The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in |
8** Play-in |
9** Play-in |
10** Play-in |
11 | |||
| Heat (12‑10) vs Hornets (7‑13) |
44 | Heat Wins | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Hornets Wins | 2% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 18% | ||
| Wizards (3‑18) vs Sixers (14‑7) |
9 | Wizards Wins | 3% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Sixers Wins | 3% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Magic (15‑7) vs Cavaliers (13‑9) |
6 | Magic Wins | 3% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Cavaliers Wins | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Nuggets (14‑9) vs Hawks (9‑12) |
5 | Nuggets Wins | 2% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Hawks Wins | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Knicks (12‑9) vs Raptors (9‑13) |
4 | Knicks Wins | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Raptors Wins | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 16% | ||
| Pistons (2‑20) vs Pacers (12‑8) |
2 | Pistons Wins | 3% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Pacers Wins | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 16% | ||
| Nets (12‑9) vs Kings (12‑8) |
2 | Nets Wins | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Kings Wins | 2% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 16% | ||
| Bucks (15‑7) vs Bulls (9‑14) |
1 | Bucks Wins | 3% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Bulls Wins | 3% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 17% | ||