The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 | |||
| Heat (14‑11) vs Raptors (15‑11) |
35 | Heat Wins | 3% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 8% | ||
| Raptors Wins | 2% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | ||
| Pelicans (4‑22) vs Bulls (10‑14) |
10 | Pelicans Wins | 3% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 8% | ||
| Bulls Wins | 3% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% | ||
| Hornets (7‑18) vs Cavaliers (15‑11) |
8 | Hornets Wins | 3% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 8% | ||
| Cavaliers Wins | 3% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 8% | ||
| Nets (6‑18) vs Bucks (11‑15) |
6 | Nets Wins | 3% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 8% | ||
| Bucks Wins | 3% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 8% | ||
| Hawks (14‑12) vs Sixers (14‑10) |
5 | Hawks Wins | 3% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 8% | ||
| Sixers Wins | 3% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 8% | ||
| Pistons (20‑5) vs Celtics (15‑10) |
4 | Pistons Wins | 3% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 8% | ||
| Celtics Wins | 3% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 8% | ||
| Wizards (3‑20) vs Pacers (6‑19) |
4 | Wizards Wins | 3% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 8% | ||
| Pacers Wins | 3% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 8% | ||