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NCAA Hockey Tournament Seedings Probabilities

Where will your team be seeded in the NCAA Tournament? The NCAA Hockey Tournament Seedings Probabilities table present the probability that a team obtains different seedings. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Note the cutline between ranked teams 15 and 16. Teams above this line should receive a NCAA Tournament invitaiton based upon thier rank. Teams below this line will receive a tournament invitation ONLY if they obtain an automatic bid by winning their conference tournament.  New - Be sure to view the new NCAA Tournament Line Movers page by clicking the cutline below or by clicking here - NCAA Tournament Line Movers - New

Note that this list will not be updated after the individual conference tournaments


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NCAA Hockey Tournament Seedings Probabilities

Rank Team Conference Record  NCAA Tournament Seedings
W L T 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Tourn.
1 Quinnipiac ECAC 26 7 5 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
2 Minnesota WCHA 26 8 5 X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
3 Mass.-Lowell East 26 10 2 X X >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
4 Notre Dame CCHA 25 12 3 X X X >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
5 Miami CCHA 24 11 5 X X <1% <1% >99% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
6 Boston College East 22 11 4 X X X X <1% >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
7 Minnesota State WCHA 24 13 3 X X X <1% <1% <1% >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
8 North Dakota WCHA 21 12 7 X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
9 Yale ECAC 18 11 3 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
10 New Hampshire East 19 11 7 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
11 Denver WCHA 20 13 5 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
12 Union ECAC 21 12 5 X X X X X X X X X X X >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
13 Wisconsin WCHA 22 12 7 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99% <1% <1% <1% ^
14 Western Michigan CCHA 19 11 8 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99% <1% <1% <1%
15 St. Cloud State WCHA 23 15 1 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99% <1% <1%
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16 Providence East 17 14 7 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% X X 100%
17 Boston University East 21 16 2 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
18 Rensselaer ECAC 18 14 5 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% X X 100%
19 Niagara Atlantic 23 9 5 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
20 Colorado College WCHA 18 19 5 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
21 Brown ECAC 16 14 6 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
22 Ohio State CCHA 16 17 7 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
23 Ferris State CCHA 16 16 5 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
24 Cornell ECAC 15 16 3 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
25 Dartmouth ECAC 15 14 5 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% X X 100%
26 Michigan CCHA 18 19 3 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
27 Alaska CCHA 17 16 4 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% X X 100%
28 St. Lawrence ECAC 18 16 4 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
29 Nebraska-Omaha WCHA 19 18 2 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
30 Northern Michigan CCHA 15 19 4 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% X X 100%
31 Robert Morris Atlantic 20 14 4 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
32 Merrimack East 15 17 6 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
33 Bowling Green CCHA 15 21 5 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
34 Holy Cross Atlantic 20 14 3 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
35 Air Force Atlantic 17 13 7 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
36 Connecticut Atlantic 19 14 4 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
37 Lake Superior CCHA 17 21 1 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
38 Colgate ECAC 14 18 4 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
39 Minnesota-Duluth WCHA 14 19 5 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
40 Mercyhurst Atlantic 19 17 5 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
41 Vermont East 11 19 6 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
42 Canisius Atlantic 19 18 5 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100% ^
43 Michigan Tech WCHA 13 20 4 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
44 Michigan State CCHA 14 25 3 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
45 Maine East 11 19 8 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
46 Massachusetts East 12 19 3 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
47 Princeton ECAC 10 16 5 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
48 Penn State Independent 11 12 0 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
49 Harvard ECAC 10 19 3 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
50 Clarkson ECAC 9 20 7 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
51 RIT Atlantic 15 18 5 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
52 Northeastern East 9 21 4 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
53 Bemidji State WCHA 6 22 8 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
54 American Int'l Atlantic 12 17 6 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
55 Alaska-Anchorage WCHA 4 25 7 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
56 Bentley Atlantic 12 20 3 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
57 Army Atlantic 7 22 5 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
58 UAH Independent 1 20 1 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
59 Sacred Heart Atlantic 2 30 4 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • X means the team cannot win this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot

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