The Most Important Games for the Lightning are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lightning final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lightning fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lightning Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Lightning (14‑10‑2) vs Flames (14‑10‑5) |
4 | Lightning Wins | - | - | - | 20% | 23% | 20% | 6% | 6% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 19% | 22% | 20% | 5% | 6% | 28% | ||
| Flames Wins | - | - | - | 17% | 21% | 21% | 5% | 6% | 29% | ||
| Capitals (19‑6‑2) vs Blue Jackets (12‑13‑3) |
2 | Capitals Wins | - | - | - | 19% | 23% | 21% | 6% | 6% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 19% | 22% | 20% | 5% | 6% | 28% | ||
| Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | 18% | 23% | 20% | 5% | 5% | 28% | ||
| Kings (17‑8‑3) vs Devils (18‑10‑3) |
1 | Kings Wins | - | - | - | 19% | 23% | 20% | 6% | 6% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 19% | 22% | 20% | 5% | 6% | 28% | ||
| Devils Wins | - | - | - | 19% | 22% | 20% | 5% | 6% | 28% | ||
| Kraken (14‑14‑2) vs Bruins (15‑12‑3) |
1 | Kraken Wins | - | - | - | 19% | 23% | 20% | 5% | 6% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 19% | 22% | 20% | 5% | 6% | 28% | ||
| Bruins Wins | - | - | - | 19% | 22% | 19% | 6% | 6% | 28% | ||
| Canadiens (11‑14‑3) vs Penguins (12‑14‑4) |
1 | Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 19% | 22% | 20% | 6% | 6% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 19% | 22% | 20% | 5% | 6% | 28% | ||
| Penguins Wins | - | - | - | 19% | 22% | 21% | 5% | 6% | 27% | ||
| Panthers (18‑9‑2) vs Canucks (14‑8‑5) |
0 | Panthers Wins | - | - | - | 18% | 22% | 21% | 5% | 6% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 19% | 22% | 20% | 5% | 6% | 28% | ||
| Canucks Wins | - | - | - | 19% | 23% | 19% | 5% | 6% | 28% | ||
| Islanders (11‑12‑7) vs Blackhawks (9‑17‑2) |
0 | Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 19% | 23% | 21% | 5% | 5% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 19% | 22% | 20% | 5% | 6% | 28% | ||
| Blackhawks Wins | - | - | - | 19% | 23% | 20% | 5% | 6% | 27% | ||
| Flyers (13‑12‑4) vs Red Wings (11‑13‑4) |
0 | Flyers Wins | - | - | - | 18% | 22% | 21% | 6% | 6% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 19% | 22% | 20% | 5% | 6% | 28% | ||
| Red Wings Wins | - | - | - | 19% | 22% | 20% | 6% | 6% | 28% | ||
| Maple Leafs (17‑9‑2) vs Ducks (10‑13‑4) |
0 | Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | 19% | 23% | 20% | 5% | 6% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 19% | 22% | 20% | 5% | 6% | 28% | ||
| Ducks Wins | - | - | - | 20% | 22% | 20% | 5% | 6% | 27% | ||
| Senators (13‑13‑2) vs Hurricanes (18‑9‑1) |
0 | Senators Wins | - | - | - | 19% | 23% | 20% | 6% | 6% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 19% | 22% | 20% | 5% | 6% | 28% | ||
| Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 18% | 23% | 20% | 5% | 6% | 27% | ||