The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 | |||
| Heat (33‑29) vs Nets (15‑46) |
60 | Heat Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 20% | 22% | 22% | 13% | 7% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 20% | 22% | 21% | 14% | 8% | 1% | ||
| Nets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 16% | 21% | 23% | 18% | 11% | 2% | ||
| Jazz (18‑43) vs Sixers (33‑28) |
14 | Jazz Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 21% | 23% | 19% | 13% | 7% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 20% | 22% | 21% | 14% | 8% | 1% | ||
| Sixers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 20% | 22% | 22% | 13% | 8% | 1% | ||
| Mavericks (21‑40) vs Magic (32‑28) |
13 | Mavericks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 22% | 22% | 20% | 13% | 7% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 20% | 22% | 21% | 14% | 8% | 1% | ||
| Magic Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 20% | 22% | 22% | 13% | 8% | 1% | ||
| Celtics (41‑20) vs Hornets (31‑31) |
12 | Celtics Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 20% | 23% | 21% | 14% | 7% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 20% | 22% | 21% | 14% | 8% | 1% | ||
| Hornets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 19% | 21% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 1% | ||
| Bucks (26‑34) vs Hawks (31‑31) |
11 | Bucks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 20% | 23% | 22% | 13% | 7% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 20% | 22% | 21% | 14% | 8% | 1% | ||
| Hawks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 19% | 21% | 22% | 15% | 8% | 1% | ||
| TimberwolvesT. Wolves (39‑23) vs Raptors (35‑26) |
8 | TimberwolvesT. Wolves Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 19% | 22% | 21% | 14% | 8% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 20% | 22% | 21% | 14% | 8% | 1% | ||
| Raptors Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 20% | 23% | 21% | 14% | 8% | 1% | ||
| Thunder (48‑15) vs Knicks (40‑22) |
4 | Thunder Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 20% | 22% | 21% | 13% | 8% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 20% | 22% | 21% | 14% | 8% | 1% | ||
| Knicks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 19% | 22% | 21% | 14% | 8% | 1% | ||
| Suns (35‑26) vs Bulls (25‑37) |
3 | Suns Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 19% | 22% | 22% | 13% | 8% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 20% | 22% | 21% | 14% | 8% | 1% | ||
| Bulls Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 20% | 22% | 21% | 14% | 8% | 1% | ||
| Spurs (44‑17) vs Pistons (45‑15) |
2 | Spurs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 19% | 23% | 21% | 14% | 8% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 20% | 22% | 21% | 14% | 8% | 1% | ||
| Pistons Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 19% | 22% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 1% | ||
| Clippers (29‑31) vs Pacers (15‑46) |
1 | Clippers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 20% | 22% | 21% | 14% | 8% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 20% | 22% | 21% | 14% | 8% | 1% | ||
| Pacers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 20% | 21% | 21% | 14% | 8% | 1% | ||