The Most Important Games for the Maple Leafs are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Maple Leafs final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Maple Leafs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Maple Leafs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Islanders (1‑3‑0) vs Senators (2‑3‑0) |
2 | Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 15% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 14% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 47% | ||
| Senators Wins | - | - | - | 14% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 47% | ||
| Maple Leafs (3‑2‑0) vs Kraken (2‑0‑2) |
2 | Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | 15% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 14% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 47% | ||
| Kraken Wins | - | - | - | 13% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 48% | ||
| Red Wings (3‑1‑0) vs Lightning (1‑2‑1) |
1 | Red Wings Wins | - | - | - | 15% | 13% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 47% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 14% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 47% | ||
| Lightning Wins | - | - | - | 15% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 47% | ||
| Bruins (3‑2‑0) vs Avalanche (4‑0‑1) |
0 | Bruins Wins | - | - | - | 14% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 47% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 14% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 47% | ||
| Avalanche Wins | - | - | - | 14% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 47% | ||
| Rangers (2‑3‑1) vs Canadiens (4‑1‑0) |
0 | Rangers Wins | - | - | - | 14% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 47% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 14% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 47% | ||
| Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 14% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 47% | ||
| Oilers (2‑1‑1) vs Devils (3‑1‑0) |
0 | Oilers Wins | - | - | - | 14% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 14% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 47% | ||
| Devils Wins | - | - | - | 15% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 47% | ||
| Wild (2‑2‑0) vs Capitals (3‑1‑0) |
0 | Wild Wins | - | - | - | 14% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 47% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 14% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 47% | ||
| Capitals Wins | - | - | - | 14% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 47% | ||
| Panthers (3‑3‑0) vs Sabres (1‑3‑0) |
0 | Panthers Wins | - | - | - | 14% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 14% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 47% | ||
| Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 14% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 46% | ||
| Kings (1‑3‑1) vs Hurricanes (4‑0‑0) |
0 | Kings Wins | - | - | - | 14% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 47% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 14% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 47% | ||
| Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 14% | 14% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 47% | ||