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Tue Oct 21 1:45 am

NFL - Week 8 of 18

Saints What If?

The Saints What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Saints play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Saints What If?

Next Game - Buccaneers (5‑2)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1*
First Round Bye
 2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 2 6 0 <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 98%
Current Standings 1 6 0 <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
Lose Next Game 1 7 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye
 2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 98%
Current Standings <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
Worst Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Best Case Scenario
   Saints beats Buccaneers
 Worst Case Scenario
   Buccaneers beats Saints
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1*
First Round Bye
 2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8
10 of 10 100% 11 6 0 <1% 4% 28% 42% 7% 11% 7% 1%
9 of 10 90% 10 7 0 <1% <1% 7% 33% 2% 12% 23% 24%
8 of 10 80% 9 8 0 <1% <1% 1% 11% <1% 2% 10% 77%
7 of 10 70% 8 9 0 <1% <1% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1% 98%
6 of 10 60% 7 10 0 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
5 of 10 50% 6 11 0 X X <1% <1% X <1% <1% >99%
4 of 10 40% 5 12 0 X X X X X X X 100%
3 of 10 30% 4 13 0 X X X X X X X 100%
2 of 10 20% 3 14 0 X X X X X X X 100%
1 of 10 10% 2 15 0 X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 10 0% 1 16 0 X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs