The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 | |||
| Heat (33‑29) vs Nets (15‑46) |
68 | Heat Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 18% | 22% | 20% | 15% | 10% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 18% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 11% | 1% | ||
| Nets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 14% | 19% | 22% | 19% | 16% | 2% | ||
| Mavericks (21‑40) vs Magic (32‑28) |
16 | Mavericks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 19% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 18% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 11% | 1% | ||
| Magic Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 18% | 20% | 21% | 16% | 11% | 1% | ||
| TimberwolvesT. Wolves (39‑23) vs Raptors (35‑26) |
9 | TimberwolvesT. Wolves Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 19% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 18% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 11% | 1% | ||
| Raptors Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 18% | 21% | 21% | 17% | 11% | 1% | ||
| Wizards (16‑45) vs Jazz (18‑44) |
3 | Wizards Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 18% | 20% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 18% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 11% | 1% | ||
| Jazz Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 17% | 20% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 1% | ||
| Pistons (45‑15) vs Spurs (44‑17) |
3 | Pistons Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 17% | 21% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 18% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 11% | 1% | ||
| Spurs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 18% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 1% | ||
| Bulls (25‑37) vs Suns (35‑26) |
3 | Bulls Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 18% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 18% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 11% | 1% | ||
| Suns Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 17% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 1% | ||