The Most Important Games for the Capitals are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Capitals final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Capitals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Capitals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Capitals (21‑6‑2) vs Stars (18‑11‑0) |
1 | Capitals Wins | 68% | 21% | 8% | - | - | - | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 66% | 21% | 9% | - | - | - | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Stars Wins | 63% | 22% | 10% | - | - | - | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Kraken (15‑14‑2) vs Lightning (15‑10‑2) |
0 | Kraken Wins | 66% | 21% | 9% | - | - | - | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 66% | 21% | 9% | - | - | - | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Lightning Wins | 66% | 22% | 9% | - | - | - | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Blue Jackets (12‑13‑5) vs Hurricanes (18‑10‑1) |
0 | Blue Jackets Wins | 67% | 21% | 8% | - | - | - | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 66% | 21% | 9% | - | - | - | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Hurricanes Wins | 66% | 21% | 9% | - | - | - | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Maple Leafs (18‑10‑2) vs Sabres (11‑15‑4) |
0 | Maple Leafs Wins | 66% | 21% | 9% | - | - | - | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 66% | 21% | 9% | - | - | - | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Sabres Wins | 66% | 21% | 9% | - | - | - | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Flames (14‑11‑5) vs Panthers (18‑10‑2) |
0 | Flames Wins | 66% | 22% | 9% | - | - | - | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 66% | 21% | 9% | - | - | - | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Panthers Wins | 66% | 21% | 9% | - | - | - | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Bruins (15‑13‑3) vs Canucks (15‑8‑5) |
0 | Bruins Wins | 65% | 21% | 9% | - | - | - | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 66% | 21% | 9% | - | - | - | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Canucks Wins | 66% | 21% | 9% | - | - | - | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Blackhawks (9‑19‑2) vs Islanders (12‑12‑7) |
0 | Blackhawks Wins | 66% | 22% | 9% | - | - | - | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 66% | 21% | 9% | - | - | - | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Islanders Wins | 66% | 21% | 9% | - | - | - | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Blues (14‑14‑3) vs Rangers (15‑13‑1) |
0 | Blues Wins | 66% | 21% | 9% | - | - | - | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 66% | 21% | 9% | - | - | - | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 66% | 21% | 9% | - | - | - | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||