The Most Important Games for the Capitals are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Capitals final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Capitals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Capitals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Capitals (32‑26‑7) vs Flyers (29‑23‑11) |
8 | Capitals Wins | <1% | 2% | 9% | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 7% | - | - | - | 1% | 3% | 87% | ||
| Flyers Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | - | - | - | 1% | 2% | 91% | ||
| Panthers (32‑29‑3) vs Blue Jackets (33‑21‑10) |
2 | Panthers Wins | <1% | 2% | 8% | - | - | - | 1% | 3% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 7% | - | - | - | 1% | 3% | 87% | ||
| Blue Jackets Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | - | - | - | 1% | 3% | 88% | ||
| Golden Knights (29‑22‑14) vs Penguins (32‑17‑15) |
2 | Golden Knights Wins | <1% | 2% | 8% | - | - | - | 1% | 3% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 7% | - | - | - | 1% | 3% | 87% | ||
| Penguins Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | - | - | - | 1% | 3% | 88% | ||
| Jets (26‑27‑10) vs Rangers (26‑30‑8) |
1 | Jets Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | - | - | - | 1% | 3% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 7% | - | - | - | 1% | 3% | 87% | ||
| Rangers Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | - | - | - | 1% | 3% | 88% | ||
| Lightning (39‑20‑4) vs Red Wings (36‑22‑7) |
0 | Lightning Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | - | - | - | 1% | 3% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 7% | - | - | - | 1% | 3% | 87% | ||
| Red Wings Wins | <1% | 2% | 8% | - | - | - | 1% | 3% | 87% | ||
| Sharks (30‑26‑6) vs Bruins (36‑22‑6) |
0 | Sharks Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | - | - | - | 1% | 3% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 7% | - | - | - | 1% | 3% | 87% | ||
| Bruins Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | - | - | - | 1% | 3% | 88% | ||
| Maple Leafs (27‑27‑11) vs Ducks (36‑25‑3) |
0 | Maple Leafs Wins | <1% | 2% | 8% | - | - | - | 1% | 3% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 7% | - | - | - | 1% | 3% | 87% | ||
| Ducks Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | - | - | - | 1% | 3% | 87% | ||
| Canadiens (35‑18‑10) vs Senators (32‑22‑9) |
0 | Canadiens Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | - | - | - | 1% | 3% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 7% | - | - | - | 1% | 3% | 87% | ||
| Senators Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | - | - | - | 1% | 3% | 87% | ||
| Blues (25‑29‑10) vs Hurricanes (41‑17‑6) |
0 | Blues Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | - | - | - | 1% | 3% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 7% | - | - | - | 1% | 3% | 87% | ||
| Hurricanes Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | - | - | - | 1% | 3% | 87% | ||
| Devils (32‑30‑2) vs Flames (25‑32‑7) |
0 | Devils Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | - | - | - | 1% | 3% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 7% | - | - | - | 1% | 3% | 87% | ||
| Flames Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | - | - | - | 1% | 3% | 87% | ||