The Most Important Games for the Illinois Fighting Illini are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Fighting Illini final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Illinois Fighting Illini fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Illinois Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Illinois (5‑1) vs Rutgers (5‑1) |
23 | Illinois Wins | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 3% | ||
| Rutgers Wins | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Minnesota (4‑2) vs Ohio St. (6‑1) |
2 | Minnesota Wins | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 3% | ||
| Ohio St. Wins | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Maryland (4‑3) vs Indiana (5‑1) |
1 | Maryland Wins | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 3% | ||
| Indiana Wins | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 3% | ||
| Purdue (7‑0) vs NorthwesternN. Western (5‑1) |
1 | Purdue Wins | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 3% | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western Wins | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 4% | ||