The Most Important Games for the Senators are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Senators final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Senators fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Senators Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Senators (39‑26‑10) vs Wild (42‑21‑12) |
26 | Senators Wins | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | 1% | 19% | 50% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | <1% | 13% | 43% | 43% | ||
| Wild Wins | - | - | - | X | <1% | <1% | 7% | 37% | 56% | ||
| Hurricanes (48‑21‑6) vs Islanders (42‑30‑5) |
4 | Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | <1% | 13% | 45% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | <1% | 13% | 43% | 43% | ||
| Islanders Wins | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | <1% | 13% | 41% | 45% | ||
| Jets (32‑31‑12) vs Blue Jackets (38‑26‑12) |
3 | Jets Wins | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | <1% | 14% | 45% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | <1% | 13% | 43% | 43% | ||
| Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | <1% | 14% | 42% | 44% | ||
| Panthers (37‑35‑3) vs Penguins (38‑22‑16) |
1 | Panthers Wins | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | <1% | 13% | 44% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | <1% | 13% | 43% | 43% | ||
| Penguins Wins | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | <1% | 14% | 43% | 43% | ||
| Sabres (46‑22‑8) vs Capitals (38‑29‑9) |
1 | Sabres Wins | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | <1% | 13% | 44% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | <1% | 13% | 43% | 43% | ||
| Capitals Wins | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | <1% | 13% | 43% | 44% | ||
| Lightning (47‑22‑6) vs Bruins (43‑25‑8) |
1 | Lightning Wins | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | <1% | 18% | 39% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | <1% | 13% | 43% | 43% | ||
| Bruins Wins | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 49% | 43% | ||
| Maple Leafs (32‑31‑13) vs Kings (30‑26‑19) |
0 | Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | <1% | 13% | 44% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | <1% | 13% | 43% | 43% | ||
| Kings Wins | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | <1% | 14% | 43% | 43% | ||
| Devils (39‑34‑2) vs Canadiens (44‑21‑10) |
0 | Devils Wins | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 43% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | <1% | 13% | 43% | 43% | ||
| Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | <1% | 14% | 43% | 43% | ||