The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 | |||
| Heat (38‑29) vs Magic (37‑28) |
73 | Heat Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 28% | 27% | 19% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 24% | 26% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Magic Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 15% | 27% | 25% | 16% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Suns (39‑27) vs Raptors (36‑29) |
13 | Suns Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 25% | 27% | 20% | 11% | 6% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 24% | 26% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Raptors Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 22% | 25% | 23% | 13% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Nets (17‑49) vs Sixers (35‑31) |
10 | Nets Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 23% | 28% | 22% | 12% | 5% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 24% | 26% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Sixers Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 24% | 25% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Bucks (27‑38) vs Hawks (35‑31) |
8 | Bucks Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 24% | 27% | 22% | 13% | 5% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 24% | 26% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Hawks Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 24% | 26% | 20% | 13% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Mavericks (22‑44) vs Cavaliers (40‑26) |
6 | Mavericks Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 23% | 25% | 21% | 12% | 6% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 24% | 26% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Cavaliers Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 25% | 26% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Spurs (48‑18) vs Hornets (34‑33) |
6 | Spurs Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 24% | 26% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 24% | 26% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Hornets Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 24% | 26% | 21% | 12% | 7% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Bulls (27‑39) vs Clippers (33‑32) |
4 | Bulls Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 24% | 26% | 21% | 12% | 6% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 24% | 26% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Clippers Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 23% | 26% | 20% | 13% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Pacers (15‑51) vs Knicks (42‑25) |
3 | Pacers Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 23% | 26% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 24% | 26% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Knicks Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 24% | 26% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Pistons (47‑18) vs Grizzlies (23‑42) |
2 | Pistons Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 23% | 27% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 24% | 26% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Grizzlies Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 23% | 26% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Celtics (43‑23) vs Wizards (16‑49) |
0 | Celtics Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 24% | 26% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 24% | 26% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Wizards Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 23% | 26% | 21% | 13% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ||