The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in |
8** Play-in |
9** Play-in |
10** Play-in |
11 | |||
| Heat (29‑25) vs Pacers (25‑30) |
6 | Heat Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 8% | 16% | 28% | 19% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 26% | 19% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Pacers Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 12% | 24% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 6% | ||
| Hornets (15‑40) vs Wizards (24‑29) |
1 | Hornets Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 15% | 27% | 20% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 26% | 19% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Wizards Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 15% | 26% | 19% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Celtics (38‑16) vs Sixers (34‑18) |
1 | Celtics Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 8% | 15% | 26% | 19% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 26% | 19% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Sixers Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 15% | 27% | 19% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Nuggets (38‑17) vs Magic (22‑33) |
1 | Nuggets Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 15% | 25% | 19% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 26% | 19% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Magic Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 14% | 26% | 19% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Suns (30‑26) vs Hawks (27‑28) |
1 | Suns Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 26% | 19% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 26% | 19% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Hawks Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 14% | 25% | 19% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Pistons (14‑41) vs Cavaliers (34‑22) |
0 | Pistons Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 8% | 15% | 25% | 19% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 26% | 19% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Cavaliers Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 14% | 27% | 19% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Spurs (14‑40) vs Raptors (25‑30) |
0 | Spurs Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 26% | 19% | 14% | 8% | 5% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 26% | 19% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Raptors Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 26% | 19% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Bulls (26‑28) vs Nets (32‑22) |
0 | Bulls Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 25% | 17% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 26% | 19% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Nets Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 15% | 26% | 19% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Lakers (25‑30) vs Bucks (37‑17) |
0 | Lakers Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 15% | 26% | 19% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 26% | 19% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Bucks Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 26% | 19% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 4% | ||