The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 | |||
| Heat (38‑31) vs Lakers (44‑25) |
80 | Heat Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 19% | 26% | 21% | 15% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 16% | 25% | 23% | 19% | 7% | <1% | ||
| Lakers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 13% | 24% | 25% | 23% | 9% | <1% | ||
| Kings (18‑52) vs Sixers (37‑32) |
22 | Kings Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 17% | 26% | 24% | 16% | 6% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 16% | 25% | 23% | 19% | 7% | <1% | ||
| Sixers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 16% | 24% | 23% | 20% | 7% | <1% | ||
| Rockets (41‑27) vs Hawks (38‑31) |
19 | Rockets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 17% | 25% | 22% | 18% | 6% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 16% | 25% | 23% | 19% | 7% | <1% | ||
| Hawks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 16% | 22% | 25% | 20% | 7% | <1% | ||
| Knicks (45‑25) vs Grizzlies (24‑44) |
9 | Knicks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 16% | 24% | 24% | 18% | 7% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 16% | 25% | 23% | 19% | 7% | <1% | ||
| Grizzlies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 16% | 24% | 23% | 20% | 7% | <1% | ||
| Nuggets (42‑28) vs Raptors (39‑29) |
6 | Nuggets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 17% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 6% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 16% | 25% | 23% | 19% | 7% | <1% | ||
| Raptors Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 16% | 26% | 24% | 18% | 7% | <1% | ||
| Hornets (35‑34) vs Magic (38‑30) |
3 | Hornets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 17% | 22% | 21% | 18% | 9% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 16% | 25% | 23% | 19% | 7% | <1% | ||
| Magic Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 15% | 25% | 26% | 20% | 5% | <1% | ||
| Bucks (28‑40) vs Jazz (20‑49) |
3 | Bucks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 16% | 24% | 23% | 19% | 6% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 16% | 25% | 23% | 19% | 7% | <1% | ||
| Jazz Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 16% | 24% | 23% | 19% | 7% | <1% | ||
| Pistons (49‑19) vs Wizards (16‑52) |
1 | Pistons Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 16% | 24% | 24% | 18% | 7% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 16% | 25% | 23% | 19% | 7% | <1% | ||
| Wizards Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 16% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 7% | <1% | ||
| Cavaliers (42‑27) vs Bulls (28‑41) |
1 | Cavaliers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 17% | 25% | 22% | 19% | 7% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 16% | 25% | 23% | 19% | 7% | <1% | ||
| Bulls Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 15% | 24% | 23% | 19% | 7% | <1% | ||