The Most Important Games for the Lightning are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lightning final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lightning fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lightning Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Lightning (1‑0‑0) vs Canucks (0‑0‑2) |
1 | Lightning Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 13% | 12% | 7% | 6% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 23% | 13% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 39% | ||
| Canucks Wins | - | - | - | 21% | 13% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 40% | ||
| Penguins (2‑2‑0) vs Sabres (1‑3‑0) |
1 | Penguins Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 13% | 12% | 7% | 6% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 23% | 13% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 39% | ||
| Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 22% | 13% | 12% | 7% | 6% | 40% | ||
| Panthers (2‑2‑0) vs Blue Jackets (1‑1‑0) |
1 | Panthers Wins | - | - | - | 22% | 14% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 23% | 13% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 39% | ||
| Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | 22% | 13% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 40% | ||
| Golden Knights (3‑0‑0) vs Capitals (0‑1‑0) |
1 | Golden Knights Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 14% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 23% | 13% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 39% | ||
| Capitals Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 13% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 39% | ||
| Flyers (1‑1‑0) vs Oilers (0‑3‑0) |
0 | Flyers Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 13% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 23% | 13% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 39% | ||
| Oilers Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 13% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 39% | ||
| Maple Leafs (2‑1‑0) vs Kings (1‑0‑2) |
0 | Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 13% | 12% | 7% | 6% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 23% | 13% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 39% | ||
| Kings Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 13% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 40% | ||
| Avalanche (0‑2‑0) vs Islanders (0‑1‑1) |
0 | Avalanche Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 13% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 23% | 13% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 39% | ||
| Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 13% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 39% | ||
| Devils (4‑1‑0) vs Hurricanes (0‑1‑0) |
0 | Devils Wins | - | - | - | 22% | 13% | 12% | 7% | 7% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 23% | 13% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 39% | ||
| Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 13% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 39% | ||