Where is your team going in the playoffs? The AFC Playoff Picture table presents the probabilities that a team will win each NFL playoff spot.  All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.  Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.
| Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | DivisionDiv | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | T | GPi Games Played 17 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| Jets | East | 1i Jets Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 13 @ Titans 23-10 Sun, Sep 20 vs Packers Sun, Sep 27 @ Lions Sun, Oct 04 @ Bears Sun, Oct 11 vs Browns |
0 | 0 | 1 | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 40% |
| Bills | East | 1 Bills Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 13 @ Texans 36-31 Thu, Sep 17 vs Lions Sun, Sep 27 vs Chargers Sun, Oct 04 vs Pats Mon, Oct 12 @ Rams |
0 | 0 | 1 | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 41% |
| Patriots | East | 0 Patriots Recent Games Lost Wed, Sep 09 @ Seahawks 10-13 Sun, Sep 20 vs Steelers Sun, Sep 27 @ Jaguars Sun, Oct 04 @ Bills Sun, Oct 11 vs Raiders |
1 | 0 | 1 | 1% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 73% |
| Dolphins | East | 0 Dolphins Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 13 @ Raiders 13-27 Sun, Sep 20 @ 49ers Sun, Sep 27 vs Chiefs Sun, Oct 04 @ Vikings Sun, Oct 11 vs Bengals |
1 | 0 | 1 | 1% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 72% |
| Ravens | North | 1 Ravens Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 13 @ Colts 41-23 Sun, Sep 20 vs Saints Sun, Sep 27 @ Cowboys Sun, Oct 04 vs Titans Sun, Oct 11 @ Falcons |
0 | 0 | 1 | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 39% |
| Bengals | North | 1 Bengals Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 13 vs Bucs 33-27 Sun, Sep 20 @ Texans Sun, Sep 27 @ Steelers Sun, Oct 04 vs Jaguars Sun, Oct 11 @ Dolphins |
0 | 0 | 1 | 12% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 42% |
| Steelers | North | 1 Steelers Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 13 vs Falcons 20-13 Sun, Sep 20 @ Pats Sun, Sep 27 vs Bengals Thu, Oct 01 @ Browns Sun, Oct 11 vs Colts |
0 | 0 | 1 | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 42% |
| Browns | North | 0 Browns Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 13 @ Jaguars 10-34 Sun, Sep 20 @ Bucs Sun, Sep 27 vs Panthers Thu, Oct 01 vs Steelers Sun, Oct 11 @ Jets |
1 | 0 | 1 | 1% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 73% |
| Jaguars | South | 1 Jaguars Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 13 vs Browns 34-10 Sun, Sep 20 @ Broncos Sun, Sep 27 vs Pats Sun, Oct 04 @ Bengals Sun, Oct 11 vs Eagles |
0 | 0 | 1 | 11% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 38% |
| Titans | South | 0 Titans Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 13 vs Jets 10-23 Sun, Sep 20 vs Eagles Sun, Sep 27 @ Giants Sun, Oct 04 @ Ravens Sun, Oct 11 vs Texans |
1 | 0 | 1 | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 72% |
| Texans | South | 0 Texans Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 13 vs Bills 31-36 Sun, Sep 20 vs Bengals Sun, Sep 27 @ Colts Sun, Oct 04 vs Cowboys Sun, Oct 11 @ Titans |
1 | 0 | 1 | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 70% |
| Colts | South | 0 Colts Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 13 vs Ravens 23-41 Sun, Sep 20 @ Chiefs Sun, Sep 27 vs Texans Sun, Oct 04 @ Commanders Sun, Oct 11 @ Steelers |
1 | 0 | 1 | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 71% |
| Chiefs | West | 1 Chiefs Recent Games Won Mon, Sep 14 vs Broncos 31-10 Sun, Sep 20 vs Colts Sun, Sep 27 @ Dolphins Sun, Oct 04 @ Raiders Sun, Oct 18 vs Chargers |
0 | 0 | 1 | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 42% |
| Raiders | West | 1 Raiders Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 13 vs Dolphins 27-13 Sun, Sep 20 @ Chargers Sun, Sep 27 @ Saints Sun, Oct 04 vs Chiefs Sun, Oct 11 @ Pats |
0 | 0 | 1 | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 41% |
| Chargers | West | 0 Chargers Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 13 vs Cards 14-26 Sun, Sep 20 vs Raiders Sun, Sep 27 @ Bills Sun, Oct 04 @ Seahawks Sun, Oct 11 vs Broncos |
1 | 0 | 1 | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 73% |
| Broncos | West | 0 Broncos Recent Games Lost Mon, Sep 14 @ Chiefs 10-31 Sun, Sep 20 vs Jaguars Sun, Sep 27 vs Rams Sun, Oct 04 @ 49ers Sun, Oct 11 @ Chargers |
1 | 0 | 1 | 1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 72% |