The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in |
8** Play-in |
9** Play-in |
10** Play-in |
11 | |||
| Heat (9‑9) vs Celtics (16‑4) |
38 | Heat Wins | 1% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 24% | ||
| Celtics Wins | 1% | 2% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 25% | ||
| Bulls (8‑13) vs Nets (9‑12) |
7 | Bulls Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 24% | ||
| Nets Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 25% | ||
| Magic (15‑7) vs Knicks (12‑8) |
5 | Magic Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 24% | ||
| Knicks Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 24% | ||
| Hawks (10‑11) vs Pelicans (4‑17) |
4 | Hawks Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 24% | ||
| Pelicans Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 25% | ||
| Pistons (9‑13) vs Bucks (10‑9) |
2 | Pistons Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 24% | ||
| Bucks Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 24% | ||
| Wizards (2‑16) vs Cavaliers (18‑3) |
2 | Wizards Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 24% | ||
| Cavaliers Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 24% | ||
| Sixers (4‑14) vs Hornets (6‑14) |
1 | Sixers Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 24% | ||
| Hornets Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 24% | ||
| Raptors (6‑15) vs Pacers (9‑12) |
1 | Raptors Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 24% | ||
| Pacers Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 24% | ||