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Mon Dec 9 10:30 pm

NCAA Hockey - Week 10 of 23

NCAA Hockey Tournament Line Movers

A Line Mover is a team that

Simple put, if a line mover wins it conference tournament the cutline currently located between ranked teams 14 and 15 will move up one position, thus eliminating a team that would have received an NCAA Tournament bid based upon its rank. If your team is ranked on the bubble you want line-moving teams to lose in their conference tournament. The list contains 21 teams in 4 conferences, thus the cutline could theoretically move up 4 spots. The list size will quickly contract during the individual conference tournaments.

NCAA Hockey Tournament Line Movers
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP RPI Record Probability of Winning
Its Conference Tournament
W L T
32 Wisconsin Big 10Big 10 32 0.4994 6 9 1 1%
36 Penn State Big 10Big 10 28 0.4956 6 9 0 1%
38 Notre Dame Big 10Big 10 27 0.4934 6 10 0 1%
 
28 Bemidji State CCHACCHA 36 0.5139 8 7 2 21%
30 Michigan Tech CCHACCHA 34 0.5032 8 5 1 14%
35 Lake Superior CCHACCHA 29 0.4956 8 7 1 12%
45 St. Thomas CCHACCHA 19 0.4734 5 9 4 5%
47 Bowling Green CCHACCHA 17 0.4694 5 7 2 5%
54 Ferris State CCHACCHA 10 0.4373 6 10 2 2%
63 Northern Michigan CCHACCHA 1 0.3733 1 14 1 <1%
 
17 ConnecticutUConn EastEast 47 0.5467 8 7 1 2%
21 MassachusettsMass. EastEast 42 0.5286 8 7 2 2%
22 NortheasternN. Eastern EastEast 42 0.5286 4 7 3 2%
37 Vermont EastEast 28 0.4955 4 8 3 1%
48 Merrimack EastEast 16 0.4642 4 10 1 <1%
 
15 Arizona St. NCHCNCHC 49 0.5468 8 7 1 7%
19 Colorado College NCHCNCHC 46 0.5382 9 4 1 13%
26 North Dakota NCHCNCHC 38 0.5181 9 7 1 6%
41 Nebraska-OmahaNebr-Omaha NCHCNCHC 23 0.4807 6 8 0 3%
42 Minnesota-DuluthMN-Duluth NCHCNCHC 22 0.4798 5 10 0 1%
61 Miami NCHCNCHC 4 0.404 3 13 2 <1%
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win its conference tournament
  • 50% - probability the team will win its conference tournament - green number indicates the team controls its destiny
  • 50% - probability the team will win its conference tournament - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny