The Most Important Games for the Lightning are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lightning final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lightning fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lightning Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Lightning (30‑13‑4) vs Sharks (25‑20‑3) |
2 | Lightning Wins | - | - | - | 69% | 17% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 65% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Sharks Wins | - | - | - | 60% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Kings (19‑16‑13) vs Rangers (21‑23‑6) |
0 | Kings Wins | - | - | - | 65% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 65% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Rangers Wins | - | - | - | 65% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Predators (23‑21‑4) vs Sabres (26‑17‑5) |
0 | Predators Wins | - | - | - | 66% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 65% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 65% | 18% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Wild (28‑13‑9) vs Canadiens (27‑15‑7) |
0 | Wild Wins | - | - | - | 66% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 65% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 65% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Oilers (25‑17‑8) vs Devils (25‑22‑2) |
0 | Oilers Wins | - | - | - | 65% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 65% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Devils Wins | - | - | - | 65% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Penguins (23‑14‑11) vs Flames (21‑23‑5) |
0 | Penguins Wins | - | - | - | 65% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 65% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Flames Wins | - | - | - | 65% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Kraken (21‑18‑9) vs Islanders (27‑17‑5) |
0 | Kraken Wins | - | - | - | 66% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 65% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 65% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Maple Leafs (24‑17‑8) vs Red Wings (30‑16‑4) |
0 | Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | 66% | 17% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 65% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Red Wings Wins | - | - | - | 64% | 18% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Canucks (16‑28‑5) vs Capitals (24‑20‑6) |
0 | Canucks Wins | - | - | - | 65% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 65% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Capitals Wins | - | - | - | 65% | 18% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Stars (27‑13‑9) vs Bruins (28‑19‑2) |
0 | Stars Wins | - | - | - | 66% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 65% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Bruins Wins | - | - | - | 65% | 17% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Hurricanes (31‑15‑4) vs Blackhawks (20‑22‑7) |
0 | Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 66% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 65% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Blackhawks Wins | - | - | - | 65% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Flyers (23‑17‑8) vs Hockey Club (25‑20‑4) |
0 | Flyers Wins | - | - | - | 65% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 65% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Hockey Club Wins | - | - | - | 65% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Senators (22‑19‑7) vs Blue Jackets (22‑19‑7) |
0 | Senators Wins | - | - | - | 65% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 65% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | 65% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||