The Most Important Games for the Lightning are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lightning final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lightning fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lightning Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Rangers (3‑3‑1) vs Wild (2‑3‑1) |
1 | Rangers Wins | - | - | - | 4% | 9% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 4% | 8% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 65% | ||
| Wild Wins | - | - | - | 4% | 8% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 66% | ||
| Blue Jackets (2‑3‑0) vs Stars (3‑2‑0) |
1 | Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | 4% | 9% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 4% | 8% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 65% | ||
| Stars Wins | - | - | - | 4% | 8% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 66% | ||
| Golden Knights (4‑0‑2) vs Hurricanes (5‑0‑0) |
1 | Golden Knights Wins | - | - | - | 4% | 8% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 4% | 8% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 65% | ||
| Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 4% | 8% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 66% | ||
| Bruins (3‑4‑0) vs Panthers (3‑4‑0) |
0 | Bruins Wins | - | - | - | 4% | 9% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 4% | 8% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 65% | ||
| Panthers Wins | - | - | - | 4% | 8% | 11% | 5% | 5% | 66% | ||
| Sabres (2‑3‑0) vs Canadiens (4‑2‑0) |
0 | Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 4% | 8% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 4% | 8% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 65% | ||
| Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 4% | 8% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 65% | ||
| Devils (4‑1‑0) vs Maple Leafs (3‑2‑1) |
0 | Devils Wins | - | - | - | 4% | 8% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 4% | 8% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 65% | ||
| Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | 4% | 9% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 66% | ||
| Kraken (3‑0‑2) vs Flyers (2‑2‑1) |
0 | Kraken Wins | - | - | - | 4% | 9% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 4% | 8% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 65% | ||
| Flyers Wins | - | - | - | 4% | 9% | 11% | 5% | 5% | 66% | ||
| Penguins (4‑2‑0) vs Canucks (4‑2‑0) |
0 | Penguins Wins | - | - | - | 4% | 9% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 4% | 8% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 65% | ||
| Canucks Wins | - | - | - | 4% | 8% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 66% | ||
| Oilers (2‑3‑1) vs Senators (2‑4‑0) |
0 | Oilers Wins | - | - | - | 4% | 9% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 4% | 8% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 65% | ||
| Senators Wins | - | - | - | 4% | 8% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 66% | ||
| Sharks (0‑3‑2) vs Islanders (2‑3‑0) |
0 | Sharks Wins | - | - | - | 4% | 9% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 4% | 8% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 65% | ||
| Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 4% | 8% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 66% | ||