The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 | |||
| Heat (40‑37) vs Wizards (17‑59) |
80 | Heat Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 4% | 17% | 30% | 45% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 4% | 16% | 28% | 49% | ^ | ||
| Wizards Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 6% | 19% | 74% | ^ | ||
| Pelicans (25‑53) vs Magic (41‑36) |
55 | Pelicans Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 5% | 23% | 23% | 45% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 4% | 16% | 28% | 49% | ^ | ||
| Magic Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 3% | 12% | 31% | 53% | ^ | ||
| TimberwolvesT. Wolves (46‑31) vs Hornets (42‑36) |
30 | TimberwolvesT. Wolves Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 4% | 18% | 32% | 43% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 4% | 16% | 28% | 49% | ^ | ||
| Hornets Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 4% | 12% | 18% | 63% | ^ | ||
| Pistons (56‑21) vs Sixers (43‑34) |
10 | Pistons Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 5% | 14% | 28% | 49% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 4% | 16% | 28% | 49% | ^ | ||
| Sixers Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 3% | 16% | 28% | 50% | ^ | ||
| Celtics (52‑25) vs Raptors (43‑34) |
3 | Celtics Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 4% | 15% | 28% | 50% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 4% | 16% | 28% | 49% | ^ | ||
| Raptors Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 3% | 17% | 29% | 49% | ^ | ||
| Bucks (30‑47) vs Grizzlies (25‑52) |
0 | Bucks Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 4% | 16% | 28% | 49% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 4% | 16% | 28% | 49% | ^ | ||
| Grizzlies Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 4% | 16% | 28% | 49% | ^ | ||
| Bulls (29‑48) vs Suns (42‑35) |
0 | Bulls Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 4% | 16% | 28% | 49% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 4% | 16% | 28% | 49% | ^ | ||
| Suns Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 4% | 16% | 28% | 49% | ^ | ||
| Cavaliers (48‑29) vs Pacers (18‑59) |
0 | Cavaliers Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 4% | 16% | 28% | 49% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 4% | 16% | 28% | 49% | ^ | ||
| Pacers Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 4% | 16% | 28% | 49% | ^ | ||