The Most Important Games for the Lightning are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lightning final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lightning fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lightning Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Lightning (4‑2‑0) vs Kraken (5‑2‑0) |
3 | Lightning Wins | - | - | - | 20% | 15% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 20% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 40% | ||
| Kraken Wins | - | - | - | 18% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 42% | ||
| Devils (3‑3‑0) vs Rangers (6‑2‑0) |
1 | Devils Wins | - | - | - | 20% | 15% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 20% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 40% | ||
| Rangers Wins | - | - | - | 19% | 15% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 41% | ||
| Sabres (3‑3‑1) vs Maple Leafs (3‑3‑1) |
1 | Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 20% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 20% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 40% | ||
| Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | 19% | 14% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 40% | ||
| Bruins (5‑2‑0) vs Ducks (4‑2‑0) |
1 | Bruins Wins | - | - | - | 20% | 15% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 20% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 40% | ||
| Ducks Wins | - | - | - | 20% | 14% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 41% | ||
| Capitals (3‑3‑0) vs Canadiens (3‑2‑1) |
0 | Capitals Wins | - | - | - | 20% | 15% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 20% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 40% | ||
| Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 20% | 15% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 41% | ||
| Canucks (2‑6‑0) vs Panthers (3‑2‑2) |
0 | Canucks Wins | - | - | - | 20% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 20% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 40% | ||
| Panthers Wins | - | - | - | 19% | 14% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 41% | ||
| Red Wings (1‑3‑2) vs Flyers (0‑5‑3) |
0 | Red Wings Wins | - | - | - | 19% | 14% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 20% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 40% | ||
| Flyers Wins | - | - | - | 19% | 15% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 41% | ||
| Islanders (3‑3‑0) vs Senators (5‑2‑0) |
0 | Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 20% | 15% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 20% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 40% | ||
| Senators Wins | - | - | - | 19% | 15% | 13% | 6% | 7% | 40% | ||