Where are the Heat going in the playoff? The Heat playoff picture table presents the probabilities that the Heat will win each playoff spot. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs |
||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 82 game season |
1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 |
| Pistons | 20i Pistons Recent Games Lost Wed, Dec 03 @ Bucks 109-113 Won Fri, Dec 05 vs Trail Blazers 122-116 Won Sat, Dec 06 vs Bucks 124-112 Won Fri, Dec 12 vs Hawks 142-115 Mon, Dec 15 @ Celtics Thu, Dec 18 @ Mavericks Sat, Dec 20 vs Hornets Mon, Dec 22 @ Trail Blazers |
5 | 25 | 54% | 18% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Knicks | 17 Knicks Recent Games Won Wed, Dec 03 vs Hornets 119-104 Won Fri, Dec 05 vs Jazz 146-112 Won Sun, Dec 07 vs Magic 106-100 Won Tue, Dec 09 @ Raptors 117-101 Sat, Dec 13 @ Magic Thu, Dec 18 @ Pacers Fri, Dec 19 vs Sixers Sun, Dec 21 vs Heat |
7 | 24 | 18% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Celtics | 15 Celtics Recent Games Won Thu, Dec 04 @ Wizards 146-101 Won Fri, Dec 05 vs Lakers 126-105 Won Sun, Dec 07 @ Raptors 121-113 Lost Thu, Dec 11 @ Bucks 101-116 Mon, Dec 15 vs Pistons Fri, Dec 19 vs Heat Sat, Dec 20 @ Raptors Mon, Dec 22 vs Pacers |
10 | 25 | 6% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% |
| Magic | 15 Magic Recent Games Lost Wed, Dec 03 vs Spurs 112-114 Won Fri, Dec 05 vs Heat 106-105 Lost Sun, Dec 07 @ Knicks 100-106 Won Tue, Dec 09 vs Heat 117-108 Sat, Dec 13 vs Knicks Thu, Dec 18 @ Nuggets Sat, Dec 20 @ Jazz Mon, Dec 22 @ Warriors |
10 | 25 | 7% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 3% |
| Raptors | 15 Raptors Recent Games Lost Thu, Dec 04 vs Lakers 120-123 Lost Fri, Dec 05 vs Hornets 86-111 Lost Sun, Dec 07 vs Celtics 113-121 Lost Tue, Dec 09 vs Knicks 101-117 Mon, Dec 15 @ Heat Thu, Dec 18 @ Bucks Sat, Dec 20 vs Celtics Sun, Dec 21 @ Nets |
11 | 26 | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 9% |
| Cavaliers | 15 Cavaliers Recent Games Lost Wed, Dec 03 vs Trail Blazers 110-122 Won Fri, Dec 05 vs Spurs 130-117 Lost Sat, Dec 06 vs Warriors 94-99 Won Fri, Dec 12 @ Wizards 130-126 Sun, Dec 14 vs Hornets Wed, Dec 17 @ Bulls Fri, Dec 19 vs Bulls Mon, Dec 22 vs Hornets |
11 | 26 | 3% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 8% |
| Sixers | 14 Sixers Recent Games Won Thu, Dec 04 vs Warriors 99-98 Won Fri, Dec 05 @ Bucks 116-101 Lost Sun, Dec 07 vs Lakers 108-112 Won Fri, Dec 12 vs Pacers 115-105 Sun, Dec 14 @ Hawks Fri, Dec 19 @ Knicks Sat, Dec 20 vs Mavericks Tue, Dec 23 vs Nets |
10 | 24 | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% |
| Heat | 14 Heat Recent Games Lost Wed, Dec 03 @ Mavericks 108-118 Lost Fri, Dec 05 @ Magic 105-106 Lost Sat, Dec 06 vs Kings 111-127 Lost Tue, Dec 09 @ Magic 108-117 Mon, Dec 15 vs Raptors Thu, Dec 18 @ Nets Fri, Dec 19 @ Celtics Sun, Dec 21 @ Knicks |
11 | 25 | 3% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 8% |
| Hawks | 14 Hawks Recent Games Lost Wed, Dec 03 vs Clippers 92-115 Lost Fri, Dec 05 vs Nuggets 133-134 Won Sat, Dec 06 @ Wizards 131-116 Lost Fri, Dec 12 @ Pistons 115-142 Sun, Dec 14 vs Sixers Thu, Dec 18 @ Hornets Fri, Dec 19 vs Spurs Sun, Dec 21 vs Bulls |
12 | 26 | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% |
| Bucks | 11 Bucks Recent Games Won Wed, Dec 03 vs Pistons 113-109 Lost Fri, Dec 05 vs Sixers 101-116 Lost Sat, Dec 06 @ Pistons 112-124 Won Thu, Dec 11 vs Celtics 116-101 Sun, Dec 14 @ Nets Thu, Dec 18 vs Raptors Sun, Dec 21 @ T. Wolves Tue, Dec 23 @ Pacers |
15 | 26 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 15% | 43% |
| Bulls | 10 Bulls Recent Games Lost Wed, Dec 03 vs Nets 103-113 Lost Fri, Dec 05 vs Pacers 105-120 Lost Sun, Dec 07 vs Warriors 91-123 Won Fri, Dec 12 @ Hornets 129-126 Sun, Dec 14 vs Pelicans Wed, Dec 17 vs Cavs Fri, Dec 19 @ Cavs Sun, Dec 21 @ Hawks |
14 | 24 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 45% |
| Hornets | 7 Hornets Recent Games Lost Wed, Dec 03 @ Knicks 104-119 Won Fri, Dec 05 @ Raptors 111-86 Lost Sun, Dec 07 vs Nuggets 106-115 Lost Fri, Dec 12 vs Bulls 126-129 Sun, Dec 14 @ Cavs Thu, Dec 18 vs Hawks Sat, Dec 20 @ Pistons Mon, Dec 22 @ Cavs |
18 | 25 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 85% |
| Nets | 6 Nets Recent Games Won Wed, Dec 03 @ Bulls 113-103 Lost Thu, Dec 04 vs Jazz 110-123 Won Sat, Dec 06 vs Pelicans 119-101 Lost Fri, Dec 12 @ Mavericks 111-119 Sun, Dec 14 vs Bucks Thu, Dec 18 vs Heat Sun, Dec 21 vs Raptors Tue, Dec 23 @ Sixers |
18 | 24 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 89% |
| Pacers | 6 Pacers Recent Games Lost Wed, Dec 03 vs Nuggets 120-135 Won Fri, Dec 05 @ Bulls 120-105 Won Mon, Dec 08 vs Kings 116-105 Lost Fri, Dec 12 @ Sixers 105-115 Sun, Dec 14 vs Wizards Thu, Dec 18 vs Knicks Sat, Dec 20 @ Pelicans Mon, Dec 22 @ Celtics |
19 | 25 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 90% |
| Wizards | 3 Wizards Recent Games Lost Tue, Dec 02 @ Sixers 102-121 Lost Thu, Dec 04 vs Celtics 101-146 Lost Sat, Dec 06 vs Hawks 116-131 Lost Fri, Dec 12 vs Cavs 126-130 Sun, Dec 14 @ Pacers Thu, Dec 18 @ Spurs Sat, Dec 20 @ Grizzlies Sun, Dec 21 vs Spurs |
20 | 23 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% |
| Record | Total | Home (32%) |
Away (42%) |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |||
| (2)Knicks | 17 | 7 | 11% | 3% | 7% |
| (1)Pistons | 20 | 5 | 10% | 1% | 9% |
| (3)Celtics | 15 | 10 | 9% | 4% | 5% |
| (4)Magic | 15 | 10 | 9% | 3% | 6% |
| (5)Raptors | 15 | 11 | 7% | 4% | 4% |
| (6)Cavaliers | 15 | 11 | 7% | 4% | 3% |
| (7)Sixers | 14 | 10 | 7% | 4% | 3% |
| (9)Hawks | 14 | 12 | 7% | 4% | 3% |
| (10)Bucks | 11 | 15 | 2% | 2% | <1% |
| (11)Bulls | 10 | 14 | 2% | 2% | <1% |
| (12)Hornets | 7 | 18 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (13)Nets | 6 | 18 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (14)Pacers | 6 | 19 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (15)Wizards | 3 | 20 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Elimination | 27% | ||||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Magic (15‑10) |
121‑125 | Away | Wed Oct 22 |
| 1 | Grizzlies (11‑14) |
146‑114 | Away | Fri Oct 24 |
| 1 | Knicks (17‑7) |
115‑107 | Home | Sun Oct 26 |
| 2 | Hornets (7‑18) |
144‑117 | Home | Tue Oct 28 |
| 2 | Spurs (17‑7) |
101‑107 | Away | Thu Oct 30 |
| 2 | Lakers (17‑7) |
120‑130 | Away | Sun Nov 2 |
| 3 | Clippers (6‑19) |
120‑119 | Away | Mon Nov 3 |
| 3 | Nuggets (18‑6) |
112‑122 | Away | Wed Nov 5 |
| 3 | Hornets (7‑18) |
126‑108 | Home | Fri Nov 7 |
| 3 | Trail Blazers (9‑16) |
136‑131 | Home | Sat Nov 8 |
| 4 | Cavaliers (15‑11) |
140‑138 (OT) | Home | Mon Nov 10 |
| 4 | Cavaliers (15‑11) |
116‑130 | Home | Wed Nov 12 |
| 4 | Knicks (17‑7) |
132‑140 | Away | Fri Nov 14 |
| 5 | Knicks (17‑7) |
115‑113 | Home | Mon Nov 17 |
| 5 | Warriors (13‑13) |
110‑96 | Home | Wed Nov 19 |
| 5 | Bulls (10‑14) |
143‑107 | Away | Fri Nov 21 |
| 5 | Sixers (14‑10) |
127‑117 | Away | Sun Nov 23 |
| 6 | Mavericks (10‑16) |
106‑102 | Home | Mon Nov 24 |
| 6 | Bucks (11‑15) |
106‑103 | Home | Wed Nov 26 |
| 6 | Pistons (20‑5) |
135‑138 | Home | Sat Nov 29 |
| 7 | Clippers (6‑19) |
140‑123 | Home | Mon Dec 1 |
| 7 | Mavericks (10‑16) |
108‑118 | Away | Wed Dec 3 |
| 7 | Magic (15‑10) |
105‑106 | Away | Fri Dec 5 |
| 7 | Kings (6‑19) |
111‑127 | Home | Sat Dec 6 |
| 8 | Magic (15‑10) |
108‑117 | Away | Tue Dec 9 |
| 9 | Raptors (15‑11) |
Home | Mon Dec 15, 7:30 pm | |
| 9 | Nets (6‑18) |
Away | Thu Dec 18, 7:30 pm | |
| 9 | Celtics (15‑10) |
Away | Fri Dec 19, 7:00 pm | |
| 9 | Knicks (17‑7) |
Away | Sun Dec 21, 6:00 pm | |
| 10 | Raptors (15‑11) |
Home | Tue Dec 23, 7:30 pm | |
| 10 | Hawks (14‑12) |
Away | Fri Dec 26, 7:00 pm | |
| 10 | Pacers (6‑19) |
Home | Sat Dec 27, 8:00 pm | |
| 11 | Nuggets (18‑6) |
Home | Mon Dec 29, 7:30 pm | |
| 11 | Pistons (20‑5) |
Away | Thu Jan 1, 7:00 pm | |
| 11 | TimberwolvesT. Wolves (16‑9) |
Home | Sat Jan 3, 5:00 pm | |
| 11 | Pelicans (4‑22) |
Home | Sun Jan 4, 6:00 pm | |
| 12 | TimberwolvesT. Wolves (16‑9) |
Away | Tue Jan 6, 8:00 pm | |
| 12 | Bulls (10‑14) |
Away | Thu Jan 8, 8:00 pm | |
| 12 | Pacers (6‑19) |
Away | Sat Jan 10, 7:00 pm | |
| 12 | Thunder (24‑1) |
Away | Sun Jan 11, 7:00 pm | |
| 13 | Suns (14‑11) |
Home | Tue Jan 13, 7:30 pm | |
| 13 | Celtics (15‑10) |
Home | Thu Jan 15, 7:30 pm | |
| 13 | Thunder (24‑1) |
Home | Sat Jan 17, 8:00 pm | |
| 14 | Warriors (13‑13) |
Away | Mon Jan 19, 10:00 pm | |
| 14 | Kings (6‑19) |
Away | Tue Jan 20, 10:00 pm | |
| 14 | Trail Blazers (9‑16) |
Away | Thu Jan 22, 10:00 pm | |
| 14 | Jazz (9‑15) |
Away | Sat Jan 24, 9:30 pm | |
| 14 | Suns (14‑11) |
Away | Sun Jan 25, 8:00 pm | |
| 15 | Magic (15‑10) |
Home | Wed Jan 28, 7:30 pm | |
| 15 | Bulls (10‑14) |
Home | Fri Jan 30, 8:00 pm | |
| 15 | Bulls (10‑14) |
Home | Sun Feb 1, 6:00 pm | |
| 16 | Hawks (14‑12) |
Home | Tue Feb 3, 7:30 pm | |
| 16 | Celtics (15‑10) |
Away | Fri Feb 6, 7:30 pm | |
| 16 | Wizards (3‑20) |
Away | Sun Feb 8, 2:00 pm | |
| 17 | Jazz (9‑15) |
Home | Mon Feb 9, 7:30 pm | |
| 17 | Pelicans (4‑22) |
Away | Wed Feb 11, 8:00 pm | |
| 18 | Hawks (14‑12) |
Away | Fri Feb 20, 7:30 pm | |
| 18 | Grizzlies (11‑14) |
Home | Sat Feb 21, 8:00 pm | |
| 19 | Bucks (11‑15) |
Away | Tue Feb 24, 8:00 pm | |
| 19 | Sixers (14‑10) |
Away | Thu Feb 26, 7:00 pm | |
| 19 | Rockets (16‑6) |
Home | Sat Feb 28, 3:00 pm | |
| 20 | Nets (6‑18) |
Home | Tue Mar 3, 7:30 pm | |
| 20 | Nets (6‑18) |
Home | Thu Mar 5, 7:30 pm | |
| 20 | Hornets (7‑18) |
Away | Fri Mar 6, 7:00 pm | |
| 20 | Pistons (20‑5) |
Home | Sun Mar 8, 6:00 pm | |
| 21 | Wizards (3‑20) |
Home | Tue Mar 10, 7:30 pm | |
| 21 | Bucks (11‑15) |
Home | Thu Mar 12, 7:30 pm | |
| 21 | Magic (15‑10) |
Home | Sat Mar 14, 8:00 pm | |
| 22 | Hornets (7‑18) |
Away | Tue Mar 17, 7:00 pm | |
| 22 | Lakers (17‑7) |
Home | Thu Mar 19, 8:00 pm | |
| 22 | Rockets (16‑6) |
Away | Sat Mar 21, 8:00 pm | |
| 23 | Spurs (17‑7) |
Home | Mon Mar 23, 7:30 pm | |
| 23 | Cavaliers (15‑11) |
Away | Wed Mar 25, 7:30 pm | |
| 23 | Cavaliers (15‑11) |
Away | Fri Mar 27, 7:30 pm | |
| 23 | Pacers (6‑19) |
Away | Sun Mar 29, 5:00 pm | |
| 24 | Sixers (14‑10) |
Home | Mon Mar 30, 7:00 pm | |
| 24 | Celtics (15‑10) |
Home | Wed Apr 1, 7:30 pm | |
| 24 | Wizards (3‑20) |
Home | Sat Apr 4, 3:00 pm | |
| 25 | Raptors (15‑11) |
Away | Tue Apr 7, 7:30 pm | |
| 25 | Raptors (15‑11) |
Away | Thu Apr 9, 7:00 pm | |
| 25 | Wizards (3‑20) |
Away | Fri Apr 10, 7:00 pm | |
| 25 | Hawks (14‑12) |
Home | Sun Apr 12, 6:00 pm |