The Most Important Games for the Senators are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Senators final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Senators fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Senators Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Senators (6‑2‑0) vs Flyers (0‑6‑3) |
4 | Senators Wins | - | - | - | 21% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 20% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 37% | ||
| Flyers Wins | - | - | - | 18% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 39% | ||
| Golden Knights (7‑2‑0) vs Penguins (3‑4‑1) |
1 | Golden Knights Wins | - | - | - | 20% | 16% | 14% | 7% | 7% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 20% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 37% | ||
| Penguins Wins | - | - | - | 20% | 16% | 14% | 7% | 6% | 37% | ||
| Kings (0‑3‑2) vs Bruins (6‑2‑0) |
1 | Kings Wins | - | - | - | 20% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 20% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 37% | ||
| Bruins Wins | - | - | - | 20% | 15% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 37% | ||
| Capitals (4‑3‑0) vs Devils (4‑3‑0) |
1 | Capitals Wins | - | - | - | 20% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 20% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 37% | ||
| Devils Wins | - | - | - | 20% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 37% | ||
| Kraken (5‑2‑1) vs Panthers (4‑2‑2) |
1 | Kraken Wins | - | - | - | 20% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 20% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 37% | ||
| Panthers Wins | - | - | - | 20% | 16% | 14% | 7% | 7% | 37% | ||
| Hurricanes (6‑1‑1) vs Jets (4‑1‑2) |
0 | Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 20% | 16% | 14% | 7% | 7% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 20% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 37% | ||
| Jets Wins | - | - | - | 20% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 37% | ||
| Lightning (5‑2‑0) vs Canucks (2‑6‑1) |
0 | Lightning Wins | - | - | - | 20% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 20% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 37% | ||
| Canucks Wins | - | - | - | 20% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 37% | ||
| Canadiens (3‑3‑1) vs Sabres (4‑3‑1) |
0 | Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 21% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 20% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 37% | ||
| Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 20% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 37% | ||
| Sharks (4‑3‑0) vs Red Wings (2‑3‑2) |
0 | Sharks Wins | - | - | - | 20% | 15% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 20% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 37% | ||
| Red Wings Wins | - | - | - | 20% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 37% | ||
| Islanders (3‑3‑1) vs Maple Leafs (3‑3‑2) |
0 | Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 20% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 20% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 37% | ||
| Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | 20% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 38% | ||
| Rangers (6‑3‑0) vs Blue Jackets (2‑3‑0) |
0 | Rangers Wins | - | - | - | 20% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 20% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 37% | ||
| Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | 20% | 16% | 14% | 7% | 7% | 38% | ||