Where is your team going in the playoffs? The AFC Playoff Picture table presents the probabilities that a team will win each NFL playoff spot.  All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.  Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.
Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs |
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Team | DivisionDiv | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | T | GPi Games Played 17 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
Dolphins | East | 3i Dolphins Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 10 @ Chargers 36-34 Won Sun, Sep 17 @ Pats 24-17 Won Sun, Sep 24 vs Broncos 70-20 Sun, Oct 01 @ Bills Sun, Oct 08 vs Giants Sun, Oct 15 vs Panthers Sun, Oct 22 @ Eagles |
0 | 0 | 3 | 28% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 22% |
Bills | East | 2 Bills Recent Games Lost Mon, Sep 11 @ Jets 16-22 Won Sun, Sep 17 vs Raiders 38-10 Won Sun, Sep 24 @ Commanders 37-3 Sun, Oct 01 vs Dolphins Sun, Oct 08 vs Jaguars Sun, Oct 15 vs Giants Sun, Oct 22 @ Pats |
1 | 0 | 3 | 9% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 45% |
Patriots | East | 1 Patriots Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 10 vs Eagles 20-25 Lost Sun, Sep 17 vs Dolphins 17-24 Won Sun, Sep 24 @ Jets 15-10 Sun, Oct 01 @ Cowboys Sun, Oct 08 vs Saints Sun, Oct 15 @ Raiders Sun, Oct 22 vs Bills |
2 | 0 | 3 | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 65% |
Jets | East | 1 Jets Recent Games Won Mon, Sep 11 vs Bills 22-16 Lost Sun, Sep 17 @ Cowboys 10-30 Lost Sun, Sep 24 vs Pats 10-15 Sun, Oct 01 vs Chiefs Sun, Oct 08 @ Broncos Sun, Oct 15 vs Eagles Sun, Oct 29 @ Giants |
2 | 0 | 3 | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 71% |
Steelers | North | 2 Steelers Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 10 vs 49'ers 7-30 Won Mon, Sep 18 vs Browns 26-22 Won Sun, Sep 24 @ Raiders 23-18 Sun, Oct 01 @ Texans Sun, Oct 08 vs Ravens Sun, Oct 22 @ Rams Sun, Oct 29 vs Jaguars |
1 | 0 | 3 | 13% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 39% |
Ravens | North | 2 Ravens Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 10 vs Texans 25-9 Won Sun, Sep 17 @ Bengals 27-24 Lost Sun, Sep 24 vs Colts 19-22 Sun, Oct 01 @ Browns Sun, Oct 08 @ Steelers Sun, Oct 15 @ Titans Sun, Oct 22 vs Lions |
1 | 0 | 3 | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 49% |
Browns | North | 2 Browns Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 10 vs Bengals 24-3 Lost Mon, Sep 18 @ Steelers 22-26 Won Sun, Sep 24 vs Titans 27-3 Sun, Oct 01 vs Ravens Sun, Oct 15 vs 49'ers Sun, Oct 22 @ Colts Sun, Oct 29 @ Seahawks |
1 | 0 | 3 | 8% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 44% |
Bengals | North | 1 Bengals Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 10 @ Browns 3-24 Lost Sun, Sep 17 vs Ravens 24-27 Won Mon, Sep 25 vs Rams 19-16 Sun, Oct 01 @ Titans Sun, Oct 08 @ Cards Sun, Oct 15 vs Seahawks Sun, Oct 29 @ 49'ers |
2 | 0 | 3 | 1% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 73% |
Colts | South | 2 Colts Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 10 vs Jaguars 21-31 Won Sun, Sep 17 @ Texans 31-20 Won Sun, Sep 24 @ Ravens 22-19 Sun, Oct 01 vs Rams Sun, Oct 08 vs Titans Sun, Oct 15 @ Jaguars Sun, Oct 22 vs Browns |
1 | 0 | 3 | 10% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 39% |
Texans | South | 1 Texans Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 10 @ Ravens 9-25 Lost Sun, Sep 17 vs Colts 20-31 Won Sun, Sep 24 @ Jaguars 37-17 Sun, Oct 01 vs Steelers Sun, Oct 08 @ Falcons Sun, Oct 15 vs Saints Sun, Oct 29 @ Panthers |
2 | 0 | 3 | 2% | 4% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 63% |
Jaguars | South | 1 Jaguars Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 10 @ Colts 31-21 Lost Sun, Sep 17 vs Chiefs 9-17 Lost Sun, Sep 24 vs Texans 17-37 Sun, Oct 01 vs Falcons Sun, Oct 08 @ Bills Sun, Oct 15 vs Colts Thu, Oct 19 @ Saints |
2 | 0 | 3 | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 70% |
Titans | South | 1 Titans Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 10 @ Saints 15-16 Won Sun, Sep 17 vs Chargers 27-24 Lost Sun, Sep 24 @ Browns 3-27 Sun, Oct 01 vs Bengals Sun, Oct 08 @ Colts Sun, Oct 15 vs Ravens Sun, Oct 29 vs Falcons |
2 | 0 | 3 | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 65% |
Chiefs | West | 2 Chiefs Recent Games Lost Thu, Sep 07 vs Lions 20-21 Won Sun, Sep 17 @ Jaguars 17-9 Won Sun, Sep 24 vs Bears 41-10 Sun, Oct 01 @ Jets Sun, Oct 08 @ Vikings Thu, Oct 12 vs Broncos Sun, Oct 22 vs Chargers |
1 | 0 | 3 | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 41% |
Raiders | West | 1 Raiders Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 10 @ Broncos 17-16 Lost Sun, Sep 17 @ Bills 10-38 Lost Sun, Sep 24 vs Steelers 18-23 Sun, Oct 01 @ Chargers Mon, Oct 09 vs Packers Sun, Oct 15 vs Pats Sun, Oct 22 @ Bears |
2 | 0 | 3 | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 64% |
Chargers | West | 1 Chargers Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 10 vs Dolphins 34-36 Lost Sun, Sep 17 @ Titans 24-27 Won Sun, Sep 24 @ Vikings 28-24 Sun, Oct 01 vs Raiders Mon, Oct 16 vs Cowboys Sun, Oct 22 @ Chiefs Sun, Oct 29 vs Bears |
2 | 0 | 3 | 1% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 65% |
Broncos | West | 0 Broncos Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 10 vs Raiders 16-17 Lost Sun, Sep 17 vs Commanders 33-35 Lost Sun, Sep 24 @ Dolphins 20-70 Sun, Oct 01 @ Bears Sun, Oct 08 vs Jets Thu, Oct 12 @ Chiefs Sun, Oct 22 vs Packers |
3 | 0 | 3 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 84% |