PlayoffStatus.com

Mon Sep 20 11:15 pm

NFL - Week 3 of 18

Saints What If?

The Saints What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Saints play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Saints What If?

Next Game - Patriots (1‑1)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1* 2** 3** 4** 5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 2 1 0 4% 8% 5% 3% 10% 10% 9% 51%
Current Standings 1 1 0 4% 7% 5% 3% 9% 10% 9% 55%
Lose Next Game 1 2 0 2% 6% 4% 3% 8% 9% 9% 59%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1* 2** 3** 4** 5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario 5% 8% 5% 3% 10% 10% 9% 51%
Current Standings 4% 7% 5% 3% 9% 10% 9% 55%
Worst Case Scenario 2% 5% 4% 3% 8% 9% 9% 59%
Best Case Scenario
   Saints beats Patriots
   Packers beats Forty-Niners
Worst Case Scenario
   Patriots beats Saints
   Forty-Niners beats Packers
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1* 2** 3** 4** 5 6 7 8
15 of 15 100% 16 1 0 81% 17% <1% <1% 1% <1% ^ ^
14 of 15 93% 15 2 0 54% 37% 1% <1% 7% <1% ^ ^
13 of 15 87% 14 3 0 25% 45% 7% <1% 21% 2% <1% <1%
12 of 15 80% 13 4 0 6% 32% 15% 2% 33% 11% 1% <1%
11 of 15 73% 12 5 0 1% 13% 16% 6% 30% 27% 7% 1%
10 of 15 67% 11 6 0 <1% 3% 10% 9% 17% 34% 21% 6%
9 of 15 60% 10 7 0 <1% <1% 3% 7% 5% 23% 34% 28%
8 of 15 53% 9 8 0 <1% <1% 1% 3% 1% 7% 22% 67%
7 of 15 47% 8 9 0 <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 5% 93%
6 of 15 40% 7 10 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
5 of 15 33% 6 11 0 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
4 of 15 27% 5 12 0 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
3 of 15 20% 4 13 0 X X X X X X X 100%
2 of 15 13% 3 14 0 X X X X X X X 100%
1 of 15 7% 2 15 0 X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 15 0% 1 16 0 X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs