The Most Important Games for the Lightning are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lightning final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lightning fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lightning Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Lightning (39‑19‑4) vs Blue Jackets (32‑21‑10) |
2 | Lightning Wins | - | - | - | 51% | 33% | 10% | 4% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 47% | 34% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | 38% | 36% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Sharks (30‑25‑6) vs Sabres (39‑19‑6) |
1 | Sharks Wins | - | - | - | 53% | 28% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 47% | 34% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 43% | 36% | 12% | 6% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Panthers (31‑29‑3) vs Red Wings (36‑21‑7) |
1 | Panthers Wins | - | - | - | 48% | 34% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 47% | 34% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Red Wings Wins | - | - | - | 46% | 32% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Maple Leafs (27‑26‑11) vs Canadiens (34‑18‑10) |
0 | Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | 47% | 35% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 47% | 34% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 45% | 34% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Kings (26‑23‑14) vs Bruins (35‑22‑6) |
0 | Kings Wins | - | - | - | 47% | 34% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 47% | 34% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Bruins Wins | - | - | - | 46% | 34% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Flyers (29‑23‑11) vs Capitals (32‑26‑7) |
0 | Flyers Wins | - | - | - | 47% | 33% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 47% | 34% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Capitals Wins | - | - | - | 45% | 34% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Hurricanes (40‑17‑6) vs Penguins (32‑17‑14) |
0 | Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 45% | 34% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 47% | 34% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Penguins Wins | - | - | - | 46% | 34% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Rangers (25‑30‑8) vs Flames (25‑31‑7) |
0 | Rangers Wins | - | - | - | 47% | 33% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 47% | 34% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Flames Wins | - | - | - | 46% | 35% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Blues (25‑29‑9) vs Islanders (36‑23‑5) |
0 | Blues Wins | - | - | - | 47% | 33% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 47% | 34% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 46% | 34% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | ||