The Most Important Games for the Lightning are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lightning final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lightning fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lightning Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Lightning (10‑10‑5) vs Stars (14‑5‑3) |
4 | Lightning Wins | - | - | - | 2% | 5% | 9% | 6% | 7% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 1% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 73% | ||
| Stars Wins | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 75% | ||
| Jets (13‑8‑2) vs Hurricanes (14‑8‑1) |
1 | Jets Wins | - | - | - | 1% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 1% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 73% | ||
| Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 1% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Capitals (12‑7‑2) vs Coyotes (12‑9‑2) |
1 | Capitals Wins | - | - | - | 2% | 5% | 9% | 5% | 7% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 1% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 73% | ||
| Coyotes Wins | - | - | - | 1% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Rangers (17‑4‑1) vs Sharks (6‑16‑2) |
1 | Rangers Wins | - | - | - | 1% | 5% | 9% | 5% | 7% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 1% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 73% | ||
| Sharks Wins | - | - | - | 1% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 73% | ||
| Canucks (16‑8‑1) vs Devils (11‑10‑1) |
1 | Canucks Wins | - | - | - | 1% | 5% | 9% | 6% | 7% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 1% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 73% | ||
| Devils Wins | - | - | - | 1% | 5% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 73% | ||
| Penguins (11‑10‑2) vs Flyers (12‑10‑2) |
0 | Penguins Wins | - | - | - | 1% | 5% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 1% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 73% | ||
| Flyers Wins | - | - | - | 2% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 74% | ||
| Kraken (8‑11‑6) vs Canadiens (10‑11‑3) |
0 | Kraken Wins | - | - | - | 1% | 5% | 9% | 6% | 7% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 1% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 73% | ||
| Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 1% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Blue Jackets (8‑13‑4) vs Bruins (16‑4‑3) |
0 | Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | 2% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 1% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 73% | ||
| Bruins Wins | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Sabres (10‑12‑2) vs Predators (11‑12‑0) |
0 | Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 2% | 4% | 9% | 5% | 7% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 1% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 73% | ||
| Predators Wins | - | - | - | 1% | 5% | 9% | 5% | 7% | 73% | ||