Where are the Illinois Fighting Illini going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Illinois standings table presents the probabilities of the Fighting Illini winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 20 game season |
1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT |
| Michigan St. | 7i Michigan St. Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 09 vs Washington 88-54 Won Sun, Jan 12 @ N. Western 78-68 Won Wed, Jan 15 vs Penn State 90-85 Won Sun, Jan 19 vs Illinois 80-78 Sat, Jan 25 @ Rutgers Tue, Jan 28 vs Minnesota Sat, Feb 01 @ USC Tue, Feb 04 @ UCLA |
0 | 7 | 39% | 23% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Purdue | 7 Purdue Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 09 @ Rutgers 68-50 Won Sun, Jan 12 vs Nebraska 104-68 Won Wed, Jan 15 @ Washington 69-58 Won Sat, Jan 18 @ Oregon 65-58 Tue, Jan 21 vs Ohio St. Fri, Jan 24 vs Michigan Fri, Jan 31 vs Indiana Tue, Feb 04 @ Iowa |
1 | 8 | 31% | 27% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Michigan | 6 Michigan Recent Games Won Tue, Jan 07 @ UCLA 94-75 Won Sun, Jan 12 vs Washington 91-75 Lost Thu, Jan 16 @ Minnesota 81-84 Won Sun, Jan 19 vs N. Western 80-76 Fri, Jan 24 @ Purdue Mon, Jan 27 vs Penn State Sat, Feb 01 @ Rutgers Wed, Feb 05 vs Oregon |
1 | 7 | 14% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Wisconsin | 5 Wisconsin Recent Games Won Mon, Jan 06 @ Rutgers 75-63 Won Fri, Jan 10 vs Minnesota 80-59 Won Tue, Jan 14 vs Ohio St. 70-68 Won Sat, Jan 18 @ USC 84-69 Tue, Jan 21 @ UCLA Sun, Jan 26 vs Nebraska Wed, Jan 29 @ Maryland Sat, Feb 01 @ N. Western |
2 | 7 | 7% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Illinois | 5 Illinois Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 08 vs Penn State 91-52 Lost Sat, Jan 11 vs USC 72-82 Won Tue, Jan 14 @ Indiana 94-69 Lost Sun, Jan 19 @ Michigan St. 78-80 Thu, Jan 23 vs Maryland Sun, Jan 26 vs N. Western Thu, Jan 30 @ Nebraska Sun, Feb 02 vs Ohio St. |
3 | 8 | 3% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Indiana | 5 Indiana Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 08 vs USC 82-69 Lost Sat, Jan 11 @ Iowa 60-85 Lost Tue, Jan 14 vs Illinois 69-94 Won Fri, Jan 17 @ Ohio St. 77-76 Wed, Jan 22 @ N. Western Sun, Jan 26 vs Maryland Fri, Jan 31 @ Purdue Tue, Feb 04 @ Wisconsin |
3 | 8 | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Oregon | 4 Oregon Recent Games Won Sun, Jan 05 vs Maryland 83-79 Won Thu, Jan 09 @ Ohio St. 73-71 Won Sun, Jan 12 @ Penn State 82-81 Lost Sat, Jan 18 vs Purdue 58-65 Tue, Jan 21 vs Washington Sat, Jan 25 @ Minnesota Thu, Jan 30 @ UCLA Sun, Feb 02 vs Nebraska |
3 | 7 | 4% | 11% | 17% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Maryland | 4 Maryland Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 10 vs UCLA 79-61 Won Mon, Jan 13 vs Minnesota 77-71 Lost Thu, Jan 16 @ N. Western 74-76 Won Sun, Jan 19 vs Nebraska 69-66 Thu, Jan 23 @ Illinois Sun, Jan 26 @ Indiana Wed, Jan 29 vs Wisconsin Thu, Feb 06 @ Ohio St. |
4 | 8 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 6% |
| USC | 3 USC Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 08 @ Indiana 69-82 Won Sat, Jan 11 @ Illinois 82-72 Won Tue, Jan 14 vs Iowa 99-89 Lost Sat, Jan 18 vs Wisconsin 69-84 Wed, Jan 22 @ Nebraska Mon, Jan 27 vs UCLA Sat, Feb 01 vs Michigan St. Tue, Feb 04 @ N. Western |
4 | 7 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 16% |
| UCLA | 3 UCLA Recent Games Lost Tue, Jan 07 vs Michigan 75-94 Lost Fri, Jan 10 @ Maryland 61-79 Lost Mon, Jan 13 @ Rutgers 68-75 Won Fri, Jan 17 vs Iowa 94-70 Tue, Jan 21 vs Wisconsin Fri, Jan 24 @ Washington Mon, Jan 27 @ USC Thu, Jan 30 vs Oregon |
4 | 7 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 14% |
| Iowa | 3 Iowa Recent Games Won Tue, Jan 07 vs Nebraska 97-87 Won Sat, Jan 11 vs Indiana 85-60 Lost Tue, Jan 14 @ USC 89-99 Lost Fri, Jan 17 @ UCLA 70-94 Tue, Jan 21 vs Minnesota Fri, Jan 24 vs Penn State Mon, Jan 27 @ Ohio St. Tue, Feb 04 vs Purdue |
4 | 7 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 15% |
| Penn State | 3 Penn State Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 08 @ Illinois 52-91 Lost Sun, Jan 12 vs Oregon 81-82 Lost Wed, Jan 15 @ Michigan St. 85-90 Won Mon, Jan 20 vs Rutgers 80-72 Fri, Jan 24 @ Iowa Mon, Jan 27 @ Michigan Thu, Jan 30 vs Ohio St. Tue, Feb 04 vs Minnesota |
5 | 8 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 13% |
| Rutgers | 3 Rutgers Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 09 vs Purdue 50-68 Won Mon, Jan 13 vs UCLA 75-68 Won Thu, Jan 16 @ Nebraska 85-82 Lost Mon, Jan 20 @ Penn State 72-80 Sat, Jan 25 vs Michigan St. Wed, Jan 29 @ N. Western Sat, Feb 01 vs Michigan Wed, Feb 05 vs Illinois |
5 | 8 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 34% |
| NorthwesternN. Western | 2 Northwestern Recent Games Lost Sun, Jan 05 @ Purdue 61-79 Lost Sun, Jan 12 vs Michigan St. 68-78 Won Thu, Jan 16 vs Maryland 76-74 Lost Sun, Jan 19 @ Michigan 76-80 Wed, Jan 22 vs Indiana Sun, Jan 26 @ Illinois Wed, Jan 29 vs Rutgers Sat, Feb 01 vs Wisconsin |
5 | 7 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 27% |
| Nebraska | 2 Nebraska Recent Games Lost Tue, Jan 07 @ Iowa 87-97 Lost Sun, Jan 12 @ Purdue 68-104 Lost Thu, Jan 16 vs Rutgers 82-85 Lost Sun, Jan 19 @ Maryland 66-69 Wed, Jan 22 vs USC Sun, Jan 26 @ Wisconsin Thu, Jan 30 vs Illinois Sun, Feb 02 @ Oregon |
5 | 7 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 15% |
| Ohio St. | 2 Ohio St. Recent Games Won Mon, Jan 06 @ Minnesota 89-88 Lost Thu, Jan 09 vs Oregon 71-73 Lost Tue, Jan 14 @ Wisconsin 68-70 Lost Fri, Jan 17 vs Indiana 76-77 Tue, Jan 21 @ Purdue Mon, Jan 27 vs Iowa Thu, Jan 30 @ Penn State Sun, Feb 02 @ Illinois |
5 | 7 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 29% |
| Minnesota | 1 Minnesota Recent Games Lost Mon, Jan 06 vs Ohio St. 88-89 Lost Fri, Jan 10 @ Wisconsin 59-80 Lost Mon, Jan 13 @ Maryland 71-77 Won Thu, Jan 16 vs Michigan 84-81 Tue, Jan 21 @ Iowa Sat, Jan 25 vs Oregon Tue, Jan 28 @ Michigan St. Sat, Feb 01 vs Washington |
6 | 7 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 69% |
| Washington | 1 Washington Recent Games Lost Sun, Jan 05 vs Illinois 77-81 Lost Thu, Jan 09 @ Michigan St. 54-88 Lost Sun, Jan 12 @ Michigan 75-91 Lost Wed, Jan 15 vs Purdue 58-69 Tue, Jan 21 @ Oregon Fri, Jan 24 vs UCLA Sat, Feb 01 @ Minnesota Wed, Feb 05 vs Nebraska |
6 | 7 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 10% | 61% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 84% | ||
| (13)Rutgers | 3 | 5 | 2% |
| (12)Penn State | 3 | 5 | 2% |
| (16)Ohio St. | 2 | 5 | 2% |
| (14)NorthwesternN. Western | 2 | 5 | 2% |
| (9)USC | 3 | 4 | 1% |
| (15)Nebraska | 2 | 5 | 1% |
| (11)Iowa | 3 | 4 | 1% |
| (10)UCLA | 3 | 4 | 1% |
| (8)Maryland | 4 | 4 | 1% |
| (18)Washington | 1 | 6 | 1% |
| (17)Minnesota | 1 | 6 | 1% |
| (6)Indiana | 5 | 3 | 1% |
| (7)Oregon | 4 | 3 | <1% |
| (4)Wisconsin | 5 | 2 | <1% |
| (3)Michigan | 6 | 1 | <1% |
| (2)Purdue | 7 | 1 | <1% |
| (1)Michigan St. | 7 | 0 | <1% |
| Elimination | <1% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | NorthwesternN. Western (11‑7) |
66‑70 (OT) | Away | Fri Dec 6, 9:00 pm |
| 6 | Wisconsin (15‑3) |
86‑80 | Home | Tue Dec 10, 9:00 pm |
| 9 | Oregon (15‑3) |
109‑77 | Away | Thu Jan 2, 10:00 pm |
| 9 | Washington (10‑8) |
81‑77 | Away | Sun Jan 5, 4:00 pm |
| 10 | Penn State (13‑6) |
91‑52 | Home | Wed Jan 8, 9:00 pm |
| 10 | USC (11‑7) |
72‑82 | Home | Sat Jan 11, 12:00 pm |
| 11 | Indiana (14‑5) |
94‑69 | Away | Tue Jan 14, 7:00 pm |
| 11 | Michigan St. (16‑2) |
78‑80 | Away | Sun Jan 19, 12:00 pm |
| 12 | Maryland (14‑5) |
Home | Thu Jan 23, 9:00 pm | |
| 12 | NorthwesternN. Western (11‑7) |
Home | Sun Jan 26, 3:00 pm | |
| 13 | Nebraska (12‑6) |
Away | Thu Jan 30, 8:30 pm | |
| 13 | Ohio St. (10‑8) |
Home | Sun Feb 2, 1:00 pm | |
| 14 | Rutgers (10‑9) |
Away | Wed Feb 5, TBD | |
| 14 | Minnesota (9‑9) |
Away | Sat Feb 8, 6:00 pm | |
| 15 | UCLA (12‑6) |
Home | Tue Feb 11, 8:00 pm | |
| 15 | Michigan St. (16‑2) |
Home | Sat Feb 15, 8:00 pm | |
| 16 | Wisconsin (15‑3) |
Away | Tue Feb 18, TBD | |
| 17 | Iowa (12‑6) |
Home | Tue Feb 25, 9:00 pm | |
| 17 | Michigan (14‑4) |
Away | Sun Mar 2, TBD | |
| 18 | Purdue (15‑4) |
Home | Fri Mar 7, 8:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eastern Illinois (5‑13) |
Ohio ValleyOhio Valley | 112‑67 | Home | Mon Nov 4, 8:00 pm |
| 1 | SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville (12‑7) |
Ohio ValleyOhio Valley | 90‑58 | Home | Fri Nov 8, 8:00 pm |
| 2 | Oakland (8‑12) |
HorizonHorizon | 66‑54 | Home | Wed Nov 13, 9:00 pm |
| 3 | Alabama (15‑3) |
SECSEC | 87‑100 | Away | Wed Nov 20, 9:00 pm |
| 3 | MD Eastern Shore (4‑15) |
MideasternMid-Eastern | 87‑40 | Home | Sat Nov 23, 4:00 pm |
| 4 | UALR (11‑7) |
Ohio ValleyOhio Valley | 92‑34 | Home | Mon Nov 25, 9:00 pm |
| 4 | Arkansas (11‑7) |
SECSEC | 90‑77 | Away | Thu Nov 28, 4:00 pm |
| 6 | Tennessee (16‑2) |
SECSEC | 64‑66 | Home | Sat Dec 14, 5:30 pm |
| 7 | Missouri (15‑3) |
SECSEC | 80‑77 | Away | Sun Dec 22, 1:00 pm |
| 8 | Chicago St. (2‑17) |
NortheastNorth East | 117‑64 | Home | Sun Dec 29, 2:00 pm |
| 16 | Duke (16‑2) |
ACCACC | Home | Sat Feb 22, 8:00 pm |