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Sat Dec 14 12:45 am

NCAA Hockey - Week 11 of 23

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the college hockey tournament? The NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your college team will proceed to different tournament rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities
  Record NCAA Hockey
National Champions
Championship Game
Participate
Frozen Four Round 2 Round 1
Team W L T Pts
Boston College 12 3 1 25 19% 32% 52% 80% >99%
Minnesota 15 2 2 32 11% 20% 37% 65% 99%
Michigan State 12 2 1 25 10% 20% 36% 64% 97%
Maine 12 2 2 26 8% 16% 31% 57% 94%
Providence 12 3 2 26 8% 16% 30% 57% 94%
Western Michigan 10 3 1 21 7% 15% 29% 54% 91%
Denver 13 4 0 26 5% 11% 22% 45% 83%
Michigan 10 6 1 21 4% 9% 18% 37% 72%
Ohio State 12 4 1 25 3% 7% 15% 32% 63%
Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell 10 4 2 22 3% 7% 14% 30% 62%
Colorado College 10 4 1 21 3% 7% 14% 30% 59%
Minnesota State 13 4 2 28 3% 6% 13% 29% 67%
St. Cloud State 10 6 0 20 2% 5% 12% 28% 59%
Boston University 9 6 1 19 2% 5% 11% 24% 55%
New Hampshire 7 4 3 17 1% 4% 8% 19% 42%
Dartmouth 6 3 2 14 1% 3% 8% 19% 45%
Quinnipiac 8 6 1 17 1% 2% 6% 14% 36%
Clarkson 11 5 2 24 1% 2% 5% 11% 29%
Cornell 5 3 3 13 1% 2% 4% 11% 27%
Arizona St. 8 7 1 17 1% 2% 4% 10% 23%
North Dakota 10 7 1 21 1% 2% 4% 10% 22%
Bemidji State 8 7 3 19 1% 1% 3% 7% 23%
Princeton 5 4 1 11 <1% 1% 3% 8% 21%
ConnecticutUConn 8 7 1 17 <1% 1% 3% 8% 20%
NortheasternN. Eastern 4 7 3 11 <1% 1% 3% 7% 17%
Bentley 10 5 2 22 <1% 1% 2% 7% 34%
Long Island 8 6 1 17 <1% 1% 2% 6% 15%
Michigan Tech 8 5 2 18 <1% 1% 2% 5% 17%
Air Force 10 10 1 21 <1% <1% 1% 3% 18%
Sacred Heart 9 7 3 21 <1% <1% 1% 2% 13%
Lake Superior 8 8 1 17 <1% <1% 1% 2% 10%
Colgate 8 8 2 18 <1% <1% 1% 2% 9%
MassachusettsMass. 8 8 2 18 <1% <1% 1% 2% 6%
Wisconsin 7 9 1 15 <1% <1% 1% 2% 6%
Brown 3 4 2 8 <1% <1% 1% 1% 5%
Penn State 8 9 0 16 <1% <1% 1% 1% 4%
Holy Cross 8 9 1 17 <1% <1% <1% 2% 13%
Niagara 8 8 3 19 <1% <1% <1% 1% 10%
Union 9 6 1 19 <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
Bowling Green 6 7 2 14 <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
American Int'l 5 11 1 11 <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
St. Thomas 5 9 4 14 <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Vermont 5 8 3 13 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
Robert Morris 6 7 2 14 <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
Canisius 5 9 2 12 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Nebraska-OmahaNebr-Omaha 6 9 0 12 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Harvard 3 5 2 8 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Augustana 9 8 1 19 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Ferris State 6 10 2 14 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Alaska 5 8 3 13 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Notre Dame 6 11 0 12 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Rensselaer 5 8 1 11 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Army 5 12 0 10 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Minnesota-DuluthMN-Duluth 5 10 0 10 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Yale 2 7 1 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Stonehill 6 15 0 12 X X X X X
Anchorage 4 11 3 11 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
St. Lawrence 5 11 1 11 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Lindenwood 4 12 1 9 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Merrimack 4 10 1 9 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
RIT 4 14 1 9 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Miami 3 13 2 8 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Mercyhurst 2 14 2 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Northern Michigan 1 15 1 3 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next tournament round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this tournament round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot