The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 | |||
| Nets (15‑40) vs Hawks (27‑31) |
12 | Nets Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 14% | 25% | 24% | 19% | 8% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 25% | 23% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Hawks Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 24% | 24% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Clippers (27‑29) vs Magic (29‑26) |
11 | Clippers Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 26% | 23% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 25% | 23% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Magic Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 23% | 24% | 19% | 10% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Thunder (43‑14) vs Cavaliers (36‑21) |
8 | Thunder Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 14% | 25% | 23% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 25% | 23% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Cavaliers Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 25% | 23% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 1% | ||
| TimberwolvesT. Wolves (35‑22) vs Sixers (30‑26) |
8 | TimberwolvesT. Wolves Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 25% | 24% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 25% | 23% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Sixers Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 23% | 24% | 19% | 9% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Wizards (16‑39) vs Hornets (26‑31) |
7 | Wizards Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 25% | 24% | 18% | 9% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 25% | 23% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Hornets Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 24% | 24% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Bulls (24‑33) vs Knicks (36‑21) |
3 | Bulls Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 13% | 25% | 23% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 25% | 23% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Knicks Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 26% | 24% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Lakers (34‑21) vs Celtics (36‑19) |
3 | Lakers Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 13% | 25% | 24% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 25% | 23% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Celtics Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 25% | 24% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Pistons (42‑13) vs Spurs (40‑16) |
1 | Pistons Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 24% | 24% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 25% | 23% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Spurs Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 13% | 25% | 24% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Bucks (24‑30) vs Raptors (33‑23) |
1 | Bucks Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 15% | 24% | 22% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 25% | 23% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Raptors Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 26% | 24% | 19% | 9% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Mavericks (19‑36) vs Pacers (15‑42) |
0 | Mavericks Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 24% | 24% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 25% | 23% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Pacers Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 25% | 24% | 19% | 9% | 4% | 1% | ||