The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 | |||
| Heat (38‑32) vs Rockets (42‑27) |
90 | Heat Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 18% | 23% | 22% | 17% | 7% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 14% | 21% | 23% | 22% | 13% | <1% | ||
| Rockets Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 12% | 20% | 23% | 24% | 15% | <1% | ||
| Warriors (33‑37) vs Hawks (38‑32) |
24 | Warriors Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 14% | 22% | 22% | 20% | 12% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 14% | 21% | 23% | 22% | 13% | <1% | ||
| Hawks Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 14% | 19% | 22% | 24% | 13% | <1% | ||
| Jazz (21‑49) vs Sixers (38‑32) |
19 | Jazz Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 15% | 22% | 23% | 20% | 12% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 14% | 21% | 23% | 22% | 13% | <1% | ||
| Sixers Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 13% | 19% | 23% | 23% | 13% | <1% | ||
| Lakers (45‑25) vs Magic (38‑31) |
19 | Lakers Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 15% | 20% | 20% | 21% | 13% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 14% | 21% | 23% | 22% | 13% | <1% | ||
| Magic Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 13% | 21% | 24% | 23% | 12% | <1% | ||
| Grizzlies (24‑45) vs Hornets (36‑34) |
8 | Grizzlies Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 13% | 22% | 24% | 24% | 9% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 14% | 21% | 23% | 22% | 13% | <1% | ||
| Hornets Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 14% | 20% | 22% | 21% | 14% | <1% | ||
| Cavaliers (43‑27) vs Pelicans (25‑46) |
6 | Cavaliers Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 14% | 21% | 22% | 21% | 12% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 14% | 21% | 23% | 22% | 13% | <1% | ||
| Pelicans Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 14% | 21% | 22% | 22% | 13% | <1% | ||
| Celtics (47‑23) vs TimberwolvesT. Wolves (43‑28) |
2 | Celtics Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 14% | 21% | 23% | 21% | 12% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 14% | 21% | 23% | 22% | 13% | <1% | ||
| TimberwolvesT. Wolves Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 15% | 21% | 22% | 21% | 13% | <1% | ||
| Suns (39‑31) vs Bucks (28‑41) |
0 | Suns Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 14% | 21% | 22% | 22% | 13% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 14% | 21% | 23% | 22% | 13% | <1% | ||
| Bucks Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 14% | 21% | 22% | 22% | 13% | <1% | ||
| Wizards (16‑53) vs Thunder (55‑15) |
0 | Wizards Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 14% | 21% | 23% | 22% | 13% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 14% | 21% | 23% | 22% | 13% | <1% | ||
| Thunder Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 14% | 21% | 23% | 22% | 13% | <1% | ||
| Spurs (52‑18) vs Pacers (15‑55) |
0 | Spurs Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 14% | 21% | 23% | 22% | 13% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 14% | 21% | 23% | 22% | 13% | <1% | ||
| Pacers Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 14% | 21% | 23% | 22% | 13% | <1% | ||
| Kings (18‑53) vs Nets (17‑53) |
0 | Kings Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 14% | 21% | 23% | 22% | 13% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 14% | 21% | 23% | 22% | 13% | <1% | ||
| Nets Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 14% | 21% | 23% | 22% | 13% | <1% | ||