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Sun Oct 4 3:45 am

NHL - Week 1 of 28

Tampa Bay Lightning Playoff Picture

Where are the Lightning going in the playoff? The Lightning playoff picture table presents the probabilities that the Lightning will win each playoff spot. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Eastern Conference Playoff Standings
Record Metropolitan Divisional Winners Atlantic Divisional Winners Wildcard No
Playoffs
No
POs
Team DivisionDiv Wi
Schedule Content
Number of Wins
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Recent Games
L OTLi
Overtime Loses
GPi
Games Played
84 game season
Ptsi
Pts = 2*W + 1*OTL
1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 7 8 9
Penguins MetropolitanMet 2i
Penguins Recent Games

Won  Wed, Sep 30 @  Flyers     7-0
Won  Sat, Oct 03 vs Canadiens  6-5
     Mon, Oct 05 vs Jets       
     Wed, Oct 07 @  Capitals   
     Fri, Oct 09 @  B. Jackets 
     Sat, Oct 10 vs Stars      

0 0 2 4 22% 14% 12% - - - 6% 6% 40%
Rangers MetropolitanMet 2
Rangers Recent Games

Lost Tue, Sep 29 @  Bruins     0-3
Won  Thu, Oct 01 vs Lightning  5-1
Won  Fri, Oct 02 @  Red Wings  2-0
     Sun, Oct 04 vs Mammoth    
     Tue, Oct 06 vs Islanders  
     Fri, Oct 09 @  Capitals   
     Sun, Oct 11 vs Canucks    

1 0 3 4 15% 14% 13% - - - 6% 6% 46%
Hurricanes MetropolitanMet 1
Hurricanes Recent Games

Lost Tue, Sep 29 vs Panthers   0-1
Lost Fri, Oct 02 vs Capitals   2-5
Won  Sat, Oct 03 @  Flyers     3-2
     Tue, Oct 06 @  Canadiens  
     Thu, Oct 08 vs Canucks    
     Sat, Oct 10 @  Blackhawks 
     Sun, Oct 11 @  Flyers     

1 1 3 3 9% 12% 13% - - - 6% 6% 54%
Bruins AtlanticAtl 2
Bruins Recent Games

Won  Tue, Sep 29 vs Rangers    3-0
Won  Fri, Oct 02 @  Jets       4-3
Lost Sat, Oct 03 @  Wild       1-4
     Mon, Oct 05 vs Senators   
     Thu, Oct 08 vs Mammoth    
     Sat, Oct 10 vs Flyers     
     Tue, Oct 13 @  Sharks     

1 0 3 4 - - - 15% 14% 13% 6% 6% 46%
Canadiens AtlanticAtl 1
Canadiens Recent Games

Won  Tue, Sep 29 @  M. Leafs   3-2
Lost Sat, Oct 03 @  Penguins   5-6
     Tue, Oct 06 vs H.canes    
     Thu, Oct 08 vs Predators  
     Sat, Oct 10 vs Red Wings  
     Tue, Oct 13 vs Sabres     

0 1 2 3 - - - 13% 13% 13% 6% 6% 48%
Panthers AtlanticAtl 1
Panthers Recent Games

Won  Tue, Sep 29 @  H.canes    1-0
Lost Thu, Oct 01 @  Sharks     3-4
     Sun, Oct 04 @  Ducks      
     Tue, Oct 06 @  Kings      
     Sat, Oct 10 vs Wild       
     Mon, Oct 12 @  Sabres     

0 1 2 3 - - - 13% 13% 12% 6% 6% 49%
Senators AtlanticAtl 1
Senators Recent Games

Won  Sat, Oct 03 @  M. Leafs   3-2
     Mon, Oct 05 @  Bruins     
     Tue, Oct 06 @  Red Wings  
     Thu, Oct 08 vs Flyers     
     Sat, Oct 10 vs Predators  

0 0 1 2 - - - 22% 14% 12% 6% 6% 40%
Islanders MetropolitanMet 1
Islanders Recent Games

Lost Wed, Sep 30 @  M. Leafs   1-2
Won  Sat, Oct 03 vs Devils     6-0
     Tue, Oct 06 @  Rangers    
     Thu, Oct 08 vs Blackhawks 
     Sat, Oct 10 vs Lightning  
     Tue, Oct 13 vs Canucks    

1 0 2 2 12% 13% 12% - - - 6% 6% 50%
 
Capitals MetropolitanMet 1
Capitals Recent Games

Won  Fri, Oct 02 @  H.canes    5-2
Lost Sat, Oct 03 @  Lightning  1-3
     Wed, Oct 07 vs Penguins   
     Fri, Oct 09 vs Rangers    
     Sun, Oct 11 vs Kraken     
     Tue, Oct 13 @  H.canes    

1 0 2 2 12% 13% 13% - - - 6% 6% 50%
Blue Jackets MetropolitanMet 1
Blue Jackets Recent Games

Won  Thu, Oct 01 vs Sabres     6-3
Lost Sat, Oct 03 vs Mammoth    1-4
     Fri, Oct 09 vs Penguins   
     Sat, Oct 10 @  Blues      
     Tue, Oct 13 vs Panthers   
     Sat, Oct 17 vs Rangers    

1 0 2 2 13% 13% 13% - - - 6% 6% 49%
Sabres AtlanticAtl 1
Sabres Recent Games

Lost Thu, Oct 01 @  B. Jackets 3-6
Won  Sat, Oct 03 vs Blackhawks 4-3
     Tue, Oct 06 vs Wild       
     Thu, Oct 08 vs Stars      
     Sat, Oct 10 vs Mammoth    
     Mon, Oct 12 vs Panthers   

1 0 2 2 - - - 11% 12% 12% 6% 6% 51%
Lightning AtlanticAtl 1
Lightning Recent Games

Lost Thu, Oct 01 @  Rangers    1-5
Won  Sat, Oct 03 vs Capitals   3-1
     Mon, Oct 05 vs Flyers     
     Thu, Oct 08 vs Wild       
     Sat, Oct 10 @  Islanders  
     Tue, Oct 13 @  Rangers    

1 0 2 2 - - - 12% 13% 13% 7% 6% 50%
Devils MetropolitanMet 1
Devils Recent Games

Won  Thu, Oct 01 vs Flyers     3-2
Lost Sat, Oct 03 @  Islanders  0-6
     Tue, Oct 06 vs Mammoth    
     Sat, Oct 10 vs Canucks    
     Mon, Oct 12 vs Senators   
     Tue, Oct 13 @  Red Wings  

1 0 2 2 11% 13% 12% - - - 6% 6% 51%
Maple Leafs AtlanticAtl 1
Maple Leafs Recent Games

Lost Tue, Sep 29 vs Canadiens  2-3
Won  Wed, Sep 30 vs Islanders  2-1
Lost Sat, Oct 03 vs Senators   2-3
     Tue, Oct 06 vs Predators  
     Thu, Oct 08 @  G. Knights 
     Sat, Oct 10 @  Avalanche  
     Tue, Oct 13 @  Mammoth    

2 0 3 2 - - - 8% 12% 13% 7% 7% 54%
Flyers MetropolitanMet 0
Flyers Recent Games

Lost Wed, Sep 30 vs Penguins   0-7
Lost Thu, Oct 01 @  Devils     2-3
Lost Sat, Oct 03 vs H.canes    2-3
     Mon, Oct 05 @  Lightning  
     Thu, Oct 08 @  Senators   
     Sat, Oct 10 @  Bruins     
     Sun, Oct 11 vs H.canes    

1 2 3 2 5% 9% 12% - - - 6% 7% 61%
Red Wings AtlanticAtl 0
Red Wings Recent Games

Lost Fri, Oct 02 vs Rangers    0-2
     Sun, Oct 04 vs Jets       
     Tue, Oct 06 vs Senators   
     Fri, Oct 09 vs Kraken     
     Sat, Oct 10 @  Canadiens  

1 0 1 0 - - - 5% 9% 12% 6% 7% 60%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home ice advantage in the playoffs


(12) Lightning 1st Round Playoff Matchup Probabilities
Record Total Home
(24%)
Away
(25%)
Opponent W L OTL Pts
(7)Senators 1 0 0 2 6% 3% 4%
(1)Bruins 2 1 0 4 6% 3% 3%
(3)Panthers 1 0 1 3 6% 3% 3%
(2)Canadiens 1 0 1 3 6% 3% 3%
(11)Sabres 1 1 0 2 5% 3% 3%
(14)Maple Leafs 1 2 0 2 5% 3% 2%
(16)Red Wings 0 1 0 0 4% 2% 2%
(1)Penguins 2 0 0 4 2% 1% 1%
(2)Rangers 2 1 0 4 2% 1% 1%
(10)Blue Jackets 1 1 0 2 2% 1% 1%
(9)Capitals 1 1 0 2 2% 1% 1%
(8)Islanders 1 1 0 2 2% 1% 1%
(13)Devils 1 1 0 2 2% 1% 1%
(3)Hurricanes 1 1 1 3 1% 1% 1%
(15)Flyers 0 1 2 2 1% 1% <1%
Elimination 50%



Lightning Schedule
Current Week 2
Week Wk Opponent Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
1 Rangers
(2‑1‑0)
1‑5 Away Thu Oct 1, 7:00 pm
1 Capitals
(1‑1‑0)
3‑1 Home Sat Oct 3, 7:00 pm
2 Flyers
(0‑1‑2)
  Home Mon Oct 5, 7:00 pm
2 Wild
(2‑0‑0)
  Home Thu Oct 8, 7:00 pm
2 Islanders
(1‑1‑0)
  Away Sat Oct 10, 7:30 pm
3 Rangers
(2‑1‑0)
  Away Tue Oct 13, 7:15 pm
3 Kraken
(1‑1‑0)
  Home Thu Oct 15, 7:00 pm
3 Canucks
(2‑1‑0)
  Home Sat Oct 17, 4:00 pm
4 Golden Knights
(1‑1‑0)
  Away Tue Oct 20, 10:30 pm
4 Avalanche
(2‑0‑0)
  Away Fri Oct 23, 9:00 pm
4 Mammoth
(2‑0‑0)
  Away Sat Oct 24, 9:00 pm
5 Jets
(0‑0‑1)
  Home Thu Oct 29, 7:00 pm
5 Predators
(1‑1‑0)
  Away Sat Oct 31, 2:00 pm
6 Red Wings
(0‑1‑0)
  Home Tue Nov 3, 7:00 pm
6 Blackhawks
(0‑3‑0)
  Home Thu Nov 5, 7:00 pm
6 Wild
(2‑0‑0)
  Away Sat Nov 7, 8:00 pm
6 Jets
(0‑0‑1)
  Away Sun Nov 8, 6:00 pm
7 Sabres
(1‑1‑0)
  Away Wed Nov 11, 7:00 pm
7 Blue Jackets
(1‑1‑0)
  Away Thu Nov 12, 7:00 pm
7 Red Wings
(0‑1‑0)
  Home Sat Nov 14, 7:00 pm
8 Capitals
(1‑1‑0)
  Home Tue Nov 17, 7:30 pm
8 Oilers
(2‑0‑1)
  Home Thu Nov 19, 7:30 pm
8 Sabres
(1‑1‑0)
  Home Sun Nov 22, 5:00 pm
9 Hurricanes
(1‑1‑1)
  Home Wed Nov 25, 7:00 pm
9 Senators
(1‑0‑0)
  Home Fri Nov 27, 3:00 pm
9 Panthers
(1‑0‑1)
  Away Sat Nov 28, 6:00 pm
10 Canadiens
(1‑0‑1)
  Away Wed Dec 2, 7:30 pm
10 Senators
(1‑0‑0)
  Away Sat Dec 5, 7:00 pm
11 Blue Jackets
(1‑1‑0)
  Home Mon Dec 7, 7:00 pm
11 Bruins
(2‑1‑0)
  Home Thu Dec 10, 7:00 pm
11 Penguins
(2‑0‑0)
  Home Sat Dec 12, 3:30 pm
11 Blues
(1‑1‑0)
  Away Sun Dec 13, 8:00 pm
12 Penguins
(2‑0‑0)
  Away Tue Dec 15, 7:00 pm
12 Flames
(0‑2‑0)
  Home Thu Dec 17, 7:00 pm
12 Maple Leafs
(1‑2‑0)
  Away Sat Dec 19, 7:00 pm
12 Red Wings
(0‑1‑0)
  Away Sun Dec 20, 5:00 pm
13 Blues
(1‑1‑0)
  Home Tue Dec 22, 7:00 pm
13 Panthers
(1‑0‑1)
  Away Sat Dec 26, 6:00 pm
14 Hurricanes
(1‑1‑1)
  Away Mon Dec 28, 7:00 pm
14 Predators
(1‑1‑0)
  Home Tue Dec 29, 7:00 pm
14 Canadiens
(1‑0‑1)
  Home Thu Dec 31, 2:00 pm
14 Sabres
(1‑1‑0)
  Home Sat Jan 2, 7:00 pm
15 Kraken
(1‑1‑0)
  Away Tue Jan 5, 9:40 pm
15 Canucks
(2‑1‑0)
  Away Thu Jan 7, 9:00 pm
15 Flames
(0‑2‑0)
  Away Sat Jan 9, 3:30 pm
16 Oilers
(2‑0‑1)
  Away Mon Jan 11, 8:30 pm
16 Golden Knights
(1‑1‑0)
  Home Thu Jan 14, 7:00 pm
16 Senators
(1‑0‑0)
  Home Sat Jan 16, 3:30 pm
17 Bruins
(2‑1‑0)
  Away Mon Jan 18, 1:30 pm
17 Devils
(1‑1‑0)
  Away Thu Jan 21, 7:00 pm
17 Red Wings
(0‑1‑0)
  Away Sat Jan 23, 12:30 pm
18 Kings
(0‑1‑1)
  Home Tue Jan 26, 7:00 pm
18 Islanders
(1‑1‑0)
  Home Sat Jan 30, 7:00 pm
19 Penguins
(2‑0‑0)
  Away Tue Feb 2, 7:00 pm
19 Flyers
(0‑1‑2)
  Away Wed Feb 3, 7:30 pm
20 Stars
(0‑2‑0)
  Home Fri Feb 12, 7:00 pm
20 Avalanche
(2‑0‑0)
  Home Sat Feb 13, 7:00 pm
21 Panthers
(1‑0‑1)
  Home Tue Feb 16, 7:30 pm
21 Ducks
(1‑0‑0)
  Home Thu Feb 18, 7:00 pm
21 Maple Leafs
(1‑2‑0)
  Home Sat Feb 20, 7:00 pm
22 Sharks
(2‑0‑0)
  Home Tue Feb 23, 7:00 pm
22 Stars
(0‑2‑0)
  Away Thu Feb 25, 8:00 pm
22 Hurricanes
(1‑1‑1)
  Away Sat Feb 27, 7:00 pm
22 Mammoth
(2‑0‑0)
  Home Sun Feb 28, 7:00 pm
23 Kings
(0‑1‑1)
  Away Wed Mar 3, 10:00 pm
23 Ducks
(1‑0‑0)
  Away Fri Mar 5, 10:00 pm
23 Sharks
(2‑0‑0)
  Away Sat Mar 6, 10:00 pm
24 Blackhawks
(0‑3‑0)
  Away Mon Mar 8, 8:00 pm
24 Devils
(1‑1‑0)
  Home Thu Mar 11, 7:00 pm
24 Islanders
(1‑1‑0)
  Home Sat Mar 13, 7:00 pm
25 Capitals
(1‑1‑0)
  Away Mon Mar 15, 3:00 pm
25 Maple Leafs
(1‑2‑0)
  Away Wed Mar 17, 7:30 pm
25 Canadiens
(1‑0‑1)
  Away Thu Mar 18, 7:00 pm
25 Senators
(1‑0‑0)
  Away Sat Mar 20, 7:00 pm
26 Panthers
(1‑0‑1)
  Home Tue Mar 23, 7:00 pm
26 Flyers
(0‑1‑2)
  Home Thu Mar 25, 6:30 pm
26 Rangers
(2‑1‑0)
  Home Sat Mar 27, 7:00 pm
27 Maple Leafs
(1‑2‑0)
  Home Tue Mar 30, 7:00 pm
27 Blue Jackets
(1‑1‑0)
  Home Thu Apr 1, 7:00 pm
27 Bruins
(2‑1‑0)
  Away Sat Apr 3, 3:00 pm
28 Sabres
(1‑1‑0)
  Away Mon Apr 5, 7:00 pm
28 Devils
(1‑1‑0)
  Away Tue Apr 6, 7:30 pm
28 Canadiens
(1‑0‑1)
  Home Thu Apr 8, 7:00 pm
28 Bruins
(2‑1‑0)
  Home Sat Apr 10, 8:00 pm