The Most Important Games for the Maple Leafs are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Maple Leafs final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Maple Leafs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Maple Leafs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Maple Leafs (23‑16‑8) vs Jets (19‑22‑5) |
9 | Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 68% | ||
| Jets Wins | - | - | - | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 73% | ||
| Blackhawks (19‑21‑7) vs Bruins (27‑19‑2) |
2 | Blackhawks Wins | - | - | - | 1% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 67% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 68% | ||
| Bruins Wins | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 69% | ||
| Senators (22‑19‑5) vs Canadiens (26‑15‑7) |
1 | Senators Wins | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 68% | ||
| Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 69% | ||
| Wild (26‑13‑9) vs Sabres (26‑16‑4) |
1 | Wild Wins | - | - | - | 1% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 68% | ||
| Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 69% | ||
| Hurricanes (28‑15‑4) vs Panthers (24‑18‑3) |
1 | Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 68% | ||
| Panthers Wins | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 69% | ||
| Lightning (29‑13‑3) vs Blues (18‑21‑8) |
0 | Lightning Wins | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 68% | ||
| Blues Wins | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 68% | ||
| Blue Jackets (21‑19‑7) vs Penguins (22‑14‑10) |
0 | Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 68% | ||
| Penguins Wins | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 68% | ||
| Sharks (24‑19‑3) vs Red Wings (28‑16‑4) |
0 | Sharks Wins | - | - | - | 1% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 68% | ||
| Red Wings Wins | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 68% | ||
| Flames (20‑23‑4) vs Islanders (26‑16‑5) |
0 | Flames Wins | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 68% | ||
| Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 69% | ||
| Rangers (20‑22‑6) vs Flyers (22‑16‑8) |
0 | Rangers Wins | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 68% | ||
| Flyers Wins | - | - | - | 1% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 68% | ||