PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Mar 3 9:30 pm

NBA - Week 19 of 25

Miami Heat Playoff Picture

Where are the Heat going in the playoff? The Heat playoff picture table presents the probabilities that the Heat will win each playoff spot. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Eastern Conference Playoff Standings
Record Rcrd Conference Playoff Spots No
Playoffs
No
POs
Team Wi
Schedule Content
Number of Wins
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Recent Games
L GPi
Games Played
82 game season
1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7**
Play-in
8**
Play-in
9**
Play-in
10**
Play-in
11
Celtics 48i
Celtics Recent Games

Won  Sat, Feb 24 @  Knicks        116-102
Won  Tue, Feb 27 vs Sixers        117-99 
Won  Fri, Mar 01 vs Mavericks     138-110
Won  Sun, Mar 03 vs Warriors      140-88 
     Tue, Mar 05 @  Cavs          
     Thu, Mar 07 @  Nuggets       
     Sat, Mar 09 @  Suns          
     Mon, Mar 11 @  Trail Blazers 

12 60 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Bucks 40
Bucks Recent Games

Won  Sun, Feb 25 @  Sixers        119-98 
Won  Tue, Feb 27 vs Hornets       123-85 
Won  Thu, Feb 29 @  Hornets       111-99 
Won  Fri, Mar 01 @  Bulls         113-97 
     Mon, Mar 04 vs Clippers      
     Wed, Mar 06 @  Warriors      
     Fri, Mar 08 @  Lakers        
     Sun, Mar 10 @  Clippers      

21 61 <1% 43% 33% 14% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Cavaliers 39
Cavaliers Recent Games

Won  Tue, Feb 27 vs Mavericks     121-119
Lost Wed, Feb 28 @  Bulls         123-132
Won  Fri, Mar 01 @  Pistons       110-100
Lost Sun, Mar 03 vs Knicks         98-107
     Tue, Mar 05 vs Celtics       
     Wed, Mar 06 @  Hawks         
     Fri, Mar 08 vs T. Wolves     
     Sun, Mar 10 vs Nets          

21 60 <1% 44% 29% 14% 8% 4% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Knicks 36
Knicks Recent Games

Won  Mon, Feb 26 vs Pistons       113-111
Lost Tue, Feb 27 vs Pelicans       92-115
Lost Thu, Feb 29 vs Warriors       99-110
Won  Sun, Mar 03 @  Cavs          107-98 
     Tue, Mar 05 vs Hawks         
     Fri, Mar 08 vs Magic         
     Sun, Mar 10 vs Sixers        
     Tue, Mar 12 vs Sixers        

25 61 <1% 4% 10% 21% 22% 20% 15% 8% <1% <1% <1%
Sixers 35
Sixers Recent Games

Lost Sun, Feb 25 vs Bucks          98-119
Lost Tue, Feb 27 @  Celtics        99-117
Won  Fri, Mar 01 vs Hornets       121-114
Won  Sun, Mar 03 @  Mavericks     120-116
     Tue, Mar 05 @  Nets          
     Wed, Mar 06 vs Grizzlies     
     Fri, Mar 08 vs Pelicans      
     Sun, Mar 10 @  Knicks        

25 60 <1% 2% 5% 13% 17% 21% 24% 17% 1% <1% <1%
Magic 35
Magic Recent Games

Lost Sun, Feb 25 @  Hawks          92-109
Won  Tue, Feb 27 vs Nets          108-81 
Won  Thu, Feb 29 vs Jazz          115-107
Won  Sun, Mar 03 vs Pistons       113-91 
     Tue, Mar 05 @  Hornets       
     Wed, Mar 06 @  Wizards       
     Fri, Mar 08 @  Knicks        
     Sun, Mar 10 vs Pacers        

26 61 <1% 5% 12% 19% 21% 20% 16% 7% <1% <1% <1%
Heat 34
Heat Recent Games

Won  Mon, Feb 26 @  Kings         121-110
Won  Tue, Feb 27 @  Trail Blazers 106-96 
Lost Thu, Feb 29 @  Nuggets        97-103
Won  Sat, Mar 02 vs Jazz          126-120
     Tue, Mar 05 vs Pistons       
     Thu, Mar 07 @  Mavericks     
     Fri, Mar 08 @  Thunder       
     Sun, Mar 10 vs Wizards       

26 60 <1% 3% 10% 17% 20% 20% 18% 12% <1% <1% <1%
Pacers 34
Pacers Recent Games

Lost Mon, Feb 26 vs Raptors       122-130
Won  Wed, Feb 28 vs Pelicans      123-114
Lost Fri, Mar 01 @  Pelicans      102-129
Lost Sun, Mar 03 @  Spurs         105-117
     Tue, Mar 05 @  Mavericks     
     Thu, Mar 07 vs T. Wolves     
     Sun, Mar 10 @  Magic         
     Tue, Mar 12 @  Thunder       

28 62 <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 12% 24% 48% 6% <1% <1%
Bulls 28
Bulls Recent Games

Won  Sun, Feb 25 @  Pelicans      114-106
Lost Tue, Feb 27 vs Pistons        95-105
Won  Wed, Feb 28 vs Cavs          132-123
Lost Fri, Mar 01 vs Bucks          97-113
     Mon, Mar 04 @  Kings         
     Wed, Mar 06 @  Jazz          
     Thu, Mar 07 @  Warriors      
     Sat, Mar 09 @  Clippers      

32 60 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 68% 17% 7%
Hawks 26
Hawks Recent Games

Won  Sun, Feb 25 vs Magic         109-92 
Won  Tue, Feb 27 vs Jazz          124-97 
Lost Thu, Feb 29 @  Nets           97-124
Lost Sat, Mar 02 @  Nets          102-114
     Tue, Mar 05 @  Knicks        
     Wed, Mar 06 vs Cavs          
     Fri, Mar 08 @  Grizzlies     
     Sun, Mar 10 vs Pelicans      

34 60 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 13% 43% 44%
 
Nets 24
Nets Recent Games

Won  Mon, Feb 26 @  Grizzlies     111-86 
Lost Tue, Feb 27 @  Magic          81-108
Won  Thu, Feb 29 vs Hawks         124-97 
Won  Sat, Mar 02 vs Hawks         114-102
     Mon, Mar 04 vs Grizzlies     
     Tue, Mar 05 vs Sixers        
     Thu, Mar 07 @  Pistons       
     Sat, Mar 09 @  Hornets       

36 60 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 10% 30% 60%
Raptors 23
Raptors Recent Games

Won  Mon, Feb 26 @  Pacers        130-122
Lost Wed, Feb 28 vs Mavericks     125-136
Lost Fri, Mar 01 vs Warriors      105-120
Won  Sun, Mar 03 vs Hornets       111-106
     Tue, Mar 05 vs Pelicans      
     Thu, Mar 07 @  Suns          
     Sat, Mar 09 @  Trail Blazers 
     Mon, Mar 11 @  Nuggets       

38 61 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 90%
Hornets 15
Hornets Recent Games

Lost Tue, Feb 27 @  Bucks          85-123
Lost Thu, Feb 29 vs Bucks          99-111
Lost Fri, Mar 01 @  Sixers        114-121
Lost Sun, Mar 03 @  Raptors       106-111
     Tue, Mar 05 vs Magic         
     Fri, Mar 08 @  Wizards       
     Sat, Mar 09 vs Nets          
     Mon, Mar 11 @  Pistons       

46 61 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Wizards 9
Wizards Recent Games

Lost Sun, Feb 25 vs Cavs          105-114
Lost Tue, Feb 27 vs Warriors      112-123
Lost Thu, Feb 29 @  Lakers        131-134
Lost Fri, Mar 01 @  Clippers      115-140
     Mon, Mar 04 @  Jazz          
     Wed, Mar 06 vs Magic         
     Fri, Mar 08 vs Hornets       
     Sun, Mar 10 @  Heat          

51 60 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
Pistons 9
Pistons Recent Games

Lost Mon, Feb 26 @  Knicks        111-113
Won  Tue, Feb 27 @  Bulls         105-95 
Lost Fri, Mar 01 vs Cavs          100-110
Lost Sun, Mar 03 @  Magic          91-113
     Tue, Mar 05 @  Heat          
     Thu, Mar 07 vs Nets          
     Sat, Mar 09 vs Mavericks     
     Mon, Mar 11 vs Hornets       

51 60 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs
  • ** denotes Play-in Tournament Participant


(7) Heat 1st Round Playoff Matchup Probabilities
Record Total Home
(29%)
Away
(63%)
Opponent W L
(3)Cavaliers 39 21 19% 3% 16%
(2)Bucks 40 21 18% 1% 17%
(6)Magic 35 26 17% 9% 8%
(4)Knicks 36 25 17% 7% 10%
(5)Sixers 35 25 11% 7% 4%
(1)Celtics 48 12 8% <1% 8%
(8)Pacers 34 28 4% 3% 1%
(9)Bulls 28 32 <1% <1% <1%
(10)Hawks 26 34 <1% <1% <1%
(11)Nets 24 36 <1% <1% <1%
(12)Raptors 23 38 <1% <1% <1%
(13)Hornets 15 46 <1% <1% X
(14)Wizards 9 51 X X X
(15)Pistons 9 51 X X X
Elimination 8%



Heat Schedule
Current Week 20
Week Wk Opponent Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
1 Pistons
(9‑51)
103‑102 Home Wed Oct 25, 7:30 pm
1 Celtics
(48‑12)
111‑119 Away Fri Oct 27, 7:30 pm
1 TimberwolvesT. Wolves
(42‑19)
90‑106 Away Sat Oct 28, 8:00 pm
2 Bucks
(40‑21)
114‑122 Away Mon Oct 30, 8:00 pm
2 Nets
(24‑36)
105‑109 Home Wed Nov 1, 7:30 pm
2 Wizards
(9‑51)
121‑114 Home Fri Nov 3, 8:00 pm
3 Lakers
(33‑29)
108‑107 Home Mon Nov 6, 7:30 pm
3 Grizzlies
(20‑41)
108‑102 Away Wed Nov 8, 8:00 pm
3 Hawks
(26‑34)
117‑109 Away Sat Nov 11, 7:30 pm
3 Spurs
(13‑48)
118‑113 Away Sun Nov 12, 7:00 pm
4 Hornets
(15‑46)
111‑105 Away Tue Nov 14, 7:00 pm
4 Nets
(24‑36)
122‑115 Home Thu Nov 16, 7:30 pm
4 Bulls
(28‑32)
97‑102 Away Sat Nov 18, 8:00 pm
5 Bulls
(28‑32)
118‑100 Away Mon Nov 20, 8:00 pm
5 Cavaliers
(39‑21)
129‑96 Away Wed Nov 22, 7:30 pm
5 Knicks
(36‑25)
98‑100 Away Fri Nov 24, 7:30 pm
5 Nets
(24‑36)
97‑112 Away Sat Nov 25, 6:00 pm
6 Bucks
(40‑21)
124‑131 Home Tue Nov 28, 7:30 pm
6 Pacers
(34‑28)
142‑132 Home Thu Nov 30, 7:30 pm
6 Pacers
(34‑28)
129‑144 Home Sat Dec 2, 8:00 pm
7 Raptors
(23‑38)
112‑103 Away Wed Dec 6
7 Cavaliers
(39‑21)
99‑111 Home Fri Dec 8
8 Hornets
(15‑46)
116‑114 Away Mon Dec 11, 7:00 pm
8 Hornets
(15‑46)
115‑104 Home Wed Dec 13, 7:30 pm
8 Bulls
(28‑32)
116‑124 Home Thu Dec 14, 7:30 pm
8 Bulls
(28‑32)
118‑116 Home Sat Dec 16, 8:00 pm
9 TimberwolvesT. Wolves
(42‑19)
108‑112 Home Mon Dec 18, 7:30 pm
9 Magic
(35‑26)
115‑106 Away Wed Dec 20, 7:00 pm
9 Hawks
(26‑34)
122‑113 Home Fri Dec 22, 8:00 pm
10 Sixers
(35‑25)
119‑113 Home Mon Dec 25, 8:00 pm
10 Warriors
(32‑28)
114‑102 Away Thu Dec 28, 10:00 pm
10 Jazz
(27‑34)
109‑117 Away Sat Dec 30, 5:00 pm
11 Clippers
(39‑20)
104‑121 Away Mon Jan 1, 10:30 pm
11 Lakers
(33‑29)
110‑96 Away Wed Jan 3, 10:00 pm
11 Suns
(35‑25)
97‑113 Away Fri Jan 5, 9:00 pm
12 Rockets
(26‑34)
120‑113 Home Mon Jan 8, 7:30 pm
12 Thunder
(41‑18)
120‑128 Home Wed Jan 10, 7:30 pm
12 Magic
(35‑26)
99‑96 Home Fri Jan 12, 8:00 pm
12 Hornets
(15‑46)
104‑87 Home Sun Jan 14, 6:00 pm
13 Nets
(24‑36)
96‑95 (OT) Away Mon Jan 15, 7:30 pm
13 Raptors
(23‑38)
97‑121 Away Wed Jan 17, 7:30 pm
13 Hawks
(26‑34)
108‑109 Home Fri Jan 19, 8:00 pm
13 Magic
(35‑26)
87‑105 Away Sun Jan 21, 6:00 pm
14 Grizzlies
(20‑41)
96‑105 Home Wed Jan 24, 7:30 pm
14 Celtics
(48‑12)
110‑143 Home Thu Jan 25, 7:30 pm
14 Knicks
(36‑25)
109‑125 Away Sat Jan 27, 3:00 pm
15 Suns
(35‑25)
105‑118 Home Mon Jan 29, 7:30 pm
15 Kings
(34‑25)
115‑106 Home Wed Jan 31, 7:30 pm
15 Wizards
(9‑51)
110‑102 Away Fri Feb 2, 7:00 pm
15 Clippers
(39‑20)
95‑103 Home Sun Feb 4, 6:17 pm
16 Magic
(35‑26)
121‑95 Home Tue Feb 6, 7:30 pm
16 Spurs
(13‑48)
116‑104 Home Wed Feb 7, 7:30 pm
16 Celtics
(48‑12)
106‑110 Home Sun Feb 11, 2:00 pm
17 Bucks
(40‑21)
123‑97 Away Tue Feb 13, 8:00 pm
17 Sixers
(35‑25)
109‑104 Away Wed Feb 14, 7:00 pm
18 Pelicans
(36‑25)
106‑95 Away Fri Feb 23, 8:00 pm
19 Kings
(34‑25)
121‑110 Away Mon Feb 26, 10:00 pm
19 Trail Blazers
(17‑42)
106‑96 Away Tue Feb 27, 10:00 pm
19 Nuggets
(42‑19)
97‑103 Away Thu Feb 29, 10:00 pm
19 Jazz
(27‑34)
126‑120 Home Sat Mar 2, 5:00 pm
20 Pistons
(9‑51)
  Home Tue Mar 5, 7:30 pm
20 Mavericks
(34‑27)
  Away Thu Mar 7, 7:30 pm
20 Thunder
(41‑18)
  Away Fri Mar 8, 8:00 pm
20 Wizards
(9‑51)
  Home Sun Mar 10, 6:00 pm
21 Nuggets
(42‑19)
  Home Wed Mar 13, 7:30 pm
21 Pistons
(9‑51)
  Away Fri Mar 15, 7:00 pm
21 Pistons
(9‑51)
  Away Sun Mar 17, 3:00 pm
22 Sixers
(35‑25)
  Away Mon Mar 18, 7:30 pm
22 Cavaliers
(39‑21)
  Away Wed Mar 20, 7:00 pm
22 Pelicans
(36‑25)
  Home Fri Mar 22, 8:00 pm
22 Cavaliers
(39‑21)
  Home Sun Mar 24, 6:00 pm
23 Warriors
(32‑28)
  Home Tue Mar 26, 7:30 pm
23 Trail Blazers
(17‑42)
  Home Fri Mar 29, 8:00 pm
23 Wizards
(9‑51)
  Away Sun Mar 31, 6:00 pm
24 Knicks
(36‑25)
  Home Tue Apr 2, 7:30 pm
24 Sixers
(35‑25)
  Home Thu Apr 4, 7:30 pm
24 Rockets
(26‑34)
  Away Fri Apr 5, 8:00 pm
24 Pacers
(34‑28)
  Away Sun Apr 7, 5:00 pm
25 Hawks
(26‑34)
  Away Tue Apr 9, 7:30 pm
25 Mavericks
(34‑27)
  Home Wed Apr 10, 7:30 pm
25 Raptors
(23‑38)
  Home Fri Apr 12, 8:00 pm
25 Raptors
(23‑38)
  Home Sun Apr 14, 1:00 pm