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Sun Oct 25 7:45 pm

NCAA Hockey - Week 5 of 23

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the college hockey tournament? The NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your college team will proceed to different tournament rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities
Team ConferenceConf Record WPi
Win Percentage
NPIi
NCAA Power Index
NCAA Hockey
National Champions
Championship Game
Participate
Frozen Four Round 2 Round 1
W L T Ptsi
Schedule Content
Pts = 2*W + 1*T + 0*L
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Touch/Hover Content
Upcoming Games Opponents
Michigan Big 10Big 10 7 0 0 14 100 .6492 12% 21% 35% 61% 94%
Augustana CCHACCHA 5 0 1 11 92 .5976 11% 20% 34% 58% 91%
Wisconsin Big 10Big 10 4 0 0 8 100 .6042 6% 10% 20% 36% 61%
Colorado College NCHCNCHC 5 1 0 10 83 .5908 5% 10% 19% 35% 62%
Providence EastEast 5 0 0 10 100 .5831 5% 10% 19% 35% 62%
Western Michigan NCHCNCHC 4 1 0 8 80 .5925 5% 10% 18% 33% 58%
Minnesota-DuluthMN-Duluth NCHCNCHC 5 1 2 12 75 .5910 5% 9% 18% 34% 61%
Army AtlanticAtl. 3 1 0 6 75 .5833 5% 9% 17% 32% 61%
Michigan State Big 10Big 10 4 1 0 8 80 .5990 5% 9% 17% 32% 57%
Quinnipiac ECACECAC 4 2 0 8 67 .6000 4% 8% 15% 30% 56%
Merrimack EastEast 4 1 1 9 75 .5467 4% 7% 14% 26% 48%
NortheasternN. Eastern EastEast 2 1 0 4 67 .5757 3% 6% 13% 25% 48%
Union ECACECAC 3 2 0 6 60 .6058 3% 6% 12% 24% 47%
Miami NCHCNCHC 5 1 0 10 83 .5389 3% 5% 11% 22% 43%
Michigan Tech CCHACCHA 6 2 0 12 75 .5608 2% 5% 10% 20% 40%
North Dakota NCHCNCHC 4 2 0 8 67 .5434 2% 4% 9% 18% 36%
Boston University EastEast 4 2 0 8 67 .5345 2% 4% 8% 17% 34%
New Hampshire EastEast 3 2 1 7 58 .5506 2% 4% 8% 17% 34%
Nebraska-OmahaNebr-Omaha NCHCNCHC 2 2 0 4 50 .5316 2% 4% 8% 17% 34%
Rensselaer ECACECAC 4 2 0 8 67 .5254 1% 3% 7% 15% 32%
Maine EastEast 4 2 0 8 67 .5635 1% 3% 6% 14% 31%
Minnesota Big 10Big 10 2 3 1 5 42 .5448 1% 3% 6% 13% 26%
Yale ECACECAC 0 0 0 0 50 .5000 1% 2% 5% 12% 27%
Denver NCHCNCHC 3 2 1 7 58 .5276 1% 2% 5% 12% 26%
Harvard ECACECAC 0 0 0 0 50 .5000 1% 2% 5% 11% 27%
Princeton ECACECAC 0 0 0 0 50 .5000 1% 2% 5% 11% 27%
Brown ECACECAC 0 0 0 0 50 .5000 1% 2% 5% 11% 26%
Dartmouth ECACECAC 0 0 0 0 50 .5000 1% 2% 5% 11% 26%
MassachusettsMass. EastEast 3 3 1 7 50 .5214 1% 2% 5% 11% 25%
Bowling Green CCHACCHA 4 4 0 8 50 .5327 1% 2% 5% 10% 25%
Cornell ECACECAC 0 0 0 0 50 .5000 1% 2% 4% 11% 27%
Niagara AtlanticAtl. 4 4 0 8 50 .5142 1% 2% 4% 9% 24%
ConnecticutUConn EastEast 3 3 0 6 50 .4865 1% 2% 4% 9% 20%
Arizona St. NCHCNCHC 4 2 0 8 67 .4952 1% 2% 4% 8% 20%
Bentley AtlanticAtl. 3 3 0 6 50 .5037 <1% 1% 3% 7% 20%
Ohio State Big 10Big 10 2 4 0 4 33 .5164 <1% 1% 3% 6% 15%
Stonehill NCAA IndependentsInd. 3 2 0 6 60 .4625 <1% 1% 2% 6% 14%
Clarkson ECACECAC 3 3 0 6 50 .4940 <1% 1% 2% 5% 15%
Sacred Heart AtlanticAtl. 3 3 0 6 50 .4829 <1% 1% 2% 4% 14%
RIT AtlanticAtl. 2 4 1 5 36 .4863 <1% 1% 2% 4% 13%
Vermont EastEast 2 3 0 4 40 .5237 <1% 1% 2% 4% 12%
Notre Dame Big 10Big 10 2 4 0 4 33 .4995 <1% 1% 2% 4% 11%
Northern Michigan CCHACCHA 2 4 0 4 33 .4894 <1% 1% 1% 4% 11%
Holy Cross AtlanticAtl. 3 5 0 6 38 .4929 <1% <1% 1% 3% 11%
St. Cloud State NCHCNCHC 2 3 0 4 40 .5212 <1% <1% 1% 3% 9%
Minnesota State CCHACCHA 2 4 0 4 33 .4932 <1% <1% 1% 2% 8%
Canisius AtlanticAtl. 3 4 1 7 44 .4645 <1% <1% <1% 1% 7%
Ferris State CCHACCHA 1 4 1 3 25 .4702 <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Air Force AtlanticAtl. 2 4 0 4 33 .4461 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Bemidji State CCHACCHA 1 4 0 2 20 .4451 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Robert Morris AtlanticAtl. 1 6 0 2 14 .4368 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Lindenwood NCAA IndependentsInd. 3 5 0 6 38 .4579 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Lake Superior CCHACCHA 2 4 0 4 33 .4550 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Long Island NCAA IndependentsInd. 2 5 0 4 29 .4464 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Penn State Big 10Big 10 2 4 0 4 33 .4208 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Boston College EastEast 1 3 1 3 30 .4549 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Alaska NCAA IndependentsInd. 1 5 0 2 17 .4675 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Anchorage NCAA IndependentsInd. 1 7 0 2 13 .4333 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell EastEast 1 5 0 2 17 .3977 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
St. Thomas NCHCNCHC 1 3 0 2 25 .4022 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Colgate ECACECAC 0 6 0 0 0 .4132 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
St. Lawrence ECACECAC 0 4 0 0 0 .3075 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next tournament round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this tournament round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot