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Sat Dec 9 3:30 pm

NCAA Hockey - Week 10 of 23

NCAA Hockey Tournament Seedings Probabilities

Where will your team be seeded in the NCAA Tournament? The NCAA Hockey Tournament Seedings Probabilities table present the probability that a team obtains different seedings. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Note the cutline between ranked teams 14 and 15. Teams above this line should receive a NCAA Tournament invitaiton based upon thier rank. Teams below this line will receive a tournament invitation ONLY if they obtain an automatic bid by winning their conference tournament.

NCAA Hockey Tournament Seedings Probabilities
Rank Team ConferenceConf Record NCAA Tournament Seedings
W L T Pts 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 NT
1 Boston University EastEast 11 4 1 23 21% 14% 11% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% 3%
2 Quinnipiac ECACECAC 11 4 1 23 3% 7% 9% 10% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% 9%
3 North Dakota NCHCNCHC 12 4 1 25 11% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% <1% <1% 8%
4 Maine EastEast 9 3 1 19 13% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 1% <1% <1% 8%
5 Wisconsin Big 10Big 10 13 4 0 26 11% 11% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% 7%
6 Boston College EastEast 12 3 1 25 15% 11% 10% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% 5%
7 Michigan State Big 10Big 10 11 4 2 24 6% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 2% 1% <1% 15%
8 Providence EastEast 9 4 2 20 3% 4% 4% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 3% 1% <1% 30%
9 MassachusettsMass. EastEast 10 4 1 21 2% 4% 4% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 3% 1% <1% 25%
10 Denver NCHCNCHC 11 5 1 23 5% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 1% <1% 15%
11 Western Michigan NCHCNCHC 11 3 1 23 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 3% 1% <1% 28%
12 Minnesota Big 10Big 10 9 5 3 21 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 1% <1% 33%
13 New Hampshire EastEast 7 4 1 15 2% 2% 3% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 3% 1% <1% 40%
14 St. Cloud State NCHCNCHC 9 5 1 19 1% 2% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 2% <1% 45%
Cutline - Click Here to View 24 Line Movers
15 Michigan Big 10Big 10 8 7 3 19 <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 4% 4% 5% 4% 1% <1% 68%
16 Arizona St. NCAA IndependentsInd. 11 3 3 25 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5% 5% 3% 1% <1% 72%
17 Penn State Big 10Big 10 9 6 3 21 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 2% <1% 74%
18 American Int'l AtlanticAtlantic 10 6 0 20 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5% 5% 6% 8% 9% 2% 53%
19 Alaska NCAA IndependentsInd. 8 5 1 17 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% <1% 85%
20 RIT AtlanticAtlantic 10 5 0 20 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 4% 7% 9% 3% 64%
21 Notre Dame Big 10Big 10 8 7 2 18 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 4% 3% 2% <1% 78%
22 Cornell ECACECAC 6 4 1 13 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 4% 4% 1% 79%
23 Nebraska-OmahaNebr-Omaha NCHCNCHC 9 5 1 19 <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 4% 4% 3% 1% <1% 72%
24 Minnesota State CCHACCHA 7 6 2 16 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 5% 10% 13% 68%
25 Colorado College NCHCNCHC 8 6 1 17 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 2% <1% 79%
26 NortheasternN. Eastern EastEast 4 8 1 9 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
27 Ohio State Big 10Big 10 5 8 3 13 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% <1% 97%
28 Clarkson ECACECAC 8 5 1 17 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 3% 4% 2% 87%
29 Augustana NCAA IndependentsInd. 5 7 2 12 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 98%
30 Bemidji State CCHACCHA 6 9 0 12 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 88%
31 Merrimack EastEast 6 9 1 13 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
32 Michigan Tech CCHACCHA 8 7 3 19 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 13% 79%
33 Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell EastEast 6 9 2 14 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
34 Union ECACECAC 8 7 0 16 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 3% 2% 93%
35 ConnecticutUConn EastEast 7 9 1 15 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 98%
36 Minnesota-DuluthMN-Duluth NCHCNCHC 4 8 4 12 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% 98%
37 Dartmouth ECACECAC 2 3 5 9 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 2% 90%
38 St. Thomas CCHACCHA 8 8 1 17 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 10% 85%
39 Vermont EastEast 4 7 1 9 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% 98%
40 Holy Cross AtlanticAtlantic 8 7 3 19 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 2% 94%
41 Bentley AtlanticAtlantic 8 9 0 16 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 2% 95%
42 Sacred Heart AtlanticAtlantic 8 7 0 16 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 4% 89%
43 Miami NCHCNCHC 5 8 2 12 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
44 Long Island NCAA IndependentsInd. 6 10 1 13 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
45 Colgate ECACECAC 6 8 2 14 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
46 Harvard ECACECAC 1 5 3 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 98%
47 Princeton ECACECAC 5 5 1 11 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 2% 95%
48 Lake Superior CCHACCHA 7 9 1 15 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 92%
49 Air Force AtlanticAtlantic 8 9 1 17 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 3% 95%
50 Anchorage NCAA IndependentsInd. 6 12 1 13 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
51 Brown ECACECAC 4 6 1 9 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
52 Northern Michigan CCHACCHA 6 9 2 14 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 93%
53 Mercyhurst AtlanticAtlantic 5 8 3 13 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
54 St. Lawrence ECACECAC 5 10 1 11 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
55 Army AtlanticAtlantic 4 11 0 8 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
56 Niagara AtlanticAtlantic 6 9 1 13 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 98%
57 Canisius AtlanticAtlantic 4 8 3 11 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 98%
58 Yale ECACECAC 3 8 0 6 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
59 Bowling Green CCHACCHA 6 11 0 12 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 97%
60 Lindenwood NCAA IndependentsInd. 3 11 2 8 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
61 Ferris State CCHACCHA 5 9 1 11 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 96%
62 Rensselaer ECACECAC 2 9 1 5 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
63 Robert Morris AtlanticAtlantic 3 11 3 9 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
64 Stonehill NCAA IndependentsInd. 0 15 0 0 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • X means the team cannot win this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot