The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 | |||
| Heat (34‑29) vs Hornets (32‑31) |
97 | Heat Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 17% | 22% | 22% | 19% | 11% | 5% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 18% | 20% | 20% | 15% | 10% | 1% | ||
| Hornets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 16% | 19% | 21% | 18% | 13% | 1% | ||
| TimberwolvesT. Wolves (40‑23) vs Magic (33‑28) |
18 | TimberwolvesT. Wolves Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 14% | 19% | 20% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 18% | 20% | 20% | 15% | 10% | 1% | ||
| Magic Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 17% | 21% | 21% | 16% | 10% | 1% | ||
| Hawks (32‑31) vs Sixers (34‑28) |
4 | Hawks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 14% | 19% | 20% | 19% | 14% | 11% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 18% | 20% | 20% | 15% | 10% | 1% | ||
| Sixers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 18% | 20% | 21% | 15% | 10% | 1% | ||
| Nets (15‑47) vs Pistons (45‑16) |
2 | Nets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 18% | 20% | 20% | 15% | 10% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 18% | 20% | 20% | 15% | 10% | 1% | ||
| Pistons Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 18% | 20% | 20% | 15% | 10% | 1% | ||
| Mavericks (21‑41) vs Celtics (41‑21) |
1 | Mavericks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 14% | 18% | 20% | 20% | 15% | 10% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 18% | 20% | 20% | 15% | 10% | 1% | ||
| Celtics Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 19% | 20% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 1% | ||
| Lakers (37‑25) vs Pacers (15‑47) |
1 | Lakers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 18% | 20% | 20% | 15% | 10% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 18% | 20% | 20% | 15% | 10% | 1% | ||
| Pacers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 18% | 20% | 20% | 15% | 10% | 1% | ||
| Nuggets (39‑24) vs Knicks (40‑23) |
1 | Nuggets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 14% | 19% | 20% | 20% | 15% | 10% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 18% | 20% | 20% | 15% | 10% | 1% | ||
| Knicks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 14% | 18% | 20% | 20% | 15% | 10% | 1% | ||
| Bucks (26‑35) vs Jazz (19‑44) |
0 | Bucks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 18% | 20% | 20% | 15% | 10% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 18% | 20% | 20% | 15% | 10% | 1% | ||
| Jazz Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 18% | 20% | 20% | 15% | 10% | <1% | ||