Where are the Heat going in the playoff? The Heat playoff picture table presents the probabilities that the Heat will win each playoff spot. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs |
||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 80 game season |
1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 |
| Celtics | 10i Celtics Recent Games Won Fri, Nov 06 @ Hornets 119-80 Won Sun, Nov 08 @ Bucks 117-97 Won Tue, Nov 10 @ Sixers 123-101 Won Wed, Nov 11 @ Raptors 98-93 Sun, Nov 15 vs Mavericks Mon, Nov 16 vs Magic Wed, Nov 18 @ Nuggets Sat, Nov 21 @ Kings |
2 | 12 | 30% | 16% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| Sixers | 10 Sixers Recent Games Lost Fri, Nov 06 @ Cavs 95-119 Won Sun, Nov 08 @ Bulls 127-121 Lost Tue, Nov 10 vs Celtics 101-123 Won Thu, Nov 12 vs Raptors 123-112 Sun, Nov 15 vs Pacers Mon, Nov 16 @ Nets Wed, Nov 18 @ Magic Sat, Nov 21 vs Bucks |
3 | 13 | 22% | 17% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 4% |
| Pistons | 8 Pistons Recent Games Lost Wed, Nov 04 vs Sixers 106-112 Lost Sun, Nov 08 vs Lakers 116-121 Won Mon, Nov 09 vs Wizards 122-111 Won Thu, Nov 12 @ Wizards 144-140 Sat, Nov 14 @ Heat Tue, Nov 17 @ Spurs Wed, Nov 18 @ Pelicans Fri, Nov 20 vs Raptors |
3 | 11 | 22% | 17% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 5% |
| Hawks | 7 Hawks Recent Games Won Wed, Nov 04 @ Wizards 120-105 Won Fri, Nov 06 vs Wizards 139-132 Won Sat, Nov 07 vs Nets 124-121 Lost Mon, Nov 09 vs Lakers 114-124 Fri, Nov 13 @ Bulls Sun, Nov 15 @ Bucks Wed, Nov 18 @ Thunder Fri, Nov 20 vs Hornets |
5 | 12 | 8% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 16% |
| Knicks | 6 Knicks Recent Games Won Wed, Nov 04 vs Bulls 135-105 Won Sat, Nov 07 @ Cavs 109-97 Won Tue, Nov 10 vs Bucks 117-85 Lost Wed, Nov 11 vs Cavs 107-115 Fri, Nov 13 @ Pacers Sun, Nov 15 @ Raptors Tue, Nov 17 @ Raptors Thu, Nov 19 @ T. Wolves |
5 | 11 | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 24% |
| Cavaliers | 6 Cavaliers Recent Games Won Fri, Nov 06 vs Sixers 119-95 Lost Sat, Nov 07 vs Knicks 97-109 Lost Mon, Nov 09 @ Hornets 112-124 Won Wed, Nov 11 @ Knicks 115-107 Fri, Nov 13 @ Heat Sat, Nov 14 vs Mavericks Mon, Nov 16 vs Bulls Wed, Nov 18 vs Grizzlies |
6 | 12 | 5% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 23% |
| Heat | 5 Heat Recent Games Won Wed, Nov 04 @ Clippers 117-116 Lost Thu, Nov 05 @ Warriors 100-120 Won Sun, Nov 08 @ Kings 114-108 Won Tue, Nov 10 @ Jazz 115-109 Fri, Nov 13 vs Cavs Sat, Nov 14 vs Pistons Mon, Nov 16 vs Rockets Wed, Nov 18 vs Bucks |
6 | 11 | 3% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 29% |
| Raptors | 5 Raptors Recent Games Won Fri, Nov 06 @ Bucks 121-107 Lost Mon, Nov 09 vs Grizzlies 102-118 Lost Wed, Nov 11 vs Celtics 93-98 Lost Thu, Nov 12 @ Sixers 112-123 Sun, Nov 15 vs Knicks Tue, Nov 17 vs Knicks Wed, Nov 18 vs Wizards Fri, Nov 20 @ Pistons |
7 | 12 | 2% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 34% |
| Magic | 4 Magic Recent Games Lost Thu, Nov 05 @ Suns 104-117 Lost Sat, Nov 07 @ Warriors 119-126 Won Tue, Nov 10 @ Kings 107-100 Won Wed, Nov 11 @ Jazz 123-108 Fri, Nov 13 vs Bucks Mon, Nov 16 @ Celtics Wed, Nov 18 vs Sixers Fri, Nov 20 @ Nets |
7 | 11 | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 39% |
| Hornets | 4 Hornets Recent Games Lost Wed, Nov 04 @ Nets 104-114 Lost Fri, Nov 06 vs Celtics 80-119 Won Mon, Nov 09 vs Cavs 124-112 Lost Thu, Nov 12 @ Suns 96-101 Sun, Nov 15 @ Clippers Tue, Nov 17 @ Lakers Fri, Nov 20 @ Hawks Mon, Nov 23 vs Grizzlies |
8 | 12 | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 45% |
| Pacers | 4 Pacers Recent Games Won Wed, Nov 04 @ Grizzlies 107-103 Lost Sat, Nov 07 vs Nuggets 102-114 Lost Mon, Nov 09 @ Mavericks 122-125 Won Wed, Nov 11 vs Wizards 114-101 Fri, Nov 13 vs Knicks Sun, Nov 15 @ Sixers Wed, Nov 18 vs Rockets Fri, Nov 20 @ Cavs |
8 | 12 | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 46% |
| Wizards | 4 Wizards Recent Games Lost Sat, Nov 07 @ Thunder 75-114 Lost Mon, Nov 09 @ Pistons 111-122 Lost Wed, Nov 11 @ Pacers 101-114 Lost Thu, Nov 12 vs Pistons 140-144 Sun, Nov 15 vs Rockets Mon, Nov 16 vs Grizzlies Wed, Nov 18 @ Raptors Fri, Nov 20 @ Bulls |
9 | 13 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 48% |
| Nets | 3 Nets Recent Games Won Wed, Nov 04 vs Hornets 114-104 Lost Sat, Nov 07 @ Hawks 121-124 Lost Sun, Nov 08 @ Mavericks 93-130 Won Wed, Nov 11 @ Pelicans 145-111 Sat, Nov 14 @ Grizzlies Mon, Nov 16 vs Sixers Wed, Nov 18 vs Bulls Fri, Nov 20 vs Magic |
8 | 11 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 49% |
| Bulls | 1 Bulls Recent Games Lost Mon, Nov 02 @ Sixers 107-126 Lost Wed, Nov 04 @ Knicks 105-135 Lost Sun, Nov 08 vs Sixers 121-127 Lost Wed, Nov 11 vs Spurs 119-124 Fri, Nov 13 vs Hawks Sat, Nov 14 @ T. Wolves Mon, Nov 16 @ Cavs Wed, Nov 18 @ Nets |
9 | 10 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 65% |
| Bucks | 1 Bucks Recent Games Lost Fri, Nov 06 vs Raptors 107-121 Lost Sun, Nov 08 vs Celtics 97-117 Lost Tue, Nov 10 @ Knicks 85-117 Lost Wed, Nov 11 vs Lakers 112-123 Fri, Nov 13 @ Magic Sun, Nov 15 vs Hawks Wed, Nov 18 @ Heat Thu, Nov 19 vs Trail Blazers |
11 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 71% |
| Record | Total | Home (26%) |
Away (29%) |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |||
| (1)Celtics | 10 | 2 | 7% | 2% | 5% |
| (2)Sixers | 10 | 3 | 7% | 2% | 5% |
| (3)Pistons | 8 | 3 | 7% | 2% | 5% |
| (4)Hawks | 7 | 5 | 5% | 2% | 3% |
| (6)Cavaliers | 6 | 6 | 5% | 2% | 3% |
| (5)Knicks | 6 | 5 | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| (8)Raptors | 5 | 7 | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| (9)Magic | 4 | 7 | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| (11)Pacers | 4 | 8 | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| (10)Hornets | 4 | 8 | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| (12)Wizards | 4 | 9 | 2% | 2% | 1% |
| (13)Nets | 3 | 8 | 2% | 2% | 1% |
| (14)Bulls | 1 | 9 | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| (15)Bucks | 1 | 11 | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Elimination | 44% | ||||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TimberwolvesT. Wolves (9‑3) |
106‑131 | Home | Wed Oct 21, 7:30 pm |
| 1 | Pistons (8‑3) |
111‑128 | Home | Fri Oct 23, 8:00 pm |
| 1 | Hornets (4‑8) |
110‑115 | Away | Sat Oct 24, 6:00 pm |
| 2 | Mavericks (7‑5) |
109‑113 | Home | Mon Oct 26, 7:30 pm |
| 2 | Hawks (7‑5) |
129‑117 | Away | Wed Oct 28, 7:00 pm |
| 2 | Pacers (4‑8) |
145‑125 | Home | Fri Oct 30, 8:00 pm |
| 3 | Lakers (11‑2) |
117‑138 | Away | Mon Nov 2, 10:00 pm |
| 3 | Clippers (2‑8) |
117‑116 (OT) | Away | Wed Nov 4, 10:30 pm |
| 3 | Warriors (8‑4) |
100‑120 | Away | Thu Nov 5, 10:00 pm |
| 3 | Kings (1‑10) |
114‑108 | Away | Sun Nov 8, 9:00 pm |
| 4 | Jazz (1‑11) |
115‑109 | Away | Tue Nov 10, 9:00 pm |
| 4 | Cavaliers (6‑6) |
Home | Fri Nov 13, 8:00 pm | |
| 4 | Pistons (8‑3) |
Home | Sat Nov 14, 8:00 pm | |
| 5 | Rockets (9‑3) |
Home | Mon Nov 16, 7:30 pm | |
| 5 | Bucks (1‑11) |
Home | Wed Nov 18, 7:00 pm | |
| 5 | Thunder (8‑4) |
Home | Sun Nov 22, 6:00 pm | |
| 6 | Sixers (10‑3) |
Away | Wed Nov 25, 5:00 pm | |
| 6 | Knicks (6‑5) |
Away | Fri Nov 27, 7:00 pm | |
| 6 | Cavaliers (6‑6) |
Away | Sun Nov 29, 6:00 pm | |
| 7 | Hawks (7‑5) |
Home | Tue Dec 1, 7:30 pm | |
| 7 | Wizards (4‑9) |
Home | Thu Dec 3, 7:30 pm | |
| 8 | Knicks (6‑5) |
Home | Sat Dec 12, 8:30 pm | |
| 9 | Bulls (1‑9) |
Away | Mon Dec 14, 8:00 pm | |
| 9 | Grizzlies (7‑4) |
Away | Wed Dec 16, 8:00 pm | |
| 9 | Clippers (2‑8) |
Home | Fri Dec 18, 7:00 pm | |
| 9 | Kings (1‑10) |
Home | Sun Dec 20, 6:00 pm | |
| 10 | Bulls (1‑9) |
Home | Mon Dec 21, 7:30 pm | |
| 10 | Bulls (1‑9) |
Home | Wed Dec 23, 7:30 pm | |
| 10 | Celtics (10‑2) |
Away | Fri Dec 25, 2:30 pm | |
| 10 | Hornets (4‑8) |
Home | Sun Dec 27, 6:00 pm | |
| 11 | Mavericks (7‑5) |
Away | Tue Dec 29, 8:00 pm | |
| 11 | Thunder (8‑4) |
Away | Thu Dec 31, 8:00 pm | |
| 11 | Pelicans (4‑8) |
Away | Sat Jan 2, 7:00 pm | |
| 12 | Grizzlies (7‑4) |
Home | Tue Jan 5, 7:30 pm | |
| 12 | Nets (3‑8) |
Away | Thu Jan 7, 7:30 pm | |
| 12 | Sixers (10‑3) |
Away | Fri Jan 8, 7:00 pm | |
| 12 | Pelicans (4‑8) |
Home | Sun Jan 10, 6:00 pm | |
| 13 | Nets (3‑8) |
Home | Tue Jan 12, 7:30 pm | |
| 13 | Knicks (6‑5) |
Away | Thu Jan 14, 7:30 pm | |
| 13 | Raptors (5‑7) |
Away | Fri Jan 15, 7:30 pm | |
| 13 | Warriors (8‑4) |
Home | Sun Jan 17, 6:00 pm | |
| 14 | Trail Blazers (8‑3) |
Home | Tue Jan 19, 7:30 pm | |
| 14 | Spurs (10‑2) |
Away | Wed Jan 20, 9:30 pm | |
| 14 | Hawks (7‑5) |
Home | Sat Jan 23, 8:00 pm | |
| 15 | Nets (3‑8) |
Away | Mon Jan 25, 7:30 pm | |
| 15 | Bucks (1‑11) |
Away | Thu Jan 28, 9:30 pm | |
| 15 | Sixers (10‑3) |
Home | Sat Jan 30, 12:30 pm | |
| 16 | Pacers (4‑8) |
Away | Mon Feb 1, 7:30 pm | |
| 16 | Hornets (4‑8) |
Home | Tue Feb 2, 7:30 pm | |
| 16 | Bucks (1‑11) |
Home | Thu Feb 4, 7:30 pm | |
| 16 | TimberwolvesT. Wolves (9‑3) |
Away | Sat Feb 6, 3:00 pm | |
| 17 | Hawks (7‑5) |
Away | Mon Feb 8, 7:00 pm | |
| 17 | Wizards (4‑9) |
Away | Wed Feb 10, 7:00 pm | |
| 17 | Magic (4‑7) |
Away | Fri Feb 12, 7:00 pm | |
| 17 | Nets (3‑8) |
Home | Sun Feb 14, 1:00 pm | |
| 18 | Spurs (10‑2) |
Home | Mon Feb 15, 5:00 pm | |
| 18 | Wizards (4‑9) |
Away | Wed Feb 17, 7:00 pm | |
| 19 | Pistons (8‑3) |
Away | Thu Feb 25, 7:00 pm | |
| 19 | Rockets (9‑3) |
Away | Sun Feb 28, 9:30 pm | |
| 20 | Raptors (5‑7) |
Home | Tue Mar 2, 7:30 pm | |
| 20 | Raptors (5‑7) |
Home | Wed Mar 3, 7:30 pm | |
| 20 | Pacers (4‑8) |
Home | Sat Mar 6, 3:00 pm | |
| 21 | Suns (5‑6) |
Home | Mon Mar 8, 7:30 pm | |
| 21 | Magic (4‑7) |
Home | Wed Mar 10, 7:00 pm | |
| 21 | Bucks (1‑11) |
Away | Fri Mar 12, 8:00 pm | |
| 21 | Nuggets (6‑4) |
Away | Sun Mar 14, 7:30 pm | |
| 22 | Trail Blazers (8‑3) |
Away | Wed Mar 17, 10:00 pm | |
| 22 | Suns (5‑6) |
Away | Fri Mar 19, 10:30 pm | |
| 22 | Nuggets (6‑4) |
Home | Sun Mar 21, 6:00 pm | |
| 23 | Lakers (11‑2) |
Home | Tue Mar 23, 8:00 pm | |
| 23 | Jazz (1‑11) |
Home | Thu Mar 25, 7:30 pm | |
| 23 | Celtics (10‑2) |
Home | Sat Mar 27, 8:00 pm | |
| 24 | Cavaliers (6‑6) |
Away | Mon Mar 29, 7:00 pm | |
| 24 | Hornets (4‑8) |
Away | Tue Mar 30, 7:00 pm | |
| 24 | Celtics (10‑2) |
Away | Fri Apr 2, 7:30 pm | |
| 24 | Pistons (8‑3) |
Away | Sun Apr 4, 3:00 pm | |
| 25 | Magic (4‑7) |
Away | Mon Apr 5, 7:00 pm | |
| 25 | Sixers (10‑3) |
Home | Thu Apr 8, 7:00 pm | |
| 25 | Wizards (4‑9) |
Home | Fri Apr 9, 8:00 pm | |
| 25 | Magic (4‑7) |
Home | Sun Apr 11, 6:00 pm |