PlayoffStatus.com

Fri Sep 21 12:00 am

NFL - Week 3 of 17

Saints What If?

The Saints What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Saints play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Saints What If?

Next Game - Falcons (1‑1)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1* 2* 3** 4** 5 6 7
Win Next Game 2 1 0 5% 5% 4% 3% 12% 9% 62%
Current Standings 1 1 0 4% 4% 4% 3% 11% 8% 66%
Lose Next Game 1 2 0 2% 3% 3% 2% 9% 9% 72%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1* 2* 3** 4** 5 6 7
Best Case Scenario 5% 6% 5% 4% 10% 9% 61%
Current Standings 4% 4% 4% 3% 11% 8% 66%
Worst Case Scenario 2% 3% 3% 2% 9% 8% 73%
Best Case Scenario
   Saints beats Falcons
   Steelers beats Buccaneers
Worst Case Scenario
   Falcons beats Saints
   Buccaneers beats Steelers
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1* 2* 3** 4** 5 6 7
14 of 14 100% 15 1 0 96% 3% <1% <1% 1% ^ ^
13 of 14 93% 14 2 0 70% 18% 1% <1% 11% <1% ^
12 of 14 86% 13 3 0 33% 35% 7% <1% 25% 1% <1%
11 of 14 79% 12 4 0 8% 27% 18% 3% 39% 6% <1%
10 of 14 71% 11 5 0 1% 8% 16% 9% 38% 24% 5%
9 of 14 64% 10 6 0 <1% 1% 6% 10% 19% 35% 29%
8 of 14 57% 9 7 0 <1% <1% 1% 5% 4% 19% 71%
7 of 14 50% 8 8 0 <1% <1% <1% 2% <1% 3% 94%
6 of 14 43% 7 9 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
5 of 14 36% 6 10 0 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
4 of 14 29% 5 11 0 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
3 of 14 21% 4 12 0 X X X X X X 100%
2 of 14 14% 3 13 0 X X X X X X 100%
1 of 14 7% 2 14 0 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 14 0% 1 15 0 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs