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Sun Apr 10 7:30 am

NCAA Hockey - Regular Season Complete

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the college hockey tournament? The NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your college team will proceed to different tournament rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities
  Record NCAA Hockey
National Champions
Championship Game
Participate
Frozen Four Round 2 Round 1
Team W L T Pts
Denver 31 9 1 63 100% ^ ^ ^ ^
Minnesota State 38 6 0 76 X 100% ^ ^ ^
Michigan 31 10 1 63 X X 100% ^ ^
Minnesota 26 13 0 52 X X 100% ^ ^
Quinnipiac 32 7 3 67 X X X 100% ^
Notre Dame 28 12 0 56 X X X 100% ^
Western Michigan 26 12 1 53 X X X 100% ^
Minnesota-DuluthMN-Duluth 22 16 4 48 X X X 100% ^
NortheasternN. Eastern 25 13 1 51 X X X X 100%
North Dakota 24 14 1 49 X X X X 100%
American Int'l 22 13 3 47 X X X X 100%
MassachusettsMass. 22 13 2 46 X X X X 100%
Harvard 21 11 3 45 X X X X 100%
Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell 21 11 3 45 X X X X 100%
Michigan Tech 21 13 3 45 X X X X 100%
St. Cloud State 18 15 4 40 X X X X 100%
Clarkson 21 10 6 48 X X X X X
Ohio State 22 13 2 46 X X X X X
Providence 22 14 2 46 X X X X X
Nebraska-OmahaNebr-Omaha 21 17 0 42 X X X X X
Boston University 19 13 3 41 X X X X X
Northern Michigan 20 16 1 41 X X X X X
Colgate 18 18 4 40 X X X X X
ConnecticutUConn 20 16 0 40 X X X X X
Cornell 18 10 4 40 X X X X X
RIT 18 16 4 40 X X X X X
Merrimack 19 15 1 39 X X X X X
Rensselaer 18 23 3 39 X X X X X
Bemidji State 19 20 0 38 X X X X X
Lake Superior 18 18 1 37 X X X X X
Mercyhurst 16 19 4 36 X X X X X
Air Force 16 17 3 35 X X X X X
Arizona St. 17 17 1 35 X X X X X
Boston College 15 18 5 35 X X X X X
Canisius 16 16 3 35 X X X X X
Penn State 17 20 1 35 X X X X X
Sacred Heart 15 18 4 34 X X X X X
Bowling Green 15 19 3 33 X X X X X
Army 14 17 4 32 X X X X X
Union 14 19 4 32 X X X X X
Alaska 14 18 2 30 X X X X X
Bentley 14 20 2 30 X X X X X
New Hampshire 14 19 1 29 X X X X X
St. Lawrence 11 19 7 29 X X X X X
Holy Cross 12 23 2 26 X X X X X
Michigan State 12 23 1 25 X X X X X
Niagara 11 22 3 25 X X X X X
Ferris State 11 24 1 23 X X X X X
Wisconsin 10 24 3 23 X X X X X
Colorado College 9 24 3 21 X X X X X
Brown 7 20 4 18 X X X X X
Maine 7 22 4 18 X X X X X
Princeton 8 21 2 18 X X X X X
Vermont 8 25 2 18 X X X X X
Dartmouth 7 22 3 17 X X X X X
Yale 8 21 1 17 X X X X X
Miami 7 27 2 16 X X X X X
Long Island 5 21 3 13 X X X X X
St. Thomas 3 32 1 7 X X X X X
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next tournament round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this tournament round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot