The Most Important Games for the Illinois Fighting Illini are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Fighting Illini final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Illinois Fighting Illini fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Illinois Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| Illinois (7‑2) vs Oregon (9‑1) |
36 | Illinois Wins | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 9% | ||
| Oregon Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Washington (7‑3) vs Maryland (8‑2) |
3 | Washington Wins | 4% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 9% | ||
| Maryland Wins | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 9% | ||
| Minnesota (6‑5) vs Purdue (8‑2) |
2 | Minnesota Wins | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 9% | ||
| Purdue Wins | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 9% | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western (7‑3) vs Penn State (8‑2) |
0 | NorthwesternN. Western Wins | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 9% | ||
| Penn State Wins | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 9% | ||
| Indiana (8‑2) vs Nebraska (6‑2) |
0 | Indiana Wins | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 9% | ||
| Nebraska Wins | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 9% | ||