The Most Important Games for the Capitals are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Capitals final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Capitals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Capitals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Capitals (40‑30‑9) vs Penguins (41‑22‑16) |
15 | Capitals Wins | X | X | 14% | - | - | - | X | 1% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 8% | - | - | - | X | <1% | 92% | ||
| Penguins Wins | X | X | 1% | - | - | - | X | X | 99% | ||
| Jets (35‑31‑12) vs Flyers (40‑27‑12) |
9 | Jets Wins | X | X | 12% | - | - | - | X | <1% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 8% | - | - | - | X | <1% | 92% | ||
| Flyers Wins | X | X | 3% | - | - | - | X | 1% | 96% | ||
| Senators (42‑27‑10) vs Islanders (43‑31‑5) |
2 | Senators Wins | X | X | 9% | - | - | - | X | X | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 8% | - | - | - | X | <1% | 92% | ||
| Islanders Wins | X | X | 6% | - | - | - | X | 1% | 93% | ||
| Canadiens (47‑22‑10) vs Blue Jackets (39‑28‑12) |
2 | Canadiens Wins | X | X | 8% | - | - | - | X | <1% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 8% | - | - | - | X | <1% | 92% | ||
| Blue Jackets Wins | X | X | 7% | - | - | - | X | <1% | 93% | ||
| Devils (40‑36‑3) vs Red Wings (41‑29‑9) |
1 | Devils Wins | X | X | 8% | - | - | - | X | 1% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 8% | - | - | - | X | <1% | 92% | ||
| Red Wings Wins | X | X | 8% | - | - | - | X | <1% | 92% | ||
| Bruins (43‑26‑10) vs Lightning (48‑25‑6) |
0 | Bruins Wins | X | X | 8% | - | - | - | X | <1% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 8% | - | - | - | X | <1% | 92% | ||
| Lightning Wins | X | X | 8% | - | - | - | X | <1% | 92% | ||
| Mammoth (42‑30‑6) vs Hurricanes (51‑22‑6) |
0 | Mammoth Wins | X | X | 8% | - | - | - | X | <1% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 8% | - | - | - | X | <1% | 92% | ||
| Hurricanes Wins | X | X | 8% | - | - | - | X | <1% | 92% | ||
| Stars (47‑20‑12) vs Rangers (33‑37‑9) |
0 | Stars Wins | X | X | 8% | - | - | - | X | <1% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 8% | - | - | - | X | <1% | 92% | ||
| Rangers Wins | X | X | 8% | - | - | - | X | <1% | 92% | ||
| Maple Leafs (32‑33‑14) vs Panthers (37‑38‑4) |
0 | Maple Leafs Wins | X | X | 8% | - | - | - | X | <1% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 8% | - | - | - | X | <1% | 92% | ||
| Panthers Wins | X | X | 8% | - | - | - | X | <1% | 92% | ||