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NCAA Hockey Tournament Seedings Probabilities

Where will your team be seeded in the NCAA Tournament? The NCAA Hockey Tournament Seedings Probabilities table present the probability that a team obtains different seedings. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.


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NCAA Hockey Tournament Seedings Probabilities

Rank Team Conference Record  NCAA Tournament Seedings
W L T 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Tourn.
1 Denver WCHA 28 8 4 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
2 Miami CCHA 27 7 7 X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
3 Wisconsin WCHA 25 10 4 X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
4 North Dakota WCHA 26 13 5 X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
5 Boston College East 27 10 3 X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
6 St. Cloud State WCHA 24 13 5 X X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
7 Bemidji State CHA 23 9 3 X X X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
8 Northern Michigan CCHA 21 12 8 X X X X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
9 Minnesota-Duluth WCHA 23 17 1 X X X X X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
10 Michigan CCHA 27 17 1 X X X X X X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
11 Colorado College WCHA 20 17 3 X X X X X X X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
12 New Hampshire East 18 13 7 X X X X X X X X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
13 Minnesota WCHA 19 19 2 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^
 
14 Alaska CCHA 19 12 9 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
15 Ferris State CCHA 21 13 6 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
16 Michigan State CCHA 21 13 6 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
17 Nebraska-Omaha CCHA 21 16 6 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
18 Cornell ECAC 22 9 4 X X X X X X X X X X X X X >99% <1% <1% ^
19 Yale ECAC 21 9 3 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
20 Vermont East 17 15 7 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
21 Maine East 21 17 3 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
22 Mass.-Lowell East 20 16 4 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
23 Minnesota State WCHA 17 20 3 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
24 Boston University East 19 17 4 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
25 Northeastern East 17 16 2 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
26 Ohio State CCHA 16 19 6 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
27 Union ECAC 22 12 6 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
28 Massachusetts East 18 19 0 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
29 Lake Superior CCHA 16 18 5 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
30 Merrimack East 16 19 2 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
31 Notre Dame CCHA 13 17 8 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
32 Alaska-Anchorage WCHA 13 23 2 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
33 St. Lawrence ECAC 20 15 7 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
34 RIT Atlantic 27 11 1 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X >99% <1% ^
35 Quinnipiac ECAC 21 18 2 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
36 Rensselaer ECAC 18 17 5 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
37 Western Michigan CCHA 8 20 8 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
38 Colgate ECAC 16 16 6 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
39 Robert Morris CHA 12 19 5 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
40 Niagara CHA 13 20 4 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
41 UAH CHA 12 17 3 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100% ^
42 Sacred Heart Atlantic 21 14 4 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
43 Providence East 10 21 4 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
44 Princeton ECAC 13 17 3 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
45 Michigan Tech WCHA 6 30 1 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
46 Brown ECAC 13 20 4 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
47 Air Force Atlantic 17 15 6 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
48 Bowling Green CCHA 6 26 6 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
49 Harvard ECAC 9 21 4 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
50 Clarkson ECAC 10 24 4 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
51 Dartmouth ECAC 10 20 3 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
52 Canisius Atlantic 17 16 5 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
53 Mercyhurst Atlantic 16 20 3 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
54 Army Atlantic 11 18 7 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
55 Holy Cross Atlantic 13 19 6 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
56 Bentley Atlantic 12 19 4 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
57 Connecticut Atlantic 8 27 3 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
58 American Int'l Atlantic 5 24 4 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • X means the team cannot win this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot

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