Where are the Heat going in the playoff? The Heat playoff picture table presents the probabilities that the Heat will win each playoff spot. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs |
||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 82 game season |
1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 |
| Pistons | 48i Pistons Recent Games Lost Sun, Mar 08 @ Heat 110-121 Won Tue, Mar 10 @ Nets 138-100 Won Thu, Mar 12 vs Sixers 131-109 Won Fri, Mar 13 vs Grizzlies 126-110 Sun, Mar 15 @ Raptors Tue, Mar 17 @ Wizards Thu, Mar 19 @ Wizards Fri, Mar 20 vs Warriors |
18 | 66 | 98% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Celtics | 43 Celtics Recent Games Won Fri, Mar 06 vs Mavericks 120-100 Won Sun, Mar 08 @ Cavs 109-98 Lost Tue, Mar 10 @ Spurs 116-125 Lost Thu, Mar 12 @ Thunder 102-104 Sat, Mar 14 vs Wizards Mon, Mar 16 vs Suns Wed, Mar 18 vs Warriors Fri, Mar 20 @ Grizzlies |
23 | 66 | 1% | 54% | 33% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Knicks | 43 Knicks Recent Games Lost Sun, Mar 08 @ Lakers 97-110 Lost Mon, Mar 09 @ Clippers 118-126 Won Wed, Mar 11 @ Jazz 134-117 Won Fri, Mar 13 @ Pacers 101-92 Sun, Mar 15 vs Warriors Tue, Mar 17 vs Pacers Wed, Mar 18 @ Grizzlies Fri, Mar 20 @ Nets |
25 | 68 | <1% | 38% | 41% | 18% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Cavaliers | 41 Cavaliers Recent Games Lost Sun, Mar 08 vs Celtics 98-109 Won Mon, Mar 09 vs Sixers 115-101 Lost Wed, Mar 11 @ Magic 122-128 Won Fri, Mar 13 @ Mavericks 138-105 Sun, Mar 15 vs Mavericks Tue, Mar 17 @ Bucks Thu, Mar 19 @ Bulls Sat, Mar 21 @ Pelicans |
26 | 67 | <1% | 6% | 23% | 56% | 11% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Heat | 38 Heat Recent Games Won Fri, Mar 06 @ Hornets 128-120 Won Sun, Mar 08 vs Pistons 121-110 Won Tue, Mar 10 vs Wizards 150-129 Won Thu, Mar 12 vs Bucks 112-105 Sat, Mar 14 vs Magic Tue, Mar 17 @ Hornets Thu, Mar 19 vs Lakers Sat, Mar 21 @ Rockets |
29 | 67 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 23% | 26% | 23% | 14% | 7% | 2% | <1% |
| Magic | 37 Magic Recent Games Won Sat, Mar 07 @ T. Wolves 119-92 Won Sun, Mar 08 @ Bucks 130-91 Won Wed, Mar 11 vs Cavs 128-122 Won Thu, Mar 12 vs Wizards 136-131 Sat, Mar 14 @ Heat Mon, Mar 16 @ Hawks Tue, Mar 17 vs Thunder Thu, Mar 19 @ Hornets |
28 | 65 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 31% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 3% | <1% |
| Raptors | 37 Raptors Recent Games Won Sun, Mar 08 vs Mavericks 122-92 Lost Tue, Mar 10 @ Rockets 99-113 Lost Wed, Mar 11 @ Pelicans 111-122 Won Fri, Mar 13 vs Suns 122-115 Sun, Mar 15 vs Pistons Wed, Mar 18 @ Bulls Fri, Mar 20 @ Nuggets Sun, Mar 22 @ Suns |
29 | 66 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 24% | 27% | 22% | 14% | 7% | 2% | <1% |
| Hawks | 35 Hawks Recent Games Won Wed, Mar 04 @ Bucks 131-113 Won Sat, Mar 07 vs Sixers 125-116 Won Tue, Mar 10 vs Mavericks 124-112 Won Thu, Mar 12 vs Nets 108-97 Sat, Mar 14 vs Bucks Mon, Mar 16 vs Magic Wed, Mar 18 @ Mavericks Fri, Mar 20 @ Rockets |
31 | 66 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 15% | 23% | 27% | 23% | <1% |
| Sixers | 35 Sixers Recent Games Lost Sat, Mar 07 @ Hawks 116-125 Lost Mon, Mar 09 @ Cavs 101-115 Won Tue, Mar 10 vs Grizzlies 139-129 Lost Thu, Mar 12 @ Pistons 109-131 Sat, Mar 14 vs Nets Sun, Mar 15 vs Trail Blazers Tue, Mar 17 @ Nuggets Thu, Mar 19 @ Kings |
31 | 66 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 11% | 17% | 22% | 24% | 20% | <1% |
| Hornets | 34 Hornets Recent Games Lost Fri, Mar 06 vs Heat 120-128 Lost Sun, Mar 08 @ Suns 99-111 Won Tue, Mar 10 @ Trail Blazers 103-101 Won Wed, Mar 11 @ Kings 117-109 Sat, Mar 14 @ Spurs Tue, Mar 17 vs Heat Thu, Mar 19 vs Magic Sat, Mar 21 vs Grizzlies |
33 | 67 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 15% | 27% | 48% | 1% |
| Bucks | 27 Bucks Recent Games Won Sat, Mar 07 vs Jazz 113-99 Lost Sun, Mar 08 vs Magic 91-130 Lost Tue, Mar 10 vs Suns 114-129 Lost Thu, Mar 12 @ Heat 105-112 Sat, Mar 14 @ Hawks Sun, Mar 15 vs Pacers Tue, Mar 17 vs Cavs Thu, Mar 19 @ Jazz |
38 | 65 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Bulls | 27 Bulls Recent Games Won Thu, Mar 05 @ Suns 105-103 Lost Sun, Mar 08 @ Kings 110-126 Won Tue, Mar 10 @ Warriors 130-124 Lost Thu, Mar 12 @ Lakers 130-142 Fri, Mar 13 @ Clippers Mon, Mar 16 vs Grizzlies Wed, Mar 18 vs Raptors Thu, Mar 19 vs Cavs |
39 | 66 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Nets | 17 Nets Recent Games Won Sat, Mar 07 @ Pistons 107-105 Won Mon, Mar 09 vs Grizzlies 126-115 Lost Tue, Mar 10 vs Pistons 100-138 Lost Thu, Mar 12 @ Hawks 97-108 Sat, Mar 14 @ Sixers Mon, Mar 16 vs Trail Blazers Wed, Mar 18 vs Thunder Fri, Mar 20 vs Knicks |
49 | 66 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Wizards | 16 Wizards Recent Games Lost Thu, Mar 05 vs Jazz 112-122 Lost Sun, Mar 08 @ Pelicans 118-138 Lost Tue, Mar 10 @ Heat 129-150 Lost Thu, Mar 12 @ Magic 131-136 Sat, Mar 14 @ Celtics Mon, Mar 16 vs Warriors Tue, Mar 17 vs Pistons Thu, Mar 19 vs Pistons |
49 | 65 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Pacers | 15 Pacers Recent Games Lost Sun, Mar 08 @ Trail Blazers 111-131 Lost Tue, Mar 10 @ Kings 109-114 Lost Thu, Mar 12 vs Suns 108-123 Lost Fri, Mar 13 vs Knicks 92-101 Sun, Mar 15 @ Bucks Tue, Mar 17 @ Knicks Wed, Mar 18 vs Trail Blazers Sat, Mar 21 @ Spurs |
52 | 67 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Record | Total | Home (6%) |
Away (78%) |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |||
| (4)Cavaliers | 41 | 26 | 26% | 4% | 22% |
| (3)Knicks | 43 | 25 | 22% | 1% | 22% |
| (2)Celtics | 43 | 23 | 21% | <1% | 21% |
| (1)Pistons | 48 | 18 | 11% | <1% | 11% |
| (6)Magic | 37 | 28 | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| (7)Raptors | 37 | 29 | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| (8)Hawks | 35 | 31 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (9)Sixers | 35 | 31 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (10)Hornets | 34 | 33 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (11)Bucks | 27 | 38 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (12)Bulls | 27 | 39 | <1% | <1% | X |
| Elimination | 16% | ||||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Magic (37‑28) |
121‑125 | Away | Wed Oct 22 |
| 1 | Grizzlies (23‑43) |
146‑114 | Away | Fri Oct 24 |
| 1 | Knicks (43‑25) |
115‑107 | Home | Sun Oct 26 |
| 2 | Hornets (34‑33) |
144‑117 | Home | Tue Oct 28 |
| 2 | Spurs (48‑18) |
101‑107 | Away | Thu Oct 30 |
| 2 | Lakers (41‑25) |
120‑130 | Away | Sun Nov 2 |
| 3 | Clippers (33‑32) |
120‑119 | Away | Mon Nov 3 |
| 3 | Nuggets (41‑26) |
112‑122 | Away | Wed Nov 5 |
| 3 | Hornets (34‑33) |
126‑108 | Home | Fri Nov 7 |
| 3 | Trail Blazers (31‑35) |
136‑131 | Home | Sat Nov 8 |
| 4 | Cavaliers (41‑26) |
140‑138 (OT) | Home | Mon Nov 10 |
| 4 | Cavaliers (41‑26) |
116‑130 | Home | Wed Nov 12 |
| 4 | Knicks (43‑25) |
132‑140 | Away | Fri Nov 14 |
| 5 | Knicks (43‑25) |
115‑113 | Home | Mon Nov 17 |
| 5 | Warriors (32‑33) |
110‑96 | Home | Wed Nov 19 |
| 5 | Bulls (27‑39) |
143‑107 | Away | Fri Nov 21 |
| 5 | Sixers (35‑31) |
127‑117 | Away | Sun Nov 23 |
| 6 | Mavericks (22‑45) |
106‑102 | Home | Mon Nov 24 |
| 6 | Bucks (27‑38) |
106‑103 | Home | Wed Nov 26 |
| 6 | Pistons (48‑18) |
135‑138 | Home | Sat Nov 29 |
| 7 | Clippers (33‑32) |
140‑123 | Home | Mon Dec 1 |
| 7 | Mavericks (22‑45) |
108‑118 | Away | Wed Dec 3 |
| 7 | Magic (37‑28) |
105‑106 | Away | Fri Dec 5 |
| 7 | Kings (16‑51) |
111‑127 | Home | Sat Dec 6 |
| 8 | Magic (37‑28) |
108‑117 | Away | Tue Dec 9 |
| 9 | Raptors (37‑29) |
96‑106 | Home | Mon Dec 15, 7:30 pm |
| 9 | Nets (17‑49) |
106‑95 | Away | Thu Dec 18, 7:30 pm |
| 9 | Celtics (43‑23) |
116‑129 | Away | Fri Dec 19, 7:00 pm |
| 9 | Knicks (43‑25) |
125‑132 | Away | Sun Dec 21, 6:00 pm |
| 10 | Raptors (37‑29) |
91‑112 | Home | Tue Dec 23, 7:30 pm |
| 10 | Hawks (35‑31) |
126‑111 | Away | Fri Dec 26, 7:00 pm |
| 10 | Pacers (15‑52) |
142‑116 | Home | Sat Dec 27, 8:00 pm |
| 11 | Nuggets (41‑26) |
147‑123 | Home | Mon Dec 29, 7:30 pm |
| 11 | Pistons (48‑18) |
118‑112 | Away | Thu Jan 1, 7:00 pm |
| 11 | TimberwolvesT. Wolves (40‑26) |
115‑125 | Home | Sat Jan 3, 5:00 pm |
| 11 | Pelicans (22‑46) |
125‑106 | Home | Sun Jan 4, 6:00 pm |
| 12 | TimberwolvesT. Wolves (40‑26) |
94‑122 | Away | Tue Jan 6, 8:00 pm |
| 12 | Pacers (15‑52) |
99‑123 | Away | Sat Jan 10, 7:00 pm |
| 12 | Thunder (52‑15) |
112‑124 | Away | Sun Jan 11, 7:00 pm |
| 13 | Suns (39‑28) |
127‑121 | Home | Tue Jan 13, 7:30 pm |
| 13 | Celtics (43‑23) |
114‑119 | Home | Thu Jan 15, 7:30 pm |
| 13 | Thunder (52‑15) |
122‑120 | Home | Sat Jan 17, 8:00 pm |
| 14 | Warriors (32‑33) |
112‑135 | Away | Mon Jan 19, 10:00 pm |
| 14 | Kings (16‑51) |
130‑117 | Away | Tue Jan 20, 10:00 pm |
| 14 | Trail Blazers (31‑35) |
110‑127 | Away | Thu Jan 22, 10:00 pm |
| 14 | Jazz (20‑46) |
147‑116 | Away | Sat Jan 24, 9:30 pm |
| 14 | Suns (39‑28) |
111‑102 | Away | Sun Jan 25, 8:00 pm |
| 15 | Magic (37‑28) |
124‑133 | Home | Wed Jan 28, 7:30 pm |
| 15 | Bulls (27‑39) |
116‑113 | Away | Thu Jan 29, 8:00 pm |
| 15 | Bulls (27‑39) |
118‑125 | Home | Sat Jan 31, 8:00 pm |
| 15 | Bulls (27‑39) |
134‑91 | Home | Sun Feb 1, 6:00 pm |
| 16 | Hawks (35‑31) |
115‑127 | Home | Tue Feb 3, 7:30 pm |
| 16 | Celtics (43‑23) |
96‑98 | Away | Fri Feb 6, 7:30 pm |
| 16 | Wizards (16‑49) |
132‑101 | Away | Sun Feb 8, 2:00 pm |
| 17 | Jazz (20‑46) |
111‑115 | Home | Mon Feb 9, 7:30 pm |
| 17 | Pelicans (22‑46) |
123‑111 | Away | Wed Feb 11, 8:00 pm |
| 18 | Hawks (35‑31) |
128‑97 | Away | Fri Feb 20, 7:30 pm |
| 18 | Grizzlies (23‑43) |
136‑120 | Home | Sat Feb 21, 8:00 pm |
| 19 | Bucks (27‑38) |
117‑128 | Away | Tue Feb 24, 8:00 pm |
| 19 | Sixers (35‑31) |
117‑124 | Away | Thu Feb 26, 7:00 pm |
| 19 | Rockets (41‑25) |
115‑105 | Home | Sat Feb 28, 3:30 pm |
| 20 | Nets (17‑49) |
124‑98 | Home | Tue Mar 3, 7:30 pm |
| 20 | Nets (17‑49) |
126‑110 | Home | Thu Mar 5, 7:30 pm |
| 20 | Hornets (34‑33) |
128‑120 | Away | Fri Mar 6, 7:00 pm |
| 20 | Pistons (48‑18) |
121‑110 | Home | Sun Mar 8, 6:00 pm |
| 21 | Wizards (16‑49) |
150‑129 | Home | Tue Mar 10, 7:30 pm |
| 21 | Bucks (27‑38) |
112‑105 | Home | Thu Mar 12, 7:30 pm |
| 21 | Magic (37‑28) |
Home | Sat Mar 14, 8:00 pm | |
| 22 | Hornets (34‑33) |
Away | Tue Mar 17, 7:00 pm | |
| 22 | Lakers (41‑25) |
Home | Thu Mar 19, 8:00 pm | |
| 22 | Rockets (41‑25) |
Away | Sat Mar 21, 8:00 pm | |
| 23 | Spurs (48‑18) |
Home | Mon Mar 23, 7:30 pm | |
| 23 | Cavaliers (41‑26) |
Away | Wed Mar 25, 7:30 pm | |
| 23 | Cavaliers (41‑26) |
Away | Fri Mar 27, 7:30 pm | |
| 23 | Pacers (15‑52) |
Away | Sun Mar 29, 5:00 pm | |
| 24 | Sixers (35‑31) |
Home | Mon Mar 30, 7:00 pm | |
| 24 | Celtics (43‑23) |
Home | Wed Apr 1, 7:30 pm | |
| 24 | Wizards (16‑49) |
Home | Sat Apr 4, 3:00 pm | |
| 25 | Raptors (37‑29) |
Away | Tue Apr 7, 7:30 pm | |
| 25 | Raptors (37‑29) |
Away | Thu Apr 9, 7:00 pm | |
| 25 | Wizards (16‑49) |
Away | Fri Apr 10, 7:00 pm | |
| 25 | Hawks (35‑31) |
Home | Sun Apr 12, 6:00 pm |