The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 | |||
| Heat (38‑30) vs Hornets (34‑34) |
83 | Heat Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 17% | 22% | 25% | 19% | 10% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 12% | 19% | 24% | 21% | 15% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Hornets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 10% | 17% | 25% | 23% | 18% | 5% | <1% | ||
| Mavericks (23‑46) vs Hawks (37‑31) |
25 | Mavericks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 13% | 20% | 26% | 20% | 12% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 12% | 19% | 24% | 21% | 15% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Hawks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 12% | 18% | 23% | 21% | 16% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Nuggets (41‑27) vs Sixers (37‑31) |
15 | Nuggets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 13% | 20% | 25% | 20% | 13% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 12% | 19% | 24% | 21% | 15% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Sixers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 13% | 18% | 22% | 22% | 16% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Thunder (53‑15) vs Magic (38‑29) |
14 | Thunder Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 14% | 20% | 23% | 21% | 14% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 12% | 19% | 24% | 21% | 15% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Magic Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 11% | 19% | 27% | 21% | 15% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Bulls (28‑40) vs Raptors (38‑29) |
6 | Bulls Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 14% | 19% | 24% | 20% | 15% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 12% | 19% | 24% | 21% | 15% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Raptors Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 11% | 18% | 26% | 22% | 14% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Pistons (48‑19) vs Wizards (16‑51) |
4 | Pistons Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 13% | 19% | 24% | 21% | 14% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 12% | 19% | 24% | 21% | 15% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Wizards Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 13% | 19% | 24% | 20% | 15% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Knicks (44‑25) vs Pacers (15‑53) |
4 | Knicks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 13% | 19% | 24% | 21% | 14% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 12% | 19% | 24% | 21% | 15% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Pacers Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 19% | 25% | 21% | 15% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Bucks (28‑39) vs Cavaliers (41‑27) |
3 | Bucks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 12% | 18% | 24% | 20% | 14% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 12% | 19% | 24% | 21% | 15% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Cavaliers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 13% | 19% | 25% | 20% | 14% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Warriors (33‑35) vs Celtics (45‑23) |
2 | Warriors Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 13% | 19% | 25% | 20% | 14% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 12% | 19% | 24% | 21% | 15% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Celtics Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 13% | 19% | 25% | 21% | 14% | 4% | <1% | ||