The Most Important Games for the Lightning are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lightning final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lightning fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lightning Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Lightning (11‑4‑2) vs Sabres (8‑6‑3) |
4 | Lightning Wins | - | - | - | 24% | 20% | 15% | 8% | 7% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 23% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 7% | 28% | ||
| Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 22% | 18% | 15% | 8% | 7% | 29% | ||
| Kraken (9‑6‑1) vs Hurricanes (14‑3‑2) |
1 | Kraken Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 7% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 23% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 7% | 28% | ||
| Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 19% | 14% | 8% | 7% | 29% | ||
| Oilers (13‑3‑3) vs Flyers (5‑10‑5) |
1 | Oilers Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 7% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 23% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 7% | 28% | ||
| Flyers Wins | - | - | - | 22% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 7% | 29% | ||
| Flames (8‑9‑1) vs Rangers (10‑8‑1) |
1 | Flames Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 7% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 23% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 7% | 28% | ||
| Rangers Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 7% | 28% | ||
| Canadiens (11‑3‑4) vs Bruins (13‑4‑1) |
0 | Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 7% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 23% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 7% | 28% | ||
| Bruins Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 7% | 28% | ||
| Capitals (10‑6‑0) vs Devils (13‑6‑0) |
0 | Capitals Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 7% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 23% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 7% | 28% | ||
| Devils Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 7% | 29% | ||
| Senators (11‑6‑2) vs Avalanche (11‑6‑2) |
0 | Senators Wins | - | - | - | 22% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 7% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 23% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 7% | 28% | ||
| Avalanche Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 7% | 29% | ||
| Penguins (6‑10‑2) vs Sharks (8‑11‑1) |
0 | Penguins Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 19% | 16% | 8% | 7% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 23% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 7% | 28% | ||
| Sharks Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 7% | 28% | ||
| Panthers (10‑7‑2) vs Red Wings (7‑9‑3) |
0 | Panthers Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 7% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 23% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 7% | 28% | ||
| Red Wings Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 7% | 29% | ||
| Islanders (7‑6‑4) vs Kings (5‑9‑2) |
0 | Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 7% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 23% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 7% | 28% | ||
| Kings Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 7% | 28% | ||
| Wild (13‑3‑4) vs Maple Leafs (8‑10‑2) |
0 | Wild Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 7% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 23% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 7% | 28% | ||
| Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 7% | 28% | ||