The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 | |||
| Mavericks (21‑42) vs Raptors (35‑27) |
11 | Mavericks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 19% | 21% | 22% | 20% | 10% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 21% | 23% | 21% | 11% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Raptors Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 21% | 23% | 22% | 11% | 5% | <1% | ||
| Suns (36‑27) vs Hornets (32‑32) |
7 | Suns Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 21% | 23% | 21% | 11% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 21% | 23% | 21% | 11% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Hornets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 20% | 22% | 21% | 11% | 5% | <1% | ||
| Pelicans (20‑45) vs Wizards (16‑46) |
4 | Pelicans Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 21% | 23% | 21% | 11% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 21% | 23% | 21% | 11% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Wizards Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 20% | 23% | 21% | 11% | 5% | <1% | ||
| Bulls (26‑37) vs Kings (14‑50) |
3 | Bulls Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 22% | 22% | 21% | 11% | 5% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 21% | 23% | 21% | 11% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Kings Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 21% | 22% | 22% | 12% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Lakers (38‑25) vs Knicks (41‑23) |
3 | Lakers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 21% | 23% | 21% | 11% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 21% | 23% | 21% | 11% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Knicks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 17% | 21% | 23% | 21% | 11% | 5% | <1% | ||
| Nets (15‑47) vs Pistons (45‑16) |
2 | Nets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 17% | 21% | 22% | 21% | 11% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 21% | 23% | 21% | 11% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Pistons Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 17% | 21% | 22% | 21% | 11% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Sixers (34‑28) vs Hawks (32‑31) |
2 | Sixers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 21% | 23% | 23% | 11% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 21% | 23% | 21% | 11% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Hawks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 22% | 23% | 19% | 12% | 5% | <1% | ||
| Celtics (42‑21) vs Cavaliers (39‑24) |
1 | Celtics Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 21% | 23% | 21% | 11% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 21% | 23% | 21% | 11% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Cavaliers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 17% | 21% | 23% | 22% | 11% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Jazz (19‑44) vs Bucks (26‑35) |
1 | Jazz Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 21% | 23% | 21% | 11% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 21% | 23% | 21% | 11% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Bucks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 21% | 22% | 21% | 11% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Trail Blazers (30‑34) vs Pacers (15‑48) |
0 | Trail Blazers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 21% | 23% | 21% | 11% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 21% | 23% | 21% | 11% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Pacers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 21% | 23% | 21% | 11% | 4% | <1% | ||