The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 | |||
| Heat (6‑6) vs Pistons (8‑3) |
30 | Heat Wins | 5% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Pistons Wins | 4% | 8% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 26% | ||
| TimberwolvesT. Wolves (9‑3) vs Bulls (2‑9) |
10 | TimberwolvesT. Wolves Wins | 4% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Bulls Wins | 5% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 25% | ||
| Pacers (5‑8) vs Sixers (10‑3) |
3 | Pacers Wins | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Sixers Wins | 4% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 25% | ||
| Cavaliers (6‑7) vs Mavericks (7‑5) |
3 | Cavaliers Wins | 4% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Mavericks Wins | 4% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 25% | ||
| Wizards (4‑9) vs Rockets (10‑3) |
3 | Wizards Wins | 4% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Rockets Wins | 4% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 24% | ||
| Raptors (5‑7) vs Knicks (6‑6) |
2 | Raptors Wins | 4% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Knicks Wins | 5% | 8% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Nets (3‑8) vs Grizzlies (8‑4) |
1 | Nets Wins | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Grizzlies Wins | 4% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 24% | ||
| Bucks (1‑12) vs Hawks (7‑6) |
1 | Bucks Wins | 4% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Hawks Wins | 4% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 25% | ||
| Clippers (3‑8) vs Hornets (4‑8) |
1 | Clippers Wins | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Hornets Wins | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 25% | ||