The Most Important Games for the Lightning are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lightning final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lightning fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lightning Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Lightning (32‑16‑1) vs Sharks (15‑25‑11) |
2 | Lightning Wins | - | - | - | 2% | 50% | 42% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 1% | 49% | 42% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Sharks Wins | - | - | - | 1% | 44% | 47% | 4% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Kraken (29‑15‑5) vs Islanders (26‑22‑5) |
0 | Kraken Wins | - | - | - | 2% | 49% | 42% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 1% | 49% | 42% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 1% | 50% | 42% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Avalanche (27‑18‑3) vs Penguins (24‑16‑9) |
0 | Avalanche Wins | - | - | - | 1% | 50% | 42% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 1% | 49% | 42% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Penguins Wins | - | - | - | 2% | 49% | 42% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Canucks (20‑26‑4) vs Rangers (28‑14‑8) |
0 | Canucks Wins | - | - | - | 1% | 49% | 42% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 1% | 49% | 42% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Rangers Wins | - | - | - | 1% | 50% | 42% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Oilers (28‑18‑4) vs Red Wings (21‑19‑8) |
0 | Oilers Wins | - | - | - | 1% | 49% | 43% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 1% | 49% | 42% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Red Wings Wins | - | - | - | 1% | 49% | 42% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||