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NCAA Hockey Tournament Seedings Probabilities

Where will your team be seeded in the NCAA Tournament? The NCAA Hockey Tournament Seedings Probabilities table present the probability that a team obtains different seedings. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.


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NCAA Hockey Tournament Seedings Probabilities

Rank Team Conference Record  NCAA Tournament Seedings
W L T 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Tourn.
1 Miami CCHA 9 1 3 27% 15% 11% 8% 7% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% 4%
2 Michigan State CCHA 10 2 1 13% 15% 13% 11% 10% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% 4%
3 Mass.-Lowell East 8 2 1 14% 13% 11% 11% 8% 7% 7% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% 6%
4 Bemidji State CHA 8 1 1 10% 10% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% <1% 10%
5 Quinnipiac ECAC 9 1 0 8% 9% 8% 9% 7% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 1% <1% 17%
6 North Dakota WCHA 8 2 1 5% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 4% 3% <1% 32%
7 Massachusetts East 7 3 0 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 6% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 2% <1% 27%
8 Colorado College WCHA 8 2 1 5% 6% 5% 5% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 4% 4% 3% 3% <1% 32%
9 Nebraska-Omaha CCHA 6 2 3 3% 3% 4% 4% 5% 5% 4% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% <1% 43%
10 Ferris State CCHA 7 4 2 1% 2% 3% 3% 4% 5% 5% 4% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% <1% 45%
11 Alaska CCHA 8 2 1 1% 2% 3% 3% 4% 5% 4% 4% 4% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% <1% 48%
12 St. Cloud State WCHA 5 4 2 <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 2% <1% 60%
13 Minnesota-Duluth WCHA 8 4 1 <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 3% 4% 3% 3% 2% <1% 62%
14 Providence East 6 4 0 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 2% 1% <1% 56%
15 Denver WCHA 7 3 1 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 4% 3% <1% 59%
16 Wisconsin WCHA 6 3 1 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% <1% 63%
 
17 Yale ECAC 3 1 2 2% 2% 3% 4% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% <1% 58%
18 Cornell ECAC 5 2 0 2% 3% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 2% <1% 56%
19 Vermont East 4 5 1 <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% <1% 62%
20 Boston College East 6 3 1 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 1% 63%
21 Western Michigan CCHA 5 4 1 <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 2% 1% <1% 74%
22 Minnesota WCHA 5 5 1 <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% <1% 76%
23 Merrimack East 6 4 0 <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% <1% 71%
24 Colgate ECAC 6 3 4 <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 1% 72%
25 St. Lawrence ECAC 7 4 1 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% <1% 78%
26 Union ECAC 5 3 3 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 1% 77%
27 Michigan CCHA 6 6 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% <1% 87%
28 Rensselaer ECAC 7 5 2 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% <1% 85%
29 Northern Michigan CCHA 4 5 2 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% 90%
30 Robert Morris CHA 5 6 1 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 4% 10% 6% 72%
31 Northeastern East 5 5 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 1% <1% 86%
32 Notre Dame CCHA 5 5 2 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% 95%
33 Lake Superior CCHA 6 6 1 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% 94%
34 New Hampshire East 4 6 2 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% <1% 92%
35 Ohio State CCHA 5 7 1 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% <1% 96%
36 Boston University East 4 6 1 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% 95%
37 Princeton ECAC 4 3 1 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% <1% 88%
38 Maine East 4 6 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 1% <1% 96%
39 Michigan Tech WCHA 4 7 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% 97%
40 Minnesota State WCHA 4 6 1 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 97%
41 Sacred Heart Atlantic 3 5 2 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 12% 80%
42 Alaska-Anchorage WCHA 5 8 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
43 UAH CHA 3 7 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 4% 4% 90%
44 Harvard ECAC 1 3 2 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% 91%
45 Clarkson ECAC 4 8 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
46 Air Force Atlantic 6 5 2 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 84%
47 Bentley Atlantic 3 4 2 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 12% 84%
48 Canisius Atlantic 5 6 1 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 87%
49 Holy Cross Atlantic 4 5 2 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 8% 89%
50 RIT Atlantic 7 5 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 86%
51 Bowling Green CCHA 2 9 1 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
52 Army Atlantic 2 7 2 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 95%
53 Niagara CHA 2 8 2 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 96%
54 Connecticut Atlantic 3 7 1 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 97%
55 Brown ECAC 1 5 1 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
56 Dartmouth ECAC 0 6 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
57 American Int'l Atlantic 2 6 1 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 98%
58 Mercyhurst Atlantic 3 9 1 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 98%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • X means the team cannot win this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot

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