The Most Important Games for the Michigan Wolverines are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Wolverines final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Michigan Wolverines fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Michigan Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| Minnesota (6‑5) vs Purdue (8‑2) |
3 | Minnesota Wins | 15% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Purdue Wins | 15% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Washington (7‑3) vs Maryland (8‑2) |
2 | Washington Wins | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Maryland Wins | 15% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Penn State (8‑2) vs NorthwesternN. Western (7‑3) |
2 | Penn State Wins | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western Wins | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Nebraska (6‑2) vs Indiana (8‑2) |
1 | Nebraska Wins | 15% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Indiana Wins | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Oregon (9‑1) vs Illinois (7‑2) |
0 | Oregon Wins | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Illinois Wins | 16% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | ||