The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 | |||
| Kings (12‑44) vs Magic (28‑25) |
13 | Kings Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 17% | 21% | 21% | 15% | 9% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 16% | 20% | 22% | 15% | 9% | 4% | ||
| Magic Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 14% | 21% | 23% | 15% | 9% | 5% | ||
| Rockets (33‑20) vs Hornets (26‑29) |
12 | Rockets Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 16% | 21% | 23% | 14% | 9% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 16% | 20% | 22% | 15% | 9% | 4% | ||
| Hornets Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 20% | 21% | 15% | 10% | 5% | ||
| Pelicans (15‑41) vs Bucks (23‑30) |
6 | Pelicans Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 16% | 21% | 22% | 15% | 8% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 16% | 20% | 22% | 15% | 9% | 4% | ||
| Bucks Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 21% | 22% | 15% | 9% | 5% | ||
| Bulls (24‑31) vs Raptors (32‑23) |
5 | Bulls Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 20% | 22% | 15% | 9% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 16% | 20% | 22% | 15% | 9% | 4% | ||
| Raptors Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 15% | 21% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 4% | ||
| Hawks (26‑30) vs Sixers (30‑24) |
4 | Hawks Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 16% | 20% | 21% | 15% | 10% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 16% | 20% | 22% | 15% | 9% | 4% | ||
| Sixers Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 15% | 21% | 24% | 15% | 9% | 4% | ||
| Celtics (35‑19) vs Warriors (29‑26) |
2 | Celtics Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 16% | 21% | 22% | 15% | 9% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 16% | 20% | 22% | 15% | 9% | 4% | ||
| Warriors Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 15% | 21% | 22% | 15% | 9% | 4% | ||
| Nets (15‑38) vs Cavaliers (34‑21) |
2 | Nets Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 20% | 22% | 15% | 9% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 16% | 20% | 22% | 15% | 9% | 4% | ||
| Cavaliers Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 20% | 22% | 15% | 9% | 4% | ||
| Pistons (40‑13) vs Knicks (35‑20) |
1 | Pistons Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 20% | 22% | 15% | 9% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 16% | 20% | 22% | 15% | 9% | 4% | ||
| Knicks Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 15% | 21% | 22% | 15% | 9% | 5% | ||
| Wizards (14‑39) vs Pacers (15‑40) |
0 | Wizards Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 20% | 22% | 15% | 9% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 16% | 20% | 22% | 15% | 9% | 4% | ||
| Pacers Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 15% | 21% | 22% | 15% | 9% | 5% | ||