The Most Important Games for the Lightning are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lightning final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lightning fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lightning Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Lightning (2‑1‑0) vs Wild (2‑0‑1) |
2 | Lightning Wins | - | - | - | 16% | 13% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 16% | 13% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 46% | ||
| Wild Wins | - | - | - | 15% | 13% | 12% | 7% | 6% | 46% | ||
| Golden Knights (3‑1‑0) vs Maple Leafs (2‑2‑0) |
1 | Golden Knights Wins | - | - | - | 16% | 13% | 13% | 6% | 7% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 16% | 13% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 46% | ||
| Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | 16% | 13% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 46% | ||
| Hurricanes (2‑1‑1) vs Canucks (2‑2‑0) |
1 | Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 16% | 13% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 16% | 13% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 46% | ||
| Canucks Wins | - | - | - | 16% | 13% | 12% | 7% | 6% | 46% | ||
| Mammoth (3‑1‑0) vs Bruins (2‑2‑0) |
1 | Mammoth Wins | - | - | - | 16% | 13% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 16% | 13% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 46% | ||
| Bruins Wins | - | - | - | 16% | 13% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 46% | ||
| Penguins (2‑1‑0) vs Capitals (1‑1‑0) |
0 | Penguins Wins | - | - | - | 16% | 13% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 16% | 13% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 46% | ||
| Capitals Wins | - | - | - | 16% | 13% | 12% | 6% | 7% | 46% | ||
| Sabres (2‑1‑0) vs Stars (1‑2‑0) |
0 | Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 16% | 14% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 16% | 13% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 46% | ||
| Stars Wins | - | - | - | 16% | 13% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 45% | ||
| Predators (1‑1‑1) vs Canadiens (1‑1‑1) |
0 | Predators Wins | - | - | - | 15% | 14% | 12% | 6% | 7% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 16% | 13% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 46% | ||
| Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 16% | 13% | 12% | 7% | 6% | 46% | ||
| Flyers (0‑2‑2) vs Senators (2‑1‑0) |
0 | Flyers Wins | - | - | - | 16% | 13% | 12% | 7% | 6% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 16% | 13% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 46% | ||
| Senators Wins | - | - | - | 16% | 13% | 12% | 6% | 7% | 46% | ||
| Islanders (1‑2‑0) vs Blackhawks (1‑3‑0) |
0 | Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 16% | 13% | 12% | 6% | 7% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 16% | 13% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 46% | ||
| Blackhawks Wins | - | - | - | 16% | 13% | 12% | 7% | 7% | 45% | ||