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Sun Jan 18 7:15 pm

NCAA Hockey - Week 17 of 23

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the college hockey tournament? The NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your college team will proceed to different tournament rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities
Team ConferenceConf Record WPi
Win Percentage
NPIi
NCAA Power Index
NCAA Hockey
National Champions
Championship Game
Participate
Frozen Four Round 2 Round 1
W L T Ptsi
Schedule Content
Pts = 2*W + 1*T + 0*L
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Touch/Hover Content
Upcoming Games Opponents
Michigan Big 10Big 10 20 4 0 40 83 .5874 16% 26% 45% 72% >99%
Michigan State Big 10Big 10 17 5 0 34 77 .5777 11% 21% 37% 65% >99%
Western Michigan NCHCNCHC 16 6 0 32 73 .5653 10% 18% 32% 58% 96%
North Dakota NCHCNCHC 18 6 0 36 75 .5706 8% 16% 31% 57% 98%
Minnesota-DuluthMN-Duluth NCHCNCHC 17 7 0 34 71 .5665 8% 16% 30% 56% 96%
Wisconsin Big 10Big 10 15 5 2 32 73 .5573 7% 14% 27% 52% 93%
Quinnipiac ECACECAC 18 4 2 38 79 .5538 7% 13% 27% 53% 95%
Penn State Big 10Big 10 16 6 0 32 73 .5620 6% 12% 25% 50% 92%
Dartmouth ECACECAC 14 4 1 29 76 .5560 4% 9% 20% 43% 87%
Cornell ECACECAC 12 5 0 24 71 .5443 3% 7% 15% 33% 70%
Providence EastEast 13 7 2 28 64 .5410 3% 7% 14% 31% 66%
St. Thomas CCHACCHA 14 7 3 31 65 .5369 2% 5% 11% 26% 62%
Denver NCHCNCHC 13 10 2 28 56 .5440 2% 5% 11% 25% 57%
Augustana CCHACCHA 16 6 3 35 70 .5339 2% 4% 9% 22% 52%
Michigan Tech CCHACCHA 16 8 2 34 65 .5242 1% 3% 6% 15% 39%
Boston College EastEast 11 8 1 23 58 .5261 1% 3% 6% 13% 31%
ConnecticutUConn EastEast 13 7 3 29 63 .5227 1% 3% 6% 12% 29%
Boston University EastEast 12 10 1 25 54 .5232 1% 2% 4% 9% 21%
Miami NCHCNCHC 14 8 2 30 63 .5135 1% 2% 3% 7% 15%
Bentley AtlanticAtl. 12 7 3 27 61 .5105 1% 1% 4% 9% 31%
Maine EastEast 12 9 2 26 57 .5117 1% 1% 3% 7% 17%
Arizona St. NCHCNCHC 12 11 1 25 52 .5166 1% 1% 3% 6% 14%
Harvard ECACECAC 9 7 1 19 56 .5180 <1% 1% 3% 8% 21%
Minnesota State CCHACCHA 12 8 5 29 58 .5199 <1% 1% 3% 7% 19%
NortheasternN. Eastern EastEast 12 9 0 24 57 .5187 <1% 1% 3% 7% 18%
Princeton ECACECAC 11 7 0 22 61 .5137 <1% 1% 3% 7% 17%
Sacred Heart AtlanticAtl. 12 7 3 27 61 .5022 <1% 1% 3% 6% 21%
Union ECACECAC 14 7 2 30 65 .5127 <1% 1% 2% 6% 15%
Bowling Green CCHACCHA 12 6 4 28 64 .5108 <1% 1% 2% 5% 13%
St. Cloud State NCHCNCHC 12 12 0 24 50 .5239 <1% 1% 2% 5% 12%
Holy Cross AtlanticAtl. 11 9 2 24 55 .4984 <1% 1% 2% 4% 17%
New Hampshire EastEast 11 10 0 22 52 .5067 <1% 1% 2% 4% 12%
MassachusettsMass. EastEast 12 10 0 24 55 .5082 <1% 1% 1% 3% 9%
Canisius AtlanticAtl. 11 9 2 24 55 .4949 <1% <1% 1% 3% 13%
RIT AtlanticAtl. 13 11 0 26 54 .4965 <1% <1% 1% 3% 12%
Air Force AtlanticAtl. 11 11 2 24 50 .4954 <1% <1% 1% 2% 8%
Clarkson ECACECAC 11 12 1 23 48 .5080 <1% <1% 1% 2% 6%
Colorado College NCHCNCHC 9 10 3 21 48 .4989 <1% <1% 1% 1% 3%
Bemidji State CCHACCHA 9 12 3 21 44 .4918 <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
Army AtlanticAtl. 9 11 5 23 46 .4798 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Merrimack EastEast 10 12 0 20 45 .4951 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Vermont EastEast 9 12 0 18 43 .4834 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Colgate ECACECAC 8 12 2 18 41 .4806 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
Ohio State Big 10Big 10 7 12 1 15 38 .5030 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell EastEast 9 14 0 18 39 .4792 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Lake Superior CCHACCHA 9 14 1 19 40 .4771 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Minnesota Big 10Big 10 8 14 1 17 37 .4970 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Nebraska-OmahaNebr-Omaha NCHCNCHC 8 16 0 16 33 .4877 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Yale ECACECAC 7 11 0 14 39 .4710 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Lindenwood NCAA IndependentsInd. 11 11 0 22 50 .5003 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Long Island NCAA IndependentsInd. 7 12 1 15 38 .4969 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Alaska NCAA IndependentsInd. 6 13 2 14 33 .4795 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Niagara AtlanticAtl. 7 14 0 14 33 .4315 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Rensselaer ECACECAC 6 17 0 12 26 .4406 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Robert Morris AtlanticAtl. 5 15 2 12 27 .4475 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Stonehill NCAA IndependentsInd. 4 16 2 10 23 .4284 X X X X X
Notre Dame Big 10Big 10 4 17 1 9 20 .4503 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Brown ECACECAC 4 15 0 8 21 .4335 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Ferris State CCHACCHA 4 22 0 8 15 .4330 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Anchorage NCAA IndependentsInd. 3 16 1 7 18 .4299 X X X X X
Mercyhurst AtlanticAtl. 3 18 1 7 16 .4072 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
St. Lawrence ECACECAC 2 20 2 6 13 .3922 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Northern Michigan CCHACCHA 1 23 0 2 4 .4127 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next tournament round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this tournament round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot