The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 | |||
| Heat (39‑35) vs Pacers (16‑58) |
114 | Heat Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 8% | 13% | 18% | 21% | 22% | 19% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 7% | 10% | 16% | 19% | 23% | 26% | <1% | ||
| Pacers Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 5% | 12% | 17% | 26% | 37% | <1% | ||
| Raptors (41‑32) vs Magic (39‑34) |
23 | Raptors Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 19% | 22% | 25% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 7% | 10% | 16% | 19% | 23% | 26% | <1% | ||
| Magic Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 7% | 9% | 14% | 18% | 24% | 28% | ^ | ||
| Kings (19‑55) vs Hawks (41‑33) |
23 | Kings Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 8% | 13% | 16% | 19% | 21% | 23% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 7% | 10% | 16% | 19% | 23% | 26% | <1% | ||
| Hawks Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 20% | 24% | 25% | <1% | ||
| Sixers (40‑33) vs Hornets (39‑34) |
7 | Sixers Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 21% | 25% | 21% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 7% | 10% | 16% | 19% | 23% | 26% | <1% | ||
| Hornets Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 7% | 10% | 17% | 18% | 21% | 27% | <1% | ||
| Spurs (55‑18) vs Bucks (29‑43) |
1 | Spurs Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 7% | 10% | 16% | 19% | 23% | 25% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 7% | 10% | 16% | 19% | 23% | 26% | <1% | ||
| Bucks Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 19% | 23% | 26% | <1% | ||
| Warriors (35‑38) vs Wizards (17‑55) |
0 | Warriors Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 7% | 10% | 16% | 19% | 23% | 26% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 7% | 10% | 16% | 19% | 23% | 26% | <1% | ||
| Wizards Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 7% | 10% | 16% | 19% | 23% | 26% | <1% | ||
| Lakers (47‑26) vs Nets (17‑56) |
0 | Lakers Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 7% | 10% | 16% | 19% | 23% | 26% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 7% | 10% | 16% | 19% | 23% | 26% | <1% | ||
| Nets Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 7% | 10% | 16% | 19% | 23% | 26% | <1% | ||
| TimberwolvesT. Wolves (45‑28) vs Pistons (53‑20) |
0 | TimberwolvesT. Wolves Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 7% | 10% | 16% | 19% | 23% | 26% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 7% | 10% | 16% | 19% | 23% | 26% | <1% | ||
| Pistons Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 7% | 10% | 16% | 19% | 23% | 26% | <1% | ||
| Grizzlies (24‑49) vs Bulls (29‑44) |
0 | Grizzlies Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 7% | 10% | 16% | 19% | 23% | 26% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 7% | 10% | 16% | 19% | 23% | 26% | <1% | ||
| Bulls Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 7% | 10% | 16% | 19% | 23% | 26% | <1% | ||
| Thunder (58‑16) vs Knicks (48‑26) |
0 | Thunder Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 7% | 10% | 16% | 19% | 23% | 26% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 7% | 10% | 16% | 19% | 23% | 26% | <1% | ||
| Knicks Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 7% | 10% | 16% | 19% | 23% | 26% | <1% | ||