The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 | |||
| Heat (36‑29) vs Wizards (16‑47) |
60 | Heat Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 20% | 24% | 25% | 15% | 8% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 19% | 24% | 25% | 17% | 8% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Wizards Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 22% | 26% | 21% | 13% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Mavericks (21‑43) vs Hawks (33‑31) |
15 | Mavericks Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 20% | 25% | 25% | 16% | 6% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 19% | 24% | 25% | 17% | 8% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Hawks Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 18% | 25% | 25% | 17% | 8% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Rockets (39‑24) vs Raptors (36‑27) |
13 | Rockets Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 20% | 24% | 24% | 16% | 8% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 19% | 24% | 25% | 17% | 8% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Raptors Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 15% | 24% | 28% | 17% | 9% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Grizzlies (23‑40) vs Sixers (34‑30) |
12 | Grizzlies Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 19% | 26% | 26% | 16% | 7% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 19% | 24% | 25% | 17% | 8% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Sixers Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 18% | 24% | 24% | 17% | 9% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Cavaliers (40‑25) vs Magic (35‑28) |
10 | Cavaliers Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 21% | 25% | 24% | 16% | 8% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 19% | 24% | 25% | 17% | 8% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Magic Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 17% | 23% | 26% | 18% | 9% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Trail Blazers (31‑34) vs Hornets (32‑33) |
7 | Trail Blazers Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 19% | 25% | 25% | 17% | 8% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 19% | 24% | 25% | 17% | 8% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Hornets Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 19% | 24% | 25% | 17% | 8% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Nets (17‑47) vs Pistons (45‑18) |
5 | Nets Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 19% | 25% | 25% | 17% | 7% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 19% | 24% | 25% | 17% | 8% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Pistons Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 19% | 24% | 25% | 17% | 8% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Spurs (47‑17) vs Celtics (43‑21) |
4 | Spurs Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 20% | 24% | 24% | 17% | 8% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 19% | 24% | 25% | 17% | 8% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Celtics Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 18% | 24% | 25% | 17% | 8% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Warriors (32‑32) vs Bulls (26‑38) |
1 | Warriors Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 19% | 24% | 25% | 16% | 8% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 19% | 24% | 25% | 17% | 8% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Bulls Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 19% | 24% | 25% | 17% | 9% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Bucks (27‑36) vs Suns (37‑27) |
1 | Bucks Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 19% | 24% | 25% | 16% | 8% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 19% | 24% | 25% | 17% | 8% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Suns Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 19% | 24% | 25% | 17% | 8% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Clippers (31‑32) vs Knicks (41‑24) |
1 | Clippers Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 19% | 24% | 25% | 17% | 8% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 19% | 24% | 25% | 17% | 8% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Knicks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 18% | 25% | 25% | 17% | 8% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Kings (15‑50) vs Pacers (15‑49) |
0 | Kings Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 19% | 24% | 25% | 17% | 8% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 19% | 24% | 25% | 17% | 8% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Pacers Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 19% | 24% | 25% | 17% | 8% | 2% | <1% | ||