The Most Important Games for the Capitals are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Capitals final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Capitals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Capitals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Capitals (6‑2‑0) vs Senators (3‑4‑1) |
3 | Capitals Wins | 15% | 16% | 14% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 15% | 14% | - | - | - | 9% | 8% | 39% | ||
| Senators Wins | 13% | 15% | 14% | - | - | - | 9% | 8% | 40% | ||
| Flames (1‑7‑1) vs Rangers (3‑4‑2) |
1 | Flames Wins | 15% | 16% | 14% | - | - | - | 9% | 8% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 15% | 14% | - | - | - | 9% | 8% | 39% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 15% | 15% | 14% | - | - | - | 9% | 8% | 39% | ||
| Ducks (4‑2‑1) vs Lightning (1‑4‑2) |
1 | Ducks Wins | 15% | 15% | 14% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 15% | 14% | - | - | - | 9% | 8% | 39% | ||
| Lightning Wins | 15% | 15% | 14% | - | - | - | 9% | 8% | 39% | ||
| Sabres (4‑4‑0) vs Maple Leafs (3‑4‑1) |
1 | Sabres Wins | 15% | 15% | 14% | - | - | - | 9% | 9% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 15% | 14% | - | - | - | 9% | 8% | 39% | ||
| Maple Leafs Wins | 15% | 15% | 14% | - | - | - | 9% | 8% | 39% | ||
| Blues (3‑3‑1) vs Red Wings (5‑3‑0) |
1 | Blues Wins | 15% | 15% | 14% | - | - | - | 9% | 9% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 15% | 14% | - | - | - | 9% | 8% | 39% | ||
| Red Wings Wins | 15% | 15% | 14% | - | - | - | 9% | 9% | 39% | ||
| Blue Jackets (3‑4‑0) vs Penguins (6‑2‑0) |
0 | Blue Jackets Wins | 15% | 15% | 14% | - | - | - | 9% | 8% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 15% | 14% | - | - | - | 9% | 8% | 39% | ||
| Penguins Wins | 15% | 15% | 14% | - | - | - | 9% | 8% | 39% | ||
| Flyers (3‑3‑1) vs Islanders (4‑3‑0) |
0 | Flyers Wins | 15% | 15% | 14% | - | - | - | 9% | 8% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 15% | 14% | - | - | - | 9% | 8% | 39% | ||
| Islanders Wins | 15% | 15% | 14% | - | - | - | 9% | 8% | 38% | ||
| Golden Knights (5‑0‑2) vs Panthers (4‑5‑0) |
0 | Golden Knights Wins | 15% | 15% | 14% | - | - | - | 9% | 8% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 15% | 14% | - | - | - | 9% | 8% | 39% | ||
| Panthers Wins | 15% | 16% | 14% | - | - | - | 9% | 8% | 39% | ||
| Bruins (3‑6‑0) vs Avalanche (5‑0‑3) |
0 | Bruins Wins | 15% | 15% | 14% | - | - | - | 9% | 8% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 15% | 14% | - | - | - | 9% | 8% | 39% | ||
| Avalanche Wins | 15% | 15% | 14% | - | - | - | 9% | 8% | 39% | ||
| Stars (3‑3‑1) vs Hurricanes (6‑1‑0) |
0 | Stars Wins | 15% | 15% | 13% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 15% | 14% | - | - | - | 9% | 8% | 39% | ||
| Hurricanes Wins | 15% | 15% | 13% | - | - | - | 9% | 8% | 39% | ||
| Canucks (4‑4‑0) vs Canadiens (6‑3‑0) |
0 | Canucks Wins | 14% | 15% | 14% | - | - | - | 9% | 9% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 15% | 14% | - | - | - | 9% | 8% | 39% | ||
| Canadiens Wins | 15% | 15% | 14% | - | - | - | 9% | 9% | 38% | ||