The Most Important Games for the Lightning are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lightning final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lightning fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lightning Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Lightning (48‑25‑6) vs Bruins (43‑26‑10) |
3 | Lightning Wins | - | - | - | 24% | 40% | 36% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 14% | 32% | 54% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bruins Wins | - | - | - | 2% | 23% | 74% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Blue Jackets (39‑28‑12) vs Canadiens (47‑22‑10) |
2 | Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | 18% | 45% | 37% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 14% | 32% | 54% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 12% | 24% | 64% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Blackhawks (28‑36‑14) vs Hurricanes (50‑22‑6) |
0 | Blackhawks Wins | - | - | - | 14% | 32% | 54% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 14% | 32% | 54% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 14% | 32% | 54% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Islanders (43‑31‑5) vs Senators (42‑27‑10) |
0 | Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 14% | 32% | 54% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 14% | 32% | 54% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Senators Wins | - | - | - | 14% | 32% | 54% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Penguins (41‑22‑16) vs Capitals (40‑30‑9) |
0 | Penguins Wins | - | - | - | 14% | 32% | 54% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 14% | 32% | 54% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Capitals Wins | - | - | - | 14% | 32% | 54% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Red Wings (41‑29‑9) vs Devils (40‑36‑3) |
0 | Red Wings Wins | - | - | - | 14% | 32% | 54% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 14% | 32% | 54% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Devils Wins | - | - | - | 14% | 32% | 54% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Maple Leafs (32‑33‑14) vs Panthers (37‑38‑4) |
0 | Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | 14% | 32% | 54% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 14% | 32% | 54% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Panthers Wins | - | - | - | 14% | 32% | 54% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||