The Most Important Games for the Illinois Fighting Illini are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Fighting Illini final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Illinois Fighting Illini fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Illinois Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Illinois (16‑7) vs Minnesota (7‑15) |
40 | Illinois Wins | 1% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota Wins | <1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 10% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Purdue (22‑2) vs Iowa (15‑8) |
7 | Purdue Wins | 1% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Iowa Wins | 2% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Michigan St. (14‑9) vs Maryland (16‑7) |
7 | Michigan St. Wins | 1% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Maryland Wins | 1% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Ohio St. (11‑12) vs NorthwesternN. Western (16‑7) |
5 | Ohio St. Wins | 1% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western Wins | 1% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nebraska (11‑13) vs Michigan (13‑10) |
3 | Nebraska Wins | 1% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Michigan Wins | 1% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Wisconsin (13‑9) vs Penn State (14‑9) |
3 | Wisconsin Wins | 1% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Penn State Wins | 1% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Indiana (16‑7) vs Rutgers (16‑7) |
0 | Indiana Wins | 1% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rutgers Wins | 1% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||