PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Iowa Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Lose 1

If it loses one of its remaining games, Iowa will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 45% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it loses one of its remaining games, Iowa makes the playoffs 45% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Iowa making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (122)Iowa opponents win (SOS related)
  • (122)Iowa plays in the Big 10 Championship Game
Iowa Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Clemson (93) ACCACC 103 13 0 - - 100%
2 Iowa (122) Big 10Big 10 100 12 1 - - 100%
3 Michigan (134) Big 10Big 10 93 11 2 - - 100%
4 Eastern Michigan (45) MACMAC 92 11 2 - - 100%
 
5 Virginia Tech (98) ACCACC 92 10 3 - - X
6 TCU (22) Big 12Big 12 91 12 1 - - X
7 East Carolina (29) American AthleticAm. Athletic 91 12 1 - - X
8 Colorado St. (55) Mountain WestMntn West 90 12 1 - - X
9 Notre Dame (130) NCAA IndependentsInd. 89 12 0 - - X
10 Minnesota (109) Big 10Big 10 84 10 2 - - X




If it loses one of its remaining games, Iowa misses the playoffs 55% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Iowa missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (122)Iowa opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (122)Iowa does not plays in the Big 10 Championship Game
  • (134)Michigan wins the Big 10 Championship
Iowa Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Navy (82) American AthleticAm. Athletic 102 12 0 - - 100%
2 UTEP (11) Conference USAConf. USA 101 13 0 - - 100%
3 Clemson (93) ACCACC 97 12 1 - - 100%
4 Boston College (89) ACCACC 92 11 2 - - 100%
 
5 Arizona (12) Big 12Big 12 92 13 0 - - X
6 Wyoming (14) Mountain WestMntn West 91 13 0 - - X
7 Coastal Carolina (10) SunbeltSunbelt 90 11 1 - - X
8 Black Knights (86) American AthleticAm. Athletic 89 10 2 - - X
9 Washington (95) Big 10Big 10 89 10 2 - - X
10 Iowa (122) Big 10Big 10 88 12 1 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot