Where are the Heat going in the playoff? The Heat playoff picture table presents the probabilities that the Heat will win each playoff spot. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs |
||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 82 game season |
1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 |
| Pistons | 32i Pistons Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 17 vs Pacers 121-78 Won Mon, Jan 19 vs Celtics 104-103 Won Wed, Jan 21 @ Pelicans 112-104 Lost Fri, Jan 23 vs Rockets 104-111 Sun, Jan 25 vs Kings Tue, Jan 27 @ Nuggets Thu, Jan 29 @ Suns Fri, Jan 30 @ Warriors |
11 | 43 | 86% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Celtics | 28 Celtics Recent Games Lost Mon, Jan 19 @ Pistons 103-104 Won Wed, Jan 21 vs Pacers 119-104 Won Fri, Jan 23 @ Nets 130-126 Lost Sat, Jan 24 @ Bulls 111-114 Mon, Jan 26 vs Trail Blazers Wed, Jan 28 vs Hawks Fri, Jan 30 vs Kings Sun, Feb 01 vs Bucks |
17 | 45 | 7% | 40% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Raptors | 28 Raptors Recent Games Lost Sun, Jan 18 @ Lakers 93-110 Won Tue, Jan 20 @ Warriors 145-127 Won Wed, Jan 21 @ Kings 122-109 Won Fri, Jan 23 @ Trail Blazers 110-98 Sun, Jan 25 @ Thunder Wed, Jan 28 vs Knicks Fri, Jan 30 @ Magic Sun, Feb 01 vs Jazz |
19 | 47 | 3% | 13% | 19% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Knicks | 27 Knicks Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 17 vs Suns 99-106 Lost Mon, Jan 19 vs Mavericks 97-114 Won Wed, Jan 21 vs Nets 120-66 Won Sat, Jan 24 @ Sixers 112-109 Tue, Jan 27 vs Kings Wed, Jan 28 @ Raptors Fri, Jan 30 vs Trail Blazers Sun, Feb 01 vs Lakers |
18 | 45 | 3% | 18% | 19% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% | <1% |
| Cavaliers | 27 Cavaliers Recent Games Lost Mon, Jan 19 vs Thunder 104-136 Won Wed, Jan 21 @ Hornets 94-87 Won Fri, Jan 23 vs Kings 123-118 Won Sat, Jan 24 @ Magic 119-105 Mon, Jan 26 vs Magic Wed, Jan 28 vs Lakers Fri, Jan 30 @ Suns Sun, Feb 01 @ Trail Blazers |
20 | 47 | 1% | 9% | 15% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| Sixers | 24 Sixers Recent Games Won Mon, Jan 19 vs Pacers 113-104 Lost Tue, Jan 20 vs Suns 110-116 Won Thu, Jan 22 vs Rockets 128-122 Lost Sat, Jan 24 vs Knicks 109-112 Mon, Jan 26 @ Hornets Tue, Jan 27 vs Bucks Thu, Jan 29 vs Kings Sat, Jan 31 vs Pelicans |
20 | 44 | <1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 4% |
| Magic | 23 Magic Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 15 vs Grizzlies 118-111 Lost Sun, Jan 18 @ Grizzlies 109-126 Lost Thu, Jan 22 vs Hornets 97-124 Lost Sat, Jan 24 vs Cavs 105-119 Mon, Jan 26 @ Cavs Wed, Jan 28 @ Heat Fri, Jan 30 vs Raptors Sun, Feb 01 @ Spurs |
21 | 44 | <1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 9% |
| Heat | 23 Heat Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 17 vs Thunder 122-120 Lost Mon, Jan 19 @ Warriors 112-135 Won Tue, Jan 20 @ Kings 130-117 Lost Thu, Jan 22 @ Trail Blazers 110-127 Sat, Jan 24 @ Jazz Sun, Jan 25 @ Suns Wed, Jan 28 vs Magic Thu, Jan 29 @ Bulls |
22 | 45 | <1% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 5% |
| Bulls | 23 Bulls Recent Games Won Sun, Jan 18 vs Nets 124-102 Won Tue, Jan 20 vs Clippers 138-110 Won Thu, Jan 22 @ T. Wolves 120-115 Won Sat, Jan 24 vs Celtics 114-111 Mon, Jan 26 vs Lakers Wed, Jan 28 @ Pacers Thu, Jan 29 vs Heat Sat, Jan 31 @ Heat |
22 | 45 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 18% | 18% | 17% |
| Hawks | 22 Hawks Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 17 vs Celtics 106-132 Lost Mon, Jan 19 vs Bucks 110-112 Won Wed, Jan 21 @ Grizzlies 124-122 Won Fri, Jan 23 vs Suns 110-103 Mon, Jan 26 vs Pacers Wed, Jan 28 @ Celtics Thu, Jan 29 vs Rockets Sat, Jan 31 @ Pacers |
25 | 47 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 18% | 15% |
| Bucks | 18 Bucks Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 15 @ Spurs 101-119 Won Mon, Jan 19 @ Hawks 112-110 Lost Wed, Jan 21 vs Thunder 102-122 Lost Fri, Jan 23 vs Nuggets 100-102 Sun, Jan 25 vs Mavericks Tue, Jan 27 @ Sixers Thu, Jan 29 @ Wizards Sun, Feb 01 @ Celtics |
26 | 44 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 16% | 67% |
| Hornets | 18 Hornets Recent Games Won Sun, Jan 18 @ Nuggets 110-87 Lost Wed, Jan 21 vs Cavs 87-94 Won Thu, Jan 22 @ Magic 124-97 Won Sat, Jan 24 vs Wizards 119-115 Mon, Jan 26 vs Sixers Wed, Jan 28 @ Grizzlies Thu, Jan 29 @ Mavericks Sat, Jan 31 vs Spurs |
28 | 46 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 82% |
| Nets | 12 Nets Recent Games Lost Sun, Jan 18 @ Bulls 102-124 Lost Mon, Jan 19 vs Suns 117-126 Lost Wed, Jan 21 @ Knicks 66-120 Lost Fri, Jan 23 vs Celtics 126-130 Sun, Jan 25 @ Clippers Tue, Jan 27 @ Suns Thu, Jan 29 @ Nuggets Fri, Jan 30 @ Jazz |
31 | 43 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Pacers | 11 Pacers Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 17 @ Pistons 78-121 Lost Mon, Jan 19 @ Sixers 104-113 Lost Wed, Jan 21 @ Celtics 104-119 Won Fri, Jan 23 @ Thunder 117-114 Mon, Jan 26 @ Hawks Wed, Jan 28 vs Bulls Sat, Jan 31 vs Hawks Mon, Feb 02 vs Rockets |
35 | 46 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Wizards | 10 Wizards Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 17 @ Nuggets 115-121 Lost Mon, Jan 19 vs Clippers 106-110 Lost Thu, Jan 22 vs Nuggets 97-107 Lost Sat, Jan 24 @ Hornets 115-119 Tue, Jan 27 vs Trail Blazers Thu, Jan 29 vs Bucks Fri, Jan 30 vs Lakers Sun, Feb 01 vs Kings |
34 | 44 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Record | Total | Home (20%) |
Away (51%) |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |||
| (2)Celtics | 28 | 17 | 13% | 2% | 11% |
| (1)Pistons | 32 | 11 | 13% | <1% | 13% |
| (4)Knicks | 27 | 18 | 11% | 4% | 8% |
| (3)Raptors | 28 | 19 | 11% | 3% | 8% |
| (5)Cavaliers | 27 | 20 | 10% | 4% | 6% |
| (6)Sixers | 24 | 20 | 6% | 3% | 3% |
| (7)Magic | 23 | 21 | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| (9)Bulls | 23 | 22 | 2% | 2% | 1% |
| (10)Hawks | 22 | 25 | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| (11)Bucks | 18 | 26 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (12)Hornets | 18 | 28 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (13)Nets | 12 | 31 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (14)Pacers | 11 | 35 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (15)Wizards | 10 | 34 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Elimination | 29% | ||||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Magic (23‑21) |
121‑125 | Away | Wed Oct 22 |
| 1 | Grizzlies (18‑25) |
146‑114 | Away | Fri Oct 24 |
| 1 | Knicks (27‑18) |
115‑107 | Home | Sun Oct 26 |
| 2 | Hornets (18‑28) |
144‑117 | Home | Tue Oct 28 |
| 2 | Spurs (31‑14) |
101‑107 | Away | Thu Oct 30 |
| 2 | Lakers (27‑17) |
120‑130 | Away | Sun Nov 2 |
| 3 | Clippers (20‑24) |
120‑119 | Away | Mon Nov 3 |
| 3 | Nuggets (31‑15) |
112‑122 | Away | Wed Nov 5 |
| 3 | Hornets (18‑28) |
126‑108 | Home | Fri Nov 7 |
| 3 | Trail Blazers (23‑23) |
136‑131 | Home | Sat Nov 8 |
| 4 | Cavaliers (27‑20) |
140‑138 (OT) | Home | Mon Nov 10 |
| 4 | Cavaliers (27‑20) |
116‑130 | Home | Wed Nov 12 |
| 4 | Knicks (27‑18) |
132‑140 | Away | Fri Nov 14 |
| 5 | Knicks (27‑18) |
115‑113 | Home | Mon Nov 17 |
| 5 | Warriors (25‑21) |
110‑96 | Home | Wed Nov 19 |
| 5 | Bulls (23‑22) |
143‑107 | Away | Fri Nov 21 |
| 5 | Sixers (24‑20) |
127‑117 | Away | Sun Nov 23 |
| 6 | Mavericks (19‑27) |
106‑102 | Home | Mon Nov 24 |
| 6 | Bucks (18‑26) |
106‑103 | Home | Wed Nov 26 |
| 6 | Pistons (32‑11) |
135‑138 | Home | Sat Nov 29 |
| 7 | Clippers (20‑24) |
140‑123 | Home | Mon Dec 1 |
| 7 | Mavericks (19‑27) |
108‑118 | Away | Wed Dec 3 |
| 7 | Magic (23‑21) |
105‑106 | Away | Fri Dec 5 |
| 7 | Kings (12‑34) |
111‑127 | Home | Sat Dec 6 |
| 8 | Magic (23‑21) |
108‑117 | Away | Tue Dec 9 |
| 9 | Raptors (28‑19) |
96‑106 | Home | Mon Dec 15, 7:30 pm |
| 9 | Nets (12‑31) |
106‑95 | Away | Thu Dec 18, 7:30 pm |
| 9 | Celtics (28‑17) |
116‑129 | Away | Fri Dec 19, 7:00 pm |
| 9 | Knicks (27‑18) |
125‑132 | Away | Sun Dec 21, 6:00 pm |
| 10 | Raptors (28‑19) |
91‑112 | Home | Tue Dec 23, 7:30 pm |
| 10 | Hawks (22‑25) |
126‑111 | Away | Fri Dec 26, 7:00 pm |
| 10 | Pacers (11‑35) |
142‑116 | Home | Sat Dec 27, 8:00 pm |
| 11 | Nuggets (31‑15) |
147‑123 | Home | Mon Dec 29, 7:30 pm |
| 11 | Pistons (32‑11) |
118‑112 | Away | Thu Jan 1, 7:00 pm |
| 11 | TimberwolvesT. Wolves (27‑18) |
115‑125 | Home | Sat Jan 3, 5:00 pm |
| 11 | Pelicans (11‑36) |
125‑106 | Home | Sun Jan 4, 6:00 pm |
| 12 | TimberwolvesT. Wolves (27‑18) |
94‑122 | Away | Tue Jan 6, 8:00 pm |
| 12 | Pacers (11‑35) |
99‑123 | Away | Sat Jan 10, 7:00 pm |
| 12 | Thunder (37‑9) |
112‑124 | Away | Sun Jan 11, 7:00 pm |
| 13 | Suns (27‑18) |
127‑121 | Home | Tue Jan 13, 7:30 pm |
| 13 | Celtics (28‑17) |
114‑119 | Home | Thu Jan 15, 7:30 pm |
| 13 | Thunder (37‑9) |
122‑120 | Home | Sat Jan 17, 8:00 pm |
| 14 | Warriors (25‑21) |
112‑135 | Away | Mon Jan 19, 10:00 pm |
| 14 | Kings (12‑34) |
130‑117 | Away | Tue Jan 20, 10:00 pm |
| 14 | Trail Blazers (23‑23) |
110‑127 | Away | Thu Jan 22, 10:00 pm |
| 14 | Jazz (15‑30) |
Away | Sat Jan 24, 9:30 pm | |
| 14 | Suns (27‑18) |
Away | Sun Jan 25, 8:00 pm | |
| 15 | Magic (23‑21) |
Home | Wed Jan 28, 7:30 pm | |
| 15 | Bulls (23‑22) |
Away | Thu Jan 29, 8:00 pm | |
| 15 | Bulls (23‑22) |
Home | Sat Jan 31, 8:00 pm | |
| 15 | Bulls (23‑22) |
Home | Sun Feb 1, 6:00 pm | |
| 16 | Hawks (22‑25) |
Home | Tue Feb 3, 7:30 pm | |
| 16 | Celtics (28‑17) |
Away | Fri Feb 6, 7:30 pm | |
| 16 | Wizards (10‑34) |
Away | Sun Feb 8, 2:00 pm | |
| 17 | Jazz (15‑30) |
Home | Mon Feb 9, 7:30 pm | |
| 17 | Pelicans (11‑36) |
Away | Wed Feb 11, 8:00 pm | |
| 18 | Hawks (22‑25) |
Away | Fri Feb 20, 7:30 pm | |
| 18 | Grizzlies (18‑25) |
Home | Sat Feb 21, 8:00 pm | |
| 19 | Bucks (18‑26) |
Away | Tue Feb 24, 8:00 pm | |
| 19 | Sixers (24‑20) |
Away | Thu Feb 26, 7:00 pm | |
| 19 | Rockets (27‑16) |
Home | Sat Feb 28, 3:00 pm | |
| 20 | Nets (12‑31) |
Home | Tue Mar 3, 7:30 pm | |
| 20 | Nets (12‑31) |
Home | Thu Mar 5, 7:30 pm | |
| 20 | Hornets (18‑28) |
Away | Fri Mar 6, 7:00 pm | |
| 20 | Pistons (32‑11) |
Home | Sun Mar 8, 6:00 pm | |
| 21 | Wizards (10‑34) |
Home | Tue Mar 10, 7:30 pm | |
| 21 | Bucks (18‑26) |
Home | Thu Mar 12, 7:30 pm | |
| 21 | Magic (23‑21) |
Home | Sat Mar 14, 8:00 pm | |
| 22 | Hornets (18‑28) |
Away | Tue Mar 17, 7:00 pm | |
| 22 | Lakers (27‑17) |
Home | Thu Mar 19, 8:00 pm | |
| 22 | Rockets (27‑16) |
Away | Sat Mar 21, 8:00 pm | |
| 23 | Spurs (31‑14) |
Home | Mon Mar 23, 7:30 pm | |
| 23 | Cavaliers (27‑20) |
Away | Wed Mar 25, 7:30 pm | |
| 23 | Cavaliers (27‑20) |
Away | Fri Mar 27, 7:30 pm | |
| 23 | Pacers (11‑35) |
Away | Sun Mar 29, 5:00 pm | |
| 24 | Sixers (24‑20) |
Home | Mon Mar 30, 7:00 pm | |
| 24 | Celtics (28‑17) |
Home | Wed Apr 1, 7:30 pm | |
| 24 | Wizards (10‑34) |
Home | Sat Apr 4, 3:00 pm | |
| 25 | Raptors (28‑19) |
Away | Tue Apr 7, 7:30 pm | |
| 25 | Raptors (28‑19) |
Away | Thu Apr 9, 7:00 pm | |
| 25 | Wizards (10‑34) |
Away | Fri Apr 10, 7:00 pm | |
| 25 | Hawks (22‑25) |
Home | Sun Apr 12, 6:00 pm |