The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 | |||
| Heat (15‑15) vs Hawks (15‑16) |
60 | Heat Wins | <1% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 13% | ||
| Hawks Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 15% | ||
| TimberwolvesT. Wolves (20‑11) vs Nets (9‑19) |
11 | TimberwolvesT. Wolves Wins | <1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 13% | ||
| Nets Wins | <1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 14% | ||
| Grizzlies (14‑16) vs Bucks (12‑18) |
8 | Grizzlies Wins | <1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 13% | ||
| Bucks Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 14% | ||
| Rockets (18‑10) vs Cavaliers (17‑15) |
7 | Rockets Wins | <1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 13% | ||
| Cavaliers Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 14% | ||
| Hornets (10‑20) vs Magic (17‑13) |
7 | Hornets Wins | <1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 13% | ||
| Magic Wins | <1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 14% | ||
| Wizards (5‑23) vs Raptors (18‑13) |
5 | Wizards Wins | <1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 13% | ||
| Raptors Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 14% | ||
| Pistons (24‑6) vs Jazz (10‑19) |
3 | Pistons Wins | <1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 13% | ||
| Jazz Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 14% | ||
| Sixers (16‑12) vs Bulls (14‑15) |
2 | Sixers Wins | <1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 13% | ||
| Bulls Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 14% | ||
| Pacers (6‑24) vs Celtics (18‑11) |
1 | Pacers Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 13% | ||
| Celtics Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 13% | ||