The Most Important Games for the Lightning are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lightning final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lightning fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lightning Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Lightning (16‑9‑2) vs Islanders (15‑10‑3) |
5 | Lightning Wins | - | - | - | 40% | 18% | 14% | 2% | 3% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 38% | 18% | 14% | 2% | 3% | 25% | ||
| Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 35% | 18% | 14% | 2% | 3% | 28% | ||
| Blues (9‑12‑7) vs Senators (13‑10‑4) |
1 | Blues Wins | - | - | - | 38% | 18% | 13% | 2% | 3% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 38% | 18% | 14% | 2% | 3% | 25% | ||
| Senators Wins | - | - | - | 37% | 18% | 13% | 2% | 3% | 26% | ||
| Kraken (11‑8‑6) vs Red Wings (14‑11‑3) |
1 | Kraken Wins | - | - | - | 38% | 18% | 13% | 2% | 3% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 38% | 18% | 14% | 2% | 3% | 25% | ||
| Red Wings Wins | - | - | - | 37% | 18% | 14% | 2% | 3% | 26% | ||
| Blue Jackets (13‑9‑5) vs Panthers (12‑12‑2) |
1 | Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | 38% | 19% | 13% | 2% | 3% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 38% | 18% | 14% | 2% | 3% | 25% | ||
| Panthers Wins | - | - | - | 37% | 18% | 14% | 3% | 3% | 26% | ||
| Ducks (16‑10‑1) vs Capitals (17‑9‑2) |
0 | Ducks Wins | - | - | - | 37% | 18% | 13% | 2% | 3% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 38% | 18% | 14% | 2% | 3% | 25% | ||
| Capitals Wins | - | - | - | 37% | 18% | 14% | 2% | 3% | 26% | ||
| Devils (16‑10‑1) vs Golden Knights (12‑6‑8) |
0 | Devils Wins | - | - | - | 37% | 19% | 14% | 2% | 3% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 38% | 18% | 14% | 2% | 3% | 25% | ||
| Golden Knights Wins | - | - | - | 37% | 18% | 14% | 2% | 3% | 26% | ||
| Avalanche (19‑2‑6) vs Rangers (15‑12‑2) |
0 | Avalanche Wins | - | - | - | 37% | 18% | 14% | 2% | 3% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 38% | 18% | 14% | 2% | 3% | 25% | ||
| Rangers Wins | - | - | - | 38% | 18% | 14% | 2% | 3% | 26% | ||
| Jets (13‑12‑1) vs Sabres (11‑12‑4) |
0 | Jets Wins | - | - | - | 37% | 18% | 14% | 2% | 3% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 38% | 18% | 14% | 2% | 3% | 25% | ||
| Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 37% | 18% | 14% | 2% | 3% | 26% | ||
| Hurricanes (16‑8‑2) vs Predators (10‑13‑4) |
0 | Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 37% | 18% | 14% | 2% | 3% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 38% | 18% | 14% | 2% | 3% | 25% | ||
| Predators Wins | - | - | - | 38% | 18% | 13% | 2% | 3% | 26% | ||
| Canadiens (14‑9‑3) vs Maple Leafs (13‑11‑3) |
0 | Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 37% | 19% | 14% | 2% | 3% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 38% | 18% | 14% | 2% | 3% | 25% | ||
| Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | 38% | 17% | 14% | 2% | 3% | 26% | ||