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Tue Dec 2 7:15 am

NCAA Hockey - Week 10 of 23

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the college hockey tournament? The NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your college team will proceed to different tournament rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities
Team ConferenceConf Record WPi
Win Percentage
NPIi
NCAA Power Index
NCAA Hockey
National Champions
Championship Game
Participate
Frozen Four Round 2 Round 1
W L T Ptsi
Schedule Content
Pts = 2*W + 1*T + 0*L
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Wisconsin Big 10Big 10 10 2 2 22 79 .5862 13% 23% 40% 67% 98%
Dartmouth ECACECAC 8 0 0 16 100 .5965 11% 20% 36% 63% 96%
Michigan Big 10Big 10 15 3 0 30 83 .5875 11% 19% 35% 62% 97%
Minnesota-DuluthMN-Duluth NCHCNCHC 12 4 0 24 75 .5663 8% 16% 28% 52% 86%
Michigan State Big 10Big 10 11 3 0 22 79 .5548 6% 13% 25% 46% 82%
North Dakota NCHCNCHC 10 4 0 20 71 .5576 6% 11% 21% 41% 73%
Minnesota State CCHACCHA 10 2 4 24 75 .5641 5% 11% 22% 46% 87%
Denver NCHCNCHC 9 4 2 20 67 .5674 4% 9% 18% 36% 68%
Western Michigan NCHCNCHC 9 5 0 18 64 .5492 4% 8% 15% 29% 55%
Quinnipiac ECACECAC 11 3 2 24 75 .5386 3% 7% 15% 32% 64%
Penn State Big 10Big 10 11 5 0 22 69 .5523 3% 7% 15% 30% 60%
Miami NCHCNCHC 10 4 0 20 71 .5306 3% 7% 13% 24% 46%
NortheasternN. Eastern EastEast 9 4 0 18 69 .5559 3% 6% 13% 28% 60%
Cornell ECACECAC 6 3 0 12 67 .5467 3% 6% 13% 28% 57%
Boston College EastEast 8 5 1 17 61 .5247 2% 4% 8% 18% 40%
Maine EastEast 8 5 1 17 61 .5103 2% 4% 8% 17% 37%
Bowling Green CCHACCHA 7 4 3 17 61 .5322 1% 3% 7% 16% 40%
Harvard ECACECAC 5 3 1 11 61 .5317 1% 3% 7% 16% 36%
Holy Cross AtlanticAtl. 9 6 1 19 59 .5229 1% 3% 6% 16% 42%
Providence EastEast 7 6 2 16 53 .5243 1% 2% 5% 11% 27%
ConnecticutUConn EastEast 7 5 3 17 57 .5121 1% 2% 4% 9% 23%
Boston University EastEast 7 7 1 15 50 .5114 1% 2% 4% 9% 22%
St. Cloud State NCHCNCHC 7 7 0 14 50 .5332 1% 2% 4% 9% 19%
Air Force AtlanticAtl. 8 6 2 18 56 .5071 1% 1% 4% 9% 25%
Lindenwood NCAA IndependentsInd. 8 6 0 16 57 .5268 1% 1% 4% 9% 24%
Augustana CCHACCHA 7 5 1 15 58 .5258 1% 1% 4% 9% 24%
RIT AtlanticAtl. 9 6 0 18 60 .5051 <1% 1% 3% 8% 23%
Bemidji State CCHACCHA 9 7 2 20 56 .5136 <1% 1% 3% 8% 22%
Bentley AtlanticAtl. 8 5 1 17 61 .4975 <1% 1% 2% 6% 20%
Sacred Heart AtlanticAtl. 7 6 1 15 54 .4981 <1% 1% 2% 6% 20%
Union ECACECAC 9 4 2 20 67 .5033 <1% 1% 2% 6% 15%
Nebraska-OmahaNebr-Omaha NCHCNCHC 6 8 0 12 43 .5050 <1% 1% 2% 5% 11%
Michigan Tech CCHACCHA 8 6 2 18 56 .4968 <1% 1% 2% 4% 14%
Colorado College NCHCNCHC 8 7 1 17 53 .5018 <1% 1% 2% 3% 8%
New Hampshire EastEast 7 7 0 14 50 .4953 <1% 1% 1% 4% 10%
Arizona St. NCHCNCHC 7 8 1 15 47 .4924 <1% 1% 1% 2% 6%
Princeton ECACECAC 5 4 0 10 56 .5054 <1% <1% 1% 4% 12%
Yale ECACECAC 4 5 0 8 44 .4878 <1% <1% 1% 4% 10%
Minnesota Big 10Big 10 6 9 2 14 41 .4940 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4%
MassachusettsMass. EastEast 8 8 0 16 50 .4806 <1% <1% 1% 1% 5%
Long Island NCAA IndependentsInd. 6 9 0 12 40 .5087 <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
Canisius AtlanticAtl. 7 7 2 16 50 .4687 <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Ohio State Big 10Big 10 5 9 0 10 36 .5147 <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Merrimack EastEast 5 8 0 10 38 .4807 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Alaska NCAA IndependentsInd. 4 8 1 9 35 .4789 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Colgate ECACECAC 5 9 2 12 38 .4708 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
Niagara AtlanticAtl. 6 8 0 12 43 .4477 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell EastEast 6 8 0 12 43 .4665 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Vermont EastEast 4 8 0 8 33 .4625 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Army AtlanticAtl. 4 8 3 11 37 .4641 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Lake Superior CCHACCHA 5 10 1 11 34 .4756 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Clarkson ECACECAC 5 11 0 10 31 .4691 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Robert Morris AtlanticAtl. 3 9 2 8 29 .4359 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Brown ECACECAC 3 7 0 6 30 .4625 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Ferris State CCHACCHA 3 11 0 6 21 .4362 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
St. Thomas CCHACCHA 6 6 3 15 50 .5266 X X X X X
Rensselaer ECACECAC 5 11 0 10 31 .4492 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Notre Dame Big 10Big 10 4 9 1 9 32 .4591 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Anchorage NCAA IndependentsInd. 3 9 0 6 25 .4587 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
St. Lawrence ECACECAC 2 13 1 5 16 .4029 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Stonehill NCAA IndependentsInd. 1 13 1 3 10 .4111 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Mercyhurst AtlanticAtl. 0 14 1 1 3 .3649 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Northern Michigan CCHACCHA 0 16 0 0 0 .3830 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next tournament round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this tournament round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot