The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 | |||
| Heat (40‑36) vs Celtics (50‑25) |
122 | Heat Wins | X | X | X | X | 5% | 8% | 19% | 25% | 29% | 14% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 3% | 5% | 14% | 22% | 32% | 24% | ^ | ||
| Celtics Wins | X | X | X | X | 1% | 3% | 9% | 19% | 36% | 33% | ^ | ||
| Hawks (43‑33) vs Magic (40‑35) |
31 | Hawks Wins | X | X | X | X | 3% | 5% | 16% | 25% | 28% | 23% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 3% | 5% | 14% | 22% | 32% | 24% | ^ | ||
| Magic Wins | X | X | X | X | 3% | 5% | 12% | 20% | 35% | 25% | ^ | ||
| Wizards (17‑58) vs Sixers (41‑34) |
27 | Wizards Wins | X | X | X | X | 3% | 5% | 18% | 22% | 29% | 22% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 3% | 5% | 14% | 22% | 32% | 24% | ^ | ||
| Sixers Wins | X | X | X | X | 3% | 5% | 12% | 22% | 33% | 25% | ^ | ||
| Suns (42‑34) vs Hornets (40‑36) |
27 | Suns Wins | X | X | X | X | 3% | 5% | 15% | 24% | 37% | 16% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 3% | 5% | 14% | 22% | 32% | 24% | ^ | ||
| Hornets Wins | X | X | X | X | 3% | 5% | 14% | 20% | 28% | 31% | ^ | ||
| Kings (19‑57) vs Raptors (42‑33) |
10 | Kings Wins | X | X | X | X | 4% | 6% | 13% | 21% | 32% | 24% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 3% | 5% | 14% | 22% | 32% | 24% | ^ | ||
| Raptors Wins | X | X | X | X | 3% | 5% | 14% | 22% | 33% | 24% | ^ | ||
| Bulls (29‑46) vs Pacers (17‑58) |
0 | Bulls Wins | X | X | X | X | 3% | 5% | 14% | 22% | 32% | 24% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 3% | 5% | 14% | 22% | 32% | 24% | ^ | ||
| Pacers Wins | X | X | X | X | 3% | 5% | 14% | 22% | 32% | 24% | ^ | ||
| Grizzlies (25‑50) vs Knicks (48‑28) |
0 | Grizzlies Wins | X | X | X | X | 3% | 5% | 14% | 22% | 32% | 24% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 3% | 5% | 14% | 22% | 32% | 24% | ^ | ||
| Knicks Wins | X | X | X | X | 3% | 5% | 14% | 22% | 32% | 24% | ^ | ||
| Rockets (46‑29) vs Bucks (30‑45) |
0 | Rockets Wins | X | X | X | X | 3% | 5% | 14% | 22% | 32% | 24% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 3% | 5% | 14% | 22% | 32% | 24% | ^ | ||
| Bucks Wins | X | X | X | X | 3% | 5% | 14% | 22% | 32% | 24% | ^ | ||
| Pistons (55‑21) vs TimberwolvesT. Wolves (46‑29) |
0 | Pistons Wins | X | X | X | X | 3% | 5% | 14% | 22% | 32% | 24% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 3% | 5% | 14% | 22% | 32% | 24% | ^ | ||
| TimberwolvesT. Wolves Wins | X | X | X | X | 3% | 5% | 14% | 22% | 32% | 24% | ^ | ||