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Sat Dec 14 11:00 pm

NCAA Hockey - Week 11 of 23

NCAA Hockey Tournament Seedings Probabilities

Where will your team be seeded in the NCAA Tournament? The NCAA Hockey Tournament Seedings Probabilities table present the probability that a team obtains different seedings. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Note the cutline between ranked teams 14 and 15. Teams above this line should receive a NCAA Tournament invitaiton based upon thier rank. Teams below this line will receive a tournament invitation ONLY if they obtain an automatic bid by winning their conference tournament.

NCAA Hockey Tournament Seedings Probabilities
Rank Team ConferenceConf Record NCAA Tournament Seedings
W L T Pts 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 NT
1 Boston College EastEast 12 3 1 25 53% 24% 11% 6% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
2 Michigan State Big 10Big 10 13 2 1 27 22% 25% 16% 11% 8% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
3 Maine EastEast 12 2 2 26 7% 12% 13% 11% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% 7%
4 Minnesota Big 10Big 10 15 3 2 32 6% 12% 15% 15% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% 2%
5 Western Michigan NCHCNCHC 10 3 1 21 4% 9% 11% 12% 11% 9% 8% 7% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% <1% 9%
6 Providence EastEast 12 3 2 26 4% 8% 11% 11% 11% 9% 9% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% 6%
7 Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell EastEast 10 4 2 22 <1% 1% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 1% <1% 35%
8 Denver NCHCNCHC 13 4 0 26 2% 4% 6% 7% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 1% <1% 19%
9 Michigan Big 10Big 10 11 6 1 23 <1% 2% 4% 5% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 1% <1% 27%
10 St. Cloud State NCHCNCHC 10 7 0 20 <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 2% <1% 48%
11 Boston University EastEast 9 6 1 19 <1% 1% 2% 2% 4% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 2% <1% 43%
12 Ohio State Big 10Big 10 13 4 1 27 1% 2% 3% 5% 6% 6% 6% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 2% <1% 32%
13 Minnesota State CCHACCHA 14 4 2 30 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 7% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 1% 29%
14 New Hampshire EastEast 7 4 3 17 <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 1% <1% 60%
Cutline - Click Here to View 21 Line Movers
15 ConnecticutUConn EastEast 8 7 1 17 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 1% <1% 77%
16 Colorado College NCHCNCHC 10 4 1 21 <1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 2% <1% 44%
17 Dartmouth ECACECAC 6 3 2 14 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 3% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 3% 1% 55%
18 Quinnipiac ECACECAC 8 6 1 17 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 5% 4% 1% 66%
19 Arizona St. NCHCNCHC 8 7 1 17 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% <1% 77%
20 Clarkson ECACECAC 11 5 2 24 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 4% 5% 5% 1% 71%
21 North Dakota NCHCNCHC 11 7 1 23 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 2% <1% 73%
22 Long Island NCAA IndependentsInd. 9 6 1 19 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 2% 1% <1% 82%
23 Cornell ECACECAC 5 3 3 13 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 3% 1% 72%
24 MassachusettsMass. EastEast 8 8 2 18 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% 93%
25 Princeton ECACECAC 5 4 1 11 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 1% 79%
26 Wisconsin Big 10Big 10 7 10 1 15 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% 96%
27 Michigan Tech CCHACCHA 9 5 2 20 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 4% 8% 3% 77%
28 NortheasternN. Eastern EastEast 4 8 3 11 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% 92%
29 Vermont EastEast 6 8 3 15 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% <1% 96%
30 Augustana NCAA IndependentsInd. 10 8 1 21 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
31 Bentley AtlanticAtlantic 10 5 2 22 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 3% 9% 17% 66%
32 Bemidji State CCHACCHA 8 8 3 19 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 7% 3% 85%
33 Penn State Big 10Big 10 8 9 0 16 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% <1% 97%
34 Colgate ECACECAC 8 8 2 18 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 2% 91%
35 Lake Superior CCHACCHA 8 9 1 17 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 3% 92%
36 Notre Dame Big 10Big 10 6 12 0 12 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
37 Alaska NCAA IndependentsInd. 5 8 3 13 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
38 Minnesota-DuluthMN-Duluth NCHCNCHC 5 10 0 10 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
39 Sacred Heart AtlanticAtlantic 9 7 3 21 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 87%
40 Union ECACECAC 9 7 1 19 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 1% 96%
41 Bowling Green CCHACCHA 7 7 2 16 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 3% 93%
42 Merrimack EastEast 5 10 1 11 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
43 Brown ECACECAC 3 4 2 8 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 1% 95%
44 Air Force AtlanticAtlantic 10 10 1 21 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 14% 82%
45 Holy Cross AtlanticAtlantic 8 9 1 17 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 10% 87%
46 St. Thomas CCHACCHA 5 9 4 14 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 2% 96%
47 Harvard ECACECAC 3 5 2 8 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 98%
48 Nebraska-OmahaNebr-Omaha NCHCNCHC 7 9 0 14 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 98%
49 Robert Morris AtlanticAtlantic 7 7 2 16 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 93%
50 American Int'l AtlanticAtlantic 5 11 1 11 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 94%
51 Niagara AtlanticAtlantic 8 8 3 19 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 90%
52 Yale ECACECAC 2 7 1 5 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
53 Rensselaer ECACECAC 5 8 2 12 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
54 Lindenwood NCAA IndependentsInd. 4 13 1 9 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
55 Ferris State CCHACCHA 6 10 2 14 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
56 Anchorage NCAA IndependentsInd. 4 12 3 11 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
57 St. Lawrence ECACECAC 5 11 1 11 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
58 Canisius AtlanticAtlantic 5 10 2 12 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
59 Army AtlanticAtlantic 5 12 0 10 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
60 Stonehill NCAA IndependentsInd. 6 16 0 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
61 Miami NCHCNCHC 3 13 2 8 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
62 RIT AtlanticAtlantic 4 14 1 9 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
63 Northern Michigan CCHACCHA 1 16 1 3 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
64 Mercyhurst AtlanticAtlantic 2 14 3 7 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • X means the team cannot win this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot