The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 | |||
| Heat (38‑30) vs Hornets (34‑34) |
79 | Heat Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 15% | 24% | 27% | 19% | 9% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 11% | 20% | 27% | 21% | 12% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Hornets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 8% | 18% | 27% | 23% | 15% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Nuggets (41‑27) vs Sixers (37‑31) |
15 | Nuggets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 11% | 21% | 28% | 21% | 12% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 11% | 20% | 27% | 21% | 12% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Sixers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 11% | 19% | 25% | 23% | 14% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Magic (38‑28) vs Hawks (36‑31) |
5 | Magic Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 10% | 21% | 30% | 22% | 11% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 11% | 20% | 27% | 21% | 12% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Hawks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 13% | 21% | 24% | 20% | 14% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Bulls (27‑40) vs Grizzlies (23‑43) |
3 | Bulls Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 11% | 20% | 28% | 21% | 12% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 11% | 20% | 27% | 21% | 12% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Grizzlies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 11% | 20% | 27% | 21% | 12% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Knicks (44‑25) vs Pacers (15‑53) |
2 | Knicks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 11% | 20% | 27% | 22% | 12% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 11% | 20% | 27% | 21% | 12% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Pacers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 11% | 20% | 27% | 22% | 12% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Celtics (44‑23) vs Suns (39‑28) |
1 | Celtics Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 11% | 20% | 28% | 22% | 13% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 11% | 20% | 27% | 21% | 12% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Suns Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 11% | 20% | 27% | 21% | 13% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Bucks (28‑39) vs Cavaliers (41‑27) |
1 | Bucks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 11% | 19% | 27% | 21% | 13% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 11% | 20% | 27% | 21% | 12% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Cavaliers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 11% | 20% | 28% | 21% | 13% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Wizards (16‑50) vs Warriors (32‑35) |
0 | Wizards Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 11% | 20% | 27% | 21% | 12% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 11% | 20% | 27% | 21% | 12% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Warriors Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 11% | 20% | 27% | 21% | 12% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Nets (17‑50) vs Trail Blazers (32‑36) |
0 | Nets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 11% | 20% | 27% | 21% | 12% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 11% | 20% | 27% | 21% | 12% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Trail Blazers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 11% | 20% | 27% | 21% | 12% | 3% | <1% | ||