The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 | |||
| Heat (2‑1) vs Hornets (2‑1) |
20 | Heat Wins | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 28% | ||
| Hornets Wins | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 28% | ||
| Pistons (2‑1) vs Cavaliers (2‑1) |
17 | Pistons Wins | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 28% | ||
| Cavaliers Wins | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 28% | ||
| Bucks (2‑1) vs Knicks (2‑1) |
8 | Bucks Wins | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 28% | ||
| Knicks Wins | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 28% | ||
| Magic (1‑2) vs Sixers (2‑0) |
5 | Magic Wins | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 28% | ||
| Sixers Wins | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 28% | ||
| Rockets (0‑2) vs Nets (0‑3) |
3 | Rockets Wins | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 28% | ||
| Nets Wins | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 28% | ||
| Raptors (1‑2) vs Spurs (3‑0) |
2 | Raptors Wins | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 28% | ||
| Spurs Wins | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 28% | ||
| Hawks (1‑2) vs Bulls (2‑0) |
2 | Hawks Wins | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 28% | ||
| Bulls Wins | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 28% | ||
| Celtics (0‑3) vs Pelicans (0‑2) |
1 | Celtics Wins | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 28% | ||
| Pelicans Wins | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 29% | ||