The Most Important Games for the Michigan Wolverines are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Wolverines final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Michigan Wolverines fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Michigan Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
2* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
3* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5** First and Second Round Byes |
6** First and Second Round Byes |
7** First and Second Round Byes |
8** First and Second Round Byes |
9*** First Round Bye |
10*** First Round Bye |
11*** First Round Bye |
12*** First Round Bye |
13*** First Round Bye |
14*** First Round Bye |
15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | |||
| Michigan (19‑1) vs Penn State (10‑12) |
26 | Michigan Wins | 53% | 26% | 12% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 51% | 27% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Penn State Wins | 32% | 27% | 19% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Oregon (8‑14) vs Purdue (18‑4) |
4 | Oregon Wins | 52% | 28% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 51% | 27% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Purdue Wins | 51% | 27% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Minnesota (10‑12) vs Michigan St. (19‑3) |
4 | Minnesota Wins | 52% | 28% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 51% | 27% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Michigan St. Wins | 52% | 26% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western (10‑12) vs Illinois (19‑3) |
1 | NorthwesternN. Western Wins | 61% | 20% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 51% | 27% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Illinois Wins | 50% | 27% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Washington (12‑10) vs Iowa (16‑5) |
1 | Washington Wins | 52% | 27% | 12% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 51% | 27% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Iowa Wins | 52% | 27% | 12% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Indiana (15‑7) vs USC (16‑6) |
1 | Indiana Wins | 52% | 26% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 51% | 27% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| USC Wins | 51% | 27% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Rutgers (9‑13) vs UCLA (15‑7) |
0 | Rutgers Wins | 52% | 27% | 12% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 51% | 27% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| UCLA Wins | 51% | 26% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Maryland (8‑12) vs Ohio St. (14‑7) |
0 | Maryland Wins | 52% | 26% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 51% | 27% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Ohio St. Wins | 52% | 27% | 12% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||