The Most Important Games for the Illinois Fighting Illini are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Fighting Illini final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Illinois Fighting Illini fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Illinois Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| Illinois (8‑3) vs Penn State (8‑3) |
66 | Illinois Wins | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Penn State Wins | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western (6‑4) vs Minnesota (6‑5) |
4 | NorthwesternN. Western Wins | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | <1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Minnesota Wins | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | ||
| Michigan (9‑0) vs USC (10‑1) |
3 | Michigan Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | <1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | ||
| USC Wins | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | ||
| Rutgers (5‑6) vs Ohio St. (8‑2) |
3 | Rutgers Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | <1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Ohio St. Wins | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | ||
| Maryland (6‑4) vs Oregon (5‑5) |
2 | Maryland Wins | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | <1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Oregon Wins | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | ||
| Nebraska (11‑0) vs Michigan St. (9‑1) |
1 | Nebraska Wins | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | <1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Michigan St. Wins | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | ||
| UCLA (7‑3) vs Iowa (9‑2) |
1 | UCLA Wins | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | <1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Iowa Wins | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | ||
| Wisconsin (7‑3) vs Purdue (10‑1) |
1 | Wisconsin Wins | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | <1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Purdue Wins | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | ||
| Washington (7‑3) vs Indiana (8‑3) |
0 | Washington Wins | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | <1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Indiana Wins | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | ||