Where are the Illinois Fighting Illini going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Illinois standings table presents the probabilities of the Fighting Illini winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 20 game season |
1* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
2* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
3* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5** First and Second Round Byes |
6** First and Second Round Byes |
7** First and Second Round Byes |
8** First and Second Round Byes |
9*** First Round Bye |
10*** First Round Bye |
11*** First Round Bye |
12*** First Round Bye |
13*** First Round Bye |
14*** First Round Bye |
15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| Illinois | 11i Illinois Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 24 @ Purdue 88-82 Won Thu, Jan 29 vs Washington 75-66 Won Sun, Feb 01 @ Nebraska 78-69 Won Wed, Feb 04 vs N. Western 84-44 Sat, Feb 07 @ Michigan St. Tue, Feb 10 vs Wisconsin Sun, Feb 15 vs Indiana Wed, Feb 18 @ USC |
1 | 12 | 36% | 30% | 21% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Michigan | 10 Michigan Recent Games Won Tue, Jan 20 vs Indiana 86-72 Won Fri, Jan 23 vs Ohio St. 74-62 Won Tue, Jan 27 vs Nebraska 75-72 Won Fri, Jan 30 @ Michigan St. 83-71 Thu, Feb 05 vs Penn State Sun, Feb 08 @ Ohio St. Wed, Feb 11 @ N. Western Sat, Feb 14 vs UCLA |
1 | 11 | 53% | 29% | 11% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Nebraska | 9 Nebraska Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 21 vs Washington 76-66 Won Sat, Jan 24 @ Minnesota 76-57 Lost Tue, Jan 27 @ Michigan 72-75 Lost Sun, Feb 01 vs Illinois 69-78 Sat, Feb 07 @ Rutgers Tue, Feb 10 vs Purdue Sat, Feb 14 vs N. Western Tue, Feb 17 @ Iowa |
2 | 11 | 8% | 31% | 39% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Michigan St. | 9 Michigan St. Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 24 vs Maryland 91-48 Won Tue, Jan 27 @ Rutgers 88-79 Lost Fri, Jan 30 vs Michigan 71-83 Lost Wed, Feb 04 @ Minnesota 73-76 Sat, Feb 07 vs Illinois Fri, Feb 13 @ Wisconsin Tue, Feb 17 vs UCLA Sun, Feb 22 vs Ohio St. |
3 | 12 | 1% | 4% | 10% | 27% | 28% | 16% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Purdue | 8 Purdue Recent Games Lost Tue, Jan 20 @ UCLA 67-69 Lost Sat, Jan 24 vs Illinois 82-88 Lost Tue, Jan 27 @ Indiana 67-72 Won Sun, Feb 01 @ Maryland 93-63 Sat, Feb 07 vs Oregon Tue, Feb 10 @ Nebraska Sat, Feb 14 @ Iowa Tue, Feb 17 vs Michigan |
3 | 11 | 1% | 4% | 12% | 25% | 24% | 15% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Wisconsin | 8 Wisconsin Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 22 @ Penn State 98-71 Lost Sun, Jan 25 vs USC 71-73 Won Wed, Jan 28 vs Minnesota 67-63 Won Sat, Jan 31 vs Ohio St. 92-82 Sat, Feb 07 @ Indiana Tue, Feb 10 @ Illinois Fri, Feb 13 vs Michigan St. Tue, Feb 17 @ Ohio St. |
3 | 11 | <1% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 18% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| UCLA | 8 UCLA Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 24 vs N. Western 71-64 Won Wed, Jan 28 @ Oregon 73-57 Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs Indiana 97-98 Won Tue, Feb 03 vs Rutgers 98-66 Sat, Feb 07 vs Washington Sat, Feb 14 @ Michigan Tue, Feb 17 @ Michigan St. Sat, Feb 21 vs Illinois |
4 | 12 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 12% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Iowa | 7 Iowa Recent Games Won Tue, Jan 20 vs Rutgers 68-62 Won Wed, Jan 28 vs USC 73-72 Won Sun, Feb 01 @ Oregon 84-66 Won Wed, Feb 04 @ Washington 84-74 Sun, Feb 08 vs N. Western Wed, Feb 11 @ Maryland Sat, Feb 14 vs Purdue Tue, Feb 17 vs Nebraska |
4 | 11 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 19% | 22% | 18% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Ohio St. | 6 Ohio St. Recent Games Won Tue, Jan 20 vs Minnesota 82-74 Lost Fri, Jan 23 @ Michigan 62-74 Won Mon, Jan 26 vs Penn State 84-78 Lost Sat, Jan 31 @ Wisconsin 82-92 Thu, Feb 05 @ Maryland Sun, Feb 08 vs Michigan Wed, Feb 11 vs USC Sat, Feb 14 vs Virginia |
5 | 11 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 18% | 14% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| USC | 6 USC Recent Games Won Sun, Jan 25 @ Wisconsin 73-71 Lost Wed, Jan 28 @ Iowa 72-73 Won Sat, Jan 31 vs Rutgers 78-75 Won Tue, Feb 03 vs Indiana 81-75 Sun, Feb 08 @ Penn State Wed, Feb 11 @ Ohio St. Wed, Feb 18 vs Illinois Sat, Feb 21 vs Oregon |
6 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 13% | 17% | 18% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Indiana | 6 Indiana Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 23 @ Rutgers 82-59 Won Tue, Jan 27 vs Purdue 72-67 Won Sat, Jan 31 @ UCLA 98-97 Lost Tue, Feb 03 @ USC 75-81 Sat, Feb 07 vs Wisconsin Mon, Feb 09 vs Oregon Sun, Feb 15 @ Illinois Fri, Feb 20 @ Purdue |
6 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 18% | 20% | 20% | 11% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Minnesota | 4 Minnesota Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 24 vs Nebraska 57-76 Lost Wed, Jan 28 @ Wisconsin 63-67 Lost Sun, Feb 01 @ Penn State 75-77 Won Wed, Feb 04 vs Michigan St. 76-73 Sun, Feb 08 vs Maryland Sat, Feb 14 @ Washington Tue, Feb 17 @ Oregon Sat, Feb 21 vs Rutgers |
8 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 20% | 34% | 16% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Washington | 4 Washington Recent Games Won Sun, Jan 25 vs Oregon 72-57 Lost Thu, Jan 29 @ Illinois 66-75 Won Sat, Jan 31 @ N. Western 76-62 Lost Wed, Feb 04 vs Iowa 74-84 Sat, Feb 07 @ UCLA Wed, Feb 11 vs Penn State Sat, Feb 14 vs Minnesota Sat, Feb 21 @ Maryland |
8 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 18% | 27% | 21% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Rutgers | 2 Rutgers Recent Games Lost Fri, Jan 23 vs Indiana 59-82 Lost Tue, Jan 27 vs Michigan St. 79-88 Lost Sat, Jan 31 @ USC 75-78 Lost Tue, Feb 03 @ UCLA 66-98 Sat, Feb 07 vs Nebraska Sun, Feb 15 vs Maryland Wed, Feb 18 @ Penn State Sat, Feb 21 @ Minnesota |
10 | 12 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 12% | 24% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 9% |
| NorthwesternN. Western | 2 Northwestern Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 24 @ UCLA 64-71 Won Thu, Jan 29 vs Penn State 94-73 Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs Washington 62-76 Lost Wed, Feb 04 @ Illinois 44-84 Sun, Feb 08 @ Iowa Wed, Feb 11 vs Michigan Sat, Feb 14 @ Nebraska Wed, Feb 18 vs Maryland |
10 | 12 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 15% | 25% | 23% | 19% | 12% |
| Maryland | 1 Maryland Recent Games Won Sun, Jan 18 vs Penn State 96-73 Lost Wed, Jan 21 @ Illinois 70-89 Lost Sat, Jan 24 @ Michigan St. 48-91 Lost Sun, Feb 01 vs Purdue 63-93 Thu, Feb 05 vs Ohio St. Sun, Feb 08 @ Minnesota Wed, Feb 11 vs Iowa Sun, Feb 15 @ Rutgers |
9 | 10 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 15% | 16% | 18% | 20% | 20% |
| Penn State | 1 Penn State Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 22 vs Wisconsin 71-98 Lost Mon, Jan 26 @ Ohio St. 78-84 Lost Thu, Jan 29 @ N. Western 73-94 Won Sun, Feb 01 vs Minnesota 77-75 Thu, Feb 05 @ Michigan Sun, Feb 08 vs USC Wed, Feb 11 @ Washington Sat, Feb 14 @ Oregon |
10 | 11 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 21% | 31% |
| Oregon | 1 Oregon Recent Games Lost Tue, Jan 20 vs Michigan St. 52-68 Lost Sun, Jan 25 @ Washington 57-72 Lost Wed, Jan 28 vs UCLA 57-73 Lost Sun, Feb 01 vs Iowa 66-84 Sat, Feb 07 @ Purdue Mon, Feb 09 @ Indiana Sat, Feb 14 vs Penn State Tue, Feb 17 vs Minnesota |
10 | 11 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 15% | 20% | 24% | 29% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 100% | ||
| Elimination | X | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ohio St. (14‑7) |
88‑80 | Away | Tue Dec 9, 7:30 pm |
| 6 | Nebraska (20‑2) |
80‑83 | Home | Sat Dec 13, 4:00 pm |
| 9 | Penn State (10‑12) |
73‑65 | Away | Sat Jan 3, 7:00 pm |
| 10 | Rutgers (9‑14) |
81‑55 | Home | Thu Jan 8, 8:30 pm |
| 10 | Iowa (17‑5) |
75‑69 | Away | Sun Jan 11, 12:00 pm |
| 11 | NorthwesternN. Western (10‑13) |
79‑68 | Away | Wed Jan 14, 8:30 pm |
| 11 | Minnesota (11‑12) |
77‑67 | Home | Sat Jan 17, 12:00 pm |
| 12 | Maryland (8‑12) |
89‑70 | Home | Wed Jan 21, 7:00 pm |
| 12 | Purdue (18‑4) |
88‑82 | Away | Sat Jan 24, 3:00 pm |
| 13 | Washington (12‑11) |
75‑66 | Home | Thu Jan 29, 9:00 pm |
| 13 | Nebraska (20‑2) |
78‑69 | Away | Sun Feb 1, 4:00 pm |
| 14 | NorthwesternN. Western (10‑13) |
84‑44 | Home | Wed Feb 4, 9:00 pm |
| 14 | Michigan St. (19‑4) |
Away | Sat Feb 7, 8:00 pm | |
| 15 | Wisconsin (16‑6) |
Home | Tue Feb 10, 8:00 pm | |
| 15 | Indiana (15‑8) |
Home | Sun Feb 15, 1:00 pm | |
| 16 | USC (17‑6) |
Away | Wed Feb 18, 10:00 pm | |
| 16 | UCLA (16‑7) |
Away | Sat Feb 21, 8:00 pm | |
| 17 | Michigan (20‑1) |
Home | Fri Feb 27, 8:00 pm | |
| 18 | Oregon (8‑14) |
Home | Tue Mar 3, 9:00 pm | |
| 18 | Maryland (8‑12) |
Away | Sun Mar 8, 3:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jackson St. (6‑16) |
SouthwesternSWAC | 113‑55 | Home | Mon Nov 3 |
| 1 | Fla Gulf Coast (10‑13) |
Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun | 113‑70 | Home | Fri Nov 7 |
| 2 | Texas Tech (16‑6) |
Big 12Big 12 | 81‑77 | Home | Tue Nov 11 |
| 2 | Colgate (14‑10) |
Patriot LeaguePatriot League | 84‑65 | Home | Fri Nov 14 |
| 3 | Alabama (14‑7) |
SECSEC | 86‑90 | Home | Wed Nov 19, 9:00 pm |
| 3 | Long Island U. (14‑8) |
NortheastNorth East | 98‑58 | Home | Sat Nov 22 |
| 4 | UT-Rio Grande Valley (12‑11) |
SouthlandSouth-land | 87‑73 | Home | Mon Nov 24, 8:00 pm |
| 4 | UConn (22‑1) |
Big EastBig East | 61‑74 | Away | Fri Nov 28, 12:30 pm |
| 5 | Tennessee (16‑6) |
SECSEC | 75‑62 | Away | Sat Dec 6, 8:00 pm |
| 8 | Missouri (15‑7) |
SECSEC | 91‑48 | Home | Mon Dec 22, 8:00 pm |
| 9 | Southern (9‑13) |
SouthwesternSWAC | 90‑55 | Home | Mon Dec 29, 3:00 pm |