario
   Falcons beats Saints
   Chargers beats Saints
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1* 2* 3** 4** 5 6 7
14 of 14 100% 14 2 0 58% 39% 3% ^ ^ ^ ^
13 of 14 93% 13 3 0 28% 55% 17% 1% <1% <1% <1%
12 of 14 86% 12 4 0 7% 41% 39% 9% 3% 1% <1%
11 of 14 79% 11 5 0 1% 14% 40% 28% 10% 6% 1%
10 of 14 71% 10 6 0 <1% 2% 19% 39% 9% 17% 14%
9 of 14 64% 9 7 0 <1% <1% 4% 30% 3% 14% 49%
8 of 14 57% 8 8 0 <1% <1% <1% 15% <1% 3% 82%
7 of 14 50% 7 9 0 <1% <1% <1% 5% <1% <1% 94%
6 of 14 43% 6 10 0 X <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% 99%
5 of 14 36% 5 11 0 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
4 of 14 29% 4 12 0 X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
3 of 14 21% 3 13 0 X X X X X X 100%
2 of 14 14% 2 14 0 X X X X X X 100%
1 of 14 7% 1 15 0 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 14 0% 0 16 0 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • New Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs