The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 | |||
| Heat (24‑22) vs Suns (27‑18) |
48 | Heat Wins | 1% | 5% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 3% | ||
| Suns Wins | <1% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 4% | ||
| Mavericks (19‑27) vs Bucks (18‑26) |
8 | Mavericks Wins | <1% | 4% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 3% | ||
| Bucks Wins | <1% | 4% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Thunder (37‑9) vs Raptors (28‑19) |
8 | Thunder Wins | <1% | 4% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 3% | ||
| Raptors Wins | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Lakers (27‑17) vs Bulls (23‑22) |
8 | Lakers Wins | <1% | 4% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 7% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 3% | ||
| Bulls Wins | <1% | 4% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Cavaliers (27‑20) vs Magic (23‑21) |
7 | Cavaliers Wins | <1% | 4% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 3% | ||
| Magic Wins | <1% | 4% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 3% | ||
| Hornets (18‑28) vs Sixers (24‑20) |
7 | Hornets Wins | <1% | 4% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 7% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 3% | ||
| Sixers Wins | <1% | 4% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 3% | ||
| Pistons (32‑11) vs Kings (12‑34) |
5 | Pistons Wins | <1% | 4% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 3% | ||
| Kings Wins | <1% | 4% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Clippers (20‑24) vs Nets (12‑31) |
4 | Clippers Wins | <1% | 4% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 3% | ||
| Nets Wins | <1% | 4% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 3% | ||
| Pacers (11‑35) vs Hawks (22‑25) |
3 | Pacers Wins | <1% | 4% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 3% | ||
| Hawks Wins | <1% | 4% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Celtics (28‑17) vs Trail Blazers (23‑23) |
2 | Celtics Wins | <1% | 3% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 3% | ||
| Trail Blazers Wins | <1% | 4% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 3% | ||