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Tue Feb 17 1:45 am

NCAA Basketball - Week 16 of 18

NCAA Basketball Tournament Performance Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the college basketball tournament? The NCAA Basketball Tournament Performance Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your college team will proceed to different tournament rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

NCAA Basketball Tournament Performance Probabilities
Team ConferenceConf Record WPi
Win Percentage
NPIi
NCAA Power Index
NCAA Basketball
National Champions
Championship Game
Participate
Final Four Elite Eight Sweet Sixteen Round 2 Round 1
W L
Michigan Big 10Big 10 24 1 96 .6990 14% 22% 33% 50% 72% 95% 100%
Duke ACCACC 24 2 92 .6932 9% 16% 26% 43% 66% 95% 100%
Arizona Big 12Big 12 23 2 92 .6891 8% 15% 25% 42% 66% 95% 100%
UConn Big EastBig East 24 2 92 .6626 7% 13% 22% 39% 63% 93% 100%
Houston Big 12Big 12 23 3 88 .6524 5% 9% 17% 32% 57% 90% 100%
Purdue Big 10Big 10 21 4 84 .6455 4% 9% 16% 31% 55% 87% >99%
Iowa St. Big 12Big 12 23 3 88 .6651 4% 8% 16% 31% 55% 89% >99%
Gonzaga West CoastWest Coast 25 2 93 .6495 4% 8% 15% 29% 54% 88% 100%
Nebraska Big 10Big 10 22 3 88 .6476 4% 8% 15% 29% 52% 86% >99%
Texas Tech Big 12Big 12 19 6 76 .6346 3% 7% 13% 25% 49% 82% >99%
Kansas Big 12Big 12 19 6 76 .6358 3% 7% 13% 25% 48% 82% >99%
Illinois Big 10Big 10 21 5 81 .6340 3% 6% 13% 25% 49% 81% >99%
Michigan St. Big 10Big 10 20 5 80 .6250 3% 5% 11% 22% 43% 76% >99%
Virginia ACCACC 22 3 88 .6289 2% 5% 11% 22% 44% 77% >99%
Vanderbilt SECSEC 20 4 83 .6212 2% 5% 9% 19% 40% 72% >99%
Saint Louis Atlantic 10Atl. 10 24 1 96 .6300 2% 4% 9% 18% 39% 73% >99%
North Carolina ACCACC 20 5 80 .6207 2% 4% 9% 18% 37% 70% >99%
Florida SECSEC 19 6 76 .6187 2% 4% 8% 17% 36% 69% >99%
St. John's Big EastBig East 20 5 80 .6080 2% 3% 8% 16% 32% 65% 99%
Utah St. Mountain WestMntn West 22 3 88 .6164 1% 3% 7% 16% 34% 67% >99%
BYU Big 12Big 12 19 6 76 .6119 1% 3% 7% 15% 32% 64% 99%
St. Mary's West CoastWest Coast 23 3 88 .6111 1% 3% 7% 14% 32% 65% >99%
Alabama SECSEC 17 7 71 .6094 1% 3% 7% 14% 30% 62% 99%
Arkansas SECSEC 19 6 76 .6061 1% 3% 7% 14% 30% 62% 98%
Villanova Big EastBig East 20 5 80 .6022 1% 3% 7% 14% 29% 61% 97%
Louisville ACCACC 19 6 76 .6066 1% 3% 6% 13% 28% 60% 98%
Miami OH MACMAC 25 0 100 .6283 1% 2% 6% 14% 32% 68% >99%
Clemson ACCACC 20 6 77 .6000 1% 2% 4% 10% 22% 53% 94%
Tennessee SECSEC 18 7 72 .6012 1% 2% 4% 9% 21% 49% 90%
Wisconsin Big 10Big 10 18 7 72 .5980 1% 2% 4% 9% 19% 47% 87%
UCF Big 12Big 12 17 7 71 .5896 1% 1% 3% 7% 15% 39% 74%
Miami ACCACC 20 5 80 .5917 <1% 1% 3% 7% 16% 40% 78%
Belmont Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 24 4 86 .5856 <1% 1% 3% 7% 15% 41% 87%
Kentucky SECSEC 17 8 68 .5853 <1% 1% 2% 6% 12% 31% 63%
Liberty Conference USAConf. USA 22 3 88 .5873 <1% 1% 2% 5% 13% 36% 81%
N.C. State ACCACC 18 8 69 .5820 <1% 1% 2% 5% 12% 30% 60%
Yale Ivy LeagueIvy League 20 4 83 .5833 <1% 1% 2% 5% 11% 34% 78%
VCU Atlantic 10Atl. 10 20 6 77 .5830 <1% 1% 2% 5% 11% 31% 65%
San Diego St. Mountain WestMntn West 18 6 75 .5816 <1% 1% 2% 4% 10% 26% 55%
SMU ACCACC 17 8 68 .5796 <1% 1% 2% 4% 10% 26% 53%
USC Big 10Big 10 18 7 72 .5810 <1% 1% 2% 4% 10% 25% 52%
Iowa Big 10Big 10 18 7 72 .5804 <1% 1% 2% 4% 9% 24% 49%
Santa Clara West CoastWest Coast 21 7 75 .5815 <1% 1% 1% 4% 10% 28% 66%
Stephen F. Austin SouthlandSouth-land 24 3 89 .5802 <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 28% 70%
George Mason Atlantic 10Atl. 10 21 5 81 .5768 <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 22% 50%
UNC Wilmington CoastalCoastal 22 4 85 .5738 <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 20% 50%
New Mexico Mountain WestMntn West 19 6 76 .5777 <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 20% 44%
McNeese SouthlandSouth-land 22 5 81 .5697 <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 17% 45%
Indiana Big 10Big 10 17 9 65 .5729 <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 14% 30%
South Florida American AthleticAm. Athletic 18 8 69 .5635 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 12% 33%
Akron MACMAC 20 5 80 .5696 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 12% 31%
UCLA Big 10Big 10 17 8 68 .5690 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 12% 25%
Virginia Tech ACCACC 17 9 65 .5692 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 10% 22%
Seton Hall Big EastBig East 18 8 69 .5680 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 10% 21%
Tulsa American AthleticAm. Athletic 20 6 77 .5648 <1% <1% 1% 1% 4% 10% 27%
High Point Big SouthBig South 24 4 86 .5572 <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 12% 41%
California Baptist WACWAC 19 7 73 .5528 <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 11% 37%
Long Island U. NortheastNorth East 17 9 65 .5224 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 10% 63%
Navy Patriot LeaguePatriot League 21 6 78 .5351 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 10% 49%
North Dakota St. SummitSummit 21 6 78 .5420 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 10% 41%
Austin Peay Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 19 6 76 .5457 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 33%
Winthrop Big SouthBig South 19 8 70 .5399 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 32%
Utah Valley WACWAC 18 7 72 .5483 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 29%
Auburn SECSEC 14 11 56 .5672 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 17%
Missouri SECSEC 17 8 68 .5670 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 17%
Ohio St. Big 10Big 10 16 9 64 .5647 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 16%
Hawai'i Big WestBig West 18 6 75 .5424 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 7% 27%
Georgia SECSEC 17 8 68 .5652 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 7% 15%
Merrimack Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 18 9 67 .5385 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 24%
California ACCACC 18 8 69 .5669 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 15%
Murray State Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 19 9 68 .5469 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 16%
Nevada Mountain WestMntn West 16 8 67 .5581 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 14%
Texas A&M SECSEC 17 8 68 .5641 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 12%
TCU Big 12Big 12 16 9 64 .5654 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 12%
Oklahoma St. Big 12Big 12 16 9 64 .5612 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 9%
Tenn-MartinTN-Martin Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 20 7 74 .5316 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 32%
Portland St. Big SkyBig Sky 17 7 71 .5283 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 30%
Troy SunbeltSunbelt 17 10 63 .5306 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 22%
Kent State MACMAC 19 7 73 .5555 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 15%
E. Tennessee St. SouthernSouthern 19 8 70 .5253 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 26%
St. Thomas SummitSummit 20 8 71 .5354 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 25%
Sam Houston Conference USAConf. USA 17 8 68 .5373 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 19%
Wright St. HorizonHorizon 17 10 63 .5188 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 24%
South Alabama SunbeltSunbelt 19 8 70 .5321 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 19%
UC Irvine Big WestBig West 17 9 65 .5267 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 19%
Marshall SunbeltSunbelt 17 10 63 .5297 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 18%
Quinnipiac Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 18 10 64 .5267 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 17%
Hofstra CoastalCoastal 17 10 63 .5368 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 15%
UMBC America EastAmerica East 16 8 67 .4966 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 30%
Central Arkansas Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 17 10 63 .5151 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 21%
Oakland HorizonHorizon 14 13 52 .5131 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 21%
Mercer SouthernSouthern 17 10 63 .5153 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 19%
Lipscomb Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 16 11 59 .5133 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 18%
Robert Morris HorizonHorizon 18 10 64 .5123 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 17%
Utah Tech WACWAC 16 11 59 .5162 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 17%
PennsylvaniaPenn. Ivy LeagueIvy League 13 10 57 .5132 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 16%
Siena Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 18 9 67 .5208 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 15%
UCSB Big WestBig West 17 9 65 .5231 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 15%
Charleston CoastalCoastal 17 10 63 .5255 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 14%
CSU Northridge Big WestBig West 16 10 62 .5183 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 14%
Bradley Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 18 9 67 .5346 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 13%
Wichita St. American AthleticAm. Athletic 16 10 62 .5292 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 13%
Northern Iowa Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 17 10 63 .5343 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 12%
UC San Diego Big WestBig West 18 9 67 .5266 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 11%
Texas SECSEC 15 9 63 .5602 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8%
West Virginia Big 12Big 12 16 9 64 .5598 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7%
Northern Colorado Big SkyBig Sky 17 10 63 .5069 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 17%
Wofford SouthernSouthern 17 10 63 .5075 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 17%
Tennessee St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 17 9 65 .5098 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 16%
Appalachian St.App. St. SunbeltSunbelt 18 10 64 .5188 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 15%
St. Peter's Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 15 9 63 .5153 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 14%
UC Davis Big WestBig West 16 10 62 .5161 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 10%
William & Mary CoastalCoastal 16 10 62 .5294 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 9%
Illinois St. Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 17 10 63 .5247 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 8%
Arkansas St. SunbeltSunbelt 16 11 59 .5199 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 7%
Grand Canyon Mountain WestMntn West 16 9 64 .5410 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 7%
Dayton Atlantic 10Atl. 10 16 9 64 .5407 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6%
Boise St. Mountain WestMntn West 15 10 60 .5540 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6%
Stanford ACCACC 16 10 62 .5593 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5%
Howard MideasternMid-Eastern 17 10 63 .4905 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 38%
Vermont America EastAmerica East 17 10 63 .4958 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 28%
NJIT America EastAmerica East 15 12 56 .4878 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 26%
Central Conn. NortheastNorth East 15 10 60 .4915 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 24%
Bethune-CookmanBethn-Ckmn SouthwesternSWAC 13 13 50 .4871 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 23%
Colgate Patriot LeaguePatriot League 16 12 57 .4953 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 21%
Montana St. Big SkyBig Sky 15 11 58 .5001 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 17%
Queens U. Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 15 12 56 .5002 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 16%
Furman SouthernSouthern 17 10 63 .5058 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 15%
Harvard Ivy LeagueIvy League 14 10 58 .5128 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 14%
Marist Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 16 10 62 .5105 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11%
Norfolk St. MideasternMid-Eastern 13 14 48 .4499 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 18%
N.C. Central MideasternMid-Eastern 10 14 42 .4338 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 17%
Alabama A&M SouthwesternSWAC 15 11 58 .4757 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 16%
Morehead St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 15 12 56 .4925 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 15%
AR Pine Bluff SouthwesternSWAC 11 15 42 .4668 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 14%
SE Missouri St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 16 11 59 .4960 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 13%
Green Bay HorizonHorizon 15 13 54 .5004 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 12%
Samford SouthernSouthern 15 12 56 .4948 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 12%
Morgan St. MideasternMid-Eastern 10 14 42 .4301 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 12%
Lindenwood Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 16 11 59 .4977 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 11%
American Patriot LeaguePatriot League 14 13 52 .4757 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 11%
Montana Big SkyBig Sky 14 12 54 .4929 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 11%
Southern SouthwesternSWAC 12 14 46 .4611 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 11%
Jackson St. SouthwesternSWAC 9 17 35 .4546 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 10%
SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 17 10 63 .4929 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9%
Fort Wayne HorizonHorizon 15 12 56 .4956 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9%
UT Arlington WACWAC 14 11 56 .5065 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9%
Fairfield Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 16 11 59 .5052 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8%
Idaho Big SkyBig Sky 14 12 54 .4840 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8%
Western Kentucky Conference USAConf. USA 14 11 56 .5028 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8%
Cornell Ivy LeagueIvy League 12 11 52 .4986 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8%
Coastal Carolina SunbeltSunbelt 16 11 59 .5132 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7%
Northern Kentucky HorizonHorizon 16 11 59 .4986 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7%
Stony Brook CoastalCoastal 16 11 59 .5106 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7%
Columbia Ivy LeagueIvy League 15 9 63 .5146 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7%
Texas State SunbeltSunbelt 17 11 61 .5017 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
UAB American AthleticAm. Athletic 16 10 62 .5216 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
UIC Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 15 12 56 .5068 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
UT-Rio Grande Valley SouthlandSouth-land 15 12 56 .5010 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
Monmouth CoastalCoastal 14 12 54 .5016 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
Iona Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 15 12 56 .4986 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
Kennesaw St. Conference USAConf. USA 14 11 56 .4931 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
Towson CoastalCoastal 14 13 52 .5094 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
Memphis American AthleticAm. Athletic 12 13 48 .5084 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
Bowling Green MACMAC 16 10 62 .5083 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Buffalo MACMAC 15 10 60 .5114 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Davidson Atlantic 10Atl. 10 15 10 60 .5258 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Temple American AthleticAm. Athletic 15 10 60 .5073 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Tulane American AthleticAm. Athletic 15 10 60 .5171 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
UMass MACMAC 15 11 58 .5088 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Florida Atlantic American AthleticAm. Athletic 14 12 54 .5130 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Colorado St. Mountain WestMntn West 15 10 60 .5259 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Duquesne Atlantic 10Atl. 10 15 10 60 .5225 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
St. Joseph's Atlantic 10Atl. 10 15 10 60 .5207 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Geo. Washington Atlantic 10Atl. 10 15 11 58 .5191 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
Creighton Big EastBig East 13 13 50 .5287 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
UNLV Mountain WestMntn West 13 12 52 .5199 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
North Dakota SummitSummit 15 14 52 .4760 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 8%
UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell America EastAmerica East 11 15 42 .4462 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 8%
MD Eastern Shore MideasternMid-Eastern 8 19 30 .4138 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 8%
Nebraska Omaha SummitSummit 14 14 50 .4673 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 7%
Radford Big SouthBig South 14 13 52 .4743 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 7%
South Dakota SummitSummit 14 13 52 .4683 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 7%
Texas Southern SouthwesternSWAC 9 15 38 .4416 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 7%
Boston U. Patriot LeaguePatriot League 13 15 46 .4583 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6%
Denver SummitSummit 13 15 46 .4683 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6%
Weber St. Big SkyBig Sky 13 14 48 .4675 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6%
Lehigh Patriot LeaguePatriot League 12 15 44 .4555 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6%
N.C. Asheville Big SouthBig South 12 14 46 .4683 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6%
Grambling SouthwesternSWAC 11 14 44 .4575 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6%
Florida A&M SouthwesternSWAC 9 14 39 .4448 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6%
S. Carolina St. MideasternMid-Eastern 6 18 25 .3977 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6%
Louisiana Tech Conference USAConf. USA 14 11 56 .4893 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
PresbyterianPresbyter. Big SouthBig South 13 14 48 .4661 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
Detroit HorizonHorizon 12 13 48 .4761 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
Middle Tenn. Conference USAConf. USA 12 13 48 .4861 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
N.C. Greensboro SouthernSouthern 12 15 44 .4638 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
South Dakota St. SummitSummit 12 15 44 .4586 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
Longwood Big SouthBig South 14 14 50 .4602 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. Conference USAConf. USA 13 12 52 .4786 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Missouri St. Conference USAConf. USA 13 12 52 .4795 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Toledo MACMAC 13 13 50 .5004 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Fair. Dickinson NortheastNorth East 10 17 37 .4237 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Western Carolina SouthernSouthern 10 15 40 .4568 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Eastern Washington Big SkyBig Sky 9 17 35 .4504 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
New Hampshire America EastAmerica East 8 16 33 .4291 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
North Texas American AthleticAm. Athletic 15 11 58 .5111 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Elon CoastalCoastal 14 13 52 .4951 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Texas A&M C.C. SouthlandSouth-land 14 13 52 .4830 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Valparaiso Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 14 13 52 .4946 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
CSU Fullerton Big WestBig West 13 14 48 .4862 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Ohio MACMAC 13 13 50 .4909 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Tarleton St. WACWAC 13 13 50 .4801 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Abilene Christian WACWAC 12 14 46 .4761 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Campbell CoastalCoastal 12 14 46 .4896 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Charleston Southern Big SouthBig South 12 15 44 .4531 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Fla Gulf Coast Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 12 15 44 .4643 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Mount St. Mary's Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 12 15 44 .4711 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
New Orleans SouthlandSouth-land 12 15 44 .4881 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Bellarmine Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 11 15 42 .4567 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Loyola-MD Patriot LeaguePatriot League 11 16 41 .4417 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
S. Carolina Upstate Big SouthBig South 11 16 41 .4503 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Alabama St. SouthwesternSWAC 9 17 35 .4395 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Sacramento St. Big SkyBig Sky 9 16 36 .4425 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Stonehill NortheastNorth East 9 18 33 .4190 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Wagner NortheastNorth East 9 15 38 .4233 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Delaware St. MideasternMid-Eastern 6 19 24 .3852 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Pacific West CoastWest Coast 17 11 61 .5208 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
James Madison SunbeltSunbelt 14 13 52 .4969 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Rhode Island Atlantic 10Atl. 10 14 11 56 .5193 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt Atlantic 10Atl. 10 14 11 56 .5155 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Charlotte American AthleticAm. Athletic 13 12 52 .4948 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Drexel CoastalCoastal 13 14 48 .4832 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Wyoming Mountain WestMntn West 13 12 52 .5122 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Youngstown St. HorizonHorizon 13 14 48 .4680 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
FIU Conference USAConf. USA 12 13 48 .4710 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
New Mexico St. Conference USAConf. USA 12 13 48 .4771 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Sacred Heart Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 12 16 43 .4674 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Southern Illinois Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 12 15 44 .4902 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Eastern Illinois Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 11 16 41 .4471 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Wis. Milwaukee HorizonHorizon 11 17 39 .4617 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Idaho St. Big SkyBig Sky 10 17 37 .4403 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
JacksonvilleJack.ville Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 10 17 37 .4493 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Prairie View A&M SouthwesternSWAC 10 16 38 .4268 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Albany America EastAmerica East 9 17 35 .4230 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Eastern Kentucky Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 9 18 33 .4433 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Bryant America EastAmerica East 8 18 31 .4155 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Seattle West CoastWest Coast 16 11 59 .5180 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
San Francisco West CoastWest Coast 15 12 56 .5144 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Syracuse ACCACC 15 12 56 .5389 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Cincinnati Big 12Big 12 14 12 54 .5378 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Fordham Atlantic 10Atl. 10 14 12 54 .4894 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Georgia Southern SunbeltSunbelt 14 12 54 .4847 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Oregon St. West CoastWest Coast 14 14 50 .5032 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Richmond Atlantic 10Atl. 10 14 12 54 .5084 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Southern Miss SunbeltSunbelt 14 14 50 .4844 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Arizona St. Big 12Big 12 13 12 52 .5405 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Butler Big EastBig East 13 13 50 .5227 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
DePaul Big EastBig East 13 12 52 .5146 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Georgetown Big EastBig East 13 12 52 .5256 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Wake Forest ACCACC 13 12 52 .5368 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Xavier Big EastBig East 13 12 52 .5221 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Drake Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 12 16 43 .4689 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Fresno St. Mountain WestMntn West 12 13 48 .4943 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Hampton CoastalCoastal 12 14 46 .4729 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Lamar SouthlandSouth-land 12 15 44 .4656 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Manhattan Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 12 16 43 .4606 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Cal Poly Big WestBig West 11 16 41 .4672 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
East Texas A&M SouthlandSouth-land 11 17 39 .4587 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Nicholls St. SouthlandSouth-land 11 16 41 .4677 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Providence Big EastBig East 11 15 42 .5100 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Army Patriot LeaguePatriot League 10 17 37 .4351 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
ChattanoogaChattan. SouthernSouthern 10 17 37 .4391 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Cleveland St. HorizonHorizon 10 17 37 .4427 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Dartmouth Ivy LeagueIvy League 10 13 43 .4695 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Northern Arizona Big SkyBig Sky 10 17 37 .4298 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
UALR Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 10 17 37 .4435 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
UTEP Conference USAConf. USA 10 16 38 .4528 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Citadel SouthernSouthern 9 18 33 .4205 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Holy Cross Patriot LeaguePatriot League 9 18 33 .4308 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Southern Utah WACWAC 9 17 35 .4506 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Stetson Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 9 18 33 .4324 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Bucknell Patriot LeaguePatriot League 8 19 30 .4373 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Lafayette Patriot LeaguePatriot League 8 19 30 .4230 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
North Alabama Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 8 17 32 .4280 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Alcorn St. SouthwesternSWAC 6 19 24 .4204 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Chicago St. NortheastNorth East 6 21 22 .4056 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Maine America EastAmerica East 6 21 22 .4042 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
North Florida Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 6 21 22 .4082 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
St. Francis NortheastNorth East 6 20 23 .3970 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Colorado Big 12Big 12 14 12 54 .5333 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
LSU SECSEC 14 11 56 .5295 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Le Moyne NortheastNorth East 14 13 52 .4711 X X X X X X X
Baylor Big 12Big 12 13 12 52 .5374 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Loyola Marymount West CoastWest Coast 13 15 46 .4894 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Mercyhurst NortheastNorth East 13 14 48 .4590 X X X X X X X
Oklahoma SECSEC 13 12 52 .5279 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Washington Big 10Big 10 13 13 50 .5316 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Florida St. ACCACC 12 13 48 .5235 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Mississippi St.Miss. St. SECSEC 12 13 48 .5205 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Notre Dame ACCACC 12 14 46 .5184 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Portland West CoastWest Coast 12 15 44 .4875 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
West Georgia Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 12 14 46 .4606 X X X X X X X
Georgia Tech ACCACC 11 15 42 .4896 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Minnesota Big 10Big 10 11 14 44 .5088 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
New Haven NortheastNorth East 11 15 42 .4447 X X X X X X X
Ole Miss SECSEC 11 14 44 .5063 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Penn State Big 10Big 10 11 15 42 .5018 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Rice American AthleticAm. Athletic 11 15 42 .4628 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
San Diego West CoastWest Coast 11 17 39 .4620 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
South Carolina SECSEC 11 14 44 .4960 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Tennessee Tech Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 11 16 41 .4413 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Washington St. West CoastWest Coast 11 16 41 .4854 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Houston Christian SouthlandSouth-land 10 17 37 .4430 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Incarnate Word SouthlandSouth-land 10 17 37 .4373 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Indiana St. Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 10 17 37 .4536 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Kansas St. Big 12Big 12 10 15 40 .5024 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Maryland Big 10Big 10 10 14 42 .5061 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
N. Carolina A&T CoastalCoastal 10 14 42 .4573 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
NorthwesternN. Western Big 10Big 10 10 16 38 .5036 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Old Dominion SunbeltSunbelt 10 18 36 .4608 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Rutgers Big 10Big 10 10 15 40 .4989 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Boston College ACCACC 9 16 36 .4758 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Delaware Conference USAConf. USA 9 16 36 .4581 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
E. Carolina American AthleticAm. Athletic 9 16 36 .4554 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Eastern Michigan MACMAC 9 17 35 .4555 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Georgia St. SunbeltSunbelt 9 18 33 .4392 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
LA Lafayette SunbeltSunbelt 9 18 33 .4492 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Marquette Big EastBig East 9 17 35 .4819 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Oregon Big 10Big 10 9 16 36 .4945 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Pittsburgh ACCACC 9 17 35 .4889 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Utah Big 12Big 12 9 16 36 .4910 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Western Michigan MACMAC 9 16 36 .4591 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Ball State MACMAC 8 17 32 .4256 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Brown Ivy LeagueIvy League 8 15 35 .4398 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Big WestBig West 8 18 31 .4324 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Canisius Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 8 19 30 .4274 X X X X X X X
Central Michigan MACMAC 8 17 32 .4385 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Long Beach St. Big WestBig West 8 18 31 .4333 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Northern Illinois MACMAC 8 16 33 .4398 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Northwestern St.NWestrn St SouthlandSouth-land 8 19 30 .4295 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Princeton Ivy LeagueIvy League 8 17 32 .4507 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
SE Louisiana SouthlandSouth-land 8 19 30 .4360 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
UC Riverside Big WestBig West 8 19 30 .4397 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
IU Indy HorizonHorizon 7 21 25 .4143 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
La Salle Atlantic 10Atl. 10 7 18 28 .4556 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Niagara Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 7 19 27 .4205 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Pepperdine West CoastWest Coast 7 20 26 .4297 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Coppin St. MideasternMid-Eastern 6 21 22 .4025 X X X X X X X
Evansville Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 6 20 23 .4231 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Loyola Chicago Atlantic 10Atl. 10 6 20 23 .4341 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
NortheasternN. Eastern CoastalCoastal 6 18 25 .4448 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Oral Roberts SummitSummit 6 21 22 .3963 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
San José State Mountain WestMntn West 6 19 24 .4418 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
VMI SouthernSouthern 6 21 22 .3891 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Binghamton America EastAmerica East 5 22 19 .3600 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Southern Indiana Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 5 21 19 .3894 X X X X X X X
Texas-San Antonio American AthleticAm. Athletic 5 20 20 .4167 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Western Illinois Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 5 22 19 .3755 X X X X X X X
UL Monroe SunbeltSunbelt 4 22 15 .3778 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
UMKC SummitSummit 4 22 15 .3649 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Air Force Mountain WestMntn West 3 22 12 .4123 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Gardner-WebbGardnr-Wbb Big SouthBig South 3 24 11 .3670 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Rider Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 3 22 12 .3847 X X X X X X X
Miss. Valley St. SouthwesternSWAC 1 25 4 .3279 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next tournament round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this tournament round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot