Where are the Heat going in the playoff? The Heat playoff picture table presents the probabilities that the Heat will win each playoff spot. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs |
||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 80 game season |
1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 |
| Pistons | 4i Pistons Recent Games Won Fri, Oct 23 @ Heat 128-111 Won Sun, Oct 25 @ Sixers 106-93 Lost Tue, Oct 27 @ Knicks 97-111 Won Wed, Oct 28 vs Hornets 97-89 Fri, Oct 30 @ Nets Mon, Nov 02 @ Hornets Wed, Nov 04 vs Sixers Sun, Nov 08 vs Lakers |
1 | 5 | 16% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 18% |
| Sixers | 4 Sixers Recent Games Won Thu, Oct 22 vs Cavs 114-106 Won Sat, Oct 24 vs Bucks 127-116 Lost Sun, Oct 25 vs Pistons 93-106 Won Wed, Oct 28 @ Pacers 114-109 Fri, Oct 30 vs Knicks Sat, Oct 31 @ Hornets Mon, Nov 02 vs Bulls Wed, Nov 04 @ Pistons |
1 | 5 | 15% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 19% |
| Celtics | 3 Celtics Recent Games Lost Tue, Oct 20 @ Pistons 113-121 Won Fri, Oct 23 vs Knicks 107-103 Won Mon, Oct 26 vs Bulls 134-99 Won Tue, Oct 27 vs Nets 125-124 Fri, Oct 30 vs Bulls Sun, Nov 01 @ Magic Mon, Nov 02 @ Rockets Wed, Nov 04 vs Bucks |
1 | 4 | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 24% |
| Raptors | 3 Raptors Recent Games Won Wed, Oct 21 vs Bulls 135-92 Won Fri, Oct 23 @ Wizards 112-102 Lost Sun, Oct 25 @ T. Wolves 94-117 Won Wed, Oct 28 vs Magic 129-99 Fri, Oct 30 vs Magic Sun, Nov 01 @ Lakers Mon, Nov 02 @ Clippers Wed, Nov 04 @ Nuggets |
1 | 4 | 13% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 23% |
| Hornets | 3 Hornets Recent Games Lost Fri, Oct 23 vs Hawks 81-128 Won Sat, Oct 24 vs Heat 115-110 Won Mon, Oct 26 vs Wizards 110-103 Lost Wed, Oct 28 @ Pistons 89-97 Fri, Oct 30 @ Wizards Sat, Oct 31 vs Sixers Mon, Nov 02 vs Pistons Wed, Nov 04 @ Nets |
2 | 5 | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 29% |
| Cavaliers | 3 Cavaliers Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 24 vs Nets 125-121 Won Mon, Oct 26 vs T. Wolves 127-125 Won Wed, Oct 28 vs Wizards 121-111 Lost Thu, Oct 29 @ Hawks 111-114 Sat, Oct 31 @ Bucks Mon, Nov 02 vs Thunder Wed, Nov 04 @ Thunder Fri, Nov 06 vs Sixers |
2 | 5 | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 28% |
| Hawks | 3 Hawks Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 24 vs Rockets 114-121 Lost Mon, Oct 26 @ Rockets 110-120 Lost Wed, Oct 28 vs Heat 117-129 Won Thu, Oct 29 vs Cavs 114-111 Sat, Oct 31 @ Pelicans Mon, Nov 02 @ Pacers Wed, Nov 04 @ Wizards Fri, Nov 06 vs Wizards |
3 | 6 | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 30% |
| Knicks | 2 Knicks Recent Games Lost Fri, Oct 23 @ Celtics 103-107 Lost Sun, Oct 25 vs Magic 102-111 Won Tue, Oct 27 vs Pistons 111-97 Won Wed, Oct 28 @ Bulls 133-127 Fri, Oct 30 @ Sixers Mon, Nov 02 vs Nets Wed, Nov 04 vs Bulls Sat, Nov 07 @ Cavs |
3 | 5 | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 36% |
| Wizards | 2 Wizards Recent Games Lost Fri, Oct 23 vs Raptors 102-112 Won Sat, Oct 24 @ Bulls 124-120 Lost Mon, Oct 26 @ Hornets 103-110 Lost Wed, Oct 28 @ Cavs 111-121 Fri, Oct 30 vs Hornets Mon, Nov 02 @ Magic Wed, Nov 04 vs Hawks Fri, Nov 06 @ Hawks |
3 | 5 | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 35% |
| Pacers | 2 Pacers Recent Games Lost Fri, Oct 23 vs Mavericks 105-121 Won Sun, Oct 25 @ Nets 136-109 Lost Mon, Oct 26 @ Bucks 102-110 Lost Wed, Oct 28 vs Sixers 109-114 Fri, Oct 30 @ Heat Sun, Nov 01 vs Nets Mon, Nov 02 vs Hawks Wed, Nov 04 @ Grizzlies |
3 | 5 | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 36% |
| Magic | 1 Magic Recent Games Lost Wed, Oct 21 vs Hawks 125-132 Lost Fri, Oct 23 vs T. Wolves 93-115 Won Sun, Oct 25 @ Knicks 111-102 Lost Wed, Oct 28 @ Raptors 99-129 Fri, Oct 30 @ Raptors Sun, Nov 01 vs Celtics Mon, Nov 02 vs Wizards Thu, Nov 05 @ Suns |
3 | 4 | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 41% |
| Bulls | 1 Bulls Recent Games Won Fri, Oct 23 @ Bucks 132-125 Lost Sat, Oct 24 vs Wizards 120-124 Lost Mon, Oct 26 @ Celtics 99-134 Lost Wed, Oct 28 vs Knicks 127-133 Fri, Oct 30 @ Celtics Mon, Nov 02 @ Sixers Wed, Nov 04 @ Knicks Sun, Nov 08 vs Sixers |
4 | 5 | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 44% |
| Bucks | 1 Bucks Recent Games Lost Fri, Oct 23 vs Bulls 125-132 Lost Sat, Oct 24 @ Sixers 116-127 Won Mon, Oct 26 vs Pacers 110-102 Lost Wed, Oct 28 vs Rockets 100-132 Sat, Oct 31 vs Cavs Mon, Nov 02 @ T. Wolves Wed, Nov 04 @ Celtics Fri, Nov 06 vs Raptors |
4 | 5 | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 43% |
| Heat | 1 Heat Recent Games Lost Fri, Oct 23 vs Pistons 111-128 Lost Sat, Oct 24 @ Hornets 110-115 Lost Mon, Oct 26 vs Mavericks 109-113 Won Wed, Oct 28 @ Hawks 129-117 Fri, Oct 30 vs Pacers Mon, Nov 02 @ Lakers Wed, Nov 04 @ Clippers Thu, Nov 05 @ Warriors |
4 | 5 | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 43% |
| Nets | 0 Nets Recent Games Lost Wed, Oct 21 vs Hornets 103-110 Lost Sat, Oct 24 @ Cavs 121-125 Lost Sun, Oct 25 vs Pacers 109-136 Lost Tue, Oct 27 @ Celtics 124-125 Fri, Oct 30 vs Pistons Sun, Nov 01 @ Pacers Mon, Nov 02 @ Knicks Wed, Nov 04 vs Hornets |
4 | 4 | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 51% |
| Record | Total | Home (17%) |
Away (27%) |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |||
| (2)Sixers | 4 | 1 | 4% | 1% | 3% |
| (1)Pistons | 4 | 1 | 4% | 1% | 3% |
| (4)Raptors | 3 | 1 | 4% | 1% | 3% |
| (3)Celtics | 3 | 1 | 4% | 1% | 3% |
| (6)Cavaliers | 3 | 2 | 3% | 1% | 2% |
| (5)Hornets | 3 | 2 | 3% | 1% | 2% |
| (7)Hawks | 3 | 3 | 3% | 1% | 2% |
| (10)Pacers | 2 | 3 | 3% | 1% | 2% |
| (8)Knicks | 2 | 3 | 3% | 1% | 2% |
| (9)Wizards | 2 | 3 | 3% | 1% | 2% |
| (11)Magic | 1 | 3 | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| (13)Bucks | 1 | 4 | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| (12)Bulls | 1 | 4 | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| (15)Nets | 0 | 4 | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Elimination | 56% | ||||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TimberwolvesT. Wolves (3‑2) |
106‑131 | Home | Wed Oct 21, 7:30 pm |
| 1 | Pistons (4‑1) |
111‑128 | Home | Fri Oct 23, 8:00 pm |
| 1 | Hornets (3‑2) |
110‑115 | Away | Sat Oct 24, 6:00 pm |
| 2 | Mavericks (3‑2) |
109‑113 | Home | Mon Oct 26, 7:30 pm |
| 2 | Hawks (3‑3) |
129‑117 | Away | Wed Oct 28, 7:00 pm |
| 2 | Pacers (2‑3) |
Home | Fri Oct 30, 8:00 pm | |
| 3 | Lakers (4‑1) |
Away | Mon Nov 2, 10:00 pm | |
| 3 | Clippers (1‑3) |
Away | Wed Nov 4, 10:30 pm | |
| 3 | Warriors (2‑3) |
Away | Thu Nov 5, 10:00 pm | |
| 3 | Kings (0‑5) |
Away | Sun Nov 8, 9:00 pm | |
| 4 | Jazz (1‑4) |
Away | Tue Nov 10, 9:00 pm | |
| 4 | Cavaliers (3‑2) |
Home | Fri Nov 13, 8:00 pm | |
| 4 | Pistons (4‑1) |
Home | Sat Nov 14, 8:00 pm | |
| 5 | Rockets (5‑0) |
Home | Mon Nov 16, 7:30 pm | |
| 5 | Bucks (1‑4) |
Home | Wed Nov 18, 7:00 pm | |
| 5 | Thunder (4‑1) |
Home | Sun Nov 22, 6:00 pm | |
| 6 | Sixers (4‑1) |
Away | Wed Nov 25, 5:00 pm | |
| 6 | Knicks (2‑3) |
Away | Fri Nov 27, 7:00 pm | |
| 6 | Cavaliers (3‑2) |
Away | Sun Nov 29, 6:00 pm | |
| 7 | Hawks (3‑3) |
Home | Tue Dec 1, 7:30 pm | |
| 7 | Wizards (2‑3) |
Home | Thu Dec 3, 7:30 pm | |
| 8 | Knicks (2‑3) |
Home | Sat Dec 12, 8:30 pm | |
| 9 | Bulls (1‑4) |
Away | Mon Dec 14, 8:00 pm | |
| 9 | Grizzlies (4‑0) |
Away | Wed Dec 16, 8:00 pm | |
| 9 | Clippers (1‑3) |
Home | Fri Dec 18, 7:00 pm | |
| 9 | Kings (0‑5) |
Home | Sun Dec 20, 6:00 pm | |
| 10 | Bulls (1‑4) |
Home | Mon Dec 21, 7:30 pm | |
| 10 | Bulls (1‑4) |
Home | Wed Dec 23, 7:30 pm | |
| 10 | Celtics (3‑1) |
Away | Fri Dec 25, 2:30 pm | |
| 10 | Hornets (3‑2) |
Home | Sun Dec 27, 6:00 pm | |
| 11 | Mavericks (3‑2) |
Away | Tue Dec 29, 8:00 pm | |
| 11 | Thunder (4‑1) |
Away | Thu Dec 31, 8:00 pm | |
| 11 | Pelicans (1‑4) |
Away | Sat Jan 2, 7:00 pm | |
| 12 | Grizzlies (4‑0) |
Home | Tue Jan 5, 7:30 pm | |
| 12 | Nets (0‑4) |
Away | Thu Jan 7, 7:30 pm | |
| 12 | Sixers (4‑1) |
Away | Fri Jan 8, 7:00 pm | |
| 12 | Pelicans (1‑4) |
Home | Sun Jan 10, 6:00 pm | |
| 13 | Nets (0‑4) |
Home | Tue Jan 12, 7:30 pm | |
| 13 | Knicks (2‑3) |
Away | Thu Jan 14, 7:30 pm | |
| 13 | Raptors (3‑1) |
Away | Fri Jan 15, 7:30 pm | |
| 13 | Warriors (2‑3) |
Home | Sun Jan 17, 6:00 pm | |
| 14 | Trail Blazers (3‑0) |
Home | Tue Jan 19, 7:30 pm | |
| 14 | Spurs (3‑2) |
Away | Wed Jan 20, 9:30 pm | |
| 14 | Hawks (3‑3) |
Home | Sat Jan 23, 8:00 pm | |
| 15 | Nets (0‑4) |
Away | Mon Jan 25, 7:30 pm | |
| 15 | Bucks (1‑4) |
Away | Thu Jan 28, 9:30 pm | |
| 15 | Sixers (4‑1) |
Home | Sat Jan 30, 12:30 pm | |
| 16 | Pacers (2‑3) |
Away | Mon Feb 1, 7:30 pm | |
| 16 | Hornets (3‑2) |
Home | Tue Feb 2, 7:30 pm | |
| 16 | Bucks (1‑4) |
Home | Thu Feb 4, 7:30 pm | |
| 16 | TimberwolvesT. Wolves (3‑2) |
Away | Sat Feb 6, 3:00 pm | |
| 17 | Hawks (3‑3) |
Away | Mon Feb 8, 7:00 pm | |
| 17 | Wizards (2‑3) |
Away | Wed Feb 10, 7:00 pm | |
| 17 | Magic (1‑3) |
Away | Fri Feb 12, 7:00 pm | |
| 17 | Nets (0‑4) |
Home | Sun Feb 14, 1:00 pm | |
| 18 | Spurs (3‑2) |
Home | Mon Feb 15, 5:00 pm | |
| 18 | Wizards (2‑3) |
Away | Wed Feb 17, 7:00 pm | |
| 19 | Pistons (4‑1) |
Away | Thu Feb 25, 7:00 pm | |
| 19 | Rockets (5‑0) |
Away | Sun Feb 28, 9:30 pm | |
| 20 | Raptors (3‑1) |
Home | Tue Mar 2, 7:30 pm | |
| 20 | Raptors (3‑1) |
Home | Wed Mar 3, 7:30 pm | |
| 20 | Pacers (2‑3) |
Home | Sat Mar 6, 3:00 pm | |
| 21 | Suns (1‑2) |
Home | Mon Mar 8, 7:30 pm | |
| 21 | Magic (1‑3) |
Home | Wed Mar 10, 7:00 pm | |
| 21 | Bucks (1‑4) |
Away | Fri Mar 12, 8:00 pm | |
| 21 | Nuggets (2‑2) |
Away | Sun Mar 14, 7:30 pm | |
| 22 | Trail Blazers (3‑0) |
Away | Wed Mar 17, 10:00 pm | |
| 22 | Suns (1‑2) |
Away | Fri Mar 19, 10:30 pm | |
| 22 | Nuggets (2‑2) |
Home | Sun Mar 21, 6:00 pm | |
| 23 | Lakers (4‑1) |
Home | Tue Mar 23, 8:00 pm | |
| 23 | Jazz (1‑4) |
Home | Thu Mar 25, 7:30 pm | |
| 23 | Celtics (3‑1) |
Home | Sat Mar 27, 8:00 pm | |
| 24 | Cavaliers (3‑2) |
Away | Mon Mar 29, 7:00 pm | |
| 24 | Hornets (3‑2) |
Away | Tue Mar 30, 7:00 pm | |
| 24 | Celtics (3‑1) |
Away | Fri Apr 2, 7:30 pm | |
| 24 | Pistons (4‑1) |
Away | Sun Apr 4, 3:00 pm | |
| 25 | Magic (1‑3) |
Away | Mon Apr 5, 7:00 pm | |
| 25 | Sixers (4‑1) |
Home | Thu Apr 8, 7:00 pm | |
| 25 | Wizards (2‑3) |
Home | Fri Apr 9, 8:00 pm | |
| 25 | Magic (1‑3) |
Home | Sun Apr 11, 6:00 pm |