PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Feb 5 11:15 pm

Big 10 Basketball - Week 14 of 17

Illinois Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Illinois Fighting Illini are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Fighting Illini final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Illinois Fighting Illini fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Illinois Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Illinois Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3*
First and Second
Round Byes
4*
First and Second
Round Byes
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8**
First Round Bye
9**
First Round Bye
10**
First Round Bye
11 12 13 14
Illinois
(16‑7)

vs
Minnesota
(7‑15)
40 Illinois Wins 1% 11% 12% 14% 13% 13% 11% 10% 8% 5% 2% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 10% 12% 12% 13% 12% 12% 10% 8% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1%
Minnesota Wins <1% 4% 7% 9% 11% 13% 14% 13% 13% 10% 5% 1% <1% <1%
Purdue
(22‑2)

vs
Iowa
(15‑8)
7 Purdue Wins 1% 11% 12% 13% 13% 12% 12% 10% 8% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 10% 12% 12% 13% 12% 12% 10% 8% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1%
Iowa Wins 2% 8% 10% 12% 13% 13% 12% 11% 9% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1%
Michigan St.
(14‑9)

vs
Maryland
(16‑7)
7 Michigan St. Wins 1% 12% 12% 12% 12% 12% 11% 10% 8% 6% 3% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 10% 12% 12% 13% 12% 12% 10% 8% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1%
Maryland Wins 1% 9% 11% 13% 14% 14% 12% 11% 8% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1%
Ohio St.
(11‑12)

vs
NorthwesternN. Western
(16‑7)
5 Ohio St. Wins 1% 11% 12% 13% 13% 13% 11% 10% 8% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 10% 12% 12% 13% 12% 12% 10% 8% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1%
NorthwesternN. Western Wins 1% 10% 11% 12% 13% 12% 12% 11% 8% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1%
Nebraska
(11‑13)

vs
Michigan
(13‑10)
3 Nebraska Wins 1% 11% 12% 13% 14% 13% 12% 10% 7% 5% 2% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 10% 12% 12% 13% 12% 12% 10% 8% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1%
Michigan Wins 1% 10% 12% 12% 13% 13% 12% 10% 9% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1%
Wisconsin
(13‑9)

vs
Penn State
(14‑9)
3 Wisconsin Wins 1% 11% 12% 13% 13% 13% 12% 10% 8% 5% 3% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 10% 12% 12% 13% 12% 12% 10% 8% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1%
Penn State Wins 1% 10% 11% 12% 13% 13% 12% 11% 9% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1%
Indiana
(16‑7)

vs
Rutgers
(16‑7)
0 Indiana Wins 1% 11% 12% 13% 13% 12% 12% 11% 8% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 10% 12% 12% 13% 12% 12% 10% 8% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1%
Rutgers Wins 1% 10% 11% 13% 13% 13% 12% 10% 8% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament