The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 | |||
| Heat (27‑26) vs Wizards (14‑37) |
65 | Heat Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 19% | 23% | 17% | 10% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 18% | 23% | 18% | 11% | 6% | ||
| Wizards Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 17% | 23% | 20% | 14% | 7% | ||
| Pistons (38‑13) vs Hornets (25‑28) |
12 | Pistons Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 18% | 23% | 18% | 10% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 18% | 23% | 18% | 11% | 6% | ||
| Hornets Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 17% | 22% | 18% | 12% | 6% | ||
| Pacers (13‑39) vs Raptors (31‑22) |
9 | Pacers Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 18% | 21% | 18% | 11% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 18% | 23% | 18% | 11% | 6% | ||
| Raptors Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 18% | 23% | 18% | 12% | 5% | ||
| Knicks (33‑19) vs Celtics (34‑18) |
8 | Knicks Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 18% | 23% | 18% | 10% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 18% | 23% | 18% | 11% | 6% | ||
| Celtics Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 18% | 23% | 18% | 12% | 6% | ||
| Trail Blazers (25‑28) vs Sixers (30‑22) |
7 | Trail Blazers Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 18% | 22% | 18% | 11% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 18% | 23% | 18% | 11% | 6% | ||
| Sixers Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 18% | 23% | 18% | 11% | 6% | ||
| Nuggets (34‑19) vs Cavaliers (32‑21) |
5 | Nuggets Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 18% | 23% | 18% | 11% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 18% | 23% | 18% | 11% | 6% | ||
| Cavaliers Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 18% | 22% | 19% | 11% | 5% | ||
| Bucks (21‑29) vs Magic (27‑24) |
3 | Bucks Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 18% | 22% | 17% | 11% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 18% | 23% | 18% | 11% | 6% | ||
| Magic Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 18% | 24% | 18% | 10% | 5% | ||
| Nets (14‑37) vs Bulls (24‑29) |
1 | Nets Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 13% | 18% | 23% | 17% | 11% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 18% | 23% | 18% | 11% | 6% | ||
| Bulls Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 18% | 23% | 17% | 11% | 6% | ||