The Most Important Games for the Lightning are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lightning final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lightning fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lightning Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Islanders (7‑5‑2) vs Hurricanes (12‑3‑2) |
1 | Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 22% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 22% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 33% | ||
| Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 22% | 15% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 35% | ||
| Stars (9‑5‑1) vs Blue Jackets (6‑7‑0) |
1 | Stars Wins | - | - | - | 22% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 8% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 22% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 33% | ||
| Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | 22% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 34% | ||
| Blues (7‑7‑1) vs Devils (10‑5‑0) |
1 | Blues Wins | - | - | - | 22% | 16% | 14% | 8% | 7% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 22% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 33% | ||
| Devils Wins | - | - | - | 22% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 8% | 34% | ||
| Sabres (7‑4‑3) vs Senators (9‑6‑1) |
0 | Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 22% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 22% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 33% | ||
| Senators Wins | - | - | - | 22% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 34% | ||
| Canadiens (9‑3‑3) vs Mammoth (10‑6‑0) |
0 | Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 22% | 15% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 22% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 33% | ||
| Mammoth Wins | - | - | - | 22% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 34% | ||
| Blackhawks (4‑10‑1) vs Panthers (8‑5‑2) |
0 | Blackhawks Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 22% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 33% | ||
| Panthers Wins | - | - | - | 22% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 34% | ||
| Golden Knights (10‑5‑2) vs Red Wings (7‑6‑3) |
0 | Golden Knights Wins | - | - | - | 22% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 22% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 33% | ||
| Red Wings Wins | - | - | - | 22% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 34% | ||
| Penguins (5‑8‑2) vs Bruins (11‑4‑1) |
0 | Penguins Wins | - | - | - | 22% | 16% | 14% | 7% | 7% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 22% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 33% | ||
| Bruins Wins | - | - | - | 22% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 34% | ||
| Rangers (8‑7‑1) vs Flyers (4‑9‑4) |
0 | Rangers Wins | - | - | - | 22% | 16% | 14% | 8% | 7% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 22% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 33% | ||
| Flyers Wins | - | - | - | 22% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 34% | ||