The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 | |||
| Heat (29‑39) vs Pistons (38‑31) |
47 | Heat Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 22% | 43% | 27% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 19% | 42% | 34% | 1% | ||
| Pistons Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 15% | 40% | 41% | 1% | ||
| Rockets (44‑25) vs Magic (32‑37) |
21 | Rockets Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 20% | 39% | 34% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 19% | 42% | 34% | 1% | ||
| Magic Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 16% | 45% | 35% | 1% | ||
| Suns (32‑37) vs Bulls (29‑39) |
9 | Suns Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 19% | 46% | 29% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 19% | 42% | 34% | 1% | ||
| Bulls Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 18% | 35% | 42% | 1% | ||
| Pacers (38‑29) vs Mavericks (33‑36) |
5 | Pacers Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 20% | 41% | 34% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 19% | 42% | 34% | 1% | ||
| Mavericks Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 19% | 42% | 34% | 1% | ||
| Spurs (28‑39) vs Knicks (43‑24) |
4 | Spurs Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 19% | 42% | 34% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 19% | 42% | 34% | 1% | ||
| Knicks Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 19% | 41% | 35% | 1% | ||
| Warriors (39‑29) vs Bucks (38‑29) |
3 | Warriors Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 19% | 41% | 34% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 19% | 42% | 34% | 1% | ||
| Bucks Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 19% | 42% | 34% | 1% | ||
| Thunder (56‑12) vs Sixers (23‑45) |
1 | Thunder Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 18% | 42% | 34% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 19% | 42% | 34% | 1% | ||
| Sixers Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 19% | 42% | 34% | 2% | ||
| Wizards (15‑52) vs Jazz (15‑54) |
0 | Wizards Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 19% | 42% | 34% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 19% | 42% | 34% | 1% | ||
| Jazz Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 19% | 41% | 34% | 1% | ||
| Clippers (38‑30) vs Cavaliers (56‑11) |
0 | Clippers Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 19% | 42% | 34% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 19% | 42% | 34% | 1% | ||
| Cavaliers Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 19% | 42% | 34% | 1% | ||