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Mon Oct 6

NFL - Week 5 of 17

AFC Playoff Picture

Where is your team going in the playoffs? The AFC Playoff Picture table presents the probabilities that a team will win each playoff spot. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

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AFC Playoff Standings

		Record			Divisional Winners				Wildcard		No Playoffs
Team	Division	W	L	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7
Bills	East	4	1	0	12%	15%	10%	5%	15%	11%	32%
Patriots	East	3	1	0	10%	12%	7%	3%	15%	10%	43%
Dolphins	East	2	2	0	2%	5%	4%	3%	11%	10%	65%
Jets	East	2	2	0	2%	4%	4%	3%	10%	10%	69%

Steelers	North	4	1	0	13%	15%	21%	23%	4%	5%	20%
Ravens	North	2	2	0	1%	4%	9%	10%	7%	7%	63%
Browns	North	1	3	0	< 1%	< 1%	1%	3%	2%	3%	90%
Bengals	North	0	5	0	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	1%	< 1%	< 1%	99%

Titans	South	5	0	0	46%	21%	12%	6%	6%	4%	5%
Colts	South	2	2	0	2%	3%	3%	2%	12%	10%	67%
Jaguars	South	2	3	0	< 1%	1%	2%	1%	7%	10%	79%
Texans	South	0	4	0	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	1%	98%

Broncos	West	4	1	0	9%	17%	19%	24%	3%	4%	25%
Chiefs	West	2	3	0	< 1%	1%	4%	7%	4%	6%	78%
Chargers	West	2	3	0	< 1%	1%	4%	7%	3%	5%	79%
Raiders	West	1	3	0	< 1%	< 1%	2%	4%	2%	4%	88%

Notes

^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot