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Tue Oct 21 1:45 am

NFL - Week 8 of 18

Texans What If?

The Texans What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Texans play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Texans What If?

Next Game - Forty-Niners (5‑2)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1*
First Round Bye
 2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 3 4 0 1% 1% 2% 2% 6% 7% 9% 74%
Current Standings 2 4 0 <1% 1% 1% 1% 4% 6% 8% 78%
Lose Next Game 2 5 0 <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 82%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye
 2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario 1% 1% 2% 2% 6% 7% 9% 74%
Current Standings <1% 1% 1% 1% 4% 6% 8% 78%
Worst Case Scenario <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 82%
Best Case Scenario
   Texans beats Forty-Niners
 Worst Case Scenario
   Forty-Niners beats Texans
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1*
First Round Bye
 2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8
11 of 11 100% 13 4 0 61% 29% 4% <1% 6% <1% ^ ^
10 of 11 91% 12 5 0 17% 30% 17% 3% 32% 1% <1% <1%
9 of 11 82% 11 6 0 1% 9% 15% 8% 47% 17% 2% <1%
8 of 11 73% 10 7 0 <1% 1% 4% 7% 26% 39% 20% 5%
7 of 11 64% 9 8 0 <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 21% 37% 35%
6 of 11 55% 8 9 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 14% 83%
5 of 11 45% 7 10 0 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
4 of 11 36% 6 11 0 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
3 of 11 27% 5 12 0 X X X X X X <1% >99%
2 of 11 18% 4 13 0 X X X X X X X 100%
1 of 11 9% 3 14 0 X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 11 0% 2 15 0 X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs