The Most Important Games for the Michigan Wolverines are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Wolverines final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Michigan Wolverines fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Michigan Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
2* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
3* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5** First and Second Round Byes |
6** First and Second Round Byes |
7** First and Second Round Byes |
8** First and Second Round Byes |
9*** First Round Bye |
10*** First Round Bye |
11*** First Round Bye |
12*** First Round Bye |
13*** First Round Bye |
14*** First Round Bye |
15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | |||
| Michigan (13‑1) vs Washington (10‑6) |
70 | Michigan Wins | 14% | 20% | 22% | 18% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 18% | 21% | 19% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Washington Wins | 7% | 13% | 19% | 20% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western (8‑8) vs Illinois (13‑3) |
11 | NorthwesternN. Western Wins | 13% | 19% | 22% | 19% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 18% | 21% | 19% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Illinois Wins | 12% | 18% | 21% | 19% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota (10‑6) vs Wisconsin (11‑5) |
10 | Minnesota Wins | 13% | 19% | 21% | 19% | 13% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 18% | 21% | 19% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Wisconsin Wins | 12% | 18% | 21% | 18% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Indiana (12‑4) vs Michigan St. (14‑2) |
10 | Indiana Wins | 12% | 20% | 23% | 18% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 18% | 21% | 19% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Michigan St. Wins | 12% | 18% | 21% | 19% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Iowa (12‑4) vs Purdue (15‑1) |
6 | Iowa Wins | 14% | 20% | 21% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 18% | 21% | 19% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Purdue Wins | 12% | 18% | 22% | 18% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Penn State (9‑7) vs UCLA (11‑5) |
5 | Penn State Wins | 12% | 19% | 22% | 18% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 18% | 21% | 19% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UCLA Wins | 12% | 18% | 22% | 19% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Maryland (7‑8) vs USC (13‑3) |
4 | Maryland Wins | 12% | 19% | 21% | 19% | 14% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 18% | 21% | 19% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| USC Wins | 12% | 18% | 22% | 18% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Oregon (8‑8) vs Nebraska (16‑0) |
3 | Oregon Wins | 15% | 19% | 20% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 18% | 21% | 19% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nebraska Wins | 12% | 19% | 22% | 19% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||