The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 | |||
| Heat (35‑29) vs Pistons (45‑17) |
66 | Heat Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 21% | 24% | 22% | 17% | 9% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 17% | 22% | 22% | 19% | 12% | 5% | <1% | ||
| Pistons Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 20% | 23% | 21% | 14% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Bucks (27‑35) vs Magic (34‑28) |
13 | Bucks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 18% | 22% | 21% | 19% | 11% | 5% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 17% | 22% | 22% | 19% | 12% | 5% | <1% | ||
| Magic Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 21% | 23% | 20% | 12% | 5% | <1% | ||
| Mavericks (21‑42) vs Raptors (35‑27) |
11 | Mavericks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 20% | 21% | 21% | 18% | 11% | 5% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 17% | 22% | 22% | 19% | 12% | 5% | <1% | ||
| Raptors Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 22% | 23% | 19% | 12% | 5% | <1% | ||
| Suns (36‑27) vs Hornets (32‑32) |
9 | Suns Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 17% | 22% | 24% | 19% | 11% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 17% | 22% | 22% | 19% | 12% | 5% | <1% | ||
| Hornets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 17% | 22% | 22% | 18% | 12% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Lakers (38‑25) vs Knicks (41‑23) |
3 | Lakers Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 16% | 21% | 23% | 19% | 12% | 5% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 17% | 22% | 22% | 19% | 12% | 5% | <1% | ||
| Knicks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 17% | 21% | 22% | 19% | 12% | 5% | <1% | ||
| Bulls (26‑37) vs Kings (14‑50) |
1 | Bulls Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 22% | 23% | 19% | 11% | 5% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 17% | 22% | 22% | 19% | 12% | 5% | <1% | ||
| Kings Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 17% | 22% | 23% | 19% | 11% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Wizards (16‑46) vs Pelicans (20‑45) |
1 | Wizards Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 17% | 21% | 22% | 19% | 12% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 17% | 22% | 22% | 19% | 12% | 5% | <1% | ||
| Pelicans Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 17% | 22% | 23% | 18% | 12% | 5% | <1% | ||
| Grizzlies (23‑39) vs Nets (16‑47) |
1 | Grizzlies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 17% | 22% | 23% | 19% | 12% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 17% | 22% | 22% | 19% | 12% | 5% | <1% | ||
| Nets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 17% | 22% | 22% | 19% | 11% | 5% | <1% | ||
| Celtics (42‑21) vs Cavaliers (39‑24) |
1 | Celtics Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 17% | 21% | 22% | 20% | 12% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 17% | 22% | 22% | 19% | 12% | 5% | <1% | ||
| Cavaliers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 22% | 23% | 19% | 11% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Trail Blazers (30‑34) vs Pacers (15‑48) |
0 | Trail Blazers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 17% | 22% | 22% | 19% | 12% | 5% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 17% | 22% | 22% | 19% | 12% | 5% | <1% | ||
| Pacers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 17% | 22% | 22% | 19% | 12% | 5% | <1% | ||