The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 | |||
| Heat (36‑29) vs Wizards (16‑47) |
59 | Heat Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 19% | 23% | 25% | 17% | 8% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 18% | 23% | 24% | 17% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Wizards Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 13% | 19% | 26% | 22% | 13% | 5% | <1% | ||
| Rockets (39‑24) vs Raptors (36‑27) |
14 | Rockets Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 19% | 23% | 23% | 17% | 8% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 18% | 23% | 24% | 17% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Raptors Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 16% | 24% | 24% | 19% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Mavericks (21‑43) vs Hawks (33‑31) |
12 | Mavericks Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 18% | 24% | 24% | 17% | 7% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 18% | 23% | 24% | 17% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Hawks Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 18% | 23% | 23% | 18% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Cavaliers (39‑25) vs Sixers (34‑29) |
10 | Cavaliers Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 19% | 24% | 25% | 16% | 8% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 18% | 23% | 24% | 17% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Sixers Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 17% | 21% | 22% | 19% | 10% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Suns (36‑27) vs Hornets (32‑32) |
4 | Suns Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 18% | 23% | 25% | 18% | 9% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 18% | 23% | 24% | 17% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Hornets Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 18% | 23% | 23% | 17% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Celtics (43‑21) vs Spurs (47‑17) |
1 | Celtics Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 18% | 23% | 25% | 18% | 8% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 18% | 23% | 24% | 17% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Spurs Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 18% | 23% | 24% | 17% | 9% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Clippers (31‑32) vs Knicks (41‑24) |
0 | Clippers Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 18% | 23% | 25% | 17% | 9% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 18% | 23% | 24% | 17% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Knicks Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 19% | 23% | 23% | 18% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Nets (16‑47) vs Grizzlies (23‑39) |
0 | Nets Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 18% | 23% | 24% | 17% | 9% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 18% | 23% | 24% | 17% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Grizzlies Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 18% | 23% | 24% | 17% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Kings (15‑50) vs Pacers (15‑49) |
0 | Kings Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 18% | 23% | 24% | 17% | 9% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 18% | 23% | 24% | 17% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Pacers Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 18% | 23% | 24% | 17% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ||