The Most Important Games for the Senators are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Senators final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Senators fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Senators Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Senators (23‑20‑7) vs Hurricanes (31‑15‑5) |
4 | Senators Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 93% | ||
| Avalanche (34‑6‑9) vs Maple Leafs (24‑18‑9) |
1 | Avalanche Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 90% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 91% | ||
| Penguins (25‑14‑11) vs Canucks (17‑29‑5) |
1 | Penguins Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 90% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Canucks Wins | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 91% | ||
| Blue Jackets (23‑20‑7) vs Lightning (32‑13‑4) |
0 | Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 90% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Lightning Wins | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 91% | ||
| Kraken (22‑19‑9) vs Devils (27‑22‑2) |
0 | Kraken Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 90% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Devils Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 90% | ||
| Canadiens (28‑16‑7) vs Bruins (29‑20‑2) |
0 | Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Bruins Wins | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 91% | ||
| Islanders (27‑18‑5) vs Sabres (28‑17‑5) |
0 | Islanders Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 90% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Sabres Wins | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 91% | ||
| Jets (20‑23‑7) vs Red Wings (31‑16‑5) |
0 | Jets Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 90% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Red Wings Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Wild (29‑14‑9) vs Panthers (26‑20‑3) |
0 | Wild Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Panthers Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 91% | ||
| Oilers (25‑19‑8) vs Capitals (25‑21‑6) |
0 | Oilers Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Capitals Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 91% | ||