The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in |
8** Play-in |
9** Play-in |
10** Play-in |
11 | |||
| Cavaliers (21‑4) vs Bucks (12‑11) |
8 | Cavaliers Wins | 1% | 5% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 11% | ||
| Bucks Wins | 1% | 4% | 9% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 11% | ||
| Hornets (7‑17) vs Wizards (3‑19) |
8 | Hornets Wins | 1% | 5% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 11% | ||
| Wizards Wins | 1% | 4% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 11% | ||
| Raptors (7‑18) vs Nets (10‑14) |
6 | Raptors Wins | 1% | 5% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 11% | ||
| Nets Wins | 1% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 11% | ||
| TimberwolvesT. Wolves (12‑11) vs Knicks (15‑9) |
6 | TimberwolvesT. Wolves Wins | 1% | 5% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 11% | ||
| Knicks Wins | 1% | 4% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 11% | ||
| Pacers (10‑15) vs Suns (12‑11) |
5 | Pacers Wins | 1% | 5% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 11% | ||
| Suns Wins | 1% | 4% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 12% | ||
| Jazz (5‑18) vs Pistons (10‑15) |
4 | Jazz Wins | 1% | 4% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 11% | ||
| Pistons Wins | 1% | 5% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 11% | ||
| Spurs (12‑12) vs Hawks (13‑12) |
2 | Spurs Wins | 1% | 5% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 11% | ||
| Hawks Wins | 1% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 11% | ||
| Magic (17‑9) vs Thunder (18‑5) |
1 | Magic Wins | 1% | 4% | 9% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 11% | ||
| Thunder Wins | 1% | 4% | 10% | 13% | 12% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 11% | ||
| Celtics (19‑5) vs Bulls (10‑15) |
1 | Celtics Wins | 1% | 4% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 11% | ||
| Bulls Wins | 1% | 5% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 11% | ||