The Most Important Games for the Maple Leafs are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Maple Leafs final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Maple Leafs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Maple Leafs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Maple Leafs (18‑9‑2) vs Red Wings (11‑14‑4) |
4 | Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | 40% | 27% | 18% | 3% | 3% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 38% | 27% | 18% | 3% | 4% | 11% | ||
| Red Wings Wins | - | - | - | 35% | 27% | 19% | 4% | 4% | 12% | ||
| Wild (19‑6‑4) vs Flyers (14‑12‑4) |
1 | Wild Wins | - | - | - | 38% | 26% | 18% | 4% | 4% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 38% | 27% | 18% | 3% | 4% | 11% | ||
| Flyers Wins | - | - | - | 37% | 27% | 18% | 4% | 3% | 11% | ||
| Kraken (15‑14‑2) vs Lightning (15‑10‑2) |
1 | Kraken Wins | - | - | - | 39% | 25% | 17% | 3% | 4% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 38% | 27% | 18% | 3% | 4% | 11% | ||
| Lightning Wins | - | - | - | 36% | 26% | 18% | 4% | 4% | 11% | ||
| Flames (14‑11‑5) vs Panthers (18‑10‑2) |
1 | Flames Wins | - | - | - | 39% | 26% | 18% | 3% | 4% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 38% | 27% | 18% | 3% | 4% | 11% | ||
| Panthers Wins | - | - | - | 36% | 28% | 19% | 4% | 4% | 11% | ||
| Hurricanes (18‑9‑1) vs Senators (13‑13‑2) |
0 | Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 38% | 26% | 18% | 3% | 4% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 38% | 27% | 18% | 3% | 4% | 11% | ||
| Senators Wins | - | - | - | 37% | 26% | 18% | 4% | 4% | 11% | ||
| Ducks (10‑14‑4) vs Blue Jackets (12‑13‑4) |
0 | Ducks Wins | - | - | - | 37% | 27% | 18% | 4% | 4% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 38% | 27% | 18% | 3% | 4% | 11% | ||
| Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | 38% | 26% | 18% | 3% | 4% | 11% | ||
| Blackhawks (9‑18‑2) vs Devils (19‑10‑3) |
0 | Blackhawks Wins | - | - | - | 37% | 27% | 19% | 4% | 3% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 38% | 27% | 18% | 3% | 4% | 11% | ||
| Devils Wins | - | - | - | 38% | 26% | 18% | 3% | 4% | 11% | ||
| Kings (17‑9‑3) vs Rangers (15‑12‑1) |
0 | Kings Wins | - | - | - | 38% | 27% | 17% | 4% | 4% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 38% | 27% | 18% | 3% | 4% | 11% | ||
| Rangers Wins | - | - | - | 37% | 27% | 18% | 3% | 3% | 11% | ||
| Jets (21‑9‑1) vs Canadiens (11‑15‑3) |
0 | Jets Wins | - | - | - | 38% | 27% | 17% | 4% | 4% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 38% | 27% | 18% | 3% | 4% | 11% | ||
| Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 38% | 27% | 17% | 3% | 3% | 11% | ||
| Bruins (15‑13‑3) vs Canucks (15‑8‑5) |
0 | Bruins Wins | - | - | - | 38% | 26% | 17% | 3% | 4% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 38% | 27% | 18% | 3% | 4% | 11% | ||
| Canucks Wins | - | - | - | 39% | 26% | 18% | 3% | 3% | 11% | ||
| Capitals (20‑6‑2) vs Sabres (11‑14‑4) |
0 | Capitals Wins | - | - | - | 38% | 27% | 18% | 3% | 3% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 38% | 27% | 18% | 3% | 4% | 11% | ||
| Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 38% | 26% | 18% | 3% | 4% | 11% | ||